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 Performance Analysis


Quantitative Evaluations on Saliency Methods: An Experimental Study

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

It has been long debated that eXplainable AI (XAI) is an important topic, but it lacks rigorous definition and fair metrics. In this paper, we briefly summarize the status quo of the metrics, along with an exhaustive experimental study based on them, including faithfulness, localization, false-positives, sensitivity check, and stability. With the experimental results, we conclude that among all the methods we compare, no single explanation method dominates others in all metrics. Nonetheless, Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM) and Randomly Input Sampling for Explanation (RISE) perform fairly well in most of the metrics. Utilizing a set of filtered metrics, we further present a case study to diagnose the classification bases for models. While providing a comprehensive experimental study of metrics, we also examine measuring factors that are missed in current metrics and hope this valuable work could serve as a guide for future research.


Fairness in Machine Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Machine learning based systems are reaching society at large and in many aspects of everyday life. This phenomenon has been accompanied by concerns about the ethical issues that may arise from the adoption of these technologies. ML fairness is a recently established area of machine learning that studies how to ensure that biases in the data and model inaccuracies do not lead to models that treat individuals unfavorably on the basis of characteristics such as e.g. race, gender, disabilities, and sexual or political orientation. In this manuscript, we discuss some of the limitations present in the current reasoning about fairness and in methods that deal with it, and describe some work done by the authors to address them. More specifically, we show how causal Bayesian networks can play an important role to reason about and deal with fairness, especially in complex unfairness scenarios. We describe how optimal transport theory can be used to develop methods that impose constraints on the full shapes of distributions corresponding to different sensitive attributes, overcoming the limitation of most approaches that approximate fairness desiderata by imposing constraints on the lower order moments or other functions of those distributions. We present a unified framework that encompasses methods that can deal with different settings and fairness criteria, and that enjoys strong theoretical guarantees. We introduce an approach to learn fair representations that can generalize to unseen tasks. Finally, we describe a technique that accounts for legal restrictions about the use of sensitive attributes.


Heroes of 2020: Ed Yong and His Prescient, Terrifying, and Inspiring Coronavirus Writing

Mother Jones

There was a point for all of us, somewhere near the beginning of the pandemic, where we said to ourselves, oh shit. One of my first oh-shit moments arrived after reading Ed Yong's sobering feature, "How the Pandemic Will End," in the Atlantic in March. The coronavirus, Yong wrote, was "unlikely to disappear entirely," and he explained that it was possible that "COVID-19 may become like the flu is today--a recurring scourge of winter." I repeat: Yong wrote this in March. The day it published, the United States had so far detected around 68,000 cases of COVID-19 and documented less than 1,000 deaths, according to the CDC. In the days ahead of its publication, California became the first state to mandate its citizens stay home; Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said that Americans would likely need to socially distance for "at least several weeks"; and President Donald Trump said he wanted to have the country "opened up and just raring to go by Easter."


Optimal trees selection for classification via out-of-bag assessment and sub-bagging

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The effect of training data size on machine learning methods has been well investigated over the past two decades. The predictive performance of tree based machine learning methods, in general, improves with a decreasing rate as the size of training data increases. We investigate this in optimal trees ensemble (OTE) where the method fails to learn from some of the training observations due to internal validation. Modified tree selection methods are thus proposed for OTE to cater for the loss of training observations in internal validation. In the first method, corresponding out-of-bag (OOB) observations are used in both individual and collective performance assessment for each tree. Trees are ranked based on their individual performance on the OOB observations. A certain number of top ranked trees is selected and starting from the most accurate tree, subsequent trees are added one by one and their impact is recorded by using the OOB observations left out from the bootstrap sample taken for the tree being added. A tree is selected if it improves predictive accuracy of the ensemble. In the second approach, trees are grown on random subsets, taken without replacement-known as sub-bagging, of the training data instead of bootstrap samples (taken with replacement). The remaining observations from each sample are used in both individual and collective assessments for each corresponding tree similar to the first method. Analysis on 21 benchmark datasets and simulations studies show improved performance of the modified methods in comparison to OTE and other state-of-the-art methods.


Provably Training Neural Network Classifiers under Fairness Constraints

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Training a classifier under fairness constraints has gotten increasing attention in the machine learning community thanks to moral, legal, and business reasons. However, several recent works addressing algorithmic fairness have only focused on simple models such as logistic regression or support vector machines due to non-convex and non-differentiable fairness criteria across protected groups, such as race or gender. Neural networks, the most widely used models for classification nowadays, are precluded and lack theoretical guarantees. This paper aims to fill this missing but crucial part of the literature of algorithmic fairness for neural networks. In particular, we show that overparametrized neural networks could meet the fairness constraints. The key ingredient of building a fair neural network classifier is establishing no-regret analysis for neural networks in the overparameterization regime, which may be of independent interest in the online learning of neural networks and related applications.


A Maximal Correlation Approach to Imposing Fairness in Machine Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

As machine learning algorithms grow in popularity and diversify to many industries, ethical and legal concerns regarding their fairness have become increasingly relevant. We explore the problem of algorithmic fairness, taking an information-theoretic view. The maximal correlation framework is introduced for expressing fairness constraints and shown to be capable of being used to derive regularizers that enforce independence and separation-based fairness criteria, which admit optimization algorithms for both discrete and continuous variables which are more computationally efficient than existing algorithms. We show that these algorithms provide smooth performance-fairness tradeoff curves and perform competitively with state-of-the-art methods on both discrete datasets (COMPAS, Adult) and continuous datasets (Communities and Crimes).


A Novel Resampling Technique for Imbalanced Dataset Optimization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Despite the enormous amount of data, particular events of interest can still be quite rare. Classification of rare events is a common problem in many domains, such as fraudulent transactions, malware traffic analysis and network intrusion detection. Many studies have been developed for malware detection using machine learning approaches on various datasets, but as far as we know only the MTA-KDD'19 dataset has the peculiarity of updating the representative set of malicious traffic on a daily basis. This daily updating is the added value of the dataset, but it translates into a potential due to the class imbalance problem that the RRw-Optimized MTA-KDD'19 will occur. We capture difficulties of class distribution in real datasets by considering four types of minority class examples: safe, borderline, rare and outliers. In this work, we developed two versions of Generative Silhouette Resampling 1-Nearest Neighbour (G1Nos) oversampling algorithms for dealing with class imbalance problem. The first module of G1Nos algorithms performs a coefficient-based instance selection silhouette identifying the critical threshold of Imbalance Degree. (ID), the second module generates synthetic samples using a SMOTE-like oversampling algorithm. The balancing of the classes is done by our G1Nos algorithms to re-establish the proportions between the two classes of the used dataset. The experimental results show that our oversampling algorithm work better than the other two SOTA methodologies in all the metrics considered.


Adjusted chi-square test for degree-corrected block models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a goodness-of-fit test for degree-corrected stochastic block models (DCSBM). The test is based on an adjusted chi-square statistic for measuring equality of means among groups of $n$ multinomial distributions with $d_1,\dots,d_n$ observations. In the context of network models, the number of multinomials, $n$, grows much faster than the number of observations, $d_i$, hence the setting deviates from classical asymptotics. We show that a simple adjustment allows the statistic to converge in distribution, under null, as long as the harmonic mean of $\{d_i\}$ grows to infinity. This result applies to large sparse networks where the role of $d_i$ is played by the degree of node $i$. Our distributional results are nonasymptotic, with explicit constants, providing finite-sample bounds on the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance to the target distribution. When applied sequentially, the test can also be used to determine the number of communities. The test operates on a (row) compressed version of the adjacency matrix, conditional on the degrees, and as a result is highly scalable to large sparse networks. We incorporate a novel idea of compressing the columns based on a $(K+1)$-community assignment when testing for $K$ communities. This approach increases the power in sequential applications without sacrificing computational efficiency, and we prove its consistency in recovering the number of communities. Since the test statistic does not rely on a specific alternative, its utility goes beyond sequential testing and can be used to simultaneously test against a wide range of alternatives outside the DCSBM family. We show the effectiveness of the approach by extensive numerical experiments with simulated and real data. In particular, applying the test to the Facebook-100 dataset, we find that a DCSBM with a small number of communities is far from a good fit in almost all cases.


Equipment Failure Analysis for Oil and Gas Industry with an Ensemble Predictive Model

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper aims at improving the classification accuracy of a Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier with Sequential Minimal Optimization (SMO) training algorithm in order to properly classify failure and normal instances from oil and gas equipment data. Recent applications of failure analysis have made use of the SVM technique without implementing SMO training algorithm, while in our study we show that the proposed solution can perform much better when using the SMO training algorithm. Furthermore, we implement the ensemble approach, which is a hybrid rule based and neural network classifier to improve the performance of the SVM classifier (with SMO training algorithm). The optimization study is as a result of the underperformance of the classifier when dealing with imbalanced dataset. The selected best performing classifiers are combined together with SVM classifier (with SMO training algorithm) by using the stacking ensemble method which is to create an efficient ensemble predictive model that can handle the issue of imbalanced data. The classification performance of this predictive model is considerably better than the SVM with and without SMO training algorithm and many other conventional classifiers.


Drift-Aware Multi-Memory Model for Imbalanced Data Streams

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Online class imbalance learning deals with data streams that are affected by both concept drift and class imbalance. Online learning tries to find a trade-off between exploiting previously learned information and incorporating new information into the model. This requires both the incremental update of the model and the ability to unlearn outdated information. The improper use of unlearning, however, can lead to the retroactive interference problem, a phenomenon that occurs when newly learned information interferes with the old information and impedes the recall of previously learned information. The problem becomes more severe when the classes are not equally represented, resulting in the removal of minority information from the model. In this work, we propose the Drift-Aware Multi-Memory Model (DAM3), which addresses the class imbalance problem in online learning for memory-based models. DAM3 mitigates class imbalance by incorporating an imbalance-sensitive drift detector, preserving a balanced representation of classes in the model, and resolving retroactive interference using a working memory that prevents the forgetting of old information. We show through experiments on real-world and synthetic datasets that the proposed method mitigates class imbalance and outperforms the state-of-the-art methods.