New methods designed to preserve data privacy require careful scrutiny. Failure to preserve privacy is hard to detect, and yet can lead to catastrophic results when a system implementing a ``privacy-preserving'' method is attacked. A recent work selected for an Outstanding Paper Award at ICML 2022 (Dong et al., 2022) claims that dataset condensation (DC) significantly improves data privacy when training machine learning models. This claim is supported by theoretical analysis of a specific dataset condensation technique and an empirical evaluation of resistance to some existing membership inference attacks. In this note we examine the claims in the work of Dong et al. (2022) and describe major flaws in the empirical evaluation of the method and its theoretical analysis. These flaws imply that their work does not provide statistically significant evidence that DC improves the privacy of training ML models over a naive baseline. Moreover, previously published results show that DP-SGD, the standard approach to privacy preserving ML, simultaneously gives better accuracy and achieves a (provably) lower membership attack success rate.

To discover new drugs is to seek and to prove causality. As an emerging approach leveraging human knowledge and creativity, data, and machine intelligence, causal inference holds the promise of reducing cognitive bias and improving decision making in drug discovery. While it has been applied across the value chain, the concepts and practice of causal inference remain obscure to many practitioners. This article offers a non-technical introduction to causal inference, reviews its recent applications, and discusses opportunities and challenges of adopting the causal language in drug discovery and development.

We consider a latent space model for dynamic networks, where our objective is to estimate the pairwise inner products of the latent positions. To balance posterior inference and computational scalability, we present a structured mean-field variational inference framework, where the time-dependent properties of the dynamic networks are exploited to facilitate computation and inference. Additionally, an easy-to-implement block coordinate ascent algorithm is developed with message-passing type updates in each block, whereas the complexity per iteration is linear with the number of nodes and time points. To facilitate learning of the pairwise latent distances, we adopt a Gamma prior for the transition variance different from the literature. To certify the optimality, we demonstrate that the variational risk of the proposed variational inference approach attains the minimax optimal rate under certain conditions. En route, we derive the minimax lower bound, which might be of independent interest. To best of our knowledge, this is the first such exercise for dynamic latent space models. Simulations and real data analysis demonstrate the efficacy of our methodology and the efficiency of our algorithm. Finally, our proposed methodology can be readily extended to the case where the scales of the latent nodes are learned in a nodewise manner.

The presence of snow and ice on runway surfaces reduces the available tire-pavement friction needed for retardation and directional control and causes potential economic and safety threats for the aviation industry during the winter seasons. To activate appropriate safety procedures, pilots need accurate and timely information on the actual runway surface conditions. In this study, XGBoost is used to create a combined runway assessment system, which includes a classification model to identify slippery conditions and a regression model to predict the level of slipperiness. The models are trained on weather data and runway reports. The runway surface conditions are represented by the tire-pavement friction coefficient, which is estimated from flight sensor data from landing aircrafts. The XGBoost models are combined with SHAP approximations to provide a reliable decision support system for airport operators, which can contribute to safer and more economic operations of airport runways. To evaluate the performance of the prediction models, they are compared to several state-of-the-art runway assessment methods. The XGBoost models identify slippery runway conditions with a ROC AUC of 0.95, predict the friction coefficient with a MAE of 0.0254, and outperforms all the previous methods. The results show the strong abilities of machine learning methods to model complex, physical phenomena with a good accuracy. Published version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2022.103556.

Machine learning systems typically apply the same model to both easy and tough cases. This is in stark contrast with humans, who tend to evoke either fast (instinctive) or slow (analytical) thinking depending on the problem difficulty, a property called the dual-process theory of mind. We present FLOWGEN, a graph-generation model inspired by the dual-process theory of mind that generates large graphs incrementally. Depending on the difficulty of completing the graph at the current step, graph generation is routed to either a fast (weaker) or a slow (stronger) model. These modules have identical architectures, but vary in the number of parameters and consequently differ in generative power. Experiments on real-world graphs show that ours can successfully generate graphs similar to those generated by a single large model, while being up to 2x faster.

The literature for fairness-aware machine learning knows a plethora of different fairness notions. It is however wellknown, that it is impossible to satisfy all of them, as certain notions contradict each other. In this paper, we take a closer look at academic performance prediction (APP) systems and try to distil which fairness notions suit this task most. For this, we scan recent literature proposing guidelines as to which fairness notion to use and apply these guidelines onto APP. Our findings suggest equalised odds as most suitable notion for APP, based on APP's WYSIWYG worldview as well as potential long-term improvements for the population.

I had no success using regression, so first I'll use classification to determine which samples are zero, then do regression on the rest. The regression approach works quite well when there aren't a ton of zero values in y) Is this a valid approach to improving the ROC score? I can't see any reason why not but ML is not my specialty and I might be missing something. If it is valid, do I have to watch out for any class imbalances in the resulting high confidence test set when computing the ROC score?

For new participants - Executive summary: (1) The task is to develop a voice anonymization system for speech data which conceals the speaker's voice identity while protecting linguistic content, paralinguistic attributes, intelligibility and naturalness. (2) Training, development and evaluation datasets are provided in addition to 3 different baseline anonymization systems, evaluation scripts, and metrics. Participants apply their developed anonymization systems, run evaluation scripts and submit objective evaluation results and anonymized speech data to the organizers. (3) Results will be presented at a workshop held in conjunction with INTERSPEECH 2022 to which all participants are invited to present their challenge systems and to submit additional workshop papers. For readers familiar with the VoicePrivacy Challenge - Changes w.r.t. 2020: (1) A stronger, semi-informed attack model in the form of an automatic speaker verification (ASV) system trained on anonymized (per-utterance) speech data. (2) Complementary metrics comprising the equal error rate (EER) as a privacy metric, the word error rate (WER) as a primary utility metric, and the pitch correlation and gain of voice distinctiveness as secondary utility metrics. (3) A new ranking policy based upon a set of minimum target privacy requirements.

Assuming unknown classes could be present during classification, the open set recognition (OSR) task aims to classify an instance into a known class or reject it as unknown. In this paper, we use a two-stage training strategy for the OSR problems. In the first stage, we introduce a self-supervised feature decoupling method that finds the content features of the input samples from the known classes. Specifically, our feature decoupling approach learns a representation that can be split into content features and transformation features. In the second stage, we fine-tune the content features with the class labels. The fine-tuned content features are then used for the OSR problems. Moreover, we consider an unsupervised OSR scenario, where we cluster the content features learned from the first stage. To measure representation quality, we introduce intra-inter ratio (IIR). Our experimental results indicate that our proposed self-supervised approach outperforms others in image and malware OSR problems. Also, our analyses indicate that IIR is correlated with OSR performance.

Anomaly-based Intrusion Detection System (IDS) has been a hot research topic because of its ability to detect new threats rather than only memorized signatures threats of signature-based IDS. Especially after the availability of advanced technologies that increase the number of hacking tools and increase the risk impact of an attack. The problem of any anomaly-based model is its high false-positive rate. The high false-positive rate is the reason why anomaly IDS is not commonly applied in practice. Because anomaly-based models classify an unseen pattern as a threat where it may be normal but not included in the training dataset. This type of problem is called overfitting where the model is not able to generalize. Optimizing Anomaly-based models by having a big training dataset that includes all possible normal cases may be an optimal solution but could not be applied in practice. Although we can increase the number of training samples to include much more normal cases, still we need a model that has more ability to generalize. In this research paper, we propose applying deep model instead of traditional models because it has more ability to generalize. Thus, we will obtain less false-positive by using big data and deep model. We made a comparison between machine learning and deep learning algorithms in the optimization of anomaly-based IDS by decreasing the false-positive rate. We did an experiment on the NSL-KDD benchmark and compared our results with one of the best used classifiers in traditional learning in IDS optimization. The experiment shows 10% lower false-positive by using deep learning instead of traditional learning.