Humans seem to have a bias to overshoot when rotating a rotary knob blindfolded around a specified target angle (i.e. during haptic rotation). Whereas some influence factors that strengthen or weaken such an effect are already known, the underlying reasons for the overshoot are still unknown. This work approaches the topic of haptic rotations by analyzing a detailed recording of the movement. We propose an experimental framework and an approach to investigate which upper limb and hand joint movements contribute significantly to a haptic rotation task and to the angle overshoot based on the acquired data. With stepwise regression with backward elimination, we analyze a rotation around 90 degrees counterclockwise with two fingers under different grasping orientations. Our results showed that the wrist joint, the sideways finger movement in the proximal joints, and the distal finger joints contributed significantly to overshooting. This suggests that two phenomena are behind the overshooting: 1) The significant contribution of the wrist joint indicates a bias of a hand-centered egocentric reference frame. 2) Significant contribution of the finger joints indicates a rolling of the fingertips over the rotary knob surface and, thus, a change of contact point for which probably the human does not compensate.

As data-driven and AI-based decision making gains widespread adoption in most disciplines, it is crucial that both data privacy and decision fairness are appropriately addressed. While differential privacy (DP) provides a robust framework for guaranteeing privacy and several widely accepted methods have been proposed for improving fairness, the vast majority of existing literature treats the two concerns independently. For methods that do consider privacy and fairness simultaneously, they often only apply to a specific machine learning task, limiting their generalizability. In response, we introduce SAFES, a Sequential PrivAcy and Fairness Enhancing data Synthesis procedure that sequentially combines DP data synthesis with a fairness-aware data transformation. SAFES allows full control over the privacy-fairness-utility trade-off via tunable privacy and fairness parameters. We illustrate SAFES by combining AIM, a graphical model-based DP data synthesizer, with a popular fairness-aware data pre-processing transformation. Empirical evaluations on the Adult and COMPAS datasets demonstrate that for reasonable privacy loss, SAFES-generated synthetic data achieve significantly improved fairness metrics with relatively low utility loss.

In a clinical trial, the random allocation aims to balance prognostic factors between arms, preventing true confounders. However, residual differences due to chance may introduce near-confounders. Adjusting on prognostic factors is therefore recommended, especially because the related increase of the power. In this paper, we hypothesized that G-computation associated with machine learning could be a suitable method for randomized clinical trials even with small sample sizes. It allows for flexible estimation of the outcome model, even when the covariates' relationships with outcomes are complex. Through simulations, penalized regressions (Lasso, Elasticnet) and algorithm-based methods (neural network, support vector machine, super learner) were compared. Penalized regressions reduced variance but may introduce a slight increase in bias. The associated reductions in sample size ranged from 17\% to 54\%. In contrast, algorithm-based methods, while effective for larger and more complex data structures, underestimated the standard deviation, especially with small sample sizes. In conclusion, G-computation with penalized models, particularly Elasticnet with splines when appropriate, represents a relevant approach for increasing the power of RCTs and accounting for potential near-confounders.

Disaggregated evaluation -- estimation of performance of a machine learning model on different subpopulations -- is a core task when assessing performance and group-fairness of AI systems. A key challenge is that evaluation data is scarce, and subpopulations arising from intersections of attributes (e.g., race, sex, age) are often tiny. Today, it is common for multiple clients to procure the same AI model from a model developer, and the task of disaggregated evaluation is faced by each customer individually. This gives rise to what we call the multi-task disaggregated evaluation problem, wherein multiple clients seek to conduct a disaggregated evaluation of a given model in their own data setting (task). In this work we develop a disaggregated evaluation method called SureMap that has high estimation accuracy for both multi-task and single-task disaggregated evaluations of blackbox models. SureMap's efficiency gains come from (1) transforming the problem into structured simultaneous Gaussian mean estimation and (2) incorporating external data, e.g., from the AI system creator or from their other clients. Our method combines maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation using a well-chosen prior together with cross-validation-free tuning via Stein's unbiased risk estimate (SURE). We evaluate SureMap on disaggregated evaluation tasks in multiple domains, observing significant accuracy improvements over several strong competitors.

Several statistical models for regression of a function $F$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ without the statistical and computational curse of dimensionality exist, for example by imposing and exploiting geometric assumptions on the distribution of the data (e.g. that its support is low-dimensional), or strong smoothness assumptions on $F$, or a special structure $F$. Among the latter, compositional models assume $F=f\circ g$ with $g$ mapping to $\mathbb{R}^r$ with $r\ll d$, have been studied, and include classical single- and multi-index models and recent works on neural networks. While the case where $g$ is linear is rather well-understood, much less is known when $g$ is nonlinear, and in particular for which $g$'s the curse of dimensionality in estimating $F$, or both $f$ and $g$, may be circumvented. In this paper, we consider a model $F(X):=f(\Pi_\gamma X) $ where $\Pi_\gamma:\mathbb{R}^d\to[0,\rm{len}_\gamma]$ is the closest-point projection onto the parameter of a regular curve $\gamma: [0,\rm{len}_\gamma]\to\mathbb{R}^d$ and $f:[0,\rm{len}_\gamma]\to\mathbb{R}^1$. The input data $X$ is not low-dimensional, far from $\gamma$, conditioned on $\Pi_\gamma(X)$ being well-defined. The distribution of the data, $\gamma$ and $f$ are unknown. This model is a natural nonlinear generalization of the single-index model, which corresponds to $\gamma$ being a line. We propose a nonparametric estimator, based on conditional regression, and show that under suitable assumptions, the strongest of which being that $f$ is coarsely monotone, it can achieve the $one$-$dimensional$ optimal min-max rate for non-parametric regression, up to the level of noise in the observations, and be constructed in time $\mathcal{O}(d^2n\log n)$. All the constants in the learning bounds, in the minimal number of samples required for our bounds to hold, and in the computational complexity are at most low-order polynomials in $d$.

Birds exhibit a variety of flight styles, primarily classified as flapping, which is characterized by rapid up-and-down wing movements, and soaring, which involves gliding with wings outstretched. Each species usually performs specific flight styles, and this has been argued in terms of morphological and physiological adaptation. However, it remains a challenge to evaluate the contribution of each factor to the difference in flight styles. In this study, using phenotypic data from 635 migratory bird species, such as body mass, wing length, and breeding periods, we quantified the relative importance of each feature using Feature Importance and SHAP values, and used them to construct weighted L1 distance matrices and construct NJ trees. Comparison with traditional phylogenetic logistic regression revealed similarity in top-ranked features, but also differences in overall weight distributions and clustering patterns in NJ trees. Our results highlight the complexity of constructing a biologically useful distance matrix from correlated phenotypic features, while the complementary nature of these weighting methods suggests the potential utility of multi-faceted approaches to assessing feature contributions.

Often in prediction tasks, the predictive model itself can influence the distribution of the target variable, a phenomenon termed performative prediction. Generally, this influence stems from strategic actions taken by stakeholders with a vested interest in predictive models. A key challenge that hinders the widespread adaptation of performative prediction in machine learning is that practitioners are generally unaware of the social impacts of their predictions. To address this gap, we propose a methodology for learning the distribution map that encapsulates the long-term impacts of predictive models on the population. Specifically, we model agents' responses as a cost-adjusted utility maximization problem and propose estimates for said cost. Our approach leverages optimal transport to align pre-model exposure (ex ante) and post-model exposure (ex post) distributions. We provide a rate of convergence for this proposed estimate and assess its quality through empirical demonstrations on a credit-scoring dataset.

Current implementations of Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) are based on axis-aligned decision rules that recursively partition the feature space using a single feature at a time. Several authors have demonstrated that oblique trees, whose decision rules are based on linear combinations of features, can sometimes yield better predictions than axis-aligned trees and exhibit excellent theoretical properties. We develop an oblique version of BART that leverages a data-adaptive decision rule prior that recursively partitions the feature space along random hyperplanes. Using several synthetic and real-world benchmark datasets, we systematically compared our oblique BART implementation to axis-aligned BART and other tree ensemble methods, finding that oblique BART was competitive with -- and sometimes much better than -- those methods.

Kernel-based statistical methods are efficient, but their performance depends heavily on the selection of kernel parameters. In literature, the optimization studies on kernel-based chemometric methods is limited and often reduced to grid searching. Previously, the authors introduced Kernel Flows (KF) to learn kernel parameters for Kernel Partial Least-Squares (K-PLS) regression. KF is easy to implement and helps minimize overfitting. In cases of high collinearity between spectra and biogeophysical quantities in spectroscopy, simpler methods like Principal Component Regression (PCR) may be more suitable. In this study, we propose a new KF-type approach to optimize Kernel Principal Component Regression (K-PCR) and test it alongside KF-PLS. Both methods are benchmarked against non-linear regression techniques using two hyperspectral remote sensing datasets.

Neural responses encode information that is useful for a variety of downstream tasks. A common approach to understand these systems is to build regression models or ``decoders'' that reconstruct features of the stimulus from neural responses. Popular neural network similarity measures like centered kernel alignment (CKA), canonical correlation analysis (CCA), and Procrustes shape distance, do not explicitly leverage this perspective and instead highlight geometric invariances to orthogonal or affine transformations when comparing representations. Here, we show that many of these measures can, in fact, be equivalently motivated from a decoding perspective. Specifically, measures like CKA and CCA quantify the average alignment between optimal linear readouts across a distribution of decoding tasks. We also show that the Procrustes shape distance upper bounds the distance between optimal linear readouts and that the converse holds for representations with low participation ratio. Overall, our work demonstrates a tight link between the geometry of neural representations and the ability to linearly decode information. This perspective suggests new ways of measuring similarity between neural systems and also provides novel, unifying interpretations of existing measures.