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 Performance Analysis


Active Anomaly Detection for time-domain discoveries

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present the first application of adaptive machine learning to the identification of anomalies in a data set of non-periodic astronomical light curves. The method follows an active learning strategy where highly informative objects are selected to be labelled. This new information is subsequently used to improve the machine learning model, allowing its accuracy to evolve with the addition of every new classification. For the case of anomaly detection, the algorithm aims to maximize the number of real anomalies presented to the expert by slightly modifying the decision boundary of a traditional isolation forest in each iteration. As a proof of concept, we apply the Active Anomaly Discovery (AAD) algorithm to light curves from the Open Supernova Catalog and compare its results to those of a static Isolation Forest (IF). For both methods, we visually inspected objects within 2% highest anomaly scores. We show that AAD was able to identify 80% more true anomalies than IF. This result is the first evidence that AAD algorithms can play a central role in the search for new physics in the era of large scale sky surveys.


Learning Sparse Nonparametric DAGs

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We develop a framework for learning sparse nonparametric directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) from data. Our approach is based on a recent algebraic characterization of DAGs that led to the first fully continuous optimization for score-based learning of DAG models parametrized by a linear structural equation model (SEM). We extend this algebraic characterization to nonparametric SEM by leveraging nonparametric sparsity based on partial derivatives, resulting in a continuous optimization problem that can be applied to a variety of nonparametric and semiparametric models including GLMs, additive noise models, and index models as special cases. We also explore the use of neural networks and orthogonal basis expansions to model nonlinearities for general nonparametric models. Extensive empirical study confirms the necessity of nonlinear dependency and the advantage of continuous optimization for score-based learning.


Learning Generative Adversarial RePresentations (GAP) under Fairness and Censoring Constraints

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present Generative Adversarial rePresentations (GAP) as a data-driven framework for learning censored and/or fair representations. GAP leverages recent advancements in adversarial learning to allow a data holder to learn universal representations that decouple a set of sensitive attributes from the rest of the dataset. Under GAP, finding the optimal mechanism? {decorrelating encoder/decorrelator} is formulated as a constrained minimax game between a data encoder and an adversary. We show that for appropriately chosen adversarial loss functions, GAP provides {censoring} guarantees against strong information-theoretic adversaries and enforces demographic parity. We also evaluate the performance of GAP on multi-dimensional Gaussian mixture models and real datasets, and show how a designer can certify that representations learned under an adversary with a fixed architecture perform well against more complex adversaries.


A New Covariance Estimator for Sufficient Dimension Reduction in High-Dimensional and Undersized Sample Problems

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The application of standard sufficient dimension reduction methods for reducing the dimension space of predictors without losing regression information requires inverting the covariance matrix of the predictors. This has posed a number of challenges especially when analyzing high-dimensional data sets in which the number of predictors $\mathit{p}$ is much larger than number of samples $n,~(n\ll p)$. A new covariance estimator, called the \textit{Maximum Entropy Covariance} (MEC) that addresses loss of covariance information when similar covariance matrices are linearly combined using \textit{Maximum Entropy} (ME) principle is proposed in this work. By benefitting naturally from slicing or discretizing range of the response variable, y into \textit{H} non-overlapping categories, $\mathit{h_{1},\ldots ,h_{H}}$, MEC first combines covariance matrices arising from samples in each y slice $\mathit{h\in H}$ and then select the one that maximizes entropy under the principle of maximum uncertainty. The MEC estimator is then formed from convex mixture of such entropy-maximizing sample covariance $S_{\mbox{mec}}$ estimate and pooled sample covariance $\mathbf{S}_{\mathit{p}}$ estimate across the $\mathit{H}$ slices without requiring time-consuming covariance optimization procedures. MEC deals directly with singularity and instability of sample group covariance estimate in both regression and classification problems. The efficiency of the MEC estimator is studied with the existing sufficient dimension reduction methods such as \textit{Sliced Inverse Regression} (SIR) and \textit{Sliced Average Variance Estimator} (SAVE) as demonstrated on both classification and regression problems using real life Leukemia cancer data and customers' electricity load profiles from smart meter data sets respectively.


Improved histogram-based anomaly detector with the extended principal component features

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this era of big data, databases are growing rapidly in terms of the number of records. Fast automatic detection of anomalous records in these massive databases is a challenging task. Traditional distance based anomaly detectors are not applicable in these massive datasets. Recently, a simple but extremely fast anomaly detector using one-dimensional histograms has been introduced. The anomaly score of a data instance is computed as the product of the probability mass of histograms in each dimensions where it falls into. It is shown to produce competitive results compared to many state-of-the-art methods in many datasets. Because it assumes data features are independent of each other, it results in poor detection accuracy when there is correlation between features. To address this issue, we propose to increase the feature size by adding more features based on principal components. Our results show that using the original input features together with principal components improves the detection accuracy of histogram-based anomaly detector significantly without compromising much in terms of run-time.


Hidden Stratification Causes Clinically Meaningful Failures in Machine Learning for Medical Imaging

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Machine learning models for medical image analysis often suffer from poor performance on important subsets of a population that are not identified during training or testing. For example, overall performance of a cancer detection model may be high, but the model still consistently misses a rare but aggressive cancer subtype. We refer to this problem as hidden stratification, and observe that it results from incompletely describing the meaningful variation in a dataset. While hidden stratification can substantially reduce the clinical efficacy of machine learning models, its effects remain difficult to measure. In this work, we assess the utility of several possible techniques for measuring and describing hidden stratification effects, and characterize these effects both on multiple medical imaging datasets and via synthetic experiments on the well-characterised CIFAR-100 benchmark dataset. We find evidence that hidden stratification can occur in unidentified imaging subsets with low prevalence, low label quality, subtle distinguishing features, or spurious correlates, and that it can result in relative performance differences of over 20% on clinically important subsets. Finally, we explore the clinical implications of our findings, and suggest that evaluation of hidden stratification should be a critical component of any machine learning deployment in medical imaging.


Crowdsourcing via Pairwise Co-occurrences: Identifiability and Algorithms

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The data deluge comes with high demands for data labeling. Crowdsourcing (or, more generally, ensemble learning) techniques aim to produce accurate labels via integrating noisy, non-expert labeling from annotators. The classic Dawid-Skene estimator and its accompanying expectation maximization (EM) algorithm have been widely used, but the theoretical properties are not fully understood. Tensor methods were proposed to guarantee identification of the Dawid-Skene model, but the sample complexity is a hurdle for applying such approaches---since the tensor methods hinge on the availability of third-order statistics that are hard to reliably estimate given limited data. In this paper, we propose a framework using pairwise co-occurrences of the annotator responses, which naturally admits lower sample complexity. We show that the approach can identify the Dawid-Skene model under realistic conditions. We propose an algebraic algorithm reminiscent of convex geometry-based structured matrix factorization to solve the model identification problem efficiently, and an identifiability-enhanced algorithm for handling more challenging and critical scenarios. Experiments show that the proposed algorithms outperform the state-of-art algorithms under a variety of scenarios.


Annotated Guidelines and Building Reference Corpus for Myanmar-English Word Alignment

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Reference corpus for word alignment is an important resource for developing and evaluating word alignment methods. For Myanmar - English language pairs, there is no reference corpus to evaluate the word alignment tasks. Therefore, we created the guidelines f or Myanmar - English word alignment annotation between two languages over contrastive learning and built the Myanmar - English reference corpus consisting of verified alignments from Myanmar ALT of the Asian Language Treebank (ALT). This reference corpus conta ins confident labels sure (S) and possible (P) for word alignments which are used to test for the purpose of evaluation of the word alignments tasks. We discuss the most linking ambiguities to define consistent and systematic instructions to align manual w ords. We evaluated the results of annotators agreement using our reference corpus in terms of alignment error rate (AER) in word alignment tasks and discuss the words relationships in terms of BLEU scores. A bilingual corpus aligned at the level of sentences or words is a precious resource for developing machine translation systems. Word alignment is a fundamental step in extracting translation information from bilingual corpus and determines which words and phrases are translations of each other in the original and translated sentence. In most translation systems, translational correspondences are rather complex; for a language pair such as Myanmar and Eng lish that belong to the different word order languages.


Offline identification of surgical deviations in laparoscopic rectopexy

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Objective: A median of 14.4% of patient undergone at least one adverse event during surgery and a third of them are preventable. The occurrence of adverse events forces surgeons to implement corrective strategies and, thus, deviate from the standard surgical process. Therefore, it is clear that the automatic identification of adverse events is a major challenge for patient safety. In this paper, we have proposed a method enabling us to identify such deviations. We have focused on identifying surgeons' deviations from standard surgical processes due to surgical events rather than anatomic specificities. This is particularly challenging, given the high variability in typical surgical procedure workflows. Methods: We have introduced a new approach designed to automatically detect and distinguish surgical process deviations based on multi-dimensional non-linear temporal scaling with a hidden semi-Markov model using manual annotation of surgical processes. The approach was then evaluated using cross-validation. Results: The best results have over 90% accuracy. Recall and precision were superior at 70%. We have provided a detailed analysis of the incorrectly-detected observations. Conclusion: Multi-dimensional non-linear temporal scaling with a hidden semi-Markov model provides promising results for detecting deviations. Our error analysis of the incorrectly-detected observations offers different leads in order to further improve our method. Significance: Our method demonstrated the feasibility of automatically detecting surgical deviations that could be implemented for both skill analysis and developing situation awareness-based computer-assisted surgical systems.


Online Semi-Supervised Concept Drift Detection with Density Estimation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Concept drift is formally defined as the change in joint distribution of a set of input variables X and a target variable y. The two types of drift that are extensively studied are real drift and virtual drift where the former is the change in posterior probabilities p(y|X) while the latter is the change in distribution of X without affecting the posterior probabilities. Many approaches on concept drift detection either assume full availability of data labels, y or handle only the virtual drift. In a streaming environment, the assumption of full availability of data labels, y is questioned. On the other hand, approaches that deal with virtual drift failed to address real drift. Rather than improving the state-of-the-art methods, this paper presents a semi-supervised framework to deal with the challenges above. The objective of the proposed framework is to learn from streaming environment with limited data labels, y and detect real drift concurrently. This paper proposes a novel concept drift detection method utilizing the densities of posterior probabilities in partially labeled streaming environments. Experimental results on both synthetic and realworld datasets show that our proposed semi-supervised framework enables the detection of concept drift in such environment while achieving comparable prediction performance to the state-of-the-art methods.