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 Performance Analysis


Advanced Meta-Ensemble Machine Learning Models for Early and Accurate Sepsis Prediction to Improve Patient Outcomes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Sepsis, a critical condition from the body's response to infection, poses a major global health crisis affecting all age groups. Timely detection and intervention are crucial for reducing healthcare expenses and improving patient outcomes. This paper examines the limitations of traditional sepsis screening tools like Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome, Modified Early Warning Score, and Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, highlighting the need for advanced approaches. We propose using machine learning techniques - Random Forest, Extreme Gradient Boosting, and Decision Tree models - to predict sepsis onset. Our study evaluates these models individually and in a combined meta-ensemble approach using key metrics such as Accuracy, Precision, Recall, F1 score, and Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve. Results show that the meta-ensemble model outperforms individual models, achieving an AUC-ROC score of 0.96, indicating superior predictive accuracy for early sepsis detection. The Random Forest model also performs well with an AUC-ROC score of 0.95, while Extreme Gradient Boosting and Decision Tree models score 0.94 and 0.90, respectively.


A deep graph model for the signed interaction prediction in biological network

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In pharmaceutical research, the strategy of drug repurposing accelerates the development of new therapies while reducing R&D costs. Network pharmacology lays the theoretical groundwork for identifying new drug indications, and deep graph models have become essential for their precision in mapping complex biological networks. Our study introduces an advanced graph model that utilizes graph convolutional networks and tensor decomposition to effectively predict signed chemical-gene interactions. This model demonstrates superior predictive performance, especially in handling the polar relations in biological networks. Our research opens new avenues for drug discovery and repurposing, especially in understanding the mechanism of actions of drugs.


Evaluating Human-AI Collaboration: A Review and Methodological Framework

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The use of artificial intelligence (AI) in working environments with individuals, known as Human-AI Collaboration (HAIC), has become essential in a variety of domains, boosting decision-making, efficiency, and innovation. Despite HAIC's wide potential, evaluating its effectiveness remains challenging due to the complex interaction of components involved. This paper provides a detailed analysis of existing HAIC evaluation approaches and develops a fresh paradigm for more effectively evaluating these systems. Our framework includes a structured decision tree which assists to select relevant metrics based on distinct HAIC modes (AI-Centric, Human-Centric, and Symbiotic). By including both quantitative and qualitative metrics, the framework seeks to represent HAIC's dynamic and reciprocal nature, enabling the assessment of its impact and success. This framework's practicality can be examined by its application in an array of domains, including manufacturing, healthcare, finance, and education, each of which has unique challenges and requirements. Our hope is that this study will facilitate further research on the systematic evaluation of HAIC in real-world applications.


A Comprehensive Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Algorithmic Trading of Bitcoin

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This study evaluates the performance of 41 machine learning models, including 21 classifiers and 20 regressors, in predicting Bitcoin prices for algorithmic trading. By examining these models under various market conditions, we highlight their accuracy, robustness, and adaptability to the volatile cryptocurrency market. Our comprehensive analysis reveals the strengths and limitations of each model, providing critical insights for developing effective trading strategies. We employ both machine learning metrics (e.g., Mean Absolute Error, Root Mean Squared Error) and trading metrics (e.g., Profit and Loss percentage, Sharpe Ratio) to assess model performance. Our evaluation includes backtesting on historical data, forward testing on recent unseen data, and real-world trading scenarios, ensuring the robustness and practical applicability of our models. Key findings demonstrate that certain models, such as Random Forest and Stochastic Gradient Descent, outperform others in terms of profit and risk management. These insights offer valuable guidance for traders and researchers aiming to leverage machine learning for cryptocurrency trading.


Revisiting, Benchmarking and Understanding Unsupervised Graph Domain Adaptation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Unsupervised Graph Domain Adaptation (UGDA) involves the transfer of knowledge from a label-rich source graph to an unlabeled target graph under domain discrepancies. Despite the proliferation of methods designed for this emerging task, the lack of standard experimental settings and fair performance comparisons makes it challenging to understand which and when models perform well across different scenarios. To fill this gap, we present the first comprehensive benchmark for unsupervised graph domain adaptation named GDABench, which encompasses 16 algorithms across 5 datasets with 74 adaptation tasks. Through extensive experiments, we observe that the performance of current UGDA models varies significantly across different datasets and adaptation scenarios. Specifically, we recognize that when the source and target graphs face significant distribution shifts, it is imperative to formulate strategies to effectively address and mitigate graph structural shifts. We also find that with appropriate neighbourhood aggregation mechanisms, simple GNN variants can even surpass state-of-the-art UGDA baselines. To facilitate reproducibility, we have developed an easy-to-use library PyGDA for training and evaluating existing UGDA methods, providing a standardized platform in this community.


Cue Point Estimation using Object Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cue points indicate possible temporal boundaries in a transition between two pieces of music in DJ mixing and constitute a crucial element in autonomous DJ systems as well as for live mixing. In this work, we present a novel method for automatic cue point estimation, interpreted as a computer vision object detection task. Our proposed system is based on a pre-trained object detection transformer which we fine-tune on our novel cue point dataset. Our provided dataset contains 21k manually annotated cue points from human experts as well as metronome information for nearly 5k individual tracks, making this dataset 35x larger than the previously available cue point dataset. Unlike previous methods, our approach does not require low-level musical information analysis, while demonstrating increased precision in retrieving cue point positions. Moreover, our proposed method demonstrates high adherence to phrasing, a type of high-level music structure commonly emphasized in electronic dance music. The code, model checkpoints, and dataset are made publicly available.


ESM+: Modern Insights into Perspective on Text-to-SQL Evaluation in the Age of Large Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The task of Text-to-SQL enables anyone to retrieve information from SQL databases using natural language. Despite several challenges, recent models have made remarkable advancements in this task using large language models (LLMs). Interestingly, we find that LLM-based models without fine-tuning exhibit distinct natures compared to their fine-tuned counterparts, leading to inadequacies in current evaluation metrics to accurately convey their performance. Thus, we analyze the two primary metrics, Test Suite Execution Accuracy (EXE) and Exact Set Matching Accuracy (ESM), to examine their robustness for this task and address shortcomings. We compare the performance of 9 LLM-based models using EXE, the original ESM, and our improved ESM (called ESM+). Our results show that EXE and ESM have high false positive and negative rates of 11.3% and 13.9%, while ESM+ gives those of 0.1% and 2.6% respectively, providing a significantly more stable evaluation. We release the ESM+ script as open-source for the community to contribute, while enjoying a more reliable assessment of Text-to-SQL.


Towards Open-World Mobile Manipulation in Homes: Lessons from the Neurips 2023 HomeRobot Open Vocabulary Mobile Manipulation Challenge

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In order to develop robots that can effectively serve as versatile and capable home assistants, it is crucial for them to reliably perceive and interact with a wide variety of objects across diverse environments. To this end, we proposed Open Vocabulary Mobile Manipulation as a key benchmark task for robotics: finding any object in a novel environment and placing it on any receptacle surface within that environment. We organized a NeurIPS 2023 competition featuring both simulation and real-world components to evaluate solutions to this task. Our baselines on the most challenging version of this task, using real perception in simulation, achieved only an 0.8% success rate; by the end of the competition, the best participants achieved an 10.8\% success rate, a 13x improvement. We observed that the most successful teams employed a variety of methods, yet two common threads emerged among the best solutions: enhancing error detection and recovery, and improving the integration of perception with decision-making processes. In this paper, we detail the results and methodologies used, both in simulation and real-world settings. We discuss the lessons learned and their implications for future research. Additionally, we compare performance in real and simulated environments, emphasizing the necessity for robust generalization to novel settings.


Multiple Instance Verification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We explore multiple-instance verification, a problem setting where a query instance is verified against a bag of target instances with heterogeneous, unknown relevancy. We show that naive adaptations of attention-based multiple instance learning (MIL) methods and standard verification methods like Siamese neural networks are unsuitable for this setting: directly combining state-of-the-art (SOTA) MIL methods and Siamese networks is shown to be no better, and sometimes significantly worse, than a simple baseline model. Postulating that this may be caused by the failure of the representation of the target bag to incorporate the query instance, we introduce a new pooling approach named ``cross-attention pooling'' (CAP). Under the CAP framework, we propose two novel attention functions to address the challenge of distinguishing between highly similar instances in a target bag. Through empirical studies on three different verification tasks, we demonstrate that CAP outperforms adaptations of SOTA MIL methods and the baseline by substantial margins, in terms of both classification accuracy and quality of the explanations provided for the classifications. Ablation studies confirm the superior ability of the new attention functions to identify key instances.


Top-K Pairwise Ranking: Bridging the Gap Among Ranking-Based Measures for Multi-Label Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Multi-label ranking, which returns multiple top-ranked labels for each instance, has a wide range of applications for visual tasks. Due to its complicated setting, prior arts have proposed various measures to evaluate model performances. However, both theoretical analysis and empirical observations show that a model might perform inconsistently on different measures. To bridge this gap, this paper proposes a novel measure named Top-K Pairwise Ranking (TKPR), and a series of analyses show that TKPR is compatible with existing ranking-based measures. In light of this, we further establish an empirical surrogate risk minimization framework for TKPR. On one hand, the proposed framework enjoys convex surrogate losses with the theoretical support of Fisher consistency. On the other hand, we establish a sharp generalization bound for the proposed framework based on a novel technique named data-dependent contraction. Finally, empirical results on benchmark datasets validate the effectiveness of the proposed framework.