Landslides have been a regular occurrence and an alarming threat to human life and property in the era of anthropogenic global warming. An early prediction of landslide susceptibility using a data-driven approach is a demand of time. In this study, we explored the eloquent features that best describe landslide susceptibility with state-of-the-art machine learning methods. In our study, we employed state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms including XgBoost, LR, KNN, SVM, and Adaboost for landslide susceptibility prediction. To find the best hyperparameters of each individual classifier for optimized performance, we have incorporated the Grid Search method, with 10 Fold Cross-Validation. In this context, the optimized version of XgBoost outperformed all other classifiers with a Cross-validation Weighted F1 score of 94.62 %. Followed by this empirical evidence, we explored the XgBoost classifier by incorporating TreeSHAP, a game-theory-based statistical algorithm used to explain Machine Learning models, to identify eloquent features such as SLOPE, ELEVATION, TWI that complement the performance of the XGBoost classifier mostly and features such as LANDUSE, NDVI, SPI which has less effect on models performance. According to the TreeSHAP explanation of features, we selected the 9 most significant landslide causal factors out of 15. Evidently, an optimized version of XgBoost along with feature reduction by 40 % has outperformed all other classifiers in terms of popular evaluation metrics with a Cross-Validation Weighted F1 score of 95.01 % on the training and AUC score of 97 %

In recent years, a number of process-based anomaly detection schemes for Industrial Control Systems were proposed. In this work, we provide the first systematic analysis of such schemes, and introduce a taxonomy of properties that are verified by those detection systems. We then present a novel general framework to generate adversarial spoofing signals that violate physical properties of the system, and use the framework to analyze four anomaly detectors published at top security conferences. We find that three of those detectors are susceptible to a number of adversarial manipulations (e.g., spoofing with precomputed patterns), which we call Synthetic Sensor Spoofing and one is resilient against our attacks. We investigate the root of its resilience and demonstrate that it comes from the properties that we introduced. Our attacks reduce the Recall (True Positive Rate) of the attacked schemes making them not able to correctly detect anomalies. Thus, the vulnerabilities we discovered in the anomaly detectors show that (despite an original good detection performance), those detectors are not able to reliably learn physical properties of the system. Even attacks that prior work was expected to be resilient against (based on verified properties) were found to be successful. We argue that our findings demonstrate the need for both more complete attacks in datasets, and more critical analysis of process-based anomaly detectors. We plan to release our implementation as open-source, together with an extension of two public datasets with a set of Synthetic Sensor Spoofing attacks as generated by our framework.

We study joint learning of network topology and a mixed opinion dynamics, in which agents may have different update rules. Such a model captures the diversity of real individual interactions. We propose a learning algorithm based on multi-armed bandit algorithms to address the problem. The goal of the algorithm is to find each agent's update rule from several candidate rules and to learn the underlying network. At each iteration, the algorithm assumes that each agent has one of the updated rules and then modifies network estimates to reduce validation error. Numerical experiments show that the proposed algorithm improves initial estimates of the network and update rules, decreases prediction error, and performs better than other methods such as sparse linear regression and Gaussian process regression.

While a number of metrics--such as log-likelihood, userspecified This paper proposes a new metric to measure the scoring functions, and the area under the receiver calibration error of probabilistic binary classifiers, operating characteristic (ROC) curve--are used to assess the called test-based calibration error (TCE). TCE incorporates quality of probabilistic classifiers, it is usually hard or even a novel loss function based on a statistical impossible to gauge whether predictions are well-calibrated test to examine the extent to which model predictions from the values of these metrics. For assessment of calibration, differ from probabilities estimated from it is typically necessary to use a metric that measures data. It offers (i) a clear interpretation, (ii) a consistent calibration error, that is, a deviation between model predictions scale that is unaffected by class imbalance, and and probabilities of target occurrences estimated from (iii) an enhanced visual representation with repect data. The importance of assessing calibration error has been to the standard reliability diagram. In addition, we long emphasised in machine learning [Nixon et al., 2019, introduce an optimality criterion for the binning Minderer et al., 2021] and in probabilistic forecasting more procedure of calibration error metrics based on a broadly [Dawid, 1982, Degroot and Fienberg, 1983].

Federated learning (FL) has been a hot topic in recent years. Ever since it was introduced, researchers have endeavored to devise FL systems that protect privacy or ensure fair results, with most research focusing on one or the other. As two crucial ethical notions, the interactions between privacy and fairness are comparatively less studied. However, since privacy and fairness compete, considering each in isolation will inevitably come at the cost of the other. To provide a broad view of these two critical topics, we presented a detailed literature review of privacy and fairness issues, highlighting unique challenges posed by FL and solutions in federated settings. We further systematically surveyed different interactions between privacy and fairness, trying to reveal how privacy and fairness could affect each other and point out new research directions in fair and private FL.

Discourse processing suffers from data sparsity, especially for dialogues. As a result, we explore approaches to build discourse structures for dialogues, based on attention matrices from Pre-trained Language Models (PLMs). We investigate multiple tasks for fine-tuning and show that the dialogue-tailored Sentence Ordering task performs best. To locate and exploit discourse information in PLMs, we propose an unsupervised and a semi-supervised method. Our proposals achieve encouraging results on the STAC corpus, with F1 scores of 57.2 and 59.3 for unsupervised and semi-supervised methods, respectively. When restricted to projective trees, our scores improved to 63.3 and 68.1.

Parameter selection in high-dimensional models is typically finetuned in a way that keeps the (relative) number of false positives under control. This is because otherwise the few true positives may be dominated by the many possible false positives. This happens, for instance, when the selection follows from a naive optimisation of an information criterion, such as AIC or Mallows's Cp. It can be argued that the overestimation of the selection comes from the optimisation process itself changing the statistics of the selected variables, in a way that the information criterion no longer reflects the true divergence between the selection and the data generating process. In lasso, the overestimation can also be linked to the shrinkage estimator, which makes the selection too tolerant of false positive selections. For these reasons, this paper works on refined information criteria, carefully balancing false positives and false negatives, for use with estimators without shrinkage. In particular, the paper develops corrected Mallows's Cp criteria for structured selection in trees and graphical models.

Label noise is prevalent in machine learning datasets. It is crucial to identify and remove label noise because models trained on noisy data can have substantially reduced accuracy and generalizability. Most existing label noise detection approaches are designed for classification tasks, and data cleaning for outcome prediction analysis is relatively unexplored. Inspired by the fluctuations in performance across different folds in cross-validation, we propose Repeated Cross-Validations for label noise estimation (ReCoV) to address this gap. ReCoV constructs a noise histogram that ranks the noise level of samples based on a large number of cross-validations by recording sample IDs in each worst-performing fold. We further propose three approaches for identifying noisy samples based on noise histograms to address increasingly complex noise distributions. We show that ReCoV outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms for label cleaning in a classification task benchmark. More importantly, we show that removing ReCoV-identified noisy samples in two medical imaging outcome prediction datasets significantly improves model performance on test sets. As a statistical approach that does not rely on hyperparameters, noise distributions, or model structures, ReCoV is compatible with any machine learning analysis.

The COVID-19 Infodemic had an unprecedented impact on health behaviors and outcomes at a global scale. While many studies have focused on a qualitative and quantitative understanding of misinformation, including sentiment analysis, there is a gap in understanding the emotion-carriers of misinformation and their differences across geographies. In this study, we characterized emotion carriers and their impact on vaccination rates in India and the United States. A manually labelled dataset was created from 2.3 million tweets and collated with three publicly available datasets (CoAID, AntiVax, CMU) to train deep learning models for misinformation classification. Misinformation labelled tweets were further analyzed for behavioral aspects by leveraging Plutchik Transformers to determine the emotion for each tweet. Time series analysis was conducted to study the impact of misinformation on spatial and temporal characteristics. Further, categorical classification was performed using transformer models to assign categories for the misinformation tweets. Word2Vec+BiLSTM was the best model for misinformation classification, with an F1-score of 0.92. The US had the highest proportion of misinformation tweets (58.02%), followed by the UK (10.38%) and India (7.33%). Disgust, anticipation, and anger were associated with an increased prevalence of misinformation tweets. Disgust was the predominant emotion associated with misinformation tweets in the US, while anticipation was the predominant emotion in India. For India, the misinformation rate exhibited a lead relationship with vaccination, while in the US it lagged behind vaccination. Our study deciphered that emotions acted as differential carriers of misinformation across geography and time. These carriers can be monitored to develop strategic interventions for countering misinformation, leading to improved public health.

Drug-target interaction (DTI) prediction, which aims at predicting whether a drug will be bounded to a target, have received wide attention recently, with the goal to automate and accelerate the costly process of drug design. Most of the recently proposed methods use single drug-drug similarity and target-target similarity information for DTI prediction, which are unable to take advantage of the abundant information regarding various types of similarities between them. Very recently, some methods are proposed to leverage multi-similarity information, however, they still lack the ability to take into consideration the rich topological information of all sorts of knowledge bases where the drugs and targets reside in. More importantly, the time consumption of these approaches is very high, which prevents the usage of large-scale network information. We thus propose a network-based drug-target interaction prediction approach, which applies probabilistic soft logic (PSL) to meta-paths on a heterogeneous network that contains multiple sources of information, including drug-drug similarities, target-target similarities, drug-target interactions, and other potential information. Our approach is based on the PSL graphical model and uses meta-path counts instead of path instances to reduce the number of rule instances of PSL. We compare our model against five methods, on three open-source datasets. The experimental results show that our approach outperforms all the five baselines in terms of AUPR score and AUC score.