Using geospatial methods, this paper informs the evolving field of research on the diffusion of residential Third Party Owned PV systems by analyzing 1) the spatial distribution of TPO systems, and 2) the influence of demographics on the adoption on the local level. This research is part of a multidisciplinary study into the diffusion of solar technology (SEEDS), using San Diego County as focus area. Our findings reveal a significant clustering of TPO PV adoption in San Diego County. TPO systems reached a similarly high market share across a large area in the central county in contrast to the installation of host-owned systems, which have been less evenly distributed across single-family households in the same area. The diffusion of TPO systems in San Diego County can be partially explained by looking at median income and percentage of people born in the US. The explanatory power of the model varies across the region.

A predictor that is deployed in a live production system may perturb the features it uses to make predictions. Such a feedback loop can occur, for example, when a model that predicts a certain type of behavior ends up causing the behavior it predicts, thus creating a self-fulfilling prophecy. In this paper we analyze predictor feedback detection as a causal inference problem, and introduce a local randomization scheme that can be used to detect non-linear feedback in real-world problems. We conduct a pilot study for our proposed methodology using a predictive system currently deployed as a part of a search engine.

Principal component regression (PCR) is a two-stage procedure that selects some principal components and then constructs a regression model regarding them as new explanatory variables. Note that the principal components are obtained from only explanatory variables and not considered with the response variable. To address this problem, we propose the sparse principal component regression (SPCR) that is a one-stage procedure for PCR. SPCR enables us to adaptively obtain sparse principal component loadings that are related to the response variable and select the number of principal components simultaneously. SPCR can be obtained by the convex optimization problem for each of parameters with the coordinate descent algorithm. Monte Carlo simulations and real data analyses are performed to illustrate the effectiveness of SPCR.

Constrained least squares regression is an essential tool for high-dimensional data analysis. Given a partition $\mathcal{G}$ of input variables, this paper considers a particular class of nonconvex constraint functions that encourage the linear model to select a small number of variables from a small number of groups in $\mathcal{G}$. Such constraints are relevant in many practical applications, such as Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS). Motivated by the efficiency of the Lasso homotopy method, we present RepLasso, a greedy homotopy algorithm that tries to solve the induced sequence of nonconvex problems by solving a sequence of suitably adapted convex surrogate problems. We prove that in some situations RepLasso recovers the global minima of the nonconvex problem. Moreover, even if it does not recover global minima, we prove that in relevant cases it will still do no worse than the Lasso in terms of support and signed support recovery, while in practice outperforming it. We show empirically that the strategy can also be used to improve over other Lasso-style algorithms. Finally, a GWAS of ankylosing spondylitis highlights our method's practical utility.

Advances of modern sensing and sequencing technologies generate a deluge of high dimensional space-temporal physiological and next-generation sequencing (NGS) data. Physiological traits are observed either as continuous random functions, or on a dense grid and referred to as function-valued traits. Both physiological and NGS data are highly correlated data with their inherent order, spacing, and functional nature which are ignored by traditional summary-based univariate and multivariate regression methods designed for quantitative genetic analysis of scalar trait and common variants. To capture morphological and dynamic features of the data and utilize their dependent structure, we propose a functional linear model (FLM) in which a trait curve is modeled as a response function, the genetic variation in a genomic region or gene is modeled as a functional predictor, and the genetic effects are modeled as a function of both time and genomic position (FLMF) for genetic analysis of function-valued trait with both GWAS and NGS data. By extensive simulations, we demonstrate that the FLMF has the correct type 1 error rates and much higher power to detect association than the existing methods. The FLMF is applied to sleep data from Starr County health studies where oxygen saturation were measured in 22,670 seconds on average for 833 individuals. We found 65 genes that were significantly associated with oxygen saturation functional trait with P-values ranging from 2.40E-06 to 2.53E-21. The results clearly demonstrate that the FLMF substantially outperforms the traditional genetic models with scalar trait.

In this paper we analyze a budgeted learning setting, in which the learner can only choose and observe a small subset of the attributes of each training example. We develop efficient algorithms for ridge and lasso linear regression, which utilize the geometry of the data by a novel data-dependent sampling scheme. When the learner has prior knowledge on the second moments of the attributes, the optimal sampling probabilities can be calculated precisely, and result in data-dependent improvements factors for the excess risk over the state-of-the-art that may be as large as $O(\sqrt{d})$, where $d$ is the problem's dimension. Moreover, under reasonable assumptions our algorithms can use less attributes than full-information algorithms, which is the main concern in budgeted learning settings. To the best of our knowledge, these are the first algorithms able to do so in our setting. Where no such prior knowledge is available, we develop a simple estimation technique that given a sufficient amount of training examples, achieves similar improvements. We complement our theoretical analysis with experiments on several data sets which support our claims.

We propose a new active learning algorithm for parametric linear regression with random design. We provide finite sample convergence guarantees for general distributions in the misspecified model. This is the first active learner for this setting that provably can improve over passive learning. Unlike other learning settings (such as classification), in regression the passive learning rate of $O(1/\epsilon)$ cannot in general be improved upon. Nonetheless, the so-called `constant' in the rate of convergence, which is characterized by a distribution-dependent risk, can be improved in many cases. For a given distribution, achieving the optimal risk requires prior knowledge of the distribution. Following the stratification technique advocated in Monte-Carlo function integration, our active learner approaches the optimal risk using piecewise constant approximations.

The use of M-estimators in generalized linear regression models in high dimensional settings requires risk minimization with hard $L_0$ constraints. Of the known methods, the class of projected gradient descent (also known as iterative hard thresholding (IHT)) methods is known to offer the fastest and most scalable solutions. However, the current state-of-the-art is only able to analyze these methods in extremely restrictive settings which do not hold in high dimensional statistical models. In this work we bridge this gap by providing the first analysis for IHT-style methods in the high dimensional statistical setting. Our bounds are tight and match known minimax lower bounds. Our results rely on a general analysis framework that enables us to analyze several popular hard thresholding style algorithms (such as HTP, CoSaMP, SP) in the high dimensional regression setting. We also extend our analysis to a large family of "fully corrective methods" that includes two-stage and partial hard-thresholding algorithms. We show that our results hold for the problem of sparse regression, as well as low-rank matrix recovery.

Logistic regression models with $n$ observations and $q$ linearly-independent covariates are shown to have Fisher information volumes which are bounded below by $\pi^q$ and above by ${n \choose q} \pi^q$. This is proved with a novel generalization of the classical theorems of Pythagoras and de Gua, which is of independent interest. The finding that the volume is always finite is new, and it implies that the volume can be directly interpreted as a measure of model complexity. The volume is shown to be a continuous function of the design matrix $X$ at generic $X$, but to be discontinuous in general. This means that models with sparse design matrices can be significantly less complex than nearby models, so the resulting model-selection criterion prefers sparse models. This is analogous to the way that $\ell^1$-regularisation tends to prefer sparse model fits, though in our case this behaviour arises spontaneously from general principles. Lastly, an unusual topological duality is shown to exist between the ideal boundaries of the natural and expectation parameter spaces of logistic regression models.

Lasso is a widely used regression technique to find sparse representations. When the dimension of the feature space and the number of samples are extremely large, solving the Lasso problem remains challenging. To improve the efficiency of solving large-scale Lasso problems, El Ghaoui and his colleagues have proposed the SAFE rules which are able to quickly identify the inactive predictors, i.e., predictors that have $0$ components in the solution vector. Then, the inactive predictors or features can be removed from the optimization problem to reduce its scale. By transforming the standard Lasso to its dual form, it can be shown that the inactive predictors include the set of inactive constraints on the optimal dual solution. In this paper, we propose an efficient and effective screening rule via Dual Polytope Projections (DPP), which is mainly based on the uniqueness and nonexpansiveness of the optimal dual solution due to the fact that the feasible set in the dual space is a convex and closed polytope. Moreover, we show that our screening rule can be extended to identify inactive groups in group Lasso. To the best of our knowledge, there is currently no "exact" screening rule for group Lasso. We have evaluated our screening rule using synthetic and real data sets. Results show that our rule is more effective in identifying inactive predictors than existing state-of-the-art screening rules for Lasso.