Variable importance assessment has become a crucial step in machine-learning applications when using complex learners, such as deep neural networks, on large-scale data. Removal-based importance assessment is currently the reference approach, particularly when statistical guarantees are sought to justify variable inclusion. It is often implemented with variable permutation schemes. On the flip side, these approaches risk misidentifying unimportant variables as important in the presence of correlations among covariates. Here we develop a systematic approach for studying Conditional Permutation Importance (CPI) that is model agnostic and computationally lean, as well as reusable benchmarks of state-of-the-art variable importance estimators. We show theoretically and empirically that $\textit{CPI}$ overcomes the limitations of standard permutation importance by providing accurate type-I error control. When used with a deep neural network, $\textit{CPI}$ consistently showed top accuracy across benchmarks. An experiment on real-world data analysis in a large-scale medical dataset showed that $\textit{CPI}$ provides a more parsimonious selection of statistically significant variables. Our results suggest that $\textit{CPI}$ can be readily used as drop-in replacement for permutation-based methods.

The clustering task consists in partitioning elements of a sample into homogeneous groups. Most datasets contain individuals that are ambiguous and intrinsically difficult to attribute to one or another cluster. However, in practical applications, misclassifying individuals is potentially disastrous and should be avoided. To keep the misclassification rate small, one can decide to classify only a part of the sample. In the supervised setting, this approach is well known and referred to as classification with an abstention option. In this paper the approach is revisited in an unsupervised mixture model framework and the purpose is to develop a method that comes with the guarantee that the false membership rate (FMR) does not exceed a pre-defined nominal level $\alpha$. A plug-in procedure is proposed, for which a theoretical analysis is provided, by quantifying the FMR deviation with respect to the target level $\alpha$ with explicit remainder terms. Bootstrap versions of the procedure are shown to improve the performance in numerical experiments.

This article introduces an advanced analytical approach for predicting backorders in inventory management. Backorder refers to an order that cannot be immediately fulfilled due to stock depletion. Multiple classification techniques, including Balanced Bagging Classifiers, Fuzzy Logic, Variational Autoencoder - Generative Adversarial Networks, and Multi-layer Perceptron classifiers, are assessed in this work using performance evaluation metrics such as ROC-AUC and PR-AUC. Moreover, this work incorporates a profit function and misclassification costs, considering the financial implications and costs associated with inventory management and backorder handling. The study suggests that a combination of modeling approaches, including ensemble techniques and VAE, can effectively address imbalanced datasets in inventory management, emphasizing interpretability and reducing false positives and false negatives. This research contributes to the advancement of predictive analytics and offers valuable insights for future investigations in backorder forecasting and inventory control optimization for decision-making.

Supervised deep learning was recently introduced in high-contrast imaging (HCI) through the SODINN algorithm, a convolutional neural network designed for exoplanet detection in angular differential imaging (ADI) datasets. The benchmarking of HCI algorithms within the Exoplanet Imaging Data Challenge (EIDC) showed that (i) SODINN can produce a high number of false positives in the final detection maps, and (ii) algorithms processing images in a more local manner perform better. This work aims to improve the SODINN detection performance by introducing new local processing approaches and adapting its learning process accordingly. We propose NA-SODINN, a new deep learning binary classifier based on a convolutional neural network (CNN) that better captures image noise correlations in ADI-processed frames by identifying noise regimes. Our new approach was tested against its predecessor, as well as two SODINN-based hybrid models and a more standard annular-PCA approach, through local receiving operating characteristics (ROC) analysis of ADI sequences from the VLT/SPHERE and Keck/NIRC-2 instruments. Results show that NA-SODINN enhances SODINN in both sensitivity and specificity, especially in the speckle-dominated noise regime. NA-SODINN is also benchmarked against the complete set of submitted detection algorithms in EIDC, in which we show that its final detection score matches or outperforms the most powerful detection algorithms.Throughout the supervised machine learning case, this study illustrates and reinforces the importance of adapting the task of detection to the local content of processed images.

We discuss a boosting approach for the Ridge Regression (RR) method, with applications to the Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), and we show that the proposed method significantly improves the classification performance and robustness of ELMs.

Scientific researchers frequently use the in situ synchrotron high-energy powder X-ray diffraction (XRD) technique to examine the crystallographic structures of materials in functional devices such as rechargeable battery materials. We propose a method for identifying artifacts in experimental XRD images. The proposed method uses deep learning convolutional neural network architectures, such as tunable U-Nets to identify the artifacts. In particular, the predicted artifacts are evaluated against the corresponding ground truth (manually implemented) using the overall true positive rate or recall. The result demonstrates that the U-Nets can consistently produce great recall performance at 92.4% on the test dataset, which is not included in the training, with a 34% reduction in average false positives in comparison to the conventional method. The U-Nets also reduce the time required to identify and separate artifacts by more than 50%. Furthermore, the exclusion of the artifacts shows major changes in the integrated 1D XRD pattern, enhancing further analysis of the post-processing XRD data.

The United Nations has identified improving food security and reducing hunger as essential components of its sustainable development goals. As of 2021, approximately 828 million people worldwide are experiencing hunger and malnutrition, with numerous fatalities reported. Climate change significantly impacts agricultural land suitability, potentially leading to severe food shortages and subsequent social and political conflicts. To address this pressing issue, we have developed a machine learning-based approach to predict the risk of substantial land suitability degradation and changes in irrigation patterns. Our study focuses on Central Eurasia, a region burdened with economic and social challenges. This study represents a pioneering effort in utilizing machine learning methods to assess the impact of climate change on agricultural land suitability under various carbon emissions scenarios. Through comprehensive feature importance analysis, we unveil specific climate and terrain characteristics that exert influence on land suitability. Our approach achieves remarkable accuracy, offering policymakers invaluable insights to facilitate informed decisions aimed at averting a humanitarian crisis, including strategies such as the provision of additional water and fertilizers. This research underscores the tremendous potential of machine learning in addressing global challenges, with a particular emphasis on mitigating hunger and malnutrition.

The world surrounding us is subject to constant change. These changes, frequently described as concept drift, influence many industrial and technical processes. As they can lead to malfunctions and other anomalous behavior, which may be safety-critical in many scenarios, detecting and analyzing concept drift is crucial. In this paper, we provide a literature review focusing on concept drift in unsupervised data streams. While many surveys focus on supervised data streams, so far, there is no work reviewing the unsupervised setting. However, this setting is of particular relevance for monitoring and anomaly detection which are directly applicable to many tasks and challenges in engineering. This survey provides a taxonomy of existing work on drift detection. Besides, it covers the current state of research on drift localization in a systematic way. In addition to providing a systematic literature review, this work provides precise mathematical definitions of the considered problems and contains standardized experiments on parametric artificial datasets allowing for a direct comparison of different strategies for detection and localization. Thereby, the suitability of different schemes can be analyzed systematically and guidelines for their usage in real-world scenarios can be provided. Finally, there is a section on the emerging topic of explaining concept drift.

Semi-supervised learning (SSL) has become popular in recent years because it allows the training of a model using a large amount of unlabeled data. However, one issue that many SSL methods face is the confirmation bias, which occurs when the model is overfitted to the small labeled training dataset and produces overconfident, incorrect predictions. To address this issue, we propose SequenceMatch, an efficient SSL method that utilizes multiple data augmentations. The key element of SequenceMatch is the inclusion of a medium augmentation for unlabeled data. By taking advantage of different augmentations and the consistency constraints between each pair of augmented examples, SequenceMatch helps reduce the divergence between the prediction distribution of the model for weakly and strongly augmented examples. In addition, SequenceMatch defines two different consistency constraints for high and low-confidence predictions. As a result, SequenceMatch is more data-efficient than ReMixMatch, and more time-efficient than both ReMixMatch ($\times4$) and CoMatch ($\times2$) while having higher accuracy. Despite its simplicity, SequenceMatch consistently outperforms prior methods on standard benchmarks, such as CIFAR-10/100, SVHN, and STL-10. It also surpasses prior state-of-the-art methods by a large margin on large-scale datasets such as ImageNet, with a 38.46\% error rate. Code is available at https://github.com/beandkay/SequenceMatch.

Recent studies on semi-supervised learning (SSL) have achieved great success. Despite their promising performance, current state-of-the-art methods tend toward increasingly complex designs at the cost of introducing more network components and additional training procedures. In this paper, we propose a simple method named Ensemble Projectors Aided for Semi-supervised Learning (EPASS), which focuses mainly on improving the learned embeddings to boost the performance of the existing contrastive joint-training semi-supervised learning frameworks. Unlike standard methods, where the learned embeddings from one projector are stored in memory banks to be used with contrastive learning, EPASS stores the ensemble embeddings from multiple projectors in memory banks. As a result, EPASS improves generalization, strengthens feature representation, and boosts performance. For instance, EPASS improves strong baselines for semi-supervised learning by 39.47\%/31.39\%/24.70\% top-1 error rate, while using only 100k/1\%/10\% of labeled data for SimMatch, and achieves 40.24\%/32.64\%/25.90\% top-1 error rate for CoMatch on the ImageNet dataset. These improvements are consistent across methods, network architectures, and datasets, proving the general effectiveness of the proposed methods. Code is available at https://github.com/beandkay/EPASS.