In recent years, there has been considerable innovation in the world of predictive methodologies. This is evident by the relative domination of machine learning approaches in various classification competitions. While these algorithms have excelled at multivariate problems, they have remained dormant in the realm of functional data analysis. We extend notable deep learning methodologies to the domain of functional data for the purpose of classification problems. We highlight the effectiveness of our method in a number of classification applications such as classification of spectrographic data. Moreover, we demonstrate the performance of our classifier through simulation studies in which we compare our approach to the functional linear model and other conventional classification methods.

Twitter has become an important communication channel in times of emergency. The ubiquitousness of smartphones enables people to announce an emergency they're observing in real-time. Because of this, more agencies are interested in programatically monitoring Twitter (disaster relief organizations and news agencies) and therefore recognizing the informativeness of a tweet can help filter noise from large volumes of data. In this paper, we present our submission for WNUT-2020 Task 2: Identification of informative COVID-19 English Tweets. Our most successful model is an ensemble of transformers including RoBERTa, XLNet, and BERTweet trained in a semi-supervised experimental setting. The proposed system achieves a F1 score of 0.9011 on the test set (ranking 7th on the leaderboard), and shows significant gains in performance compared to a baseline system using fasttext embeddings.

For several years till date, the major issues in terms of solving for classification problems are the issues of Imbalanced data. Because majority of the machine learning algorithms by default assumes all data are balanced, the algorithms do not take into consideration the distribution of the data sample class. The results tend to be unsatisfactory and skewed towards the majority sample class distribution. This implies that the consequences as a result of using a model built using an Imbalanced data without handling for the Imbalance in the data could be misleading both in practice and theory. Most researchers have focused on the application of Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) and Adaptive Synthetic (ADASYN) Sampling Approach in handling data Imbalance independently in their works and have failed to better explain the algorithms behind these techniques with computed examples. This paper focuses on both synthetic oversampling techniques and manually computes synthetic data points to enhance easy comprehension of the algorithms. We analyze the application of these synthetic oversampling techniques on binary classification problems with different Imbalanced ratios and sample sizes.

Determining when and whether to provide personalized support is a well-known challenge called the assistance dilemma. A core problem in solving the assistance dilemma is the need to discover when students are unproductive so that the tutor can intervene. Such a task is particularly challenging for open-ended domains, even those that are well-structured with defined principles and goals. In this paper, we present a set of data-driven methods to classify, predict, and prevent unproductive problem-solving steps in the well-structured open-ended domain of logic. This approach leverages and extends the Hint Factory, a set of methods that leverages prior student solution attempts to build data-driven intelligent tutors. We present a HelpNeed classification, that uses prior student data to determine when students are likely to be unproductive and need help learning optimal problem-solving strategies. We present a controlled study to determine the impact of an Adaptive pedagogical policy that provides proactive hints at the start of each step based on the outcomes of our HelpNeed predictor: productive vs. unproductive. Our results show that the students in the Adaptive condition exhibited better training behaviors, with lower help avoidance, and higher help appropriateness (a higher chance of receiving help when it was likely to be needed), as measured using the HelpNeed classifier, when compared to the Control. Furthermore, the results show that the students who received Adaptive hints based on HelpNeed predictions during training significantly outperform their Control peers on the posttest, with the former producing shorter, more optimal solutions in less time. We conclude with suggestions on how these HelpNeed methods could be applied in other well-structured open-ended domains.

Understanding and removing bias from the decisions made by machine learning models is essential to avoid discrimination against unprivileged groups. Despite recent progress in algorithmic fairness, there is still no clear answer as to which bias-mitigation approaches are most effective. Evaluation strategies are typically use-case specific, rely on data with unclear bias, and employ a fixed policy to convert model outputs to decision outcomes. To address these problems, we performed a systematic comparison of a number of popular fairness algorithms applicable to supervised classification. Our study is the most comprehensive of its kind. It utilizes three real and four synthetic datasets, and two different ways of converting model outputs to decisions. It considers fairness, predictive-performance, calibration quality, and speed of 28 different modelling pipelines, corresponding to both fairness-unaware and fairness-aware algorithms. We found that fairness-unaware algorithms typically fail to produce adequately fair models and that the simplest algorithms are not necessarily the fairest ones. We also found that fairness-aware algorithms can induce fairness without material drops in predictive power. Finally, we found that dataset idiosyncracies (e.g., degree of intrinsic unfairness, nature of correlations) do affect the performance of fairness-aware approaches. Our results allow the practitioner to narrow down the approach(es) they would like to adopt without having to know in advance their fairness requirements.

Online fraud is estimated to be costing businesses more than £3billion a year, according to the FBI's Internet Crime Report 2019. Excluding the United States, the United Kingdom is by far the worst affected country by number of victims. At Inawisdom, our post-fraud analyses have identified several patterns. The most common include using a common IP address or similar data in fraudulent accounts, such as email domains. In other cases, fraudsters fake the entered country, residential status, or work status when applying for accounts.

And yet rapid tests like the Abbott test have led to reports among the general population of false negatives (reports that you don't have the virus when you really do). That means some people may have been unknowingly spreading the virus to others. The White House outbreak is a very good illustration of the limitations of rapid testing. But it should not deter us from the strategy entirely--we just need to use the technology properly. No test is 100% accurate, but the gold standard for diagnosing covid-19 is a PCR test.

Machine learning models depend on the quality of input data. As electronic health records are widely adopted, the amount of data in health care is growing, along with complaints about the quality of medical notes. We use two prediction tasks, readmission prediction and in-hospital mortality prediction, to characterize the value of information in medical notes. We show that as a whole, medical notes only provide additional predictive power over structured information in readmission prediction. We further propose a probing framework to select parts of notes that enable more accurate predictions than using all notes, despite that the selected information leads to a distribution shift from the training data ("all notes"). Finally, we demonstrate that models trained on the selected valuable information achieve even better predictive performance, with only 6.8% of all the tokens for readmission prediction.

Algorithmic fairness is a major concern in recent years as the influence of machine learning algorithms becomes more widespread. In this paper, we investigate the issue of algorithmic fairness from a network-centric perspective. Specifically, we introduce a novel yet intuitive function known as network-centric fairness perception and provide an axiomatic approach to analyze its properties. Using a peer-review network as case study, we also examine its utility in terms of assessing the perception of fairness in paper acceptance decisions. We show how the function can be extended to a group fairness metric known as fairness visibility and demonstrate its relationship to demographic parity. We also illustrate a potential pitfall of the fairness visibility measure that can be exploited to mislead individuals into perceiving that the algorithmic decisions are fair. We demonstrate how the problem can be alleviated by increasing the local neighborhood size of the fairness perception function.

Intimate partner violence (IPV) is an urgent, prevalent, and under-detected public health issue. We present machine learning models to assess patients for IPV and injury. We train the predictive algorithms on radiology reports with 1) IPV labels based on entry to a violence prevention program and 2) injury labels provided by emergency radiology fellowship-trained physicians. Our dataset includes 34,642 radiology reports and 1479 patients of IPV victims and control patients. Our best model predicts IPV a median of 3.08 years before violence prevention program entry with a sensitivity of 64% and a specificity of 95%. We conduct error analysis to determine for which patients our model has especially high or low performance and discuss next steps for a deployed clinical risk model.