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 Statistical Learning


On Efficient Heuristic Ranking of Hypotheses

Neural Information Processing Systems

Voice: (818) 306-6144 FAX: (818) 306-6912 Content Areas: Applications (Stochastic Optimization),Model Selection Algorithms Abstract This paper considers the problem of learning the ranking of a set of alternatives based upon incomplete information (e.g., a limited number of observations). We describe two algorithms for hypothesis ranking and their application for probably approximately correct (PAC) and expected loss (EL) learning criteria. Empirical results are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of these ranking procedures on both synthetic datasets and real-world data from a spacecraft design optimization problem. 1 INTRODUCTION In many learning applications, the cost of information can be quite high, imposing a requirement that the learning algorithms glean as much usable information as possible with a minimum of data. For example: - In speedup learning, the expense of processing each training example can be significant [Tadepalli921. This paper provides a statistical decision-theoretic framework for the ranking of parametric distributions.


Hybrid NN/HMM-Based Speech Recognition with a Discriminant Neural Feature Extraction

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this paper, we present a novel hybrid architecture for continuous speech recognition systems. It consists of a continuous HMM system extended by an arbitrary neural network that is used as a preprocessor that takes several frames of the feature vector as input to produce more discriminative feature vectors with respect to the underlying HMM system. This hybrid system is an extension of a state-of-the-art continuous HMM system, and in fact, it is the first hybrid system that really is capable of outperforming these standard systems with respect to the recognition accuracy. Experimental results show an relative error reduction of about 10% that we achieved on a remarkably good recognition system based on continuous HMMs for the Resource Management 1 OOO-word continuous speech recognition task.


Competitive On-line Linear Regression

Neural Information Processing Systems

We apply a general algorithm for merging prediction strategies (the Aggregating Algorithm) to the problem of linear regression with the square loss; our main assumption is that the response variable is bounded. It turns out that for this particular problem the Aggregating Algorithm resembles, but is slightly different from, the wellknown ridge estimation procedure. From general results about the Aggregating Algorithm we deduce a guaranteed bound on the difference between our algorithm's performance and the best, in some sense, linear regression function's performance. We show that the AA attains the optimal constant in our bound, whereas the constant attained by the ridge regression procedure in general can be 4 times worse. 1 INTRODUCTION The usual approach to regression problems is to assume that the data are generated by some stochastic mechanism and make some, typically very restrictive, assumptions about that stochastic mechanism. In recent years, however, a different approach to this kind of problems was developed (see, e.g., DeSantis et al. [2], Littlestone and Warmuth [7]): in our context, that approach sets the goal of finding an online algorithm that performs not much worse than the best regression function found off-line; in other words, it replaces the usual statistical analyses by the competitive analysis of online algorithms. DeSantis et al. [2] performed a competitive analysis of the Bayesian merging scheme for the log-loss prediction game; later Littlestone and Warmuth [7] and Vovk [10] introduced an online algorithm (called the Weighted Majority Algorithm by the Competitive Online Linear Regression 365 former authors) for the simple binary prediction game. These two algorithms (the Bayesian merging scheme and the Weighted Majority Algorithm) are special cases of the Aggregating Algorithm (AA) proposed in [9, 11]. The AA is a member of a wide family of algorithms called "multiplicative weight" or "exponential weight" algorithms. Closer to the topic of this paper, Cesa-Bianchi et al. [1) performed a competitive analysis, under the square loss, of the standard Gradient Descent Algorithm and Kivinen and Warmuth [6] complemented it by a competitive analysis of a modification of the Gradient Descent, which they call the Exponentiated Gradient Algorithm.


Regularisation in Sequential Learning Algorithms

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this paper, we discuss regularisation in online/sequential learning algorithms. In environments where data arrives sequentially, techniques such as cross-validation to achieve regularisation or model selection are not possible. Further, bootstrapping to determine a confidence level is not practical. To surmount these problems, a minimum variance estimation approach that makes use of the extended Kalman algorithm for training multi-layer perceptrons is employed. The novel contribution of this paper is to show the theoretical links between extended Kalman filtering, Sutton's variable learning rate algorithms and Mackay's Bayesian estimation framework. In doing so, we propose algorithms to overcome the need for heuristic choices of the initial conditions and noise covariance matrices in the Kalman approach.



Active Data Clustering

Neural Information Processing Systems

Active data clustering is a novel technique for clustering of proximity data which utilizes principles from sequential experiment design in order to interleave data generation and data analysis. The proposed active data sampling strategy is based on the expected value of information, a concept rooting in statistical decision theory. This is considered to be an important step towards the analysis of largescale data sets, because it offers a way to overcome the inherent data sparseness of proximity data.


Recovering Perspective Pose with a Dual Step EM Algorithm

Neural Information Processing Systems

This paper describes a new approach to extracting 3D perspective structure from 2D point-sets. The novel feature is to unify the tasks of estimating transformation geometry and identifying pointcorrespondence matches. Unification is realised by constructing a mixture model over the bipartite graph representing the correspondence match and by effecting optimisation using the EM algorithm. According to our EM framework the probabilities of structural correspondence gate contributions to the expected likelihood function used to estimate maximum likelihood perspective pose parameters. This provides a means of rejecting structural outliers.


On Efficient Heuristic Ranking of Hypotheses

Neural Information Processing Systems

Voice: (818) 306-6144 FAX: (818) 306-6912 Content Areas: Applications (Stochastic Optimization),Model Selection Algorithms Abstract This paper considers the problem of learning the ranking of a set of alternatives based upon incomplete information (e.g., a limited number of observations). We describe two algorithms for hypothesis ranking and their application for probably approximately correct (PAC) and expected loss (EL) learning criteria. Empirical results are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of these ranking procedures on both synthetic datasets and real-world data from a spacecraft design optimization problem. 1 INTRODUCTION In many learning applications, the cost of information can be quite high, imposing a requirement that the learning algorithms glean as much usable information as possible with a minimum of data. For example: - In speedup learning, the expense of processing each training example can be significant [Tadepalli921. This paper provides a statistical decision-theoretic framework for the ranking of parametric distributions.


S-Map: A Network with a Simple Self-Organization Algorithm for Generative Topographic Mappings

Neural Information Processing Systems

The S-Map is a network with a simple learning algorithm that combines the self-organization capability of the Self-Organizing Map (SOM) and the probabilistic interpretability of the Generative Topographic Mapping (GTM). The simulations suggest that the S Map algorithm has a stronger tendency to self-organize from random initial configuration than the GTM. The S-Map algorithm can be further simplified to employ pure Hebbian learning, without changing the qualitative behaviour of the network. 1 Introduction The self-organizing map (SOM; for a review, see [1]) forms a topographic mapping from the data space onto a (usually two-dimensional) output space. The SOM has been succesfully used in a large number of applications [2]; nevertheless, there are some open theoretical questions, as discussed in [1, 3]. Most of these questions arise because of the following two facts: the SOM is not a generative model, i.e. it does not generate a density in the data space, and it does not have a well-defined objective function that the training process would strictly minimize.


The Efficiency and the Robustness of Natural Gradient Descent Learning Rule

Neural Information Processing Systems

The inverse of the Fisher information matrix is used in the natural gradient descent algorithm to train single-layer and multi-layer perceptrons. We have discovered a new scheme to represent the Fisher information matrix of a stochastic multi-layer perceptron. Based on this scheme, we have designed an algorithm to compute the natural gradient. When the input dimension n is much larger than the number of hidden neurons, the complexity of this algorithm is of order O(n). It is confirmed by simulations that the natural gradient descent learning rule is not only efficient but also robust.