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A Survey on Data-Driven Modeling of Human Drivers' Lane-Changing Decisions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

--Lane-changing (LC) behavior, a critical yet complex driving maneuver, significantly influences driving safety and traffic dynamics. Traditional analytical LC decision (LCD) models, while effective in specific environments, often oversimplify behavioral heterogeneity and complex interactions, limiting their capacity to capture real LCD. Data-driven approaches address these gaps by leveraging rich empirical data and machine learning to decode latent decision-making patterns, enabling adaptive LCD modeling in dynamic environments. In light of the rapid development of artificial intelligence and the demand for data-driven models oriented towards connected vehicles and autonomous vehicles, this paper presents a comprehensive survey of data-driven LCD models, with a particular focus on human drivers' LC decision-making. It systematically reviews the modeling framework, covering data sources and preprocessing, model inputs and outputs, objectives, structures, and validation methods. This survey further discusses the opportunities and challenges faced by data-driven LCD models, including driving safety, uncertainty, as well as the integration and improvement of technical frameworks. Compared to car-following (CF) behavior, LC behavior entails higher collision risks due to its dependency on holistic evaluations of traffic conditions in both the original and target lanes, requiring drivers to navigate multi-criteria decision-making processes. More specifically, safe LC execution necessitates gaps in the target lane to satisfy collision-avoidance criteria. Drivers must continuously monitor the real-time states of surrounding vehicles (e.g., velocity, acceleration) and adjust their LC maneuvers in response to unexpected behavioral changes (e.g., sudden deceleration, lane encroachment). Human drivers' irrational decision-making (e.g., sudden risk-preference shifts) in dynamic environments pose challenges to traditional LC models based on hypothesis of rational man. This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (72288101, 72171018, 72242102). D.-F Xie is with the School of Systems Science, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China (e-mail: dfxie@bjtu.edu.cn). L. Li is with the Department of Automation, BNRist, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China. He is with Laboratory for Information and Decision Systems, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge MA 02139, the United States (e-mail: he.zb@hotmail.com) This effort will provide critical support for trustworthy traffic simulations, dynamic traffic management, and LC decision-making of autonomous vehicles (A Vs).


Integrating Explainable AI in Medical Devices: Technical, Clinical and Regulatory Insights and Recommendations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

There is a growing demand for the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) in healthcare, particularly as clinical decision support systems to assist medical professionals. However, the complexity of many of these models, often referred to as black box models, raises concerns about their safe integration into clinical settings as it is difficult to understand how they arrived at their predictions. This paper discusses insights and recommendations derived from an expert working group convened by the UK Medicine and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA). The group consisted of healthcare professionals, regulators, and data scientists, with a primary focus on evaluating the outputs from different AI algorithms in clinical decision-making contexts. Additionally, the group evaluated findings from a pilot study investigating clinicians' behaviour and interaction with AI methods during clinical diagnosis. Incorporating AI methods is crucial for ensuring the safety and trustworthiness of medical AI devices in clinical settings. Adequate training for stakeholders is essential to address potential issues, and further insights and recommendations for safely adopting AI systems in healthcare settings are provided.


Document Attribution: Examining Citation Relationships using Large Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly applied to document-based tasks - such as document summarization, question answering, and information extraction - where user requirements focus on retrieving information from provided documents rather than relying on the model's parametric knowledge, ensuring the trustworthiness and interpretability of these systems has become a critical concern. A central approach to addressing this challenge is attribution, which involves tracing the generated outputs back to their source documents. However, since LLMs can produce inaccurate or imprecise responses, it is crucial to assess the reliability of these citations. To tackle this, our work proposes two techniques. (1) A zero-shot approach that frames attribution as a straightforward textual entailment task. Our method using flan-ul2 demonstrates an improvement of 0.27% and 2.4% over the best baseline of ID and OOD sets of AttributionBench, respectively. (2) We also explore the role of the attention mechanism in enhancing the attribution process. Using a smaller LLM, flan-t5-small, the F1 scores outperform the baseline across almost all layers except layer 4 and layers 8 through 11.


An Early Warning Model for Forced Displacement

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Monitoring tools for anticipatory action are increasingly gaining traction to improve the efficiency and timeliness of humanitarian responses. Whilst predictive models can now forecast conflicts with high accuracy, translating these predictions into potential forced displacement movements remains challenging because it is often unclear which precise events will trigger significant population movements. This paper presents a novel monitoring approach for refugee and asylum seeker flows that addresses this challenge. Using gradient boosting classification, we combine conflict forecasts with a comprehensive set of economic, political, and demographic variables to assess two distinct risks at the country of origin: the likelihood of significant displacement flows and the probability of sudden increases in these flows. The model generates country-specific monthly risk indices for these two events with prediction horizons of one, three, and six months. Our analysis shows high accuracy in predicting significant displacement flows and good accuracy in forecasting sudden increases in displacement--the latter being inherently more difficult to predict, given the complexity of displacement triggers. We achieve these results by including predictive factors beyond conflict, thereby demonstrating that forced displacement risks can be assessed through an integrated analysis of multiple country-level indicators. Whilst these risk indices provide valuable quantitative support for humanitarian planning, they should always be understood as decision-support tools within a broader analytical framework.


KEVS: Enhancing Segmentation of Visceral Adipose Tissue in Pre-Cystectomy CT with Gaussian Kernel Density Estimation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Purpose: The distribution of visceral adipose tissue (VAT) in cystectomy patients is indicative of the incidence of post-operative complications. Existing VAT segmentation methods for computed tomography (CT) employing intensity thresholding have limitations relating to inter-observer variability. Moreover, the difficulty in creating ground-truth masks limits the development of deep learning (DL) models for this task. This paper introduces a novel method for VAT prediction in pre-cystectomy CT, which is fully automated and does not require ground-truth VAT masks for training, overcoming aforementioned limitations. Methods: We introduce the Kernel density Enhanced VAT Segmentator ( KEVS), combining a DL semantic segmentation model, for multi-body feature prediction, with Gaussian kernel density estimation analysis of predicted subcutaneous adipose tissue to achieve accurate scan-specific predictions of VAT in the abdominal cavity. Uniquely for a DL pipeline, KEVS does not require ground-truth VAT masks. Results: We verify the ability of KEVS to accurately segment abdominal organs in unseen CT data and compare KEVS VAT segmentation predictions to existing state-of-the-art (SOTA) approaches in a dataset of 20 pre-cystectomy CT scans, collected from University College London Hospital (UCLH-Cyst), with expert ground-truth annotations. KEVS presents a 4.80% and 6.02% improvement in Dice Coefficient over the second best DL and thresholding-based VAT segmentation techniques respectively when evaluated on UCLH-Cyst. Conclusion: This research introduces KEVS; an automated, SOTA method for the prediction of VAT in pre-cystectomy CT which eliminates inter-observer variability and is trained entirely on open-source CT datasets which do not contain ground-truth VAT masks.


Automated Machine Learning: A Case Study on Non-Intrusive Appliance Load Monitoring

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a novel approach to enable Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) for Non-Intrusive Appliance Load Monitoring (NIALM), also known as Energy Disaggregation, through Bayesian Optimization. NIALM offers a cost-effective alternative to smart meters for measuring the energy consumption of electric devices and appliances. NIALM methods analyze the entire power consumption signal of a household and predict the type of appliances as well as their individual power consumption (i.e., their contributions to the aggregated signal). We enable NIALM domain experts and practitioners who typically have no deep data analytics or Machine Learning (ML) skills to benefit from state-of-the-art ML approaches to NIALM. Further, we conduct a survey and benchmarking of the state of the art and show that in many cases, simple and basic ML models and algorithms, such as Decision Trees, outperform the state of the art. Finally, we present our open-source tool, AutoML4NIALM, which will facilitate the exploitation of existing methods for NIALM in the industry.


Enhanced semi-supervised stamping process monitoring with physically-informed feature extraction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In tackling frequent batch anomalies in high-speed stamping processes, this study introduces a novel semi-supervised in-process anomaly monitoring framework, utilizing accelerometer signals and physics information, to capture the process anomaly effectively. The proposed framework facilitates the construction of a monitoring model with imbalanced sample distribution, which enables in-process condition monitoring in real-time to prevent batch anomalies, which helps to reduce batch defects risk and enhance production yield. Firstly, to effectively capture key features from raw data containing redundant information, a hybrid feature extraction algorithm is proposed to utilize data-driven methods and physical mechanisms simultaneously. Secondly, to address the challenge brought by imbalanced sample distribution, a semi-supervised anomaly detection model is established, which merely employs normal samples to build a golden baseline model, and a novel deviation score is proposed to quantify the anomaly level of each online stamping stroke. The effectiveness of the proposed feature extraction method is validated with various classification algorithms. A real-world in-process dataset from stamping manufacturing workshop is employed to illustrate the superiority of proposed semi-supervised framework with enhance performance for process anomaly monitoring.


Leveraging Multi-Task Learning for Multi-Label Power System Security Assessment

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

--This paper introduces a novel approach to the power system security assessment using Multi-T ask Learning (MTL), and reformulating the problem as a multi-label classification task. The proposed MTL framework simultaneously assesses static, voltage, transient, and small-signal stability, improving both accuracy and interpretability with respect to the most state of the art machine learning methods. It consists of a shared encoder and multiple decoders, enabling knowledge transfer between stability tasks. Experiments on the IEEE 68-bus system demonstrate a measurable superior performance of the proposed method compared to the extant state-of-the-art approaches. The power system security assessment (PSSA) is essential power application in energy management systems [1] apparatus that ensures the reliability and stability of energy delivery [2]. Power system operators routinely perform security assessments to ensure the system can withstand disturbances, typically involving steady-state and dynamic simulations every 15 minutes to prepare contingency plans for critical scenarios [3]. In recent years, mainly due to the ongoing changing landscape in the energy mix of electricity grids around the globe, conducting real-time PSSA has become more complex to the point that many power utilities may abandon this critical function. Instead, they rely solely on static security assessment, risking blackout as a result of dynamic instabilities.


Estimating Quality in Therapeutic Conversations: A Multi-Dimensional Natural Language Processing Framework

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Engagement between client and therapist is a critical determinant of therapeutic success. We propose a multi-dimensional natural language processing (NLP) framework that objectively classifies engagement quality in counseling sessions based on textual transcripts. Using 253 motivational interviewing transcripts (150 high-quality, 103 low-quality), we extracted 42 features across four domains: conversational dynamics, semantic similarity as topic alignment, sentiment classification, and question detection. Classifiers, including Random Forest (RF), Cat-Boost, and Support Vector Machines (SVM), were hyperparameter tuned and trained using a stratified 5-fold cross-validation and evaluated on a holdout test set. On balanced (non-augmented) data, RF achieved the highest classification accuracy (76.7%), and SVM achieved the highest AUC (85.4%). After SMOTE-Tomek augmentation, performance improved significantly: RF achieved up to 88.9% accuracy, 90.0% F1-score, and 94.6% AUC, while SVM reached 81.1% accuracy, 83.1% F1-score, and 93.6% AUC. The augmented data results reflect the potential of the framework in future larger-scale applications. Feature contribution revealed conversational dynamics and semantic similarity between clients and therapists were among the top contributors, led by words uttered by the client (mean and standard deviation). The framework was robust across the original and augmented datasets and demonstrated consistent improvements in F1 scores and recall. While currently text-based, the framework supports future multimodal extensions (e.g., vocal tone, facial affect) for more holistic assessments. This work introduces a scalable, data-driven method for evaluating engagement quality of the therapy session, offering clinicians real-time feedback to enhance the quality of both virtual and in-person therapeutic interactions.


Fault Diagnosis of 3D-Printed Scaled Wind Turbine Blades

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This study presents an integrated methodology for fault detection in wind turbine blades using 3D-printed scaled models, finite element simulations, experimental modal analysis, and machine learning techniques. A scaled model of the NREL 5MW blade was fabricated using 3D printing, and crack-type damages were introduced at critical locations. Finite Element Analysis was employed to predict the impact of these damages on the natural frequencies, with the results validated through controlled hammer impact tests. Vibration data was processed to extract both time-domain and frequency-domain features, and key discriminative variables were identified using statistical analyses (ANOVA). Machine learning classifiers, including Support Vector Machine and K-Nearest Neighbors, achieved classification accuracies exceeding 94%. The results revealed that vibration modes 3, 4, and 6 are particularly sensitive to structural anomalies for this blade. This integrated approach confirms the feasibility of combining numerical simulations with experimental validations and paves the way for structural health monitoring systems in wind energy applications.