Regression
SLISEMAP: Explainable Dimensionality Reduction
Björklund, Anton, Mäkelä, Jarmo, Puolamäki, Kai
Existing explanation methods for black-box supervised learning models generally work by building local models that explain the models behaviour for a particular data item. It is possible to make global explanations, but the explanations may have low fidelity for complex models. Most of the prior work on explainable models has been focused on classification problems, with less attention on regression. We propose a new manifold visualization method, SLISEMAP, that at the same time finds local explanations for all of the data items and builds a two-dimensional visualization of model space such that the data items explained by the same model are projected nearby. We provide an open source implementation of our methods, implemented by using GPU-optimized PyTorch library. SLISEMAP works both on classification and regression models. We compare SLISEMAP to most popular dimensionality reduction methods and some local explanation methods. We provide mathematical derivation of our problem and show that SLISEMAP provides fast and stable visualizations that can be used to explain and understand black box regression and classification models.
A Cross Validation Framework for Signal Denoising with Applications to Trend Filtering, Dyadic CART and Beyond
Chaudhuri, Anamitra, Chatterjee, Sabyasachi
This paper formulates a general cross validation framework for signal denoising. The general framework is then applied to nonparametric regression methods such as Trend Filtering and Dyadic CART. The resulting cross validated versions are then shown to attain nearly the same rates of convergence as are known for the optimally tuned analogues. There did not exist any previous theoretical analyses of cross validated versions of Trend Filtering or Dyadic CART. To illustrate the generality of the framework we also propose and study cross validated versions of two fundamental estimators; lasso for high dimensional linear regression and singular value thresholding for matrix estimation. Our general framework is inspired by the ideas in Chatterjee and Jafarov (2015) and is potentially applicable to a wide range of estimation methods which use tuning parameters.
Machine Learning Regression Masterclass in Python
Udemy Coupon - Machine Learning Regression Masterclass in Python, Build 8 Practical Projects and Master Machine Learning Regression Techniques Using Python, Scikit Learn and Keras Created by Dr. Ryan Ahmed, Ph.D., MBA, Kirill Eremenko, Hadelin de Ponteves, SuperDataScience Team, Mitchell Bouchard English [Auto-generated] Students also bought Deep Learning Prerequisites: Linear Regression in Python Learn Regression Analysis for Business Regression Analysis / Data Analytics in Regression Regression Analysis for Statistics & Machine Learning in R Machine Learning for Beginners: Linear Regression model in R Preview this Course GET COUPON CODE Description Artificial Intelligence (AI) revolution is here! The technology is progressing at a massive scale and is being widely adopted in the Healthcare, defense, banking, gaming, transportation and robotics industries. Machine Learning is a subfield of Artificial Intelligence that enables machines to improve at a given task with experience. Machine Learning is an extremely hot topic; the demand for experienced machine learning engineers and data scientists has been steadily growing in the past 5 years. According to a report released by Research and Markets, the global AI and machine learning technology sectors are expected to grow from $1.4B to $8.8B by 2022 and it is predicted that AI tech sector will create around 2.3 million jobs by 2020.
A novel interpretable machine learning system to generate clinical risk scores: An application for predicting early mortality or unplanned readmission in a retrospective cohort study
Ning, Yilin, Li, Siqi, Ong, Marcus Eng Hock, Xie, Feng, Chakraborty, Bibhas, Ting, Daniel Shu Wei, Liu, Nan
Risk scores are widely used for clinical decision making and commonly generated from logistic regression models. Machine-learning-based methods may work well for identifying important predictors, but such 'black box' variable selection limits interpretability, and variable importance evaluated from a single model can be biased. We propose a robust and interpretable variable selection approach using the recently developed Shapley variable importance cloud (ShapleyVIC) that accounts for variability across models. Our approach evaluates and visualizes overall variable contributions for in-depth inference and transparent variable selection, and filters out non-significant contributors to simplify model building steps. We derive an ensemble variable ranking from variable contributions, which is easily integrated with an automated and modularized risk score generator, AutoScore, for convenient implementation. In a study of early death or unplanned readmission, ShapleyVIC selected 6 of 41 candidate variables to create a well-performing model, which had similar performance to a 16-variable model from machine-learning-based ranking.
Permuted and Unlinked Monotone Regression in $\mathbb{R}^d$: an approach based on mixture modeling and optimal transport
Slawski, Martin, Sen, Bodhisattva
Suppose that we have a regression problem with response variable Y in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and predictor X in $\mathbb{R}^d$, for $d \geq 1$. In permuted or unlinked regression we have access to separate unordered data on X and Y, as opposed to data on (X,Y)-pairs in usual regression. So far in the literature the case $d=1$ has received attention, see e.g., the recent papers by Rigollet and Weed [Information & Inference, 8, 619--717] and Balabdaoui et al. [J. Mach. Learn. Res., 22(172), 1--60]. In this paper, we consider the general multivariate setting with $d \geq 1$. We show that the notion of cyclical monotonicity of the regression function is sufficient for identification and estimation in the permuted/unlinked regression model. We study permutation recovery in the permuted regression setting and develop a computationally efficient and easy-to-use algorithm for denoising based on the Kiefer-Wolfowitz [Ann. Math. Statist., 27, 887--906] nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator and techniques from the theory of optimal transport. We provide explicit upper bounds on the associated mean squared denoising error for Gaussian noise. As in previous work on the case $d = 1$, the permuted/unlinked setting involves slow (logarithmic) rates of convergence rooting in the underlying deconvolution problem. Numerical studies corroborate our theoretical analysis and show that the proposed approach performs at least on par with the methods in the aforementioned prior work in the case $d = 1$ while achieving substantial reductions in terms of computational complexity.
Differentially Private $\ell_1$-norm Linear Regression with Heavy-tailed Data
We study the problem of Differentially Private Stochastic Convex Optimization (DP-SCO) with heavy-tailed data. Specifically, we focus on the $\ell_1$-norm linear regression in the $\epsilon$-DP model. While most of the previous work focuses on the case where the loss function is Lipschitz, here we only need to assume the variates has bounded moments. Firstly, we study the case where the $\ell_2$ norm of data has bounded second order moment. We propose an algorithm which is based on the exponential mechanism and show that it is possible to achieve an upper bound of $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{\frac{d}{n\epsilon}})$ (with high probability). Next, we relax the assumption to bounded $\theta$-th order moment with some $\theta\in (1, 2)$ and show that it is possible to achieve an upper bound of $\tilde{O}(({\frac{d}{n\epsilon}})^\frac{\theta-1}{\theta})$. Our algorithms can also be extended to more relaxed cases where only each coordinate of the data has bounded moments, and we can get an upper bound of $\tilde{O}({\frac{d}{\sqrt{n\epsilon}}})$ and $\tilde{O}({\frac{d}{({n\epsilon})^\frac{\theta-1}{\theta}}})$ in the second and $\theta$-th moment case respectively.
Non-Asymptotic Guarantees for Robust Statistical Learning under $(1+\varepsilon)$-th Moment Assumption
Xu, Lihu, Yao, Fang, Yao, Qiuran, Zhang, Huiming
There has been a surge of interest in developing robust estimators for models with heavy-tailed data in statistics and machine learning. This paper proposes a log-truncated M-estimator for a large family of statistical regressions and establishes its excess risk bound under the condition that the data have $(1+\varepsilon)$-th moment with $\varepsilon \in (0,1]$. With an additional assumption on the associated risk function, we obtain an $\ell_2$-error bound for the estimation. Our theorems are applied to establish robust M-estimators for concrete regressions. Besides convex regressions such as quantile regression and generalized linear models, many non-convex regressions can also be fit into our theorems, we focus on robust deep neural network regressions, which can be solved by the stochastic gradient descent algorithms. Simulations and real data analysis demonstrate the superiority of log-truncated estimations over standard estimations.
Attention-based Random Forest and Contamination Model
Utkin, Lev V., Konstantinov, Andrei V.
A new approach called ABRF (the attention-based random forest) and its modifications for applying the attention mechanism to the random forest (RF) for regression and classification are proposed. The main idea behind the proposed ABRF models is to assign attention weights with trainable parameters to decision trees in a specific way. The weights depend on the distance between an instance, which falls into a corresponding leaf of a tree, and instances, which fall in the same leaf. This idea stems from representation of the Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression in the form of a RF. Three modifications of the general approach are proposed. The first one is based on applying the Huber's contamination model and on computing the attention weights by solving quadratic or linear optimization problems. The second and the third modifications use the gradient-based algorithms for computing trainable parameters. Numerical experiments with various regression and classification datasets illustrate the proposed method.
Scikit learn for linear regression
Are you a data scientist looking to develop a machine learning model? Use scikit learn to start creating your design today! Machine learning (ML), an application of Artificial Intelligence (AI), is rapidly growing at a faster rate. Almost every sector in today's world is adopting machine learning models as it brings value and improved customer experience resulting in higher Return on Investments (ROI). While many programming languages can help you get started with machine and deep learning, it is imperative to choose a programming language that is flexible and user-friendly.
Robust Linear Predictions: Analyses of Uniform Concentration, Fast Rates and Model Misspecification
Chakraborty, Saptarshi, Paul, Debolina, Das, Swagatam
Linear prediction is the cornerstone of a significant group of statistical learning algorithms including linear regression, Support Vector Machines (SVM), regularized regressions (such as ridge, elastic net, lasso, and its variants), logistic regression, Poisson regression, probit models, single-layer perceptrons, and tensor regression, just to name a few. Thus, developing a deeper understanding of the pertinent linear prediction models and generalizing the methods to provide unified theoretical bounds is of critical importance to the machine learning community. For the past few decades, researchers have unveiled different aspects of these linear models. Bartlett and Shawe-Taylor (1999) obtained high confidence generalization error bounds for SVMs and other learning algorithms such as boosting and Bayesian posterior classifier. Vapnik-Chervonenkis (VC) theory (Vapnik, 2013) and Rademacher complexity (Bartlett and Mendelson, 2001, 2002) have been instrumental in the machine learning literature to provide generalization bounds (Shalev-Shwartz and Ben-David, 2014). Theoretical properties of the multiple-instance extensions of SVM were analyzed by Doran and Ray (2014). Joint first authors contributed equally to this work.