We discuss a strategy for polychotomous classification that involves estimating class probabilities for each pair of classes, and then coupling the estimates together. The coupling model is similar to the Bradley-Terry method for paired comparisons. We study the nature of the class probability estimates that arise, and examine the performance of the procedure in simulated datasets. The classifiers used include linear discriminants and nearest neighbors: application to support vector machines is also briefly described.

An adaptive online algorithm is proposed to estimate hierarchical data structures for non-stationary data sources. The approach is based on the principle of minimum cross entropy to derive a decision tree for data clustering and it employs a metalearning idea (learning to learn) to adapt to changes in data characteristics. Its efficiency is demonstrated by grouping non-stationary artifical data and by hierarchical segmentation of LANDSAT images. 1 Introduction Unsupervised learning addresses the problem to detect structure inherent in unlabeled and unclassified data. N. The encoding usually is represented by an assignment matrix M (Mia), where Mia 1 if and only if Xi belongs to cluster L: 1 MiaV (Xi, Ya) measures the quality of a data partition, Le., optimal assignments and prototypes (M,y)OPt argminM,y1i (M,Y) minimize the inhomogeneity of clusters w.r.t. a given distance measure V. For reasons of simplicity we restrict the presentation to the ' sum-of-squared-error criterion V(x, y) To facilitate this minimization a deterministic annealing approach was proposed in [5] signments, which maps the discrete optimization problem, i.e. how to determine the data as via the Maximum Entropy Principle [2] to a continuous parameter es- Unsupervised Online Learning of Decision Trees for Data Analysis 515 timation problem.

The observed distribution of natural images is far from uniform. On the contrary, real images have complex and important structure that can be exploited for image processing, recognition and analysis. There have been many proposed approaches to the principled statistical modeling of images, but each has been limited in either the complexity of the models or the complexity of the images. We present a nonparametric multi-scale statistical model for images that can be used for recognition, image de-noising, and in a "generative mode" to synthesize high quality textures.

This paper describes a new approach to extracting 3D perspective structure from 2D point-sets. The novel feature is to unify the tasks of estimating transformation geometry and identifying pointcorrespondence matches. Unification is realised by constructing a mixture model over the bipartite graph representing the correspondence match and by effecting optimisation using the EM algorithm. According to our EM framework the probabilities of structural correspondence gate contributions to the expected likelihood function used to estimate maximum likelihood perspective pose parameters. This provides a means of rejecting structural outliers.

Active data clustering is a novel technique for clustering of proximity data which utilizes principles from sequential experiment design in order to interleave data generation and data analysis. The proposed active data sampling strategy is based on the expected value of information, a concept rooting in statistical decision theory. This is considered to be an important step towards the analysis of largescale data sets, because it offers a way to overcome the inherent data sparseness of proximity data.

We apply a general algorithm for merging prediction strategies (the Aggregating Algorithm) to the problem of linear regression with the square loss; our main assumption is that the response variable is bounded. It turns out that for this particular problem the Aggregating Algorithm resembles, but is slightly different from, the wellknown ridge estimation procedure. From general results about the Aggregating Algorithm we deduce a guaranteed bound on the difference between our algorithm's performance and the best, in some sense, linear regression function's performance. We show that the AA attains the optimal constant in our bound, whereas the constant attained by the ridge regression procedure in general can be 4 times worse. 1 INTRODUCTION The usual approach to regression problems is to assume that the data are generated by some stochastic mechanism and make some, typically very restrictive, assumptions about that stochastic mechanism. In recent years, however, a different approach to this kind of problems was developed (see, e.g., DeSantis et al. [2], Littlestone and Warmuth [7]): in our context, that approach sets the goal of finding an online algorithm that performs not much worse than the best regression function found off-line; in other words, it replaces the usual statistical analyses by the competitive analysis of online algorithms. DeSantis et al. [2] performed a competitive analysis of the Bayesian merging scheme for the log-loss prediction game; later Littlestone and Warmuth [7] and Vovk [10] introduced an online algorithm (called the Weighted Majority Algorithm by the Competitive Online Linear Regression 365 former authors) for the simple binary prediction game. These two algorithms (the Bayesian merging scheme and the Weighted Majority Algorithm) are special cases of the Aggregating Algorithm (AA) proposed in [9, 11]. The AA is a member of a wide family of algorithms called "multiplicative weight" or "exponential weight" algorithms. Closer to the topic of this paper, Cesa-Bianchi et al. [1) performed a competitive analysis, under the square loss, of the standard Gradient Descent Algorithm and Kivinen and Warmuth [6] complemented it by a competitive analysis of a modification of the Gradient Descent, which they call the Exponentiated Gradient Algorithm.

The S-Map is a network with a simple learning algorithm that combines the self-organization capability of the Self-Organizing Map (SOM) and the probabilistic interpretability of the Generative Topographic Mapping (GTM). The simulations suggest that the S Map algorithm has a stronger tendency to self-organize from random initial configuration than the GTM. The S-Map algorithm can be further simplified to employ pure Hebbian learning, without changing the qualitative behaviour of the network. 1 Introduction The self-organizing map (SOM; for a review, see [1]) forms a topographic mapping from the data space onto a (usually two-dimensional) output space. The SOM has been succesfully used in a large number of applications [2]; nevertheless, there are some open theoretical questions, as discussed in [1, 3]. Most of these questions arise because of the following two facts: the SOM is not a generative model, i.e. it does not generate a density in the data space, and it does not have a well-defined objective function that the training process would strictly minimize.

We explore methods for incorporating prior knowledge about a problem at hand in Support Vector learning machines. We show that both invariances under group transfonnations and prior knowledge about locality in images can be incorporated by constructing appropriate kernel functions.

"Boosting" is a general method for improving the performance of any learning algorithm that consistently generates classifiers which need to perform only slightly better than random guessing. A recently proposed and very promising boosting algorithm is AdaBoost [5]. It has been applied with great success to several benchmark machine learning problems using rather simple learning algorithms [4], and decision trees [1, 2, 6]. In this paper we use AdaBoost to improve the performances of neural networks. We compare training methods based on sampling the training set and weighting the cost function. Our system achieves about 1.4% error on a data base of online handwritten digits from more than 200 writers. Adaptive boosting of a multi-layer network achieved 1.5% error on the UCI Letters and 8.1 % error on the UCI satellite data set.

The proof given here shows that for any finite, discrete transfer function used by the units of an RCC network, there are finite-state automata (FSA) that the network cannot model, no matter how many units are used. The proof also applies to continuous transfer functions with a finite number of fixed-points, such as sigmoid and radial-basis functions.