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 Performance Analysis


Metrics and methods for a systematic comparison of fairness-aware machine learning algorithms

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Understanding and removing bias from the decisions made by machine learning models is essential to avoid discrimination against unprivileged groups. Despite recent progress in algorithmic fairness, there is still no clear answer as to which bias-mitigation approaches are most effective. Evaluation strategies are typically use-case specific, rely on data with unclear bias, and employ a fixed policy to convert model outputs to decision outcomes. To address these problems, we performed a systematic comparison of a number of popular fairness algorithms applicable to supervised classification. Our study is the most comprehensive of its kind. It utilizes three real and four synthetic datasets, and two different ways of converting model outputs to decisions. It considers fairness, predictive-performance, calibration quality, and speed of 28 different modelling pipelines, corresponding to both fairness-unaware and fairness-aware algorithms. We found that fairness-unaware algorithms typically fail to produce adequately fair models and that the simplest algorithms are not necessarily the fairest ones. We also found that fairness-aware algorithms can induce fairness without material drops in predictive power. Finally, we found that dataset idiosyncracies (e.g., degree of intrinsic unfairness, nature of correlations) do affect the performance of fairness-aware approaches. Our results allow the practitioner to narrow down the approach(es) they would like to adopt without having to know in advance their fairness requirements.


Amazon Fraud Detector Can Accelerate How AI is Embedded in Your Business

#artificialintelligence

Online fraud is estimated to be costing businesses more than ยฃ3billion a year, according to the FBI's Internet Crime Report 2019. Excluding the United States, the United Kingdom is by far the worst affected country by number of victims. At Inawisdom, our post-fraud analyses have identified several patterns. The most common include using a common IP address or similar data in fraudulent accounts, such as email domains. In other cases, fraudsters fake the entered country, residential status, or work status when applying for accounts.


Rapid covid tests can work--if you avoid making the White House's mistakes

MIT Technology Review

And yet rapid tests like the Abbott test have led to reports among the general population of false negatives (reports that you don't have the virus when you really do). That means some people may have been unknowingly spreading the virus to others. The White House outbreak is a very good illustration of the limitations of rapid testing. But it should not deter us from the strategy entirely--we just need to use the technology properly. No test is 100% accurate, but the gold standard for diagnosing covid-19 is a PCR test.


Characterizing the Value of Information in Medical Notes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Machine learning models depend on the quality of input data. As electronic health records are widely adopted, the amount of data in health care is growing, along with complaints about the quality of medical notes. We use two prediction tasks, readmission prediction and in-hospital mortality prediction, to characterize the value of information in medical notes. We show that as a whole, medical notes only provide additional predictive power over structured information in readmission prediction. We further propose a probing framework to select parts of notes that enable more accurate predictions than using all notes, despite that the selected information leads to a distribution shift from the training data ("all notes"). Finally, we demonstrate that models trained on the selected valuable information achieve even better predictive performance, with only 6.8% of all the tokens for readmission prediction.


Fairness Perception from a Network-Centric Perspective

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Algorithmic fairness is a major concern in recent years as the influence of machine learning algorithms becomes more widespread. In this paper, we investigate the issue of algorithmic fairness from a network-centric perspective. Specifically, we introduce a novel yet intuitive function known as network-centric fairness perception and provide an axiomatic approach to analyze its properties. Using a peer-review network as case study, we also examine its utility in terms of assessing the perception of fairness in paper acceptance decisions. We show how the function can be extended to a group fairness metric known as fairness visibility and demonstrate its relationship to demographic parity. We also illustrate a potential pitfall of the fairness visibility measure that can be exploited to mislead individuals into perceiving that the algorithmic decisions are fair. We demonstrate how the problem can be alleviated by increasing the local neighborhood size of the fairness perception function.


Intimate Partner Violence and Injury Prediction From Radiology Reports

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Intimate partner violence (IPV) is an urgent, prevalent, and under-detected public health issue. We present machine learning models to assess patients for IPV and injury. We train the predictive algorithms on radiology reports with 1) IPV labels based on entry to a violence prevention program and 2) injury labels provided by emergency radiology fellowship-trained physicians. Our dataset includes 34,642 radiology reports and 1479 patients of IPV victims and control patients. Our best model predicts IPV a median of 3.08 years before violence prevention program entry with a sensitivity of 64% and a specificity of 95%. We conduct error analysis to determine for which patients our model has especially high or low performance and discuss next steps for a deployed clinical risk model.


Testing for Normality with Neural Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we treat the problem of testing for normality as a binary classification problem and construct a feedforward neural network that can successfully detect normal distributions by inspecting small samples from them. The numerical experiments conducted on small samples with no more than 100 elements indicated that the neural network which we trained was more accurate and far more powerful than the most frequently used and most powerful standard tests of normality: Shapiro-Wilk, Anderson-Darling, Lilliefors and Jarque-Berra, as well as the kernel tests of goodness-of-fit. The neural network had the AUROC score of almost 1, which corresponds to the perfect binary classifier. Additionally, the network's accuracy was higher than 96% on a set of larger samples with 250-1000 elements. Since the normality of data is an assumption of numerous techniques for analysis and inference, the neural network constructed in this study has a very high potential for use in everyday practice of statistics, data analysis and machine learning in both science and industry.


Privacy-Aware Recommender Systems Challenge on Twitter's Home Timeline

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Recommender systems constitute the core engine of most social network platforms nowadays, aiming to maximize user satisfaction along with other key business objectives. Twitter is no exception. Despite the fact that Twitter data has been extensively used to understand socioeconomic and political phenomena and user behaviour, the implicit feedback provided by users on Tweets through their engagements on the Home Timeline has only been explored to a limited extent. At the same time, there is a lack of large-scale public social network datasets that would enable the scientific community to both benchmark and build more powerful and comprehensive models that tailor content to user interests. By releasing an original dataset of 160 million Tweets along with engagement information, Twitter aims to address exactly that. During this release, special attention is drawn on maintaining compliance with existing privacy laws. Apart from user privacy, this paper touches on the key challenges faced by researchers and professionals striving to predict user engagements. It further describes the key aspects of the RecSys 2020 Challenge that was organized by ACM RecSys in partnership with Twitter using this dataset.


Tractography filtering using autoencoders

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Current brain white matter fiber tracking techniques show a number of problems, including: generating large proportions of streamlines that do not accurately describe the underlying anatomy; extracting streamlines that are not supported by the underlying diffusion signal; and under-representing some fiber populations, among others. In this paper, we describe a novel unsupervised learning method to filter streamlines from diffusion MRI tractography, and hence, to obtain more reliable tractograms. We show that a convolutional neural network autoencoder provides a straightforward and elegant way to learn a robust representation of brain streamlines, which can be used to filter undesired samples with a nearest neighbor algorithm. Our method, dubbed FINTA (Filtering in Tractography using Autoencoders) comes with several key advantages: training does not need labeled data, as it uses raw tractograms, it is fast and easily reproducible, it does not rely on the input diffusion MRI data, and thus, does not suffer from domain adaptation issues. We demonstrate the ability of FINTA to discriminate between "plausible" and "implausible" streamlines as well as to recover individual streamline group instances from a raw tractogram, from both synthetic and real human brain diffusion MRI tractography data, including partial tractograms. Results reveal that FINTA has a superior filtering performance compared to state-of-the-art methods. Together, this work brings forward a new deep learning framework in tractography based on autoencoders, and shows how it can be applied for filtering purposes. It sets the foundations for opening up new prospects towards more accurate and robust tractometry and connectivity diffusion MRI analyses, which may ultimately lead to improve the imaging of the white matter anatomy.


Abductive Knowledge Induction From Raw Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

For many reasoning-heavy tasks, it is challenging to find an appropriate end-to-end differentiable approximation to domain-specific inference mechanisms. Neural-Symbolic (NeSy) AI divides the end-to-end pipeline into neural perception and symbolic reasoning, which can directly exploit general domain knowledge such as algorithms and logic rules. However, it suffers from the exponential computational complexity caused by the interface between the two components, where the neural model lacks direct supervision, and the symbolic model lacks accurate input facts. As a result, they usually focus on learning the neural model with a sound and complete symbolic knowledge base while avoiding a crucial problem: where does the knowledge come from? In this paper, we present Abductive Meta-Interpretive Learning ($Meta_{Abd}$), which unites abduction and induction to learn perceptual neural network and first-order logic theories simultaneously from raw data. Given the same amount of domain knowledge, we demonstrate that $Meta_{Abd}$ not only outperforms the compared end-to-end models in predictive accuracy and data efficiency but also induces logic programs that can be re-used as background knowledge in subsequent learning tasks. To the best of our knowledge, $Meta_{Abd}$ is the first system that can jointly learn neural networks and recursive first-order logic theories with predicate invention.