Accurate and reliable prediction of Photovoltaic (PV) power output is critical to electricity grid stability and power dispatching capabilities. However, Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is highly volatile and unstable due to different reasons. The Wavelet Transform (WT) has been utilised in time series applications, such as Photovoltaic (PV) power prediction, to model the stochastic volatility and reduce prediction errors. Yet the existing Wavelet Transform (WT) approach has a limitation in terms of time complexity. It requires reconstructing the decomposed components and modelling them separately and thus needs more time for reconstruction, model configuration and training. The aim of this study is to improve the efficiency of applying Wavelet Transform (WT) by proposing a new method that uses a single simplified model. Given a time series and its Wavelet Transform (WT) coefficients, it trains one model with the coefficients as features and the original time series as labels. This eliminates the need for component reconstruction and training numerous models. This work contributes to the day-ahead aggregated solar Photovoltaic (PV) power time series prediction problem by proposing and comprehensively evaluating a new approach of employing WT. The proposed approach is evaluated using 17 months of aggregated solar Photovoltaic (PV) power data from two real-world datasets. The evaluation includes the use of a variety of prediction models, including Linear Regression, Random Forest, Support Vector Regression, and Convolutional Neural Networks. The results indicate that using a coefficients-based strategy can give predictions that are comparable to those obtained using the components-based approach while requiring fewer models and less computational time.

The firing dynamics of biological neurons in mathematical models is often determined by the model's parameters, representing the neurons' underlying properties. The parameter estimation problem seeks to recover those parameters of a single neuron or a neuron population from their responses to external stimuli and interactions between themselves. Most common methods for tackling this problem in the literature use some mechanistic models in conjunction with either a simulation-based or solution-based optimization scheme. In this paper, we study an automatic approach of learning the parameters of neuron populations from a training set consisting of pairs of spiking series and parameter labels via supervised learning. Unlike previous work, this automatic learning does not require additional simulations at inference time nor expert knowledge in deriving an analytical solution or in constructing some approximate models. We simulate many neuronal populations with different parameter settings using a stochastic neuron model. Using that data, we train a variety of supervised machine learning models, including convolutional and deep neural networks, random forest, and support vector regression. We then compare their performance against classical approaches including a genetic search, Bayesian sequential estimation, and a random walk approximate model. The supervised models almost always outperform the classical methods in parameter estimation and spike reconstruction errors, and computation expense. Convolutional neural network, in particular, is the best among all models across all metrics. The supervised models can also generalize to out-of-distribution data to a certain extent.

To address three significant challenges of massive wireless communications including propagation loss, long-distance transmission, and channel fading, we aim at establishing the hybrid antenna array with bowtie elements in a compact size for beamforming applications. In this work we rigorously demonstrate that bowtie elements allow for a significant improvement in the beamforming performance of the hybrid antenna array compared to not only other available antenna arrays, but also its geometrical counterpart with dipole elements. We have achieved a greater than 15 dB increase in SINR values, a greater than 20% improvement in the antenna efficiency, a significant enhancement in the DoA estimation, and 20 increments in the directivity for the hybrid antenna array with bowtie elements, compared to its geometrical counterpart, by performing a three-class classification LS-SVM (Least-Squares Support Vector Machine) optimization method. The proposed hybrid antenna array has shown a 3D uniform directivity, which is accompanied by its superior performance in the 3D uniform beam-scanning capability. The directivities remain almost constant at 40.83 dBi with the variation of angle θ, and 41.21 dBi with the variation of angle φ. The unrivaled functionality and performance of the hybrid antenna array with bowtie elements makes it a potential candidate for beamforming applications in massive wireless communications. ECENT advances and innovative solutions have been extensively developed for deploying smart array antennas with a highly-directive radiation pattern in order to overcome the long-distance challenges and minimize interference signals, as well as enhance the spherical coverage and capacity in massive wireless communication channels. In this sense, in addition to performing optimization methods, the geometrical configuration, inter-element spacing, excitation phase, and amplitude of the individual array elements of each antenna array have been designed and synthesized for controlling its radiation patterns.

Surrogate modeling has brought about a revolution in computation in the branches of science and engineering. Backed by Artificial Intelligence, a surrogate model can present highly accurate results with a significant reduction in computation time than computer simulation of actual models. Surrogate modeling techniques have found their use in numerous branches of science and engineering, energy system modeling being one of them. Since the idea of hybrid and sustainable energy systems is spreading rapidly in the modern world for the paradigm of the smart energy shift, researchers are exploring the future application of artificial intelligence-based surrogate modeling in analyzing and optimizing hybrid energy systems. One of the promising technologies for assessing applicability for the energy system is the digital twin, which can leverage surrogate modeling. This work presents a comprehensive framework/review on Artificial Intelligence-driven surrogate modeling and its applications with a focus on the digital twin framework and energy systems. The role of machine learning and artificial intelligence in constructing an effective surrogate model is explained. After that, different surrogate models developed for different sustainable energy sources are presented. Finally, digital twin surrogate models and associated uncertainties are described.

Early fault detection and fault prognosis are crucial to ensure efficient and safe operations of complex engineering systems such as the Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) and its power electronics (high voltage converter modulators). Following an advanced experimental facility setup that mimics SNS operating conditions, the authors successfully conducted 21 fault prognosis experiments, where fault precursors are introduced in the system to a degree enough to cause degradation in the waveform signals, but not enough to reach a real fault. Nine different machine learning techniques based on ensemble trees, convolutional neural networks, support vector machines, and hierarchical voting ensembles are proposed to detect the fault precursors. Although all 9 models have shown a perfect and identical performance during the training and testing phase, the performance of most models has decreased in the prognosis phase once they got exposed to real-world data from the 21 experiments. The hierarchical voting ensemble, which features multiple layers of diverse models, maintains a distinguished performance in early detection of the fault precursors with 95% success rate (20/21 tests), followed by adaboost and extremely randomized trees with 52% and 48% success rates, respectively. The support vector machine models were the worst with only 24% success rate (5/21 tests). The study concluded that a successful implementation of machine learning in the SNS or particle accelerator power systems would require a major upgrade in the controller and the data acquisition system to facilitate streaming and handling big data for the machine learning models. In addition, this study shows that the best performing models were diverse and based on the ensemble concept to reduce the bias and hyperparameter sensitivity of individual models.

As one of the most extensive social networking services, Twitter has more than 300 million active users as of 2022. Among its many functions, Twitter is now one of the go-to platforms for consumers to share their opinions about products or experiences, including flight services provided by commercial airlines. This study aims to measure customer satisfaction by analyzing sentiments of Tweets that mention airlines using a machine learning approach. Relevant Tweets are retrieved from Twitter's API and processed through tokenization and vectorization. After that, these processed vectors are passed into a pre-trained machine learning classifier to predict the sentiments. In addition to sentiment analysis, we also perform lexical analysis on the collected Tweets to model keywords' frequencies, which provide meaningful contexts to facilitate the interpretation of sentiments. We then apply time series methods such as Bollinger Bands to detect abnormalities in sentiment data. Using historical records from January to July 2022, our approach is proven to be capable of capturing sudden and significant changes in passengers' sentiment. This study has the potential to be developed into an application that can help airlines, along with several other customer-facing businesses, efficiently detect abrupt changes in customers' sentiments and take adequate measures to counteract them.

Groundwater level prediction is an applied time series forecasting task with important social impacts to optimize water management as well as preventing some natural disasters: for instance, floods or severe droughts. Machine learning methods have been reported in the literature to achieve this task, but they are only focused on the forecast of the groundwater level at a single location. A global forecasting method aims at exploiting the groundwater level time series from a wide range of locations to produce predictions at a single place or at several places at a time. Given the recent success of global forecasting methods in prestigious competitions, it is meaningful to assess them on groundwater level prediction and see how they are compared to local methods. In this work, we created a dataset of 1026 groundwater level time series. Each time series is made of daily measurements of groundwater levels and two exogenous variables, rainfall and evapotranspiration. This dataset is made available to the communities for reproducibility and further evaluation. To identify the best configuration to effectively predict groundwater level for the complete set of time series, we compared different predictors including local and global time series forecasting methods. We assessed the impact of exogenous variables. Our result analysis shows that the best predictions are obtained by training a global method on past groundwater levels and rainfall data.

Text detection in natural scene images has applications for autonomous driving, navigation help for elderly and blind people. However, the research on Urdu text detection is usually hindered by lack of data resources. We have developed a dataset of scene images with Urdu text. We present the use of machine learning methods to perform detection of Urdu text from the scene images. We extract text regions using channel enhanced Maximally Stable Extremal Region (MSER) method. First, we classify text and noise based on their geometric properties. Next, we use a support vector machine for early discarding of non-text regions. To further remove the non-text regions, we use histogram of oriented gradients (HoG) features obtained and train a second SVM classifier. This improves the overall performance on text region detection within the scene images. To support research on Urdu text, We aim to make the data freely available for research use. We also aim to highlight the challenges and the research gap for Urdu text detection.

Oil spill detection has attracted increasing attention in recent years since marine oil spill accidents severely affect environments, natural resources, and the lives of coastal inhabitants. Hyperspectral remote sensing images provide rich spectral information which is beneficial for the monitoring of oil spills in complex ocean scenarios. However, most of the existing approaches are based on supervised and semi-supervised frameworks to detect oil spills from hyperspectral images (HSIs), which require a huge amount of effort to annotate a certain number of high-quality training sets. In this study, we make the first attempt to develop an unsupervised oil spill detection method based on isolation forest for HSIs. First, considering that the noise level varies among different bands, a noise variance estimation method is exploited to evaluate the noise level of different bands, and the bands corrupted by severe noise are removed. Second, kernel principal component analysis (KPCA) is employed to reduce the high dimensionality of the HSIs. Then, the probability of each pixel belonging to one of the classes of seawater and oil spills is estimated with the isolation forest, and a set of pseudo-labeled training samples is automatically produced using the clustering algorithm on the detected probability. Finally, an initial detection map can be obtained by performing the support vector machine (SVM) on the dimension-reduced data, and then, the initial detection result is further optimized with the extended random walker (ERW) model so as to improve the detection accuracy of oil spills. Experiments on airborne hyperspectral oil spill data (HOSD) created by ourselves demonstrate that the proposed method obtains superior detection performance with respect to other state-of-the-art detection approaches.

COVID-19 poses disproportionate mental health consequences to the public during different phases of the pandemic. We use a computational approach to capture the specific aspects that trigger an online community's anxiety about the pandemic and investigate how these aspects change over time. First, we identified nine subjects of anxiety (SOAs) in a sample of Reddit posts ($N$=86) from r/COVID19\_support using thematic analysis. Then, we quantified Reddit users' anxiety by training algorithms on a manually annotated sample ($N$=793) to automatically label the SOAs in a larger chronological sample ($N$=6,535). The nine SOAs align with items in various recently developed pandemic anxiety measurement scales. We observed that Reddit users' concerns about health risks remained high in the first eight months of the pandemic. These concerns diminished dramatically despite the surge of cases occurring later. In general, users' language disclosing the SOAs became less intense as the pandemic progressed. However, worries about mental health and the future increased steadily throughout the period covered in this study. People also tended to use more intense language to describe mental health concerns than health risks or death concerns. Our results suggest that this online group's mental health condition does not necessarily improve despite COVID-19 gradually weakening as a health threat due to appropriate countermeasures. Our system lays the groundwork for population health and epidemiology scholars to examine aspects that provoke pandemic anxiety in a timely fashion.