Accuracy
QADYNAMICS: Training Dynamics-Driven Synthetic QA Diagnostic for Zero-Shot Commonsense Question Answering
Shi, Haochen, Wang, Weiqi, Fang, Tianqing, Xu, Baixuan, Ding, Wenxuan, Liu, Xin, Song, Yangqiu
Zero-shot commonsense Question-Answering (QA) requires models to reason about general situations beyond specific benchmarks. State-of-the-art approaches fine-tune language models on QA pairs constructed from CommonSense Knowledge Bases (CSKBs) to equip the models with more commonsense knowledge in a QA context. However, current QA synthesis protocols may introduce noise from the CSKBs and generate ungrammatical questions and false negative options, which impede the model's ability to generalize. To address these issues, we propose QADYNAMICS, a training dynamics-driven framework for QA diagnostics and refinement. Our approach analyzes the training dynamics of each QA pair at both the question level and option level, discarding machine-detectable artifacts by removing uninformative QA pairs and mislabeled or false-negative options. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach, which outperforms all baselines while using only 33% of the synthetic data, even including LLMs such as ChatGPT. Moreover, expert evaluations confirm that our framework significantly improves the quality of QA synthesis. Our codes and model checkpoints are available at https://github.com/HKUST-KnowComp/QaDynamics.
MST-GAT: A Multimodal Spatial-Temporal Graph Attention Network for Time Series Anomaly Detection
Ding, Chaoyue, Sun, Shiliang, Zhao, Jing
Multimodal time series (MTS) anomaly detection is crucial for maintaining the safety and stability of working devices (e.g., water treatment system and spacecraft), whose data are characterized by multivariate time series with diverse modalities. Although recent deep learning methods show great potential in anomaly detection, they do not explicitly capture spatial-temporal relationships between univariate time series of different modalities, resulting in more false negatives and false positives. In this paper, we propose a multimodal spatial-temporal graph attention network (MST-GAT) to tackle this problem. MST-GAT first employs a multimodal graph attention network (M-GAT) and a temporal convolution network to capture the spatial-temporal correlation in multimodal time series. Specifically, M-GAT uses a multi-head attention module and two relational attention modules (i.e., intra- and inter-modal attention) to model modal correlations explicitly. Furthermore, MST-GAT optimizes the reconstruction and prediction modules simultaneously. Experimental results on four multimodal benchmarks demonstrate that MST-GAT outperforms the state-of-the-art baselines. Further analysis indicates that MST-GAT strengthens the interpretability of detected anomalies by locating the most anomalous univariate time series.
Accurate prediction of international trade flows: Leveraging knowledge graphs and their embeddings
Rincon-Yanez, Diego, Ounoughi, Chahinez, Sellami, Bassem, Kalvet, Tarmo, Tiits, Marek, Senatore, Sabrina, Yahia, Sadok Ben
As a result, KR is critical to offering a simple strategy for defining relevant and contextual information within a finite number of facts from a specific domain of interest; these facts are referred to as a knowledge base (KB). In the past years, Knowledge Graph (KG), as a form of KR, has gained attention because it provides a contextual, natural, and human-like form of representing knowledge in specific domains and common sense. KG is formed in statements called triples on the T = (h, r, t) form, where h (head) and t (tail) represent objects in real life, and r, the relation is the connection between those entities. Internet companies like Google, Wikipedia, and Facebook have found a simple but powerful unified tool in the KG field to describe their multi-structured and multi-dimensional knowledge base, capturing user data to transform it into vast KBs [3]. The KG approach is particularly relevant to studying international trade, a significant cornerstone of economic and social development in the globalized economy [4, 5]. International trade is complex and interconnected, with multiple entities (commodities, companies, and countries) interacting in multiple ways [6]. This method helps to understand those complex interactions in a structured and intuitive way. In international economics, the gravity model, a fundamental part of the current method, is widely used to predict trade relations between entities based on factors like size (GDP, population) and distance or other factors [7, 8, 9].
Causal Feature Selection via Transfer Entropy
Bonetti, Paolo, Metelli, Alberto Maria, Restelli, Marcello
Machine learning algorithms are designed to capture complex relationships between features. In this context, the high dimensionality of data often results in poor model performance, with the risk of overfitting. Feature selection, the process of selecting a subset of relevant and non-redundant features, is, therefore, an essential step to mitigate these issues. However, classical feature selection approaches do not inspect the causal relationship between selected features and target, which can lead to misleading results in real-world applications. Causal discovery, instead, aims to identify causal relationships between features with observational data. In this paper, we propose a novel methodology at the intersection between feature selection and causal discovery, focusing on time series. We introduce a new causal feature selection approach that relies on the forward and backward feature selection procedures and leverages transfer entropy to estimate the causal flow of information from the features to the target in time series. Our approach enables the selection of features not only in terms of mere model performance but also captures the causal information flow. In this context, we provide theoretical guarantees on the regression and classification errors for both the exact and the finite-sample cases. Finally, we present numerical validations on synthetic and real-world regression problems, showing results competitive w.r.t. the considered baselines.
Fast Graph Condensation with Structure-based Neural Tangent Kernel
Wang, Lin, Fan, Wenqi, Li, Jiatong, Ma, Yao, Li, Qing
The rapid development of Internet technology has given rise to a vast amount of graph-structured data. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), as an effective method for various graph mining tasks, incurs substantial computational resource costs when dealing with large-scale graph data. A data-centric manner solution is proposed to condense the large graph dataset into a smaller one without sacrificing the predictive performance of GNNs. However, existing efforts condense graph-structured data through a computational intensive bi-level optimization architecture also suffer from massive computation costs. In this paper, we propose reforming the graph condensation problem as a Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR) task instead of iteratively training GNNs in the inner loop of bi-level optimization. More specifically, We propose a novel dataset condensation framework (GC-SNTK) for graph-structured data, where a Structure-based Neural Tangent Kernel (SNTK) is developed to capture the topology of graph and serves as the kernel function in KRR paradigm. Comprehensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed model in accelerating graph condensation while maintaining high prediction performance.
Why Do Students Drop Out? University Dropout Prediction and Associated Factor Analysis Using Machine Learning Techniques
Kim, Sean, Yoo, Eliot, Kim, Samuel
Graduation and dropout rates have always been a serious consideration for educational institutions and students. High dropout rates negatively impact both the lives of individual students and institutions. To address this problem, this study examined university dropout prediction using academic, demographic, socioeconomic, and macroeconomic data types. Additionally, we performed associated factor analysis to analyze which type of data would be most influential on the performance of machine learning models in predicting graduation and dropout status. These features were used to train four binary classifiers to determine if students would graduate or drop out. The overall performance of the classifiers in predicting dropout status had an average ROC-AUC score of 0.935. The data type most influential to the model performance was found to be academic data, with the average ROC-AUC score dropping from 0.935 to 0.811 when excluding all academic-related features from the data set. Preliminary results indicate that a correlation does exist between data types and dropout status.
CLEME: Debiasing Multi-reference Evaluation for Grammatical Error Correction
Ye, Jingheng, Li, Yinghui, Zhou, Qingyu, Li, Yangning, Ma, Shirong, Zheng, Hai-Tao, Shen, Ying
Evaluating the performance of Grammatical Error Correction (GEC) systems is a challenging task due to its subjectivity. Designing an evaluation metric that is as objective as possible is crucial to the development of GEC task. However, mainstream evaluation metrics, i.e., reference-based metrics, introduce bias into the multi-reference evaluation by extracting edits without considering the presence of multiple references. To overcome this issue, we propose Chunk-LEvel Multi-reference Evaluation (CLEME), designed to evaluate GEC systems in the multi-reference evaluation setting. CLEME builds chunk sequences with consistent boundaries for the source, the hypothesis and references, thus eliminating the bias caused by inconsistent edit boundaries. Furthermore, we observe the consistent boundary could also act as the boundary of grammatical errors, based on which the F$_{0.5}$ score is then computed following the correction independence assumption. We conduct experiments on six English reference sets based on the CoNLL-2014 shared task. Extensive experiments and detailed analyses demonstrate the correctness of our discovery and the effectiveness of CLEME. Further analysis reveals that CLEME is robust to evaluate GEC systems across reference sets with varying numbers of references and annotation style.
Optimizing Layerwise Polynomial Approximation for Efficient Private Inference on Fully Homomorphic Encryption: A Dynamic Programming Approach
Lee, Junghyun, Lee, Eunsang, Kim, Young-Sik, Lee, Yongwoo, Lee, Joon-Woo, Kim, Yongjune, No, Jong-Seon
Recent research has explored the implementation of privacy-preserving deep neural networks solely using fully homomorphic encryption. However, its practicality has been limited because of prolonged inference times. When using a pre-trained model without retraining, a major factor contributing to these prolonged inference times is the high-degree polynomial approximation of activation functions such as the ReLU function. The high-degree approximation consumes a substantial amount of homomorphic computational resources, resulting in slower inference. Unlike the previous works approximating activation functions uniformly and conservatively, this paper presents a \emph{layerwise} degree optimization of activation functions to aggressively reduce the inference time while maintaining classification accuracy by taking into account the characteristics of each layer. Instead of the minimax approximation commonly used in state-of-the-art private inference models, we employ the weighted least squares approximation method with the input distributions of activation functions. Then, we obtain the layerwise optimized degrees for activation functions through the \emph{dynamic programming} algorithm, considering how each layer's approximation error affects the classification accuracy of the deep neural network. Furthermore, we propose modulating the ciphertext moduli-chain layerwise to reduce the inference time. By these proposed layerwise optimization methods, we can reduce inference times for the ResNet-20 model and the ResNet-32 model by 3.44 times and 3.16 times, respectively, in comparison to the prior implementations employing uniform degree polynomials and a consistent ciphertext modulus.
Real-Fake: Effective Training Data Synthesis Through Distribution Matching
Yuan, Jianhao, Zhang, Jie, Sun, Shuyang, Torr, Philip, Zhao, Bo
Synthetic training data has gained prominence in numerous learning tasks and scenarios, offering advantages such as dataset augmentation, generalization evaluation, and privacy preservation. Despite these benefits, the efficiency of synthetic data generated by current methodologies remains inferior when training advanced deep models exclusively, limiting its practical utility. To address this challenge, we analyze the principles underlying training data synthesis for supervised learning and elucidate a principled theoretical framework from the distribution-matching perspective that explicates the mechanisms governing synthesis efficacy. Through extensive experiments, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our synthetic data across diverse image classification tasks, both as a replacement for and augmentation to real datasets, while also benefits challenging tasks such as out-of-distribution generalization and privacy preservation.
A White-Box False Positive Adversarial Attack Method on Contrastive Loss-Based Offline Handwritten Signature Verification Models
Guo, Zhongliang, Li, Weiye, Qian, Yifei, Arandjelović, Ognjen, Fang, Lei
In this paper, we tackle the challenge of white-box false positive adversarial attacks on contrastive loss-based offline handwritten signature verification models. We propose a novel attack method that treats the attack as a style transfer between closely related but distinct writing styles. To guide the generation of deceptive images, we introduce two new loss functions that enhance the attack success rate by perturbing the Euclidean distance between the embedding vectors of the original and synthesized samples, while ensuring minimal perturbations by reducing the difference between the generated image and the original image. Our method demonstrates state-of-the-art performance in white-box attacks on contrastive loss-based offline handwritten signature verification models, as evidenced by our experiments. The key contributions of this paper include a novel false positive attack method, two new loss functions, effective style transfer in handwriting styles, and superior performance in white-box false positive attacks compared to other white-box attack methods.