Performance Analysis
General Scales Unlock AI Evaluation with Explanatory and Predictive Power
Zhou, Lexin, Pacchiardi, Lorenzo, Martínez-Plumed, Fernando, Collins, Katherine M., Moros-Daval, Yael, Zhang, Seraphina, Zhao, Qinlin, Huang, Yitian, Sun, Luning, Prunty, Jonathan E., Li, Zongqian, Sánchez-García, Pablo, Chen, Kexin Jiang, Casares, Pablo A. M., Zu, Jiyun, Burden, John, Mehrbakhsh, Behzad, Stillwell, David, Cebrian, Manuel, Wang, Jindong, Henderson, Peter, Wu, Sherry Tongshuang, Kyllonen, Patrick C., Cheke, Lucy, Xie, Xing, Hernández-Orallo, José
Ensuring safe and effective use of AI requires understanding and anticipating its performance on novel tasks, from advanced scientific challenges to transformed workplace activities. So far, benchmarking has guided progress in AI, but it has offered limited explanatory and predictive power for general-purpose AI systems, given the low transferability across diverse tasks. In this paper, we introduce general scales for AI evaluation that can explain what common AI benchmarks really measure, extract ability profiles of AI systems, and predict their performance for new task instances, in- and out-of-distribution. Our fully-automated methodology builds on 18 newly-crafted rubrics that place instance demands on general scales that do not saturate. Illustrated for 15 large language models and 63 tasks, high explanatory power is unleashed from inspecting the demand and ability profiles, bringing insights on the sensitivity and specificity exhibited by different benchmarks, and how knowledge, metacognition and reasoning are affected by model size, chain-of-thought and distillation. Surprisingly, high predictive power at the instance level becomes possible using these demand levels, providing superior estimates over black-box baseline predictors based on embeddings or finetuning, especially in out-of-distribution settings (new tasks and new benchmarks). The scales, rubrics, battery, techniques and results presented here represent a major step for AI evaluation, underpinning the reliable deployment of AI in the years ahead. (Collaborative platform: https://kinds-of-intelligence-cfi.github.io/ADELE.)
Hyperbolic Safety-Aware Vision-Language Models
Poppi, Tobia, Kasarla, Tejaswi, Mettes, Pascal, Baraldi, Lorenzo, Cucchiara, Rita
Addressing the retrieval of unsafe content from vision-language models such as CLIP is an important step towards real-world integration. Current efforts have relied on unlearning techniques that try to erase the model's knowledge of unsafe concepts. While effective in reducing unwanted outputs, unlearning limits the model's capacity to discern between safe and unsafe content. In this work, we introduce a novel approach that shifts from unlearning to an awareness paradigm by leveraging the inherent hierarchical properties of the hyperbolic space. We propose to encode safe and unsafe content as an entailment hierarchy, where both are placed in different regions of hyperbolic space. Our HySAC, Hyperbolic Safety-Aware CLIP, employs entailment loss functions to model the hierarchical and asymmetrical relations between safe and unsafe image-text pairs. This modelling, ineffective in standard vision-language models due to their reliance on Euclidean embeddings, endows the model with awareness of unsafe content, enabling it to serve as both a multimodal unsafe classifier and a flexible content retriever, with the option to dynamically redirect unsafe queries toward safer alternatives or retain the original output. Extensive experiments show that our approach not only enhances safety recognition but also establishes a more adaptable and interpretable framework for content moderation in vision-language models. Our source code is available at https://github.com/aimagelab/HySAC.
Spatio-Temporal Graph Structure Learning for Earthquake Detection
Piriyasatit, Suchanun, Kuruoglu, Ercan Engin, Ozeren, Mehmet Sinan
Earthquake detection is essential for earthquake early warning (EEW) systems. Traditional methods struggle with low signal-to-noise ratios and single-station reliance, limiting their effectiveness. We propose a Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) using Spectral Structure Learning Convolution (Spectral SLC) to model static and dynamic relationships across seismic stations. Our approach processes multi-station waveform data and generates station-specific detection probabilities. Experiments show superior performance over a conventional GCN baseline in terms of true positive rate (TPR) and false positive rate (FPR), highlighting its potential for robust multi-station earthquake detection. The code repository for this study is available at https://github.com/SuchanunP/eq_detector.
Alzheimer's Disease Classification Using Retinal OCT: TransnetOCT and Swin Transformer Models
Kesu, Siva Manohar Reddy, Sinha, Neelam, Ramasangu, Hariharan, Issac, Thomas Gregor
Retinal optical coherence tomography (OCT) images are the biomarkers for neurodegenerative diseases, which are rising in prevalence. Early detection of Alzheimer's disease using retinal OCT is a primary challenging task. This work utilizes advanced deep learning techniques to classify retinal OCT images of subjects with Alzheimer's disease (AD) and healthy controls (CO). The goal is to enhance diagnostic capabilities through efficient image analysis. In the proposed model, Raw OCT images have been preprocessed with ImageJ and given to various deep-learning models to evaluate the accuracy. The best classification architecture is TransNetOCT, which has an average accuracy of 98.18% for input OCT images and 98.91% for segmented OCT images for five-fold cross-validation compared to other models, and the Swin Transformer model has achieved an accuracy of 93.54%. The evaluation accuracy metric demonstrated TransNetOCT and Swin transformer models capability to classify AD and CO subjects reliably, contributing to the potential for improved diagnostic processes in clinical settings.
Identifying Likely-Reputable Blockchain Projects on Ethereum
Malik, Cyrus, Bajada, Josef, Ellul, Joshua
This raises the fundamental question of whether it is possible to systematically differentiate reputable projects from those that may not be. While existing research has primarily focused on detecting fraudulent activities--such as scams, Ponzi schemes, and network anomalies--these efforts remain centered on identifying and flagging illicit behavior rather than providing a holistic assessment of a project's overall reputability. Several studies have explored the detection of illicit activities on the Ethereum blockchain [8], the identification of Ponzi schemes [17], for anti-money laundering [15] and anomaly detection within the network [13]. While these contributions enhance our understanding of fraudulent behavior, they do not directly address the broader issue of evaluating whether a project itself is reputable. Given the growing number of Ethereum-based initiatives, the need for a systematic approach to assessing project reputability becomes increasingly evident. Distinguishing between legitimate and potentially deceptive ventures requires a dedicated methodology that extends beyond merely detecting illicit activity. By establishing such an approach, stakeholders, including investors, developers, and regulators can make more informed decisions, mitigate risks associated with unreliable projects, and foster a more secure and transparent investment landscape within the Ethereum ecosystem. This research aims to identify projects that are likely to be reputable by comparing them against a model comprised of data associated with a list of reputable projects from a source deemed to be trust-worthy. We therefore, define the following project aim to: develop a comprehensive methodology for identifying likely-reputable Ethereum Blockchain based projects using transactional data and machine learning techniques.
Sketch-to-Skill: Bootstrapping Robot Learning with Human Drawn Trajectory Sketches
Yu, Peihong, Bhaskar, Amisha, Singh, Anukriti, Mahammad, Zahiruddin, Tokekar, Pratap
Training robotic manipulation policies traditionally requires numerous demonstrations and/or environmental rollouts. While recent Imitation Learning (IL) and Reinforcement Learning (RL) methods have reduced the number of required demonstrations, they still rely on expert knowledge to collect high-quality data, limiting scalability and accessibility. We propose Sketch-to-Skill, a novel framework that leverages human-drawn 2D sketch trajectories to bootstrap and guide RL for robotic manipulation. Our approach extends beyond previous sketch-based methods, which were primarily focused on imitation learning or policy conditioning, limited to specific trained tasks. Sketch-to-Skill employs a Sketch-to-3D Trajectory Generator that translates 2D sketches into 3D trajectories, which are then used to autonomously collect initial demonstrations. We utilize these sketch-generated demonstrations in two ways: to pre-train an initial policy through behavior cloning and to refine this policy through RL with guided exploration. Experimental results demonstrate that Sketch-to-Skill achieves ~96% of the performance of the baseline model that leverages teleoperated demonstration data, while exceeding the performance of a pure reinforcement learning policy by ~170%, only from sketch inputs. This makes robotic manipulation learning more accessible and potentially broadens its applications across various domains.
Trust Under Siege: Label Spoofing Attacks against Machine Learning for Android Malware Detection
Lan, Tianwei, Demetrio, Luca, Nait-Abdesselam, Farid, Han, Yufei, Aonzo, Simone
Machine learning (ML) malware detectors rely heavily on crowd-sourced AntiVirus (AV) labels, with platforms like VirusTotal serving as a trusted source of malware annotations. But what if attackers could manipulate these labels to classify benign software as malicious? We introduce label spoofing attacks, a new threat that contaminates crowd-sourced datasets by embedding minimal and undetectable malicious patterns into benign samples. These patterns coerce AV engines into misclassifying legitimate files as harmful, enabling poisoning attacks against ML-based malware classifiers trained on those data. We demonstrate this scenario by developing AndroVenom, a methodology for polluting realistic data sources, causing consequent poisoning attacks against ML malware detectors. Experiments show that not only state-of-the-art feature extractors are unable to filter such injection, but also various ML models experience Denial of Service already with 1% poisoned samples. Additionally, attackers can flip decisions of specific unaltered benign samples by modifying only 0.015% of the training data, threatening their reputation and market share and being unable to be stopped by anomaly detectors on training data. We conclude our manuscript by raising the alarm on the trustworthiness of the training process based on AV annotations, requiring further investigation on how to produce proper labels for ML malware detectors.
Machine Learning-Based Model for Postoperative Stroke Prediction in Coronary Artery Disease
Pan, Haonan, Chen, Shuheng, Pishgar, Elham, Alaei, Kamiar, Placencia, Greg, Pishgar, Maryam
Coronary artery disease remains one of the leading causes of mortality globally. Despite advances in revascularization treatments like PCI and CABG, postoperative stroke is inevitable. This study aims to develop and evaluate a sophisticated machine learning prediction model to assess postoperative stroke risk in coronary revascularization patients.This research employed data from the MIMIC-IV database, consisting of a cohort of 7023 individuals. Study data included clinical, laboratory, and comorbidity variables. To reduce multicollinearity, variables with over 30% missing values and features with a correlation coefficient larger than 0.9 were deleted. The dataset has 70% training and 30% test. The Random Forest technique interpolated residual dataset missing values. Numerical values were normalized, whereas categorical variables were one-hot encoded. LASSO regularization selected features, and grid search found model hyperparameters. Finally, Logistic Regression, XGBoost, SVM, and CatBoost were employed for predictive modeling, and SHAP analysis assessed stroke risk for each variable. AUC of 0.855 (0.829-0.878) showed that SVM model outperformed logistic regression and CatBoost models in prior research. SHAP research showed that the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), diabetes, chronic kidney disease, and heart failure are significant prognostic factors for postoperative stroke. This study shows that improved machine learning reduces overfitting and improves model predictive accuracy. Models using the CCI alone cannot predict postoperative stroke risk as accurately as those using independent comorbidity variables. The suggested technique provides a more thorough and individualized risk assessment by encompassing a wider range of clinically relevant characteristics, making it a better reference for preoperative risk assessments and targeted intervention.
Neutralizing Bias in LLM Reasoning using Entailment Graphs
Cheng, Liang, Li, Tianyi, Wang, Zhaowei, Liu, Tianyang, Steedman, Mark
LLMs are often claimed to be capable of Natural Language Inference (NLI), which is widely regarded as a cornerstone of more complex forms of reasoning. However, recent works show that LLMs still suffer from hallucinations in NLI due to attestation bias, where LLMs overly rely on propositional memory to build shortcuts. To solve the issue, we design an unsupervised framework to construct counterfactual reasoning data and fine-tune LLMs to reduce attestation bias. To measure bias reduction, we build bias-adversarial variants of NLI datasets with randomly replaced predicates in premises while keeping hypotheses unchanged. Extensive evaluations show that our framework can significantly reduce hallucinations from attestation bias. Then, we further evaluate LLMs fine-tuned with our framework on original NLI datasets and their bias-neutralized versions, where original entities are replaced with randomly sampled ones. Extensive results show that our framework consistently improves inferential performance on both original and bias-neutralized NLI datasets.
Deepfake Detection of Face Images based on a Convolutional Neural Network
Kroiß, Lukas, Reschke, Johannes
Fake News and especially deepfakes (generated, non-real image or video content) have become a serious topic over the last years. With the emergence of machine learning algorithms it is now easier than ever before to generate such fake content, even for private persons. This issue of generated fake images is especially critical in the context of politics and public figures. We want to address this conflict by building a model based on a Convolutions Neural Network in order to detect such generated and fake images showing human portraits. As a basis, we use a pre-trained ResNet-50 model due to its effectiveness in terms of classifying images. We then adopted the base model to our task of classifying a single image as authentic/real or fake by adding an fully connected output layer containing a single neuron indicating the authenticity of an image. We applied fine tuning and transfer learning to develop the model and improve its parameters. For the training process we collected the image data set "Diverse Face Fake Dataset" containing a wide range of different image manipulation methods and also diversity in terms of faces visible on the images. With our final model we reached the following outstanding performance metrics: precision = 0.98, recall 0.96, F1-Score = 0.97 and an area-under-curve = 0.99.