Ubiquitous technologies, such as smartphones and wearables, are an integral part of our lives today [47, 90]. Their proliferation has given rise to Personal Informatics (PI), namely a class of systems that "help people collect personally relevant information for the purpose of self-reflection and gaining self-knowledge" [66]. Such systems enable people to keep track of their productivity [62], finances [60], and learning [45]. Yet, tracking various aspects of physical and mental health is particularly prevalent [33]. PI systems can continuously and unobtrusively measure and collect physiological and behavioral data, namely, "digital biomarkers", from users through integrated sensors. Digital biomarkers contain an uncanny amount of personal information. Even the coarser behavioral biomarkers acquired from consumer wearables (e.g., steps, calories) strongly correlate to a person's gender, height, and weight [61], while signals of finer granularity (e.g., accelerometer and heart rate), can predict variables associated with an individual's physical health, fitness, and demographics [89]. At the same time, consumer smartphones and wearables are now packed with an increasing number of advanced health tracking features, innovating in personal health, research, and care [7]. Flagship consumer wearable algorithms --some approved by the US Food and Drug Administration-- can now identify signs of atrial fibrillation (AFib) through electrocardiogram (ECG) or photoplethysmography (PPG) signals [37].

Overconfidence is a common issue for deep neural networks, limiting their deployment in real-world applications. To better estimate confidence, existing methods mostly focus on fully-supervised scenarios and rely on training labels. In this paper, we propose the first confidence estimation method for a semi-supervised setting, when most training labels are unavailable. We stipulate that even with limited training labels, we can still reasonably approximate the confidence of model on unlabeled samples by inspecting the prediction consistency through the training process. We use training consistency as a surrogate function and propose a consistency ranking loss for confidence estimation. On both image classification and segmentation tasks, our method achieves state-of-the-art performances in confidence estimation. Furthermore, we show the benefit of the proposed method through a downstream active learning task. The code is available at https://github.com/TopoXLab/consistency-ranking-loss

Convolution Neural Networks trained for the task of lens finding with similar architecture and training data as is commonly found in the literature are biased classifiers. An understanding of the selection function of lens finding neural networks will be key to fully realising the potential of the large samples of strong gravitational lens systems that will be found in upcoming wide-field surveys. We use three training datasets, representative of those used to train galaxy-galaxy and galaxy-quasar lens finding neural networks. The networks preferentially select systems with larger Einstein radii and larger sources with more concentrated source-light distributions. Increasing the detection significance threshold to 12$\sigma$ from 8$\sigma$ results in 50 per cent of the selected strong lens systems having Einstein radii $\theta_\mathrm{E}$ $\ge$ 1.04 arcsec from $\theta_\mathrm{E}$ $\ge$ 0.879 arcsec, source radii $R_S$ $\ge$ 0.194 arcsec from $R_S$ $\ge$ 0.178 arcsec and source S\'ersic indices $n_{\mathrm{Sc}}^{\mathrm{S}}$ $\ge$ 2.62 from $n_{\mathrm{Sc}}^{\mathrm{S}}$ $\ge$ 2.55. The model trained to find lensed quasars shows a stronger preference for higher lens ellipticities than those trained to find lensed galaxies. The selection function is independent of the slope of the power-law of the mass profiles, hence measurements of this quantity will be unaffected. The lens finder selection function reinforces that of the lensing cross-section, and thus we expect our findings to be a general result for all galaxy-galaxy and galaxy-quasar lens finding neural networks.

Large language models (LLMs) have been massively applied to many tasks, often surpassing state-of-the-art approaches. While their effectiveness in code generation has been extensively studied (e.g., AlphaCode), their potential for code detection remains unexplored. This work presents the first analysis of code detection using LLMs. Our study examines essential kernels, including matrix multiplication, convolution, and fast-fourier transform, implemented in C/C++. We propose both a preliminary, naive prompt and a novel prompting strategy for code detection. Results reveal that conventional prompting achieves great precision but poor accuracy (68.8%, 22.3%, and 79.2% for GEMM, convolution, and FFT, respectively) due to a high number of false positives. Our novel prompting strategy substantially reduces false positives, resulting in excellent overall accuracy (91.1%, 97.9%, and 99.7%, respectively). These results pose a considerable challenge to existing state-of-the-art code detection methods.

Web image datasets curated online inherently contain ambiguous in-distribution (ID) instances and out-of-distribution (OOD) instances, which we collectively call non-conforming (NC) instances. In many recent approaches for mitigating the negative effects of NC instances, the core implicit assumption is that the NC instances can be found via entropy maximization. For "entropy" to be well-defined, we are interpreting the output prediction vector of an instance as the parameter vector of a multinomial random variable, with respect to some trained model with a softmax output layer. Hence, entropy maximization is based on the idealized assumption that NC instances have predictions that are "almost" uniformly distributed. However, in real-world web image datasets, there are numerous NC instances whose predictions are far from being uniformly distributed. To tackle the limitation of entropy maximization, we propose $(\alpha, \beta)$-generalized KL divergence, $\mathcal{D}_{\text{KL}}^{\alpha, \beta}(p\|q)$, which can be used to identify significantly more NC instances. Theoretical properties of $\mathcal{D}_{\text{KL}}^{\alpha, \beta}(p\|q)$ are proven, and we also show empirically that a simple use of $\mathcal{D}_{\text{KL}}^{\alpha, \beta}(p\|q)$ outperforms all baselines on the NC instance identification task. Building upon $(\alpha,\beta)$-generalized KL divergence, we also introduce a new iterative training framework, GenKL, that identifies and relabels NC instances. When evaluated on three web image datasets, Clothing1M, Food101/Food101N, and mini WebVision 1.0, we achieved new state-of-the-art classification accuracies: $81.34\%$, $85.73\%$ and $78.99\%$/$92.54\%$ (top-1/top-5), respectively.

Which set of features was responsible for a certain output of a machine learning model? Which components caused the failure of a cloud computing application? These are just two examples of questions we are addressing in this work by Identifying Coalition-based Explanations for Common and Rare Events in Any Model (ICECREAM). Specifically, we propose an information-theoretic quantitative measure for the influence of a coalition of variables on the distribution of a target variable. This allows us to identify which set of factors is essential to obtain a certain outcome, as opposed to well-established explainability and causal contribution analysis methods which can assign contributions only to individual factors and rank them by their importance. In experiments with synthetic and real-world data, we show that ICECREAM outperforms state-of-the-art methods for explainability and root cause analysis, and achieves impressive accuracy in both tasks.

For real-world language applications, detecting an out-of-distribution (OOD) sample is helpful to alert users or reject such unreliable samples. However, modern over-parameterized language models often produce overconfident predictions for both in-distribution (ID) and OOD samples. In particular, language models suffer from OOD samples with a similar semantic representation to ID samples since these OOD samples lie near the ID manifold. A rejection network can be trained with ID and diverse outlier samples to detect test OOD samples, but explicitly collecting auxiliary OOD datasets brings an additional burden for data collection. In this paper, we propose a simple but effective method called Pseudo Outlier Exposure (POE) that constructs a surrogate OOD dataset by sequentially masking tokens related to ID classes. The surrogate OOD sample introduced by POE shows a similar representation to ID data, which is most effective in training a rejection network. Our method does not require any external OOD data and can be easily implemented within off-the-shelf Transformers. A comprehensive comparison with state-of-the-art algorithms demonstrates POE's competitiveness on several text classification benchmarks.

Audio-Visual Event Localization (AVEL) is the task of temporally localizing and classifying \emph{audio-visual events}, i.e., events simultaneously visible and audible in a video. In this paper, we solve AVEL in a weakly-supervised setting, where only video-level event labels (their presence/absence, but not their locations in time) are available as supervision for training. Our idea is to use a base model to estimate labels on the training data at a finer temporal resolution than at the video level and re-train the model with these labels. I.e., we determine the subset of labels for each \emph{slice} of frames in a training video by (i) replacing the frames outside the slice with those from a second video having no overlap in video-level labels, and (ii) feeding this synthetic video into the base model to extract labels for just the slice in question. To handle the out-of-distribution nature of our synthetic videos, we propose an auxiliary objective for the base model that induces more reliable predictions of the localized event labels as desired. Our three-stage pipeline outperforms several existing AVEL methods with no architectural changes and improves performance on a related weakly-supervised task as well.

Rule-based models, such as decision trees, appeal to practitioners due to their interpretable nature. However, the learning algorithms that produce such models are often vulnerable to spurious associations and thus, they are not guaranteed to extract causally-relevant insights. In this work, we build on ideas from the invariant causal prediction literature to propose Invariant Causal Set Covering Machines, an extension of the classical Set Covering Machine algorithm for conjunctions/disjunctions of binary-valued rules that provably avoids spurious associations. We demonstrate both theoretically and empirically that our method can identify the causal parents of a variable of interest in polynomial time.

During ultrasonic scanning processes, real-time lesion detection can assist radiologists in accurate cancer diagnosis. However, this essential task remains challenging and underexplored. General-purpose real-time object detection models can mistakenly report obvious false positives (FPs) when applied to ultrasound videos, potentially misleading junior radiologists. One key issue is their failure to utilize negative symptoms in previous frames, denoted as negative temporal contexts (NTC) [15]. To address this issue, we propose to extract contexts from previous frames, including NTC, with the guidance of inverse optical flow. By aggregating extracted contexts, we endow the model with the ability to suppress FPs by leveraging NTC. We call the resulting model UltraDet. The proposed UltraDet demonstrates significant improvement over previous state-of-the-arts and achieves real-time inference speed.