The Random Forest (RF) algorithm can be applied to a broad spectrum of problems, including time series prediction. However, neither the classical IID (Independent and Identically distributed) bootstrap nor block bootstrapping strategies (as implemented in rangerts) completely account for the nature of the Data Generating Process (DGP) while resampling the observations. We propose the combination of RF with a residual bootstrapping technique where we replace the IID bootstrap with the AR-Sieve Bootstrap (ARSB), which assumes the DGP to be an autoregressive process. To assess the new model's predictive performance, we conduct a simulation study using synthetic data generated from different types of DGPs. It turns out that ARSB provides more variation amongst the trees in the forest. Moreover, RF with ARSB shows greater accuracy compared to RF with other bootstrap strategies. However, these improvements are achieved at some efficiency costs.

Current efforts to detect nuclear detonations and correctly categorize explosion sources with ground- and space-collected discriminants presents challenges that remain unaddressed by the Event Categorization Matrix (ECM) model. Smaller events (lower yield explosions) often include only sparse observations among few modalities and can therefore lack a complete set of discriminants. The covariance structures can also vary significantly between such observations of event (source-type) categories. Both obstacles are problematic for ``classic'' ECM. Our work addresses this gap and presents a Bayesian update to the previous ECM model, termed B-ECM, which can be trained on partial observations and does not rely on a pooled covariance structure. We further augment ECM with Bayesian Decision Theory so that false negative or false positive rates of an event categorization can be reduced in an intuitive manner. To demonstrate improved categorization rates with B-ECM, we compare an array of B-ECM and classic ECM models with multiple performance metrics that leverage Monte Carlo experiments. We use both synthetic and real data. Our B-ECM models show consistent gains in overall accuracy and a lower false negative rates relative to the classic ECM model. We propose future avenues to improve B-ECM that expand its decision-making and predictive capability.

In this work, we present AfriHuBERT, an extension of mHuBERT-147, a state-of-the-art (SOTA) and compact self-supervised learning (SSL) model, originally pretrained on 147 languages. While mHuBERT-147 was pretrained on 16 African languages, we expand this to cover 39 African languages through continued pretraining on 6,500+ hours of speech data aggregated from diverse sources, including 23 newly added languages. We evaluate AfriHuBERT on two key speech tasks: Language Identification (LID) and Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) using FLEURS dataset. Our results show a +4% F1 score improvement on average for LID and a -1.2% average Word Error Rate (WER) reduction for ASR. Further analysis shows that ASR models trained on AfriHuBERT exhibit improved cross-corpus generalization. Additionally, the analysis indicates that the FLEURS have data quality limitations that may affect their suitability for evaluating low-resource African languages, suggesting the need for better evaluation benchmarks for these languages.

The rapid advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) have revolutionized smart healthcare, driving innovations in wearable technologies, continuous monitoring devices, and intelligent diagnostic systems. However, security, explainability, robustness, and performance optimization challenges remain critical barriers to widespread adoption in clinical environments. This research presents an innovative algorithmic method using the Adaptive Feature Evaluator (AFE) algorithm to improve feature selection in healthcare datasets and overcome problems. AFE integrating Genetic Algorithms (GA), Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI), and Permutation Combination Techniques (PCT), the algorithm optimizes Clinical Decision Support Systems (CDSS), thereby enhancing predictive accuracy and interpretability. The proposed method is validated across three diverse healthcare datasets using six distinct machine learning algorithms, demonstrating its robustness and superiority over conventional feature selection techniques. The results underscore the transformative potential of AFE in smart healthcare, enabling personalized and transparent patient care. Notably, the AFE algorithm, when combined with a Multi-layer Perceptron (MLP), achieved an accuracy of up to 98.5%, highlighting its capability to improve clinical decision-making processes in real-world healthcare applications.

Intracranial aneurysms (IAs) that rupture result in significant morbidity and mortality. While traditional risk models such as the PHASES score are useful in clinical decision making, machine learning (ML) models offer the potential to provide more accuracy. In this study, we compared the performance of four different machine learning algorithms Random Forest (RF), XGBoost (XGB), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Multi Layer Perceptron (MLP) on clinical and radiographic features to predict rupture status of intracranial aneurysms. Among the models, RF achieved the highest accuracy (85%) with balanced precision and recall, while MLP had the lowest overall performance (accuracy of 63%). Fractal dimension ranked as the most important feature for model performance across all models.

For individuals and families, access to affordable credit is essential as protection against financial volatility, financing and education, pursuing business opportunities, and building equity. From the lender's perspective, there is a delicate balance between improving access to credit and higher costs due to defaults on payments. Creating responsible credit concession models requires maintaining this balance [Kozodoi et al., 2022] while ensuring fair outcomes across different groups of individuals, improving access, and helping applicants understand factors that influence rejection so that they can take action to improve their credit potential. Credit concession models are created using a variety of data, such as employment history (for example, occupation and income), demographic data (such as age, marital status, and education), and financial data (for example, checking account balance, credit card usage, and bill payment history). Given these features, models such as logistic regression, gradient boosting, and decision trees can be trained to predict whether a new customer will default on a loan over a period of time [Louzada et al., 2016].

The human visual system is capable of processing continuous streams of visual information, but how the brain encodes and retrieves recent visual memories during continuous visual processing remains unexplored. This study investigates the capacity of working memory to retain past information under continuous visual stimuli. And then we propose a new task Memory Disentangling, which aims to extract and decode past information from fMRI signals. To address the issue of interference from past memory information, we design a disentangled contrastive learning method inspired by the phenomenon of proactive interference. This method separates the information between adjacent fMRI signals into current and past components and decodes them into image descriptions. Experimental results demonstrate that this method effectively disentangles the information within fMRI signals. This research could advance brain-computer interfaces and mitigate the problem of low temporal resolution in fMRI.

Machine learning models are increasingly being deployed in real-world contexts. However, systematic studies on their transferability to specific and critical applications are underrepresented in the research literature. An important example is visual anomaly detection (VAD) for robotic power line inspection. While existing VAD methods perform well in controlled environments, real-world scenarios present diverse and unexpected anomalies that current datasets fail to capture. To address this gap, we introduce $\textit{CableInspect-AD}$, a high-quality, publicly available dataset created and annotated by domain experts from Hydro-Qu\'ebec, a Canadian public utility. This dataset includes high-resolution images with challenging real-world anomalies, covering defects with varying severity levels. To address the challenges of collecting diverse anomalous and nominal examples for setting a detection threshold, we propose an enhancement to the celebrated PatchCore algorithm. This enhancement enables its use in scenarios with limited labeled data. We also present a comprehensive evaluation protocol based on cross-validation to assess models' performances. We evaluate our $\textit{Enhanced-PatchCore}$ for few-shot and many-shot detection, and Vision-Language Models for zero-shot detection. While promising, these models struggle to detect all anomalies, highlighting the dataset's value as a challenging benchmark for the broader research community. Project page: https://mila-iqia.github.io/cableinspect-ad/.

We propose the novel concept of anomaly-free regions (AFR) to improve anomaly detection. An AFR is a region in the data space for which it is known that there are no anomalies inside it, e.g., via domain knowledge. This region can contain any number of normal data points and can be anywhere in the data space. AFRs have the key advantage that they constrain the estimation of the distribution of non-anomalies: The estimated probability mass inside the AFR must be consistent with the number of normal data points inside the AFR. Based on this insight, we provide a solid theoretical foundation and a reference implementation of anomaly detection using AFRs. Our empirical results confirm that anomaly detection constrained via AFRs improves upon unconstrained anomaly detection. Specifically, we show that, when equipped with an estimated AFR, an efficient algorithm based on random guessing becomes a strong baseline that several widely-used methods struggle to overcome. On a dataset with a ground-truth AFR available, the current state of the art is outperformed.

In industrial manufacturing of glass bottles, quality control of bottle prints is necessary as numerous factors can negatively affect the printing process. Even minor defects in the bottle prints must be detected despite reflections in the glass or manufacturing-related deviations. In cooperation with our medium-sized industrial partner, two ML-based approaches for quality control of these bottle prints were developed and evaluated, which can also be used in this challenging scenario. Our first approach utilized different filters to supress reflections (e.g. Sobel or Canny) and image quality metrics for image comparison (e.g. MSE or SSIM) as features for different supervised classification models (e.g. SVM or k-Neighbors), which resulted in an accuracy of 84%. The images were aligned based on the ORB algorithm, which allowed us to estimate the rotations of the prints, which may serve as an indicator for anomalies in the manufacturing process. In our second approach, we fine-tuned different pre-trained CNN models (e.g. ResNet or VGG) for binary classification, which resulted in an accuracy of 87%. Utilizing Grad-Cam on our fine-tuned ResNet-34, we were able to localize and visualize frequently defective bottle print regions. This method allowed us to provide insights that could be used to optimize the actual manufacturing process. This paper also describes our general approach and the challenges we encountered in practice with data collection during ongoing production, unsupervised preselection, and labeling.