Early prediction of students at risk (STAR) is an effective and significant means to provide timely intervention for dropout and suicide. Existing works mostly rely on either online or offline learning behaviors which are not comprehensive enough to capture the whole learning processes and lead to unsatisfying prediction performance. We propose a novel algorithm (EPARS) that could early predict STAR in a semester by modeling online and offline learning behaviors. The online behaviors come from the log of activities when students use the online learning management system. The offline behaviors derive from the check-in records of the library. Our main observations are two folds. Significantly different from good students, STAR barely have regular and clear study routines. We devised a multi-scale bag-of-regularity method to extract the regularity of learning behaviors that is robust to sparse data. Second, friends of STAR are more likely to be at risk. We constructed a co-occurrence network to approximate the underlying social network and encode the social homophily as features through network embedding. To validate the proposed algorithm, extensive experiments have been conducted among an Asian university with 15,503 undergraduate students. The results indicate EPARS outperforms baselines by 14.62% ~ 38.22% in predicting STAR.

Current out-of-distribution detection (ODD) approaches present severe drawbacks that make impracticable their large scale adoption in real-world applications. In this paper, we propose a novel loss called Hyperparameter-Free IsoMax that overcomes these limitations. We modified the original IsoMax loss to improve ODD performance while maintaining benefits such as high classification accuracy, fast and energy-efficient inference, and scalability. The global hyperparameter is replaced by learnable parameters to increase performance. Additionally, a theoretical motivation to explain the high ODD performance of the proposed loss is presented. Finally, to keep high classification performance, slightly different inference mathematical expressions for classification and ODD are developed. No access to out-of-distribution samples is required, as there is no hyperparameter to tune. Our solution works as a straightforward SoftMax loss drop-in replacement that can be incorporated without relying on adversarial training or validation, model structure chances, ensembles methods, or generative approaches. The experiments showed that our approach is competitive against state-of-the-art solutions while avoiding their additional requirements and undesired side effects.

One of the most pressing questions public health officials are trying to answer about the coronavirus is how many people actually have been infected by it. Have a relatively significant portion of Californians been infected with the virus but survived without much problem? Or has the virus touched only a tiny sliver of California, suggesting the chances of serious illness are greater if you're infected? In April, controversial studies out of Stanford University and USC suggested the coronavirus has circulated much more widely than previously thought in Silicon Valley and Los Angeles County. Almost immediately, there have been questions from other epidemiologists around the country about whether those estimates were too high.

In late 2019, China reported a cluster of atypical pneumonia cases of unknown etiology in Wuhan. The causative agent was identified as a new betacoronavirus, called severe acute respiratory syndrome–coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), that causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) (1). The virus rapidly spread across the globe and caused a pandemic. Sequencing of the viral genome allowed for the development of nucleic acid–based tests that have since been widely used for the diagnosis of acute (current) SARS-CoV-2 infections (2). Development of serological assays, which measure the antibody responses induced by SARS-CoV-2 infection (past but not current infections), took longer.

We introduce powerful but simple methodology for identifying anomalous observations against a corpus of `normal' observations. All data are observed through a vector-valued feature map. Our approach depends on the choice of corpus and that feature map but is invariant to affine transformations of the map and has no other external dependencies, such as choices of metric; we call it conformance. Applying this method to (signatures) of time series and other types of streamed data we provide an effective methodology of broad applicability for identifying anomalous complex multimodal sequential data. We demonstrate the applicability and effectiveness of our method by evaluating it against multiple data sets. Based on quantifying performance using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC), our method yields an AUC score of 98.9\% for the PenDigits data set; in a subsequent experiment involving marine vessel traffic data our approach yields an AUC score of 89.1\%. Based on comparison involving univariate time series from the UEA \& UCR time series repository with performance quantified using balanced accuracy and assuming an optimal operating point, our approach outperforms a state-of-the-art shapelet method for 19 out of 28 data sets.

This has led to the development of a plethora of domain-dependent and context-specific methods for dealing with the interpretation of machine learning (ML) models and the formation of explanations for humans. Unfortunately, this trend is far from being over, with an abundance of knowledge in the field which is scattered and needs organisation. The goal of this article is to systematically review research works in the field of XAI and to try to define some boundaries in the field. From several hundreds of research articles focused on the concept of explainability, about 350 have been considered for review by using the following search methodology. In a first phase, Google Scholar was queried to find papers related to "explainable artificial intelligence", "explainable machine learning" and "interpretable machine learning". Subsequently, the bibliographic section of these articles was thoroughly examined to retrieve further relevant scientific studies. The first noticeable thing, as shown in figure 2 (a), is the distribution of the publication dates of selected research articles: sporadic in the 70s and 80s, receiving preliminary attention in the 90s, showing raising interest in 2000 and becoming a recognised body of knowledge after 2010. The first research concerned the development of an explanation-based system and its integration in a computer program designed to help doctors make diagnoses [3]. Some of the more recent papers focus on work devoted to the clustering of methods for explainability, motivating the need for organising the XAI literature [4, 5, 6].

Physicians taking care of patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) have described different changes in routine blood parameters. However, these changes, hinder them from performing COVID-19 diagnosis. We constructed a machine learning predictive model for COVID-19 diagnosis. The model was based and cross-validated on the routine blood tests of 5,333 patients with various bacterial and viral infections, and 160 COVID-19-positive patients. We selected operational ROC point at a sensitivity of 81.9% and specificity of 97.9%. The cross-validated area under the curve (AUC) was 0.97. The five most useful routine blood parameters for COVID19 diagnosis according to the feature importance scoring of the XGBoost algorithm were MCHC, eosinophil count, albumin, INR, and prothrombin activity percentage. tSNE visualization showed that the blood parameters of the patients with severe COVID-19 course are more like the parameters of bacterial than viral infection. The reported diagnostic accuracy is at least comparable and probably complementary to RT-PCR and chest CT studies. Patients with fever, cough, myalgia, and other symptoms can now have initial routine blood tests assessed by our diagnostic tool. All patients with a positive COVID-19 prediction would then undergo standard RT-PCR studies to confirm the diagnosis. We believe that our results present a significant contribution to improvements in COVID-19 diagnosis.

We modeled the Quora question pairs dataset to identify a similar question. The dataset that we use is provided by Quora. The task is a binary classification. We tried several methods and algorithms and different approach from previous works. For feature extraction, we used Bag of Words including Count Vectorizer, and Term Frequency-Inverse Document Frequency with unigram for XGBoost and CatBoost. Furthermore, we also experimented with WordPiece tokenizer which improves the model performance significantly. We achieved up to 97 percent accuracy. Code and Dataset.

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While many approaches exist in the literature to learn representations for data collections in multiple modalities, the generalizability of the learnt representations to previously unseen data is a largely overlooked subject. In this work, we first present a theoretical analysis of learning multi-modal nonlinear embeddings in a supervised setting. Our performance bounds indicate that for successful generalization in multi-modal classification and retrieval problems, the regularity of the interpolation functions extending the embedding to the whole data space is as important as the between-class separation and cross-modal alignment criteria. We then propose a multi-modal nonlinear representation learning algorithm that is motivated by these theoretical findings, where the embeddings of the training samples are optimized jointly with the Lipschitz regularity of the interpolators. Experimental comparison to recent multi-modal and single-modal learning algorithms suggests that the proposed method yields promising performance in multi-modal image classification and cross-modal image-text retrieval applications.