Support Vector Machines
Improving Orbit Prediction Accuracy through Supervised Machine Learning
Due to the lack of information such as the space environment condition and resident space objects' (RSOs') body characteristics, current orbit predictions that are solely grounded on physics-based models may fail to achieve required accuracy for collision avoidance and have led to satellite collisions already. This paper presents a methodology to predict RSOs' trajectories with higher accuracy than that of the current methods. Inspired by the machine learning (ML) theory through which the models are learned based on large amounts of observed data and the prediction is conducted without explicitly modeling space objects and space environment, the proposed ML approach integrates physics-based orbit prediction algorithms with a learning-based process that focuses on reducing the prediction errors. Using a simulation-based space catalog environment as the test bed, the paper demonstrates three types of generalization capability for the proposed ML approach: 1) the ML model can be used to improve the same RSO's orbit information that is not available during the learning process but shares the same time interval as the training data; 2) the ML model can be used to improve predictions of the same RSO at future epochs; and 3) the ML model based on a RSO can be applied to other RSOs that share some common features.
SkyFoundry Releases Machine Learning for SkySpark Analytics
SkySpark automatically analyzes building, energy and equipment data to identify issues, faults and opportunities for improved performance and operational savings. The new Machine Learning Tools provide support for supervised learning for prediction and forecasting through regression-based approaches, and classification using Support Vector Machine (SVM) techniques. "We have been working with select customers for almost a year as they tested our new machine learning tools. Their feedback helped us optimize the tools to make application as easy as possible. The results have been excellent and we are excited to announce their availability to the entire market. These tools further extend the capabilities of SkySpark and the range of solutions our partners are delivering to customers around the globe," said John Petze, Principal at SkyFoundry.
A novel improved fuzzy support vector machine based stock price trend forecast model
Wang, Shuheng, Li, Guohao, Bao, Yifan
Application of fuzzy support vector machine in stock price forecast. Support vector machine is a new type of machine learning method proposed in 1990s. It can deal with classification and regression problems very successfully. Due to the excellent learning performance of support vector machine, the technology has become a hot research topic in the field of machine learning, and it has been successfully applied in many fields. However, as a new technology, there are many limitations to support vector machines. There is a large amount of fuzzy information in the objective world. If the training of support vector machine contains noise and fuzzy information, the performance of the support vector machine will become very weak and powerless. As the complexity of many factors influence the stock price prediction, the prediction results of traditional support vector machine cannot meet people with precision, this study improved the traditional support vector machine fuzzy prediction algorithm is proposed to improve the new model precision. NASDAQ Stock Market, Standard & Poor's (S&P) Stock market are considered. Novel advanced- fuzzy support vector machine (NA-FSVM) is the proposed methodology.
Process-constrained batch Bayesian optimisation
Vellanki, Pratibha, Rana, Santu, Gupta, Sunil, Rubin, David, Sutti, Alessandra, Dorin, Thomas, Height, Murray, Sanders, Paul, Venkatesh, Svetha
Abstract Prevailing batch Bayesian optimisation methods allow all control variables to be freely altered at each iteration. Real-world experiments, however, often have physical limitations making it time-consuming to alter all settings for each recommendation in a batch. This gives rise to a unique problem in BO: in a recommended batch, a set of variables that are expensive to experimentally change need to be fixed, while the remaining control variables can be varied. We formulate this as a process-constrained batch Bayesian optimisation problem. We propose two algorithms, pc-BO(basic) and pc-BO(nested). pc-BO(basic) is simpler but lacks convergence guarantee. In contrast pc-BO(nested) is slightly more complex, but admits convergence analysis. We show that the regret of pc-BO(nested) is sublinear. We demonstrate the performance of both pc-BO(basic) and pc-BO(nested) by optimising benchmark test functions, tuning hyper-parameters of the SVM classifier, optimising the heat-treatment process for an Al-Sc alloy to achieve target hardness, and optimising the short polymer fibre production process.
Decomposition-Invariant Conditional Gradient for General Polytopes with Line Search
Bashiri, Mohammad Ali, Zhang, Xinhua
Frank-Wolfe (FW) algorithms with linear convergence rates have recently achieved great efficiency in many applications. Garber and Meshi (2016) designed a new decomposition-invariant pairwise FW variant with favorable dependency on the domain geometry. Unfortunately, it applies only to a restricted class of polytopes and cannot achieve theoretical and practical efficiency at the same time. In this paper, we show that by employing an away-step update, similar rates can be generalized to arbitrary polytopes with strong empirical performance. A new "condition number" of the domain is introduced which allows leveraging the sparsity of the solution. We applied the method to a reformulation of SVM, and the linear convergence rate depends, for the first time, on the number of support vectors.
Max-Margin Invariant Features from Transformed Unlabelled Data
Pal, Dipan, Kannan, Ashwin, Arakalgud, Gautam, Savvides, Marios
The study of representations invariant to common transformations of the data is important to learning. Most techniques have focused on local approximate invariance implemented within expensive optimization frameworks lacking explicit theoretical guarantees. In this paper, we study kernels that are invariant to a unitary group while having theoretical guarantees in addressing the important practical issue of unavailability of transformed versions of labelled data. A problem we call the Unlabeled Transformation Problem which is a special form of semi-supervised learning and one-shot learning. We present a theoretically motivated alternate approach to the invariant kernel SVM based on which we propose Max-Margin Invariant Features (MMIF) to solve this problem. As an illustration, we design an framework for face recognition and demonstrate the efficacy of our approach on a large scale semi-synthetic dataset with 153,000 images and a new challenging protocol on Labelled Faces in the Wild (LFW) while out-performing strong baselines.
From Parity to Preference-based Notions of Fairness in Classification
Zafar, Muhammad Bilal, Valera, Isabel, Rodriguez, Manuel, Gummadi, Krishna, Weller, Adrian
The adoption of automated, data-driven decision making in an ever expanding range of applications has raised concerns about its potential unfairness towards certain social groups. In this context, a number of recent studies have focused on defining, detecting, and removing unfairness from data-driven decision systems. However, the existing notions of fairness, based on parity (equality) in treatment or outcomes for different social groups, tend to be quite stringent, limiting the overall decision making accuracy. In this paper, we draw inspiration from the fair-division and envy-freeness literature in economics and game theory and propose preference-based notions of fairness -- given the choice between various sets of decision treatments or outcomes, any group of users would collectively prefer its treatment or outcomes, regardless of the (dis)parity as compared to the other groups. Then, we introduce tractable proxies to design margin-based classifiers that satisfy these preference-based notions of fairness. Finally, we experiment with a variety of synthetic and real-world datasets and show that preference-based fairness allows for greater decision accuracy than parity-based fairness.
Parametric Simplex Method for Sparse Learning
Pang, Haotian, Liu, Han, Vanderbei, Robert J., Zhao, Tuo
High dimensional sparse learning has imposed a great computational challenge to large scale data analysis. In this paper, we investiage a broad class of sparse learning approaches formulated as linear programs parametrized by a {\em regularization factor}, and solve them by the parametric simplex method (PSM). PSM offers significant advantages over other competing methods: (1) PSM naturally obtains the complete solution path for all values of the regularization parameter; (2) PSM provides a high precision dual certificate stopping criterion; (3) PSM yields sparse solutions through very few iterations, and the solution sparsity significantly reduces the computational cost per iteration. Particularly, we demonstrate the superiority of PSM over various sparse learning approaches, including Dantzig selector for sparse linear regression, sparse support vector machine for sparse linear classification, and sparse differential network estimation. We then provide sufficient conditions under which PSM always outputs sparse solutions such that its computational performance can be significantly boosted. Thorough numerical experiments are provided to demonstrate the outstanding performance of the PSM method.
Towards Building an Intelligent Anti-Malware System: A Deep Learning Approach using Support Vector Machine (SVM) for Malware Classification
Agarap, Abien Fred, Pepito, Francis John Hill
Effective and efficient mitigation of malware is a long-time endeavor in the information security community. The development of an anti-malware system that can counteract an unknown malware is a prolific activity that may benefit several sectors. We envision an intelligent anti-malware system that utilizes the power of deep learning (DL) models. Using such models would enable the detection of newly-released malware through mathematical generalization. That is, finding the relationship between a given malware $x$ and its corresponding malware family $y$, $f: x \mapsto y$. To accomplish this feat, we used the Malimg dataset (Nataraj et al., 2011) which consists of malware images that were processed from malware binaries, and then we trained the following DL models 1 to classify each malware family: CNN-SVM (Tang, 2013), GRU-SVM (Agarap, 2017), and MLP-SVM. Empirical evidence has shown that the GRU-SVM stands out among the DL models with a predictive accuracy of ~84.92%. This stands to reason for the mentioned model had the relatively most sophisticated architecture design among the presented models. The exploration of an even more optimal DL-SVM model is the next stage towards the engineering of an intelligent anti-malware system.