Performance Analysis
Towards trustworthy seizure onset detection using workflow notes
Saab, Khaled, Tang, Siyi, Taha, Mohamed, Lee-Messer, Christopher, Ré, Christopher, Rubin, Daniel
A major barrier to deploying healthcare AI models is their trustworthiness. One form of trustworthiness is a model's robustness across different subgroups: while existing models may exhibit expert-level performance on aggregate metrics, they often rely on non-causal features, leading to errors in hidden subgroups. To take a step closer towards trustworthy seizure onset detection from EEG, we propose to leverage annotations that are produced by healthcare personnel in routine clinical workflows -- which we refer to as workflow notes -- that include multiple event descriptions beyond seizures. Using workflow notes, we first show that by scaling training data to an unprecedented level of 68,920 EEG hours, seizure onset detection performance significantly improves (+12.3 AUROC points) compared to relying on smaller training sets with expensive manual gold-standard labels. Second, we reveal that our binary seizure onset detection model underperforms on clinically relevant subgroups (e.g., up to a margin of 6.5 AUROC points between pediatrics and adults), while having significantly higher false positives on EEG clips showing non-epileptiform abnormalities compared to any EEG clip (+19 FPR points). To improve model robustness to hidden subgroups, we train a multilabel model that classifies 26 attributes other than seizures, such as spikes, slowing, and movement artifacts. We find that our multilabel model significantly improves overall seizure onset detection performance (+5.9 AUROC points) while greatly improving performance among subgroups (up to +8.3 AUROC points), and decreases false positives on non-epileptiform abnormalities by 8 FPR points. Finally, we propose a clinical utility metric based on false positives per 24 EEG hours and find that our multilabel model improves this clinical utility metric by a factor of 2x across different clinical settings.
Temporally Extended Goal Recognition in Fully Observable Non-Deterministic Domain Models
Pereira, Ramon Fraga, Fuggitti, Francesco, Meneguzzi, Felipe, De Giacomo, Giuseppe
Goal Recognition is the task of discerning the correct intended goal that an agent aims to achieve, given a set of goal hypotheses, a domain model, and a sequence of observations (i.e., a sample of the plan executed in the environment). Existing approaches assume that goal hypotheses comprise a single conjunctive formula over a single final state and that the environment dynamics are deterministic, preventing the recognition of temporally extended goals in more complex settings. In this paper, we expand goal recognition to temporally extended goals in Fully Observable Non-Deterministic (FOND) planning domain models, focusing on goals on finite traces expressed in Linear Temporal Logic (LTLf) and Pure Past Linear Temporal Logic (PLTLf). We develop the first approach capable of recognizing goals in such settings and evaluate it using different LTLf and PLTLf goals over six FOND planning domain models. Empirical results show that our approach is accurate in recognizing temporally extended goals in different recognition settings.
Self-Supervised Polyp Re-Identification in Colonoscopy
Intrator, Yotam, Aizenberg, Natalie, Livne, Amir, Rivlin, Ehud, Goldenberg, Roman
Computer-aided polyp detection (CADe) is becoming a standard, integral part of any modern colonoscopy system. A typical colonoscopy CADe detects a polyp in a single frame and does not track it through the video sequence. Yet, many downstream tasks including polyp characterization (CADx), quality metrics, automatic reporting, require aggregating polyp data from multiple frames. In this work we propose a robust long term polyp tracking method based on re-identification by visual appearance. Our solution uses an attention-based self-supervised ML model, specifically designed to leverage the temporal nature of video input. We quantitatively evaluate method's performance and demonstrate its value for the CADx task.
An Exploratory Study of Masked Face Recognition with Machine Learning Algorithms
Automated face recognition is a widely adopted machine learning technology for contactless identification of people in various processes such as automated border control, secure login to electronic devices, community surveillance, tracking school attendance, workplace clock in and clock out. Using face masks have become crucial in our daily life with the recent world-wide COVID-19 pandemic. The use of face masks causes the performance of conventional face recognition technologies to degrade considerably. The effect of mask-wearing in face recognition is yet an understudied issue. In this paper, we address this issue by evaluating the performance of a number of face recognition models which are tested by identifying masked and unmasked face images. We use six conventional machine learning algorithms, which are SVC, KNN, LDA, DT, LR and NB, to find out the ones which perform best, besides the ones which poorly perform, in the presence of masked face images. Local Binary Pattern (LBP) is utilized as the feature extraction operator. We generated and used synthesized masked face images. We prepared unmasked, masked, and half-masked training datasets and evaluated the face recognition performance against both masked and unmasked images to present a broad view of this crucial problem. We believe that our study is unique in elaborating the mask-aware facial recognition with almost all possible scenarios including half_masked-to-masked and half_masked-to-unmasked besides evaluating a larger number of conventional machine learning algorithms compared the other studies in the literature.
Enhancing COVID-19 Diagnosis through Vision Transformer-Based Analysis of Chest X-ray Images
The advent of 2019 Coronavirus (COVID-19) has engendered a momentous global health crisis, necessitating the identification of the ailment in individuals through diverse diagnostic modalities. Radiological imaging, particularly the deployment of X-ray imaging, has been recognized as a pivotal instrument in the detection and characterization of COVID-19. Recent investigations have unveiled invaluable insights pertaining to the virus within X-ray images, instigating the exploration of methodologies aimed at augmenting diagnostic accuracy through the utilization of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques. The current research endeavor posits an innovative framework for the automated diagnosis of COVID-19, harnessing raw chest X-ray images, specifically by means of fine-tuning pre-trained Vision Transformer (ViT) models. The developed models were appraised in terms of their binary classification performance, discerning COVID-19 from Normal cases, as well as their ternary classification performance, discriminating COVID-19 from Pneumonia and Normal instances, and lastly, their quaternary classification performance, discriminating COVID-19 from Bacterial Pneumonia, Viral Pneumonia, and Normal conditions, employing distinct datasets. The proposed model evinced extraordinary precision, registering results of 99.92% and 99.84% for binary classification, 97.95% and 86.48% for ternary classification, and 86.81% for quaternary classification, respectively, on the respective datasets.
Continuous Learning for Android Malware Detection
Chen, Yizheng, Ding, Zhoujie, Wagner, David
Machine learning methods can detect Android malware with very high accuracy. However, these classifiers have an Achilles heel, concept drift: they rapidly become out of date and ineffective, due to the evolution of malware apps and benign apps. Our research finds that, after training an Android malware classifier on one year's worth of data, the F1 score quickly dropped from 0.99 to 0.76 after 6 months of deployment on new test samples. In this paper, we propose new methods to combat the concept drift problem of Android malware classifiers. Since machine learning technique needs to be continuously deployed, we use active learning: we select new samples for analysts to label, and then add the labeled samples to the training set to retrain the classifier. Our key idea is, similarity-based uncertainty is more robust against concept drift. Therefore, we combine contrastive learning with active learning. We propose a new hierarchical contrastive learning scheme, and a new sample selection technique to continuously train the Android malware classifier. Our evaluation shows that this leads to significant improvements, compared to previously published methods for active learning. Our approach reduces the false negative rate from 14% (for the best baseline) to 9%, while also reducing the false positive rate (from 0.86% to 0.48%). Also, our approach maintains more consistent performance across a seven-year time period than past methods.
Using Interventions to Improve Out-of-Distribution Generalization of Text-Matching Recommendation Systems
Bansal, Parikshit, Prabhu, Yashoteja, Kiciman, Emre, Sharma, Amit
Given a user's input text, text-matching recommender systems output relevant items by comparing the input text to available items' description, such as product-to-product recommendation on e-commerce platforms. As users' interests and item inventory are expected to change, it is important for a text-matching system to generalize to data shifts, a task known as out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization. However, we find that the popular approach of fine-tuning a large, base language model on paired item relevance data (e.g., user clicks) can be counter-productive for OOD generalization. For a product recommendation task, fine-tuning obtains worse accuracy than the base model when recommending items in a new category or for a future time period. To explain this generalization failure, we consider an intervention-based importance metric, which shows that a fine-tuned model captures spurious correlations and fails to learn the causal features that determine the relevance between any two text inputs. Moreover, standard methods for causal regularization do not apply in this setting, because unlike in images, there exist no universally spurious features in a text-matching task (the same token may be spurious or causal depending on the text it is being matched to). For OOD generalization on text inputs, therefore, we highlight a different goal: avoiding high importance scores for certain features. We do so using an intervention-based regularizer that constraints the causal effect of any token on the model's relevance score to be similar to the base model. Results on Amazon product and 3 question recommendation datasets show that our proposed regularizer improves generalization for both in-distribution and OOD evaluation, especially in difficult scenarios when the base model is not accurate.
Detection of sepsis during emergency department triage using machine learning
Ivanov, Oleksandr, Molander, Karin, Dunne, Robert, Liu, Stephen, Brecher, Deena, Masek, Kevin, Lewis, Erica, Wolf, Lisa, Travers, Debbie, Delaney, Deb, Montgomery, Kyla, Reilly, Christian
Sepsis is a life-threatening condition with organ dysfunction and is a leading cause of death and critical illness worldwide. Even a few hours of delay in the treatment of sepsis results in increased mortality. Early detection of sepsis during emergency department triage would allow early initiation of lab analysis, antibiotic administration, and other sepsis treatment protocols. The purpose of this study was to compare sepsis detection performance at ED triage (prior to the use of laboratory diagnostics) of the standard sepsis screening algorithm (SIRS with source of infection) and a machine learning algorithm trained on EHR triage data. A machine learning model (KATE Sepsis) was developed using patient encounters with triage data from 16participating hospitals. KATE Sepsis and standard screening were retrospectively evaluated on the adult population of 512,949 medical records. KATE Sepsis demonstrates an AUC of 0.9423 (0.9401 - 0.9441) with sensitivity of 71.09% (70.12% - 71.98%) and specificity of 94.81% (94.75% - 94.87%). Standard screening demonstrates an AUC of 0.6826 (0.6774 - 0.6878) with sensitivity of 40.8% (39.71% - 41.86%) and specificity of 95.72% (95.68% - 95.78%). The KATE Sepsis model trained to detect sepsis demonstrates 77.67% (75.78% -79.42%) sensitivity in detecting severe sepsis and 86.95% (84.2% - 88.81%) sensitivity in detecting septic shock. The standard screening protocol demonstrates 43.06% (41% - 45.87%) sensitivity in detecting severe sepsis and40% (36.55% - 43.26%) sensitivity in detecting septic shock. Future research should focus on the prospective impact of KATE Sepsis on administration of antibiotics, readmission rate, morbidity and mortality.
Distributionally Robust Data Join
Awasthi, Pranjal, Jung, Christopher, Morgenstern, Jamie
Suppose we are given two datasets: a labeled dataset and unlabeled dataset which also has additional auxiliary features not present in the first dataset. What is the most principled way to use these datasets together to construct a predictor? The answer should depend upon whether these datasets are generated by the same or different distributions over their mutual feature sets, and how similar the test distribution will be to either of those distributions. In many applications, the two datasets will likely follow different distributions, but both may be close to the test distribution. We introduce the problem of building a predictor which minimizes the maximum loss over all probability distributions over the original features, auxiliary features, and binary labels, whose Wasserstein distance is $r_1$ away from the empirical distribution over the labeled dataset and $r_2$ away from that of the unlabeled dataset. This can be thought of as a generalization of distributionally robust optimization (DRO), which allows for two data sources, one of which is unlabeled and may contain auxiliary features.
Investigating Membership Inference Attacks under Data Dependencies
Humphries, Thomas, Oya, Simon, Tulloch, Lindsey, Rafuse, Matthew, Goldberg, Ian, Hengartner, Urs, Kerschbaum, Florian
Training machine learning models on privacy-sensitive data has become a popular practice, driving innovation in ever-expanding fields. This has opened the door to new attacks that can have serious privacy implications. One such attack, the Membership Inference Attack (MIA), exposes whether or not a particular data point was used to train a model. A growing body of literature uses Differentially Private (DP) training algorithms as a defence against such attacks. However, these works evaluate the defence under the restrictive assumption that all members of the training set, as well as non-members, are independent and identically distributed. This assumption does not hold for many real-world use cases in the literature. Motivated by this, we evaluate membership inference with statistical dependencies among samples and explain why DP does not provide meaningful protection (the privacy parameter $\epsilon$ scales with the training set size $n$) in this more general case. We conduct a series of empirical evaluations with off-the-shelf MIAs using training sets built from real-world data showing different types of dependencies among samples. Our results reveal that training set dependencies can severely increase the performance of MIAs, and therefore assuming that data samples are statistically independent can significantly underestimate the performance of MIAs.