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FedGT: Identification of Malicious Clients in Federated Learning with Secure Aggregation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose FedGT, a novel framework for identifying malicious clients in federated learning with secure aggregation. Inspired by group testing, the framework leverages overlapping groups of clients to identify the presence of malicious clients in the groups via a decoding operation. The clients identified as malicious are then removed from the training of the model, which is performed over the remaining clients. By choosing the size, number, and overlap between groups, FedGT strikes a balance between privacy and security. Specifically, the server learns the aggregated model of the clients in each group - vanilla federated learning and secure aggregation correspond to the extreme cases of FedGT with group size equal to one and the total number of clients, respectively. The effectiveness of FedGT is demonstrated through extensive experiments on the MNIST, CIFAR-10, and ISIC2019 datasets in a cross-silo setting under different data-poisoning attacks. These experiments showcase FedGT's ability to identify malicious clients, resulting in high model utility. We further show that FedGT significantly outperforms the private robust aggregation approach based on the geometric median recently proposed by Pillutla et al. on heterogeneous client data (ISIC2019) and in the presence of targeted attacks (CIFAR-10 and ISIC2019).


Asymmetric Certified Robustness via Feature-Convex Neural Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent works have introduced input-convex neural networks (ICNNs) as learning models with advantageous training, inference, and generalization properties linked to their convex structure. In this paper, we propose a novel feature-convex neural network architecture as the composition of an ICNN with a Lipschitz feature map in order to achieve adversarial robustness. We consider the asymmetric binary classification setting with one "sensitive" class, and for this class we prove deterministic, closed-form, and easily-computable certified robust radii for arbitrary $\ell_p$-norms. We theoretically justify the use of these models by characterizing their decision region geometry, extending the universal approximation theorem for ICNN regression to the classification setting, and proving a lower bound on the probability that such models perfectly fit even unstructured uniformly distributed data in sufficiently high dimensions. Experiments on Malimg malware classification and subsets of MNIST, Fashion-MNIST, and CIFAR-10 datasets show that feature-convex classifiers attain state-of-the-art certified $\ell_1$-radii as well as substantial $\ell_2$- and $\ell_{\infty}$-radii while being far more computationally efficient than any competitive baseline.


Automatic Change-Point Detection in Time Series via Deep Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Detecting change-points in data is challenging because of the range of possible types of change and types of behaviour of data when there is no change. Statistically efficient methods for detecting a change will depend on both of these features, and it can be difficult for a practitioner to develop an appropriate detection method for their application of interest. We show how to automatically generate new offline detection methods based on training a neural network. Our approach is motivated by many existing tests for the presence of a change-point being representable by a simple neural network, and thus a neural network trained with sufficient data should have performance at least as good as these methods. We present theory that quantifies the error rate for such an approach, and how it depends on the amount of training data. Empirical results show that, even with limited training data, its performance is competitive with the standard CUSUM-based classifier for detecting a change in mean when the noise is independent and Gaussian, and can substantially outperform it in the presence of auto-correlated or heavy-tailed noise. Our method also shows strong results in detecting and localising changes in activity based on accelerometer data.


Cost-Sensitive Best Subset Selection for Logistic Regression: A Mixed-Integer Conic Optimization Perspective

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A key challenge in machine learning is to design interpretable models that can reduce their inputs to the best subset for making transparent predictions, especially in the clinical domain. In this work, we propose a certifiably optimal feature selection procedure for logistic regression from a mixed-integer conic optimization perspective that can take an auxiliary cost to obtain features into account. Based on an extensive review of the literature, we carefully create a synthetic dataset generator for clinical prognostic model research. This allows us to systematically evaluate different heuristic and optimal cardinality- and budget-constrained feature selection procedures. The analysis shows key limitations of the methods for the low-data regime and when confronted with label noise. Our paper not only provides empirical recommendations for suitable methods and dataset designs, but also paves the way for future research in the area of meta-learning.


A Marketplace Price Anomaly Detection System at Scale

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Online marketplaces execute large volume of price updates that are initiated by individual marketplace sellers each day on the platform. This price democratization comes with increasing challenges with data quality. Lack of centralized guardrails that are available for a traditional online retailer causes a higher likelihood for inaccurate prices to get published on the website, leading to poor customer experience and potential for revenue loss. We present MoatPlus (Masked Optimal Anchors using Trees, Proximity-based Labeling and Unsupervised Statistical-features), a scalable price anomaly detection framework for a growing marketplace platform. The goal is to leverage proximity and historical price trends from unsupervised statistical features to generate an upper price bound. We build an ensemble of models to detect irregularities in price-based features, exclude irregular features and use optimized weighting scheme to build a reliable price bound in real-time pricing pipeline. We observed that our approach improves precise anchor coverage by up to 46.6% in high-vulnerability item subsets


On Prediction-Modelers and Decision-Makers: Why Fairness Requires More Than a Fair Prediction Model

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

An implicit ambiguity in the field of prediction-based decision-making regards the relation between the concepts of prediction and decision. Much of the literature in the field tends to blur the boundaries between the two concepts and often simply speaks of 'fair prediction.' In this paper, we point out that a differentiation of these concepts is helpful when implementing algorithmic fairness. Even if fairness properties are related to the features of the used prediction model, what is more properly called 'fair' or 'unfair' is a decision system, not a prediction model. This is because fairness is about the consequences on human lives, created by a decision, not by a prediction. We clarify the distinction between the concepts of prediction and decision and show the different ways in which these two elements influence the final fairness properties of a prediction-based decision system. In addition to exploring this relationship conceptually and practically, we propose a framework that enables a better understanding and reasoning of the conceptual logic of creating fairness in prediction-based decision-making. In our framework, we specify different roles, namely the 'prediction-modeler' and the 'decision-maker,' and the information required from each of them for being able to implement fairness of the system. Our framework allows for deriving distinct responsibilities for both roles and discussing some insights related to ethical and legal requirements. Our contribution is twofold. First, we shift the focus from abstract algorithmic fairness to context-dependent decision-making, recognizing diverse actors with unique objectives and independent actions. Second, we provide a conceptual framework that can help structure prediction-based decision problems with respect to fairness issues, identify responsibilities, and implement fairness governance mechanisms in real-world scenarios.


L-C2ST: Local Diagnostics for Posterior Approximations in Simulation-Based Inference

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Many recent works in simulation-based inference (SBI) rely on deep generative models to approximate complex, high-dimensional posterior distributions. However, evaluating whether or not these approximations can be trusted remains a challenge. Most approaches evaluate the posterior estimator only in expectation over the observation space. This limits their interpretability and is not sufficient to identify for which observations the approximation can be trusted or should be improved. Building upon the well-known classifier two-sample test (C2ST), we introduce L-C2ST, a new method that allows for a local evaluation of the posterior estimator at any given observation. It offers theoretically grounded and easy to interpret -- e.g. graphical -- diagnostics, and unlike C2ST, does not require access to samples from the true posterior. In the case of normalizing flow-based posterior estimators, L-C2ST can be specialized to offer better statistical power, while being computationally more efficient. On standard SBI benchmarks, L-C2ST provides comparable results to C2ST and outperforms alternative local approaches such as coverage tests based on highest predictive density (HPD). We further highlight the importance of local evaluation and the benefit of interpretability of L-C2ST on a challenging application from computational neuroscience.


Predicting Accident Severity: An Analysis Of Factors Affecting Accident Severity Using Random Forest Model

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Road accidents have significant economic and societal costs, with a small number of severe accidents accounting for a large portion of these costs. Predicting accident severity can help in the proactive approach to road safety by identifying potential unsafe road conditions and taking well-informed actions to reduce the number of severe accidents. This study investigates the effectiveness of the Random Forest machine learning algorithm for predicting the severity of an accident. The model is trained on a dataset of accident records from a large metropolitan area and evaluated using various metrics. Hyperparameters and feature selection are optimized to improve the model's performance. The results show that the Random Forest model is an effective tool for predicting accident severity with an accuracy of over 80%. The study also identifies the top six most important variables in the model, which include wind speed, pressure, humidity, visibility, clear conditions, and cloud cover. The fitted model has an Area Under the Curve of 80%, a recall of 79.2%, a precision of 97.1%, and an F1 score of 87.3%. These results suggest that the proposed model has higher performance in explaining the target variable, which is the accident severity class. Overall, the study provides evidence that the Random Forest model is a viable and reliable tool for predicting accident severity and can be used to help reduce the number of fatalities and injuries due to road accidents in the United States


Efficient Hybrid Oversampling and Intelligent Undersampling for Imbalanced Big Data Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Imbalanced classification is a well-known challenge faced by many real-world applications. This issue occurs when the distribution of the target variable is skewed, leading to a prediction bias toward the majority class. With the arrival of the Big Data era, there is a pressing need for efficient solutions to solve this problem. In this work, we present a novel resampling method called SMOTENN that combines intelligent undersampling and oversampling using a MapReduce framework. Both procedures are performed on the same pass over the data, conferring efficiency to the technique. The SMOTENN method is complemented with an efficient implementation of the neighborhoods related to the minority samples. Our experimental results show the virtues of this approach, outperforming alternative resampling techniques for small- and medium-sized datasets while achieving positive results on large datasets with reduced running times.


FENCE: Fairplay Ensuring Network Chain Entity for Real-Time Multiple ID Detection at Scale In Fantasy Sports

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Dream11 takes pride in being a unique platform that enables over 190 million fantasy sports users to demonstrate their skills and connect deeper with their favorite sports. While managing such a scale, one issue we are faced with is duplicate/multiple account creation in the system. This is done by some users with the intent of abusing the platform, typically for bonus offers. The challenge is to detect these multiple accounts before it is too late. We propose a graph-based solution to solve this problem in which we first predict edges/associations between users. Using the edge information we highlight clusters of colluding multiple accounts. In this paper, we talk about our distributed ML system which is deployed to serve and support the inferences from our detection models. The challenge is to do this in real-time in order to take corrective actions. A core part of this setup also involves human-in-the-loop components for validation, feedback, and ground-truth labeling.