Regression
Random features models: a way to study the success of naive imputation
Ayme, Alexis, Boyer, Claire, Dieuleveut, Aymeric, Scornet, Erwan
Constant (naive) imputation is still widely used in practice as this is a first easy-to-use technique to deal with missing data. Yet, this simple method could be expected to induce a large bias for prediction purposes, as the imputed input may strongly differ from the true underlying data. However, recent works suggest that this bias is low in the context of high-dimensional linear predictors when data is supposed to be missing completely at random (MCAR). This paper completes the picture for linear predictors by confirming the intuition that the bias is negligible and that surprisingly naive imputation also remains relevant in very low dimension.To this aim, we consider a unique underlying random features model, which offers a rigorous framework for studying predictive performances, whilst the dimension of the observed features varies.Building on these theoretical results, we establish finite-sample bounds on stochastic gradient (SGD) predictors applied to zero-imputed data, a strategy particularly well suited for large-scale learning.If the MCAR assumption appears to be strong, we show that similar favorable behaviors occur for more complex missing data scenarios.
Riemann-Lebesgue Forest for Regression
We propose a novel ensemble method called Riemann-Lebesgue Forest (RLF) for regression. The core idea of RLF is to mimic the way how a measurable function can be approximated by partitioning its range into a few intervals. With this idea in mind, we develop a new tree learner named Riemann-Lebesgue Tree which has a chance to split the node from response $Y$ or a direction in feature space $\mathbf{X}$ at each non-terminal node. We generalize the asymptotic performance of RLF under different parameter settings mainly through Hoeffding decomposition \cite{Vaart} and Stein's method \cite{Chen2010NormalAB}. When the underlying function $Y=f(\mathbf{X})$ follows an additive regression model, RLF is consistent with the argument from \cite{Scornet2014ConsistencyOR}. The competitive performance of RLF against original random forest \cite{Breiman2001RandomF} is demonstrated by experiments in simulation data and real world datasets.
Neural Network-Based Score Estimation in Diffusion Models: Optimization and Generalization
Han, Yinbin, Razaviyayn, Meisam, Xu, Renyuan
Diffusion models have emerged as a powerful tool rivaling GANs in generating high-quality samples with improved fidelity, flexibility, and robustness. A key component of these models is to learn the score function through score matching. Despite empirical success on various tasks, it remains unclear whether gradient-based algorithms can learn the score function with a provable accuracy. As a first step toward answering this question, this paper establishes a mathematical framework for analyzing score estimation using neural networks trained by gradient descent. Our analysis covers both the optimization and the generalization aspects of the learning procedure. In particular, we propose a parametric form to formulate the denoising score-matching problem as a regression with noisy labels. Compared to the standard supervised learning setup, the score-matching problem introduces distinct challenges, including unbounded input, vector-valued output, and an additional time variable, preventing existing techniques from being applied directly. In this paper, we show that with a properly designed neural network architecture, the score function can be accurately approximated by a reproducing kernel Hilbert space induced by neural tangent kernels. Furthermore, by applying an early-stopping rule for gradient descent and leveraging certain coupling arguments between neural network training and kernel regression, we establish the first generalization error (sample complexity) bounds for learning the score function despite the presence of noise in the observations. Our analysis is grounded in a novel parametric form of the neural network and an innovative connection between score matching and regression analysis, facilitating the application of advanced statistical and optimization techniques.
An Optimal House Price Prediction Algorithm: XGBoost
Sharma, Hemlata, Harsora, Hitesh, Ogunleye, Bayode
An accurate prediction of house prices is a fundamental requirement for various sectors including real estate and mortgage lending. It is widely recognized that a property value is not solely determined by its physical attributes but is significantly influenced by its surrounding neighbourhood. Meeting the diverse housing needs of individuals while balancing budget constraints is a primary concern for real estate developers. To this end, we addressed the house price prediction problem as a regression task and thus employed various machine learning techniques capable of expressing the significance of independent variables. We made use of the housing dataset of Ames City in Iowa, USA to compare support vector regressor, random forest regressor, XGBoost, multilayer perceptron and multiple linear regression algorithms for house price prediction. Afterwards, we identified the key factors that influence housing costs. Our results show that XGBoost is the best performing model for house price prediction.
Bayesian Federated Inference for regression models with heterogeneous multi-center populations
Jonker, Marianne A, Pazira, Hassan, Coolen, Anthony CC
To estimate accurately the parameters of a regression model, the sample size must be large enough relative to the number of possible predictors for the model. In practice, sufficient data is often lacking, which can lead to overfitting of the model and, as a consequence, unreliable predictions of the outcome of new patients. Pooling data from different data sets collected in different (medical) centers would alleviate this problem, but is often not feasible due to privacy regulation or logistic problems. An alternative route would be to analyze the local data in the centers separately and combine the statistical inference results with the Bayesian Federated Inference (BFI) methodology. The aim of this approach is to compute from the inference results in separate centers what would have been found if the statistical analysis was performed on the combined data. We explain the methodology under homogeneity and heterogeneity across the populations in the separate centers, and give real life examples for better understanding. Excellent performance of the proposed methodology is shown. An R-package to do all the calculations has been developed and is illustrated in this paper. The mathematical details are given in the Appendix.
InVA: Integrative Variational Autoencoder for Harmonization of Multi-modal Neuroimaging Data
Lei, Bowen, Guhaniyogi, Rajarshi, Chandra, Krishnendu, Scheffler, Aaron, Mallick, Bani
There is a significant interest in exploring non-linear associations among multiple images derived from diverse imaging modalities. While there is a growing literature on image-on-image regression to delineate predictive inference of an image based on multiple images, existing approaches have limitations in efficiently borrowing information between multiple imaging modalities in the prediction of an image. Building on the literature of Variational Auto Encoders (VAEs), this article proposes a novel approach, referred to as Integrative Variational Autoencoder (\texttt{InVA}) method, which borrows information from multiple images obtained from different sources to draw predictive inference of an image. The proposed approach captures complex non-linear association between the outcome image and input images, while allowing rapid computation. Numerical results demonstrate substantial advantages of \texttt{InVA} over VAEs, which typically do not allow borrowing information between input images. The proposed framework offers highly accurate predictive inferences for costly positron emission topography (PET) from multiple measures of cortical structure in human brain scans readily available from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).
A Survey of Privacy Threats and Defense in Vertical Federated Learning: From Model Life Cycle Perspective
Yu, Lei, Han, Meng, Li, Yiming, Lin, Changting, Zhang, Yao, Zhang, Mingyang, Liu, Yan, Weng, Haiqin, Jeon, Yuseok, Chow, Ka-Ho, Patterson, Stacy
Vertical Federated Learning (VFL) is a federated learning paradigm where multiple participants, who share the same set of samples but hold different features, jointly train machine learning models. Although VFL enables collaborative machine learning without sharing raw data, it is still susceptible to various privacy threats. In this paper, we conduct the first comprehensive survey of the state-of-the-art in privacy attacks and defenses in VFL. We provide taxonomies for both attacks and defenses, based on their characterizations, and discuss open challenges and future research directions. Specifically, our discussion is structured around the model's life cycle, by delving into the privacy threats encountered during different stages of machine learning and their corresponding countermeasures. This survey not only serves as a resource for the research community but also offers clear guidance and actionable insights for practitioners to safeguard data privacy throughout the model's life cycle.
On Least Squares Estimation in Softmax Gating Mixture of Experts
Nguyen, Huy, Ho, Nhat, Rinaldo, Alessandro
Mixture of experts (MoE) model is a statistical machine learning design that aggregates multiple expert networks using a softmax gating function in order to form a more intricate and expressive model. Despite being commonly used in several applications owing to their scalability, the mathematical and statistical properties of MoE models are complex and difficult to analyze. As a result, previous theoretical works have primarily focused on probabilistic MoE models by imposing the impractical assumption that the data are generated from a Gaussian MoE model. In this work, we investigate the performance of the least squares estimators (LSE) under a deterministic MoE model where the data are sampled according to a regression model, a setting that has remained largely unexplored. We establish a condition called strong identifiability to characterize the convergence behavior of various types of expert functions. We demonstrate that the rates for estimating strongly identifiable experts, namely the widely used feed forward networks with activation functions $\mathrm{sigmoid}(\cdot)$ and $\tanh(\cdot)$, are substantially faster than those of polynomial experts, which we show to exhibit a surprising slow estimation rate. Our findings have important practical implications for expert selection.
Estimation of conditional average treatment effects on distributed data: A privacy-preserving approach
Kawamata, Yuji, Motai, Ryoki, Okada, Yukihiko, Imakura, Akira, Sakurai, Tetsuya
Estimation of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) is an important topic in various fields such as medical and social sciences. CATEs can be estimated with high accuracy if distributed data across multiple parties can be centralized. However, it is difficult to aggregate such data if they contain privacy information. To address this issue, we proposed data collaboration double machine learning (DC-DML), a method that can estimate CATE models with privacy preservation of distributed data, and evaluated the method through numerical experiments. Our contributions are summarized in the following three points. First, our method enables estimation and testing of semi-parametric CATE models without iterative communication on distributed data. Semi-parametric or non-parametric CATE models enable estimation and testing that is more robust to model mis-specification than parametric models. However, to our knowledge, no communication-efficient method has been proposed for estimating and testing semi-parametric or non-parametric CATE models on distributed data. Second, our method enables collaborative estimation between different parties as well as multiple time points because the dimensionality-reduced intermediate representations can be accumulated. Third, our method performed as well or better than other methods in evaluation experiments using synthetic, semi-synthetic and real-world datasets.
A Fast Method for Lasso and Logistic Lasso
Cheng, Siu-Wing, Wong, Man Ting
We propose a fast method for solving compressed sensing, Lasso regression, and Logistic Lasso regression problems that iteratively runs an appropriate solver using an active set approach. We design a strategy to update the active set that achieves a large speedup over a single call of several solvers, including gradient projection for sparse reconstruction (GPSR), lassoglm of Matlab, and glmnet. For compressed sensing, the hybrid of our method and GPSR is 31.41 times faster than GPSR on average for Gaussian ensembles and 25.64 faster on average for binary ensembles. For Lasso regression, the hybrid of our method and GPSR achieves a 30.67-fold average speedup in our experiments. In our experiments on Logistic Lasso regression, the hybrid of our method and lassoglm gives an 11.95-fold average speedup, and the hybrid of our method and glmnet gives a 1.40-fold average speedup.