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 Statistical Learning


Optimal Stopping and Effective Machine Complexity in Learning

Neural Information Processing Systems

We study tltt' problem of when to stop If'arning a class of feedforward networks - networks with linear outputs I1PUrOIl and fixed input weights - when they are trained with a gradient descent algorithm on a finite number of examples. Under general regularity conditions, it is shown that there a.re in general three distinct phases in the generalization performance in the learning process, and in particular, the network has hetter gt'neralization pPTformance when learning is stopped at a certain time before til(' global miniIl111lu of the empirical error is reachert. A notion of effective size of a machine is rtefil1e i and used to explain the tradeoff betwf'en the complexity of the marhine and the training error ill the learning process. The study leads nat.urally to a network size selection critt'rion, which turns Ol1t to be a generalization of Akaike's Information Criterioll for the It'arning process. It if; shown that stopping Iparning before tiJt' global minimum of the empirical error has the effect of network size splectioll. 1 INTRODUCTION The primary goal of learning in neural nets is to find a network that gives valid generalization. In achieving this goal, a central issue is the tradeoff between the training error and network complexity. This usually reduces to a problem of network size selection, which has drawn much research effort in recent years. Various principles, theories, and intuitions, including Occam's razor, statistical model selection criteria such as Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) [11 and many others [5, 1, 10,3,111 all quantitatively support the following PAC prescription: between two machines which have the same empirical error, the machine with smaller VC-dimf'nsion generalizes better. However, it is noted that these methods or criteria do not npcpssarily If'ad to optimal (or llearly optimal) generalization performance.


Assessing the Quality of Learned Local Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

An approach is presented to learning high dimensional functions in the case where the learning algorithm can affect the generation of new data. A local modeling algorithm, locally weighted regression, is used to represent the learned function. Architectural parameters of the approach, such as distance metrics, are also localized and become a function of the query point instead of being global. Statistical tests are given for when a local model is good enough and sampling should be moved to a new area. Our methods explicitly deal with the case where prediction accuracy requirements exist during exploration: By gradually shifting a "center of exploration" and controlling the speed of the shift with local prediction accuracy, a goal-directed exploration of state space takes place along the fringes of the current data support until the task goal is achieved.


Supervised learning from incomplete data via an EM approach

Neural Information Processing Systems

Real-world learning tasks may involve high-dimensional data sets with arbitrary patterns of missing data. In this paper we present a framework based on maximum likelihood density estimation for learning from such data set.s. VVe use mixture models for the density estimates and make two distinct appeals to the Expectation Maximization (EM) principle (Dempster et al., 1977) in deriving a learning algorithm-EM is used both for the estimation of mixture components and for coping wit.h missing dat.a. The resulting algorithm is applicable t.o a wide range of supervised as well as unsupervised learning problems.


Unsupervised Parallel Feature Extraction from First Principles

Neural Information Processing Systems

We describe a number of learning rules that can be used to train unsupervised parallel feature extraction systems. The learning rules are derived using gradient ascent of a quality function. We consider a number of quality functions that are rational functions of higher order moments of the extracted feature values. We show that one system learns the principle components of the correlation matrix. Principal component analysis systems are usually not optimal feature extractors for classification.


Solvable Models of Artificial Neural Networks

Neural Information Processing Systems

Solvable models of nonlinear learning machines are proposed, and learning in artificial neural networks is studied based on the theory of ordinary differential equations. A learning algorithm is constructed, by which the optimal parameter can be found without any recursive procedure. The solvable models enable us to analyze the reason why experimental results by the error backpropagation often contradict the statistical learning theory.


Credit Assignment through Time: Alternatives to Backpropagation

Neural Information Processing Systems

Learning to recognize or predict sequences using long-term context has many applications. However, practical and theoretical problems are found in training recurrent neural networks to perform tasks in which input/output dependencies span long intervals. Starting from a mathematical analysis of the problem, we consider and compare alternative algorithms and architectures on tasks for which the span of the input/output dependencies can be controlled. Results on the new algorithms show performance qualitatively superior to that obtained with backpropagation. 1 Introduction Recurrent neural networks have been considered to learn to map input sequences to output sequences. Machines that could efficiently learn such tasks would be useful for many applications involving sequence prediction, recognition or production. However, practical difficulties have been reported in training recurrent neural networks to perform tasks in which the temporal contingencies present in the input/output sequences span long intervals. In fact, we can prove that dynamical systems such as recurrent neural networks will be increasingly difficult to train with gradient descent as the duration of the dependencies to be captured increases. A mathematical analysis of the problem shows that either one of two conditions arises in such systems.



A Unified Gradient-Descent/Clustering Architecture for Finite State Machine Induction

Neural Information Processing Systems

Researchers often try to understand-post hoc-representations that emerge in the hidden layers of a neural net following training. Interpretation is difficult because these representations are typically highly distributed and continuous. By "continuous," we mean that if one constructed a scatterplot over the hidden unit activity space of patterns obtained in response to various inputs, examination at any scale would reveal the patterns to be broadly distributed over the space.


Memory-Based Methods for Regression and Classification

Neural Information Processing Systems

Memory-based learning methods operate by storing all (or most) of the training data and deferring analysis of that data until "run time" (i.e., when a query is presented and a decision or prediction must be made). When a query is received, these methods generally answer the query by retrieving and analyzing a small subset of the training data-namely, data in the immediate neighborhood of the query point. In short, memory-based methods are "lazy" (they wait until the query) and "local" (they use only a local neighborhood). The purpose of this workshop was to review the state-of-the-art in memory-based methods and to understand their relationship to "eager" and "global" learning algorithms such as batch backpropagation. There are two essential components to any memory-based algorithm: the method for defining the "local neighborhood" and the learning method that is applied to the training examples in the local neighborhood.