Performance Analysis
Distributionally Robust Learning
Chen, Ruidi, Paschalidis, Ioannis Ch.
This monograph develops a comprehensive statistical learning framework that is robust to (distributional) perturbations in the data using Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) under the Wasserstein metric. Beginning with fundamental properties of the Wasserstein metric and the DRO formulation, we explore duality to arrive at tractable formulations and develop finite-sample, as well as asymptotic, performance guarantees. We consider a series of learning problems, including (i) distributionally robust linear regression; (ii) distributionally robust regression with group structure in the predictors; (iii) distributionally robust multi-output regression and multiclass classification, (iv) optimal decision making that combines distributionally robust regression with nearest-neighbor estimation; (v) distributionally robust semi-supervised learning, and (vi) distributionally robust reinforcement learning. A tractable DRO relaxation for each problem is being derived, establishing a connection between robustness and regularization, and obtaining bounds on the prediction and estimation errors of the solution. Beyond theory, we include numerical experiments and case studies using synthetic and real data. The real data experiments are all associated with various health informatics problems, an application area which provided the initial impetus for this work.
Weakly-supervised Joint Anomaly Detection and Classification
Majhi, Snehashis, Das, Srijan, Bremond, Francois, Dash, Ratnakar, Sa, Pankaj Kumar
Anomaly activities such as robbery, explosion, accidents, etc. need immediate actions for preventing loss of human life and property in real world surveillance systems. Although the recent automation in surveillance systems are capable of detecting the anomalies, but they still need human efforts for categorizing the anomalies and taking necessary preventive actions. This is due to the lack of methodology performing both anomaly detection and classification for real world scenarios. Thinking of a fully automatized surveillance system, which is capable of both detecting and classifying the anomalies that need immediate actions, a joint anomaly detection and classification method is a pressing need. The task of joint detection and classification of anomalies becomes challenging due to the unavailability of dense annotated videos pertaining to anomalous classes, which is a crucial factor for training modern deep architecture. Furthermore, doing it through manual human effort seems impossible. Thus, we propose a method that jointly handles the anomaly detection and classification in a single framework by adopting a weakly-supervised learning paradigm. In weakly-supervised learning instead of dense temporal annotations, only video-level labels are sufficient for learning. The proposed model is validated on a large-scale publicly available UCF-Crime dataset, achieving state-of-the-art results.
Lexicon
Another application of lexicons and machine learning is sentiment analysis. In this application, words are assigned values for sentiment through training data. Using classifiers like the Naive-Bayes classifier, which classifies objects based on their independent features, machine learning models can process lexemes and assign them sentiment scores based on their individual characteristics. This method differs from a traditional, lexicon based, method for categorizing and assigning sentiment values to a set of lexemes because the bulk of the processing, excluding the training, is done in an unsupervised manner.
Structure Learning for Directed Trees
Jakobsen, Martin Emil, Shah, Rajen D., Bühlmann, Peter, Peters, Jonas
Knowing the causal structure of a system is of fundamental interest in many areas of science and can aid the design of prediction algorithms that work well under manipulations to the system. The causal structure becomes identifiable from the observational distribution under certain restrictions. To learn the structure from data, score-based methods evaluate different graphs according to the quality of their fits. However, for large nonlinear models, these rely on heuristic optimization approaches with no general guarantees of recovering the true causal structure. In this paper, we consider structure learning of directed trees. We propose a fast and scalable method based on Chu-Liu-Edmonds' algorithm we call causal additive trees (CAT). For the case of Gaussian errors, we prove consistency in an asymptotic regime with a vanishing identifiability gap. We also introduce a method for testing substructure hypotheses with asymptotic family-wise error rate control that is valid post-selection and in unidentified settings. Furthermore, we study the identifiability gap, which quantifies how much better the true causal model fits the observational distribution, and prove that it is lower bounded by local properties of the causal model. Simulation studies demonstrate the favorable performance of CAT compared to competing structure learning methods.
The Adaptive Multi-Factor Model and the Financial Market
Modern evolvements of the technologies have been leading to a profound influence on the financial market. The introduction of constituents like Exchange-Traded Funds, and the wide-use of advanced technologies such as algorithmic trading, results in a boom of the data which provides more opportunities to reveal deeper insights. However, traditional statistical methods always suffer from the high-dimensional, high-correlation, and time-varying instinct of the financial data. In this dissertation, we focus on developing techniques to stress these difficulties. With the proposed methodologies, we can have more interpretable models, clearer explanations, and better predictions.
Contrastive Identification of Covariate Shift in Image Data
Olson, Matthew L., Nguyen, Thuy-Vy, Dixit, Gaurav, Ratzlaff, Neale, Wong, Weng-Keen, Kahng, Minsuk
One possible approach may be to visualize training and test distributions side-by-side (i.e., juxtaposition) using Identifying covariate shift is crucial for making machine learning dimensionality reduction methods (e.g., t-SNE) [1] and show each systems robust in the real world and for detecting training data biases data point as an image thumbnail [4, 26]. However, the scale of that are not reflected in test data. However, detecting covariate shift modern image datasets makes it difficult because we cannot easily is challenging, especially when the data consists of high-dimensional show many images on the projected space [4,8]. Instead of visualizing images, and when multiple types of localized covariate shift affect the distributions of the entire training and test datasets globally, we different subspaces of the data. Although automated techniques aim to intelligently show only local regions of the space, where the can be used to detect the existence of covariate shift, our goal is to locality is informed by the detection algorithm. For example, given help human users characterize the extent of covariate shift in large a test set image highly ranked by a shift detection algorithm (i.e., image datasets with interfaces that seamlessly integrate information deviated from training set distribution), a visualization may show obtained from the detection algorithms. In this paper, we design that many of its similar test images (i.e., local neighborhood) share a and evaluate a new visual interface that facilitates the comparison characteristic (e.g., many faces with sunglasses) while the similar of the local distributions of training and test data. We conduct a training images do not (e.g., no faces with sunglasses).
Comparison of predicted psychological distress among workers between artificial intelligence and psychiatrists: a cross-sectional study in Tsukuba Science City, Japan
Objectives Psychological distress is a worldwide problem and a serious problem that needs to be addressed in the field of occupational health. This study aimed to use artificial intelligence (AI) to predict psychological distress among workers using sociodemographic, lifestyle and sleep factors, not subjective information such as mood and emotion, and to examine the performance of the AI models through a comparison with psychiatrists. Design Cross-sectional study. Setting We conducted a survey on psychological distress and living conditions among workers. An AI model for predicting psychological distress was created and then the results were compared in terms of accuracy with predictions made by psychiatrists. Participants An AI model of the neural network and six psychiatrists. Primary outcome The accuracies of the AI model and psychiatrists for predicting psychological distress. Methods In total, data from 7251 workers were analysed to predict moderate and severe psychological distress. An AI model of the neural network was created and accuracy, sensitivity and specificity were calculated. Six psychiatrists used the same data as the AI model to predict psychological distress and conduct a comparison with the AI model. Results The accuracies of the AI model and psychiatrists for predicting moderate psychological distress were 65.2% and 64.4%, respectively, showing no significant difference. The accuracies of the AI model and psychiatrists for predicting severe psychological distress were 89.9% and 85.5%, respectively, indicating that the AI model had significantly higher accuracy. Conclusions A machine learning model was successfully developed to screen workers with depressed mood. The explanatory variables used for the predictions did not directly ask about mood. Therefore, this newly developed model appears to be able to predict psychological distress among workers easily, regardless of their subjective views. No data are available.
ALLNet: A Hybrid Convolutional Neural Network to Improve Diagnosis of Acute Lymphocytic Leukemia (ALL) in White Blood Cells
Mattapalli, Sai, Athavale, Rishi
Due to morphological similarity at the microscopic level, making an accurate and time-sensitive distinction between blood cells affected by Acute Lymphocytic Leukemia (ALL) and their healthy counterparts calls for the usage of machine learning architectures. However, three of the most common models, VGG, ResNet, and Inception, each come with their own set of flaws with room for improvement which demands the need for a superior model. ALLNet, the proposed hybrid convolutional neural network architecture, consists of a combination of the VGG, ResNet, and Inception models. The ALL Challenge dataset of ISBI 2019 (available here) contains 10,691 images of white blood cells which were used to train and test the models. 7,272 of the images in the dataset are of cells with ALL and 3,419 of them are of healthy cells. Of the images, 60% were used to train the model, 20% were used for the cross-validation set, and 20% were used for the test set. ALLNet outperformed the VGG, ResNet, and the Inception models across the board, achieving an accuracy of 92.6567%, a sensitivity of 95.5304%, a specificity of 85.9155%, an AUC score of 0.966347, and an F1 score of 0.94803 in the cross-validation set. In the test set, ALLNet achieved an accuracy of 92.0991%, a sensitivity of 96.5446%, a specificity of 82.8035%, an AUC score of 0.959972, and an F1 score of 0.942963. The utilization of ALLNet in the clinical workspace can better treat the thousands of people suffering from ALL across the world, many of whom are children.
A Framework for Understanding AI-Induced Field Change: How AI Technologies are Legitimized and Institutionalized
Artificial intelligence (AI) systems operate in increasingly diverse areas, from healthcare to facial recognition, the stock market, autonomous vehicles, and so on. While the underlying digital infrastructure of AI systems is developing rapidly, each area of implementation is subject to different degrees and processes of legitimization. By combining elements from institutional theory and information systems-theory, this paper presents a conceptual framework to analyze and understand AI-induced field-change. The introduction of novel AI-agents into new or existing fields creates a dynamic in which algorithms (re)shape organizations and institutions while existing institutional infrastructures determine the scope and speed at which organizational change is allowed to occur. Where institutional infrastructure and governance arrangements, such as standards, rules, and regulations, still are unelaborate, the field can move fast but is also more likely to be contested. The institutional infrastructure surrounding AI-induced fields is generally little elaborated, which could be an obstacle to the broader institutionalization of AI-systems going forward.
Trustworthy AI: A Computational Perspective
Liu, Haochen, Wang, Yiqi, Fan, Wenqi, Liu, Xiaorui, Li, Yaxin, Jain, Shaili, Liu, Yunhao, Jain, Anil K., Tang, Jiliang
In the past few decades, artificial intelligence (AI) technology has experienced swift developments, changing everyone's daily life and profoundly altering the course of human society. The intention of developing AI is to benefit humans, by reducing human labor, bringing everyday convenience to human lives, and promoting social good. However, recent research and AI applications show that AI can cause unintentional harm to humans, such as making unreliable decisions in safety-critical scenarios or undermining fairness by inadvertently discriminating against one group. Thus, trustworthy AI has attracted immense attention recently, which requires careful consideration to avoid the adverse effects that AI may bring to humans, so that humans can fully trust and live in harmony with AI technologies. Recent years have witnessed a tremendous amount of research on trustworthy AI. In this survey, we present a comprehensive survey of trustworthy AI from a computational perspective, to help readers understand the latest technologies for achieving trustworthy AI. Trustworthy AI is a large and complex area, involving various dimensions. In this work, we focus on six of the most crucial dimensions in achieving trustworthy AI: (i) Safety & Robustness, (ii) Non-discrimination & Fairness, (iii) Explainability, (iv) Privacy, (v) Accountability & Auditability, and (vi) Environmental Well-Being. For each dimension, we review the recent related technologies according to a taxonomy and summarize their applications in real-world systems. We also discuss the accordant and conflicting interactions among different dimensions and discuss potential aspects for trustworthy AI to investigate in the future.