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 Regression


Multi-Dimensional Ability Diagnosis for Machine Learning Algorithms

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Machine learning algorithms have become ubiquitous in a number of applications (e.g. image classification). However, due to the insufficient measurement of traditional metrics (e.g. the coarse-grained Accuracy of each classifier), substantial gaps are usually observed between the real-world performance of these algorithms and their scores in standardized evaluations. In this paper, inspired by the psychometric theories from human measurement, we propose a task-agnostic evaluation framework Camilla, where a multi-dimensional diagnostic metric Ability is defined for collaboratively measuring the multifaceted strength of each machine learning algorithm. Specifically, given the response logs from different algorithms to data samples, we leverage cognitive diagnosis assumptions and neural networks to learn the complex interactions among algorithms, samples and the skills (explicitly or implicitly pre-defined) of each sample. In this way, both the abilities of each algorithm on multiple skills and some of the sample factors (e.g. sample difficulty) can be simultaneously quantified. We conduct extensive experiments with hundreds of machine learning algorithms on four public datasets, and our experimental results demonstrate that Camilla not only can capture the pros and cons of each algorithm more precisely, but also outperforms state-of-the-art baselines on the metric reliability, rank consistency and rank stability.


Metal Oxide-based Gas Sensor Array for the VOCs Analysis in Complex Mixtures using Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Detection of Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) from the breath is becoming a viable route for the early detection of diseases non-invasively. This paper presents a sensor array with three metal oxide electrodes that can use machine learning methods to identify four distinct VOCs in a mixture. The metal oxide sensor array was subjected to various VOC concentrations, including ethanol, acetone, toluene and chloroform. The dataset obtained from individual gases and their mixtures were analyzed using multiple machine learning algorithms, such as Random Forest (RF), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Decision Tree, Linear Regression, Logistic Regression, Naive Bayes, Linear Discriminant Analysis, Artificial Neural Network, and Support Vector Machine. KNN and RF have shown more than 99% accuracy in classifying different varying chemicals in the gas mixtures. In regression analysis, KNN has delivered the best results with R2 value of more than 0.99 and LOD of 0.012, 0.015, 0.014 and 0.025 PPM for predicting the concentrations of varying chemicals Acetone, Toluene, Ethanol, and Chloroform, respectively in complex mixtures. Therefore, it is demonstrated that the array utilizing the provided algorithms can classify and predict the concentrations of the four gases simultaneously for disease diagnosis and treatment monitoring.


Outlier detection in regression: conic quadratic formulations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In many applications, when building linear regression models, it is important to account for the presence of outliers, i.e., corrupted input data points. Such problems can be formulated as mixed-integer optimization problems involving cubic terms, each given by the product of a binary variable and a quadratic term of the continuous variables. Existing approaches in the literature, typically relying on the linearization of the cubic terms using big-M constraints, suffer from weak relaxation and poor performance in practice. In this work we derive stronger second-order conic relaxations that do not involve big-M constraints. Our computational experiments indicate that the proposed formulations are several orders-of-magnitude faster than existing big-M formulations in the literature for this problem.


Supervised topological data analysis for MALDI mass spectrometry imaging applications

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Background: Matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization mass spectrometry imaging (MALDI MSI) displays significant potential for applications in cancer research, especially in tumor typing and subtyping. Lung cancer is the primary cause of tumor-related deaths, where the most lethal entities are adenocarcinoma (ADC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SqCC). Distinguishing between these two common subtypes is crucial for therapy decisions and successful patient management. Results: We propose a new algebraic topological framework, which obtains intrinsic information from MALDI data and transforms it to reflect topological persistence. Our framework offers two main advantages. Firstly, topological persistence aids in distinguishing the signal from noise. Secondly, it compresses the MALDI data, saving storage space and optimizes computational time for subsequent classification tasks. We present an algorithm that efficiently implements our topological framework, relying on a single tuning parameter. Afterwards, logistic regression and random forest classifiers are employed on the extracted persistence features, thereby accomplishing an automated tumor (sub-)typing process. To demonstrate the competitiveness of our proposed framework, we conduct experiments on a real-world MALDI dataset using cross-validation. Furthermore, we showcase the effectiveness of the single denoising parameter by evaluating its performance on synthetic MALDI images with varying levels of noise. Conclusion: Our empirical experiments demonstrate that the proposed algebraic topological framework successfully captures and leverages the intrinsic spectral information from MALDI data, leading to competitive results in classifying lung cancer subtypes. Moreover, the frameworks ability to be fine-tuned for denoising highlights its versatility and potential for enhancing data analysis in MALDI applications.


From Estimation to Sampling for Bayesian Linear Regression with Spike-and-Slab Prior

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider Bayesian linear regression with sparsity-indu cing prior and design efficient sampling algorithms leveraging posterior contraction properties. A quasi-likelihood with Gaussian spike-and-slab (that is favorable both statistically and computation ally) is investigated and two algorithms based on Gibbs sampling and Stochastic Localization are ana lyzed, both under the same (quite natural) statistical assumptions that also enable valid in ference on the sparse planted signal. The benefit of the Stochastic Localization sampler is particula rly prominent for data matrix that is not well-designed.


On the sample complexity of estimation in logistic regression

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The logistic regression model is one of the most popular data generation model in noisy binary classification problems. In this work, we study the sample complexity of estimating the parameters of the logistic regression model up to a given $\ell_2$ error, in terms of the dimension and the inverse temperature, with standard normal covariates. The inverse temperature controls the signal-to-noise ratio of the data generation process. While both generalization bounds and asymptotic performance of the maximum-likelihood estimator for logistic regression are well-studied, the non-asymptotic sample complexity that shows the dependence on error and the inverse temperature for parameter estimation is absent from previous analyses. We show that the sample complexity curve has two change-points (or critical points) in terms of the inverse temperature, clearly separating the low, moderate, and high temperature regimes.


DDAC-SpAM: A Distributed Algorithm for Fitting High-dimensional Sparse Additive Models with Feature Division and Decorrelation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Distributed statistical learning has become a popular technique for large-scale data analysis. Most existing work in this area focuses on dividing the observations, but we propose a new algorithm, DDAC-SpAM, which divides the features under a high-dimensional sparse additive model. Our approach involves three steps: divide, decorrelate, and conquer. The decorrelation operation enables each local estimator to recover the sparsity pattern for each additive component without imposing strict constraints on the correlation structure among variables. The effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed algorithm are demonstrated through theoretical analysis and empirical results on both synthetic and real data. The theoretical results include both the consistent sparsity pattern recovery as well as statistical inference for each additive functional component. Our approach provides a practical solution for fitting sparse additive models, with promising applications in a wide range of domains.


Toward High-Performance Energy and Power Battery Cells with Machine Learning-based Optimization of Electrode Manufacturing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The optimization of the electrode manufacturing process is important for upscaling the application of Lithium Ion Batteries (LIBs) to cater for growing energy demand. In particular, LIB manufacturing is very important to be optimized because it determines the practical performance of the cells when the latter are being used in applications such as electric vehicles. In this study, we tackled the issue of high-performance electrodes for desired battery application conditions by proposing a powerful data-driven approach supported by a deterministic machine learning (ML)-assisted pipeline for bi-objective optimization of the electrochemical performance. This ML pipeline allows the inverse design of the process parameters to adopt in order to manufacture electrodes for energy or power applications. The latter work is an analogy to our previous work that supported the optimization of the electrode microstructures for kinetic, ionic, and electronic transport properties improvement. An electrochemical pseudo-two-dimensional model is fed with the electrode properties characterizing the electrode microstructures generated by manufacturing simulations and used to simulate the electrochemical performances. Secondly, the resulting dataset was used to train a deterministic ML model to implement fast bi-objective optimizations to identify optimal electrodes. Our results suggested a high amount of active material, combined with intermediate values of solid content in the slurry and calendering degree, to achieve the optimal electrodes.


One Step of Gradient Descent is Provably the Optimal In-Context Learner with One Layer of Linear Self-Attention

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent works have empirically analyzed in-context learning and shown that transformers trained on synthetic linear regression tasks can learn to implement ridge regression, which is the Bayes-optimal predictor, given sufficient capacity [Aky\"urek et al., 2023], while one-layer transformers with linear self-attention and no MLP layer will learn to implement one step of gradient descent (GD) on a least-squares linear regression objective [von Oswald et al., 2022]. However, the theory behind these observations remains poorly understood. We theoretically study transformers with a single layer of linear self-attention, trained on synthetic noisy linear regression data. First, we mathematically show that when the covariates are drawn from a standard Gaussian distribution, the one-layer transformer which minimizes the pre-training loss will implement a single step of GD on the least-squares linear regression objective. Then, we find that changing the distribution of the covariates and weight vector to a non-isotropic Gaussian distribution has a strong impact on the learned algorithm: the global minimizer of the pre-training loss now implements a single step of $\textit{pre-conditioned}$ GD. However, if only the distribution of the responses is changed, then this does not have a large effect on the learned algorithm: even when the response comes from a more general family of $\textit{nonlinear}$ functions, the global minimizer of the pre-training loss still implements a single step of GD on a least-squares linear regression objective.


Learning Theory of Distribution Regression with Neural Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we aim at establishing an approximation theory and a learning theory of distribution regression via a fully connected neural network (FNN). In contrast to the classical regression methods, the input variables of distribution regression are probability measures. Then we often need to perform a second-stage sampling process to approximate the actual information of the distribution. On the other hand, the classical neural network structure requires the input variable to be a vector. When the input samples are probability distributions, the traditional deep neural network method cannot be directly used and the difficulty arises for distribution regression. A well-defined neural network structure for distribution inputs is intensively desirable. There is no mathematical model and theoretical analysis on neural network realization of distribution regression. To overcome technical difficulties and address this issue, we establish a novel fully connected neural network framework to realize an approximation theory of functionals defined on the space of Borel probability measures. Furthermore, based on the established functional approximation results, in the hypothesis space induced by the novel FNN structure with distribution inputs, almost optimal learning rates for the proposed distribution regression model up to logarithmic terms are derived via a novel two-stage error decomposition technique.