Performance Analysis
Detecting Anomalies in Blockchain Transactions using Machine Learning Classifiers and Explainability Analysis
Hasan, Mohammad, Rahman, Mohammad Shahriar, Janicke, Helge, Sarker, Iqbal H.
As the use of Blockchain for digital payments continues to rise in popularity, it also becomes susceptible to various malicious attacks. Successfully detecting anomalies within Blockchain transactions is essential for bolstering trust in digital payments. However, the task of anomaly detection in Blockchain transaction data is challenging due to the infrequent occurrence of illicit transactions. Although several studies have been conducted in the field, a limitation persists: the lack of explanations for the model's predictions. This study seeks to overcome this limitation by integrating eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques and anomaly rules into tree-based ensemble classifiers for detecting anomalous Bitcoin transactions. The Shapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) method is employed to measure the contribution of each feature, and it is compatible with ensemble models. Moreover, we present rules for interpreting whether a Bitcoin transaction is anomalous or not. Additionally, we have introduced an under-sampling algorithm named XGBCLUS, designed to balance anomalous and non-anomalous transaction data. This algorithm is compared against other commonly used under-sampling and over-sampling techniques. Finally, the outcomes of various tree-based single classifiers are compared with those of stacking and voting ensemble classifiers. Our experimental results demonstrate that: (i) XGBCLUS enhances TPR and ROC-AUC scores compared to state-of-the-art under-sampling and over-sampling techniques, and (ii) our proposed ensemble classifiers outperform traditional single tree-based machine learning classifiers in terms of accuracy, TPR, and FPR scores.
EAT: Self-Supervised Pre-Training with Efficient Audio Transformer
Chen, Wenxi, Liang, Yuzhe, Ma, Ziyang, Zheng, Zhisheng, Chen, Xie
Audio self-supervised learning (SSL) pre-training, which aims to learn good representations from unlabeled audio, has made remarkable progress. However, the extensive computational demands during pre-training pose a significant barrier to the potential application and optimization of audio SSL models. In this paper, inspired by the success of data2vec 2.0 in image modality and Audio-MAE in audio modality, we introduce Efficient Audio Transformer (EAT) to further improve the effectiveness and efficiency in audio SSL. The proposed EAT adopts the bootstrap self-supervised training paradigm to the audio domain. A novel Utterance-Frame Objective (UFO) is designed to enhance the modeling capability of acoustic events. Furthermore, we reveal that the masking strategy is critical in audio SSL pre-training, and superior audio representations can be obtained with large inverse block masks. Experiment results demonstrate that EAT achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance on a range of audio-related tasks, including AudioSet (AS-2M, AS-20K), ESC-50, and SPC-2, along with a significant pre-training speedup up to ~15x compared to existing audio SSL models.
A Novel real-time arrhythmia detection model using YOLOv8
Ang, Guang Jun Nicholas, Goil, Aritejh Kr, Chan, Henryk, Lew, Jieyi Jeric, Lee, Xin Chun, Mustaffa, Raihan Bin Ahmad, Jason, Timotius, Woon, Ze Ting, Shen, Bingquan
In a landscape characterized by heightened connectivity and mobility, coupled with a surge in cardiovascular ailments, the imperative to curtail healthcare expenses through remote monitoring of cardiovascular health has become more pronounced. The accurate detection and classification of cardiac arrhythmias are pivotal for diagnosing individuals with heart irregularities. This study underscores the feasibility of employing electrocardiograms (ECG) measurements in the home environment for real-time arrhythmia detection. Presenting a fresh application for arrhythmia detection, this paper leverages the cutting-edge You-Only-Look-Once (YOLO)v8 algorithm to categorize single-lead ECG signals. We introduce a novel loss-modified YOLOv8 model, fine-tuned on the MIT-BIH arrhythmia dataset, enabling real-time continuous monitoring. The obtained results substantiate the efficacy of our approach, with the model attaining an average accuracy of 99.5% and 0.992 mAP@50, and a rapid detection time of 0.002 seconds on an NVIDIA Tesla V100. Our investigation exemplifies the potential of real-time arrhythmia detection, enabling users to visually interpret the model output within the comfort of their homes. Furthermore, this study lays the groundwork for an extension into a real-time explainable AI (XAI) model capable of deployment in the healthcare sector, thereby significantly advancing the realm of healthcare solutions.
Impossibility Theorems for Feature Attribution
Bilodeau, Blair, Jaques, Natasha, Koh, Pang Wei, Kim, Been
Despite a sea of interpretability methods that can produce plausible explanations, the field has also empirically seen many failure cases of such methods. In light of these results, it remains unclear for practitioners how to use these methods and choose between them in a principled way. In this paper, we show that for moderately rich model classes (easily satisfied by neural networks), any feature attribution method that is complete and linear -- for example, Integrated Gradients and SHAP -- can provably fail to improve on random guessing for inferring model behaviour. Our results apply to common end-tasks such as characterizing local model behaviour, identifying spurious features, and algorithmic recourse. One takeaway from our work is the importance of concretely defining end-tasks: once such an end-task is defined, a simple and direct approach of repeated model evaluations can outperform many other complex feature attribution methods.
Uncertainty Quantification on Clinical Trial Outcome Prediction
Chen, Tianyi, Hao, Nan, Lu, Yingzhou, Van Rechem, Capucine
The importance of uncertainty quantification is increasingly recognized in the diverse field of machine learning. Accurately assessing model prediction uncertainty can help provide deeper understanding and confidence for researchers and practitioners. This is especially critical in medical diagnosis and drug discovery areas, where reliable predictions directly impact research quality and patient health. In this paper, we proposed incorporating uncertainty quantification into clinical trial outcome predictions. Our main goal is to enhance the model's ability to discern nuanced differences, thereby significantly improving its overall performance. We have adopted a selective classification approach to fulfill our objective, integrating it seamlessly with the Hierarchical Interaction Network (HINT), which is at the forefront of clinical trial prediction modeling. Selective classification, encompassing a spectrum of methods for uncertainty quantification, empowers the model to withhold decision-making in the face of samples marked by ambiguity or low confidence, thereby amplifying the accuracy of predictions for the instances it chooses to classify. A series of comprehensive experiments demonstrate that incorporating selective classification into clinical trial predictions markedly enhances the model's performance, as evidenced by significant upticks in pivotal metrics such as PR-AUC, F1, ROC-AUC, and overall accuracy. Specifically, the proposed method achieved 32.37\%, 21.43\%, and 13.27\% relative improvement on PR-AUC over the base model (HINT) in phase I, II, and III trial outcome prediction, respectively. When predicting phase III, our method reaches 0.9022 PR-AUC scores. These findings illustrate the robustness and prospective utility of this strategy within the area of clinical trial predictions, potentially setting a new benchmark in the field.
Enhanced Breast Cancer Tumor Classification using MobileNetV2: A Detailed Exploration on Image Intensity, Error Mitigation, and Streamlit-driven Real-time Deployment
Surya, Aaditya, Shah, Aditya, Kabore, Jarnell, Sasikumar, Subash
This research introduces a sophisticated transfer learning model based on Google's MobileNetV2 for breast cancer tumor classification into normal, benign, and malignant categories, utilizing a dataset of 1576 ultrasound images (265 normal, 891 benign, 420 malignant). The model achieves an accuracy of 0.82, precision of 0.83, recall of 0.81, ROC-AUC of 0.94, PR-AUC of 0.88, and MCC of 0.74. It examines image intensity distributions and misclassification errors, offering improvements for future applications. Addressing dataset imbalances, the study ensures a generalizable model. This work, using a dataset from Baheya Hospital, Cairo, Egypt, compiled by Walid Al-Dhabyani et al., emphasizes MobileNetV2's potential in medical imaging, aiming to improve diagnostic precision in oncology. Additionally, the paper explores Streamlit-based deployment for real-time tumor classification, demonstrating MobileNetV2's applicability in medical imaging and setting a benchmark for future research in oncology diagnostics.
Affinity Uncertainty-based Hard Negative Mining in Graph Contrastive Learning
Niu, Chaoxi, Pang, Guansong, Chen, Ling
Hard negative mining has shown effective in enhancing self-supervised contrastive learning (CL) on diverse data types, including graph CL (GCL). The existing hardness-aware CL methods typically treat negative instances that are most similar to the anchor instance as hard negatives, which helps improve the CL performance, especially on image data. However, this approach often fails to identify the hard negatives but leads to many false negatives on graph data. This is mainly due to that the learned graph representations are not sufficiently discriminative due to oversmooth representations and/or non-independent and identically distributed (non-i.i.d.) issues in graph data. To tackle this problem, this article proposes a novel approach that builds a discriminative model on collective affinity information (i.e., two sets of pairwise affinities between the negative instances and the anchor instance) to mine hard negatives in GCL. In particular, the proposed approach evaluates how confident/uncertain the discriminative model is about the affinity of each negative instance to an anchor instance to determine its hardness weight relative to the anchor instance. This uncertainty information is then incorporated into the existing GCL loss functions via a weighting term to enhance their performance. The enhanced GCL is theoretically grounded that the resulting GCL loss is equivalent to a triplet loss with an adaptive margin being exponentially proportional to the learned uncertainty of each negative instance. Extensive experiments on ten graph datasets show that our approach does the following: 1) consistently enhances different state-of-the-art (SOTA) GCL methods in both graph and node classification tasks and 2) significantly improves their robustness against adversarial attacks. Code is available at https://github.com/mala-lab/AUGCL.
Weakly Augmented Variational Autoencoder in Time Series Anomaly Detection
Wu, Zhangkai, Cao, Longbing, Zhang, Qi, Zhou, Junxian, Chen, Hui
Due to their unsupervised training and uncertainty estimation, deep Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) have become powerful tools for reconstruction-based Time Series Anomaly Detection (TSAD). Existing VAE-based TSAD methods, either statistical or deep, tune meta-priors to estimate the likelihood probability for effectively capturing spatiotemporal dependencies in the data. However, these methods confront the challenge of inherent data scarcity, which is often the case in anomaly detection tasks. Such scarcity easily leads to latent holes, discontinuous regions in latent space, resulting in non-robust reconstructions on these discontinuous spaces. We propose a novel generative framework that combines VAEs with self-supervised learning (SSL) to address this issue.
CRISIS ALERT:Forecasting Stock Market Crisis Events Using Machine Learning Methods
Chen, Yue, Andrew, Xingyi, Supasanya, Salintip
Historically, the economic recession often came abruptly and disastrously. For instance, during the 2008 financial crisis, the SP 500 fell 46 percent from October 2007 to March 2009. If we could detect the signals of the crisis earlier, we could have taken preventive measures. Therefore, driven by such motivation, we use advanced machine learning techniques, including Random Forest and Extreme Gradient Boosting, to predict any potential market crashes mainly in the US market. Also, we would like to compare the performance of these methods and examine which model is better for forecasting US stock market crashes. We apply our models on the daily financial market data, which tend to be more responsive with higher reporting frequencies. We consider 75 explanatory variables, including general US stock market indexes, SP 500 sector indexes, as well as market indicators that can be used for the purpose of crisis prediction. Finally, we conclude, with selected classification metrics, that the Extreme Gradient Boosting method performs the best in predicting US stock market crisis events.
MC-ViViT: Multi-branch Classifier-ViViT to detect Mild Cognitive Impairment in older adults using facial videos
Sun, Jian, Dodge, Hiroko H., Mahoor, Mohammad H.
ADRD is technology has the potential to bolster the early detection of not only ranked as the sixth-leading cause of death in the MCI and AD. A 2019 study proposed that early detection of U.S., but the COVID-19 pandemic has increased the number AD would decrease healthcare costs, and improve quality of of deaths among those with AD (Alzheimer's_Association, life (Eikelboom et al., 2019). Studies have shown that MCI 2021). Symptoms of AD/ADRD usually begin with Mild can affect the patterns of speech, language, and face-to-face Cognitive Impairment (MCI) and include early onset memory communication in older adults (Liu et al., 2022a). There loss, cognitive decline, and impairments with verbal are several studies on using traditional Machine Learning language and visual/spatial perception. Approximately 12- (ML) approaches such as Decision Tree (Neelaveni 18% of people age 60 or older are living with MCI in the & Devasana, 2020; Davuluri1 & Rengaswamy, 2020) and U.S. Although older adults with MCI have the ability to K-means clustering (Davuluri1 & Rengaswamy, 2020) to independently perform most daily living activities such as detect AD with a human using collected demographic information eating, shopping, and bathing without help, the National (Neelaveni & Devasana, 2020) and MRI (Davuluri1 Institute on Aging (NIA) estimated that 10 to 20% of & Rengaswamy, 2020). Other researchers used Crossmodel subjects with MCI will develop dementia over a one-year Augmentation for automated detection of MCI from period (National_Institute_on_Aging, 2021).