Quantifying variable importance is essential for answering high-stakes questions in fields like genetics, public policy, and medicine. Current methods generally calculate variable importance for a given model trained on a given dataset. However, for a given dataset, there may be many models that explain the target outcome equally well; without accounting for all possible explanations, different researchers may arrive at many conflicting yet equally valid conclusions given the same data. Additionally, even when accounting for all possible explanations for a given dataset, these insights may not generalize because not all good explanations are stable across reasonable data perturbations. We propose a new variable importance framework that quantifies the importance of a variable across the set of all good models and is stable across the data distribution. Our framework is extremely flexible and can be integrated with most existing model classes and global variable importance metrics. We demonstrate through experiments that our framework recovers variable importance rankings for complex simulation setups where other methods fail. Further, we show that our framework accurately estimates the true importance of a variable for the underlying data distribution. We provide theoretical guarantees on the consistency and finite sample error rates for our estimator. Finally, we demonstrate its utility with a real-world case study exploring which genes are important for predicting HIV load in persons with HIV, highlighting an important gene that has not previously been studied in connection with HIV. Code is available at https://github.com/jdonnelly36/Rashomon_Importance_Distribution.

Adapting to drifting data streams is a significant challenge in online learning. Concept drift must be detected for effective model adaptation to evolving data properties. Concept drift can impact the data distribution entirely or partially, which makes it difficult for drift detectors to accurately identify the concept drift. Despite the numerous concept drift detectors in the literature, standardized procedures and benchmarks for comprehensive evaluation considering the locality of the drift are lacking. We present a novel categorization of concept drift based on its locality and scale. A systematic approach leads to a set of 2,760 benchmark problems, reflecting various difficulty levels following our proposed categorization. We conduct a comparative assessment of 9 state-of-the-art drift detectors across diverse difficulties, highlighting their strengths and weaknesses for future research. We examine how drift locality influences the classifier performance and propose strategies for different drift categories to minimize the recovery time. Lastly, we provide lessons learned and recommendations for future concept drift research. Our benchmark data streams and experiments are publicly available at https://github.com/gabrieljaguiar/locality-concept-drift.

This paper presents BELT, a novel model and learning framework for the pivotal topic of brain-to-language translation research. The translation from noninvasive brain signals into readable natural language has the potential to promote the application scenario as well as the development of brain-computer interfaces (BCI) as a whole. The critical problem in brain signal decoding or brain-to-language translation is the acquisition of semantically appropriate and discriminative EEG representation from a dataset of limited scale and quality. The proposed BELT method is a generic and efficient framework that bootstraps EEG representation learning using off-the-shelf large-scale pretrained language models (LMs). With a large LM's capacity for understanding semantic information and zero-shot generalization, BELT utilizes large LMs trained on Internet-scale datasets to bring significant improvements to the understanding of EEG signals. In particular, the BELT model is composed of a deep conformer encoder and a vector quantization encoder. Semantical EEG representation is achieved by a contrastive learning step that provides natural language supervision. We achieve state-of-the-art results on two featuring brain decoding tasks including the brain-to-language translation and zero-shot sentiment classification. Specifically, our model surpasses the baseline model on both tasks by 5.45% and over 10% and archives a 42.31% BLEU-1 score and 67.32% precision on the main evaluation metrics for translation and zero-shot sentiment classification respectively.

Atomic-scale defect detection is shown in scanning tunneling microscopy images of single crystal WSe2 using an ensemble of U-Net-like convolutional neural networks. Standard deep learning test metrics indicated good detection performance with an average F1 score of 0.66 and demonstrated ensemble generalization to C-AFM images of WSe2 and STM images of MoSe2. Defect coordinates were automatically extracted from defect detections maps showing that STM image analysis enhanced by machine learning can be used to dramatically increase sample characterization throughput.

In today's technologically driven world, the spread of fake news, particularly during crucial events such as elections, presents an increasing challenge to the integrity of information. To address this challenge, we introduce FakeWatch ElectionShield, an innovative framework carefully designed to detect fake news. We have created a novel dataset of North American election-related news articles through a blend of advanced language models (LMs) and thorough human verification, for precision and relevance. We propose a model hub of LMs for identifying fake news. Our goal is to provide the research community with adaptable and accurate classification models in recognizing the dynamic nature of misinformation. Extensive evaluation of fake news classifiers on our dataset and a benchmark dataset shows our that while state-of-the-art LMs slightly outperform the traditional ML models, classical models are still competitive with their balance of accuracy, explainability, and computational efficiency. This research sets the foundation for future studies to address misinformation related to elections.

Open-World Recognition (OWR) is an emerging field that makes a machine learning model competent in rejecting the unknowns, managing them, and incrementally adding novel samples to the base knowledge. However, this broad objective is not practical for an agent that works on a specific task. Not all rejected samples will be used for learning continually in the future. Some novel images in the open environment may not belong to the domain of interest. Hence, identifying the unknown in the domain of interest is essential for a machine learning model to learn merely the important samples. In this study, we propose an evaluation protocol for estimating a model's capability in separating unknown in-domain (ID) and unknown out-of-domain (OOD). We evaluated using three approaches with an unknown domain and demonstrated the possibility of identifying the domain of interest using the pre-trained parameters through traditional transfer learning, Automated Machine Learning (AutoML), and Nearest Class Mean (NCM) classifier with First Integer Neighbor Clustering Hierarchy (FINCH). We experimented with five different domains: garbage, food, dogs, plants, and birds. The results show that all approaches can be used as an initial baseline yielding a good accuracy. In addition, a Balanced Accuracy (BACCU) score from a pre-trained model indicates a tendency to excel in one or more domains of interest. We observed that MobileNetV3 yielded the highest BACCU score for the garbage domain and surpassed complex models such as the transformer network. Meanwhile, our results also suggest that a strong representation in the pre-trained model is important for identifying unknown classes in the same domain. This study could open the bridge toward open-world recognition in domain-specific tasks where the relevancy of the unknown classes is vital.

While machine learning (ML) includes a valuable array of tools for analyzing biomedical data, significant time and expertise is required to assemble effective, rigorous, and unbiased pipelines. Automated ML (AutoML) tools seek to facilitate ML application by automating a subset of analysis pipeline elements. In this study we develop and validate a Simple, Transparent, End-to-end Automated Machine Learning Pipeline (STREAMLINE) and apply it to investigate the added utility of photography-based phenotypes for predicting obstructive sleep apnea (OSA); a common and underdiagnosed condition associated with a variety of health, economic, and safety consequences. STREAMLINE is designed to tackle biomedical binary classification tasks while adhering to best practices and accommodating complexity, scalability, reproducibility, customization, and model interpretation. Benchmarking analyses validated the efficacy of STREAMLINE across data simulations with increasingly complex patterns of association. Then we applied STREAMLINE to evaluate the utility of demographics (DEM), self-reported comorbidities (DX), symptoms (SYM), and photography-based craniofacial (CF) and intraoral (IO) anatomy measures in predicting any OSA or moderate/severe OSA using 3,111 participants from Sleep Apnea Global Interdisciplinary Consortium (SAGIC). OSA analyses identified a significant increase in ROC-AUC when adding CF to DEM+DX+SYM to predict moderate/severe OSA. A consistent but non-significant increase in PRC-AUC was observed with the addition of each subsequent feature set to predict any OSA, with CF and IO yielding minimal improvements. Application of STREAMLINE to OSA data suggests that CF features provide additional value in predicting moderate/severe OSA, but neither CF nor IO features meaningfully improved the prediction of any OSA beyond established demographics, comorbidity and symptom characteristics.

Real-world scenarios are usually accompanied by continuously appearing classes with scare labeled samples, which require the machine learning model to incrementally learn new classes and maintain the knowledge of base classes. In this Few-Shot Class-Incremental Learning (FSCIL) scenario, existing methods either introduce extra learnable components or rely on a frozen feature extractor to mitigate catastrophic forgetting and overfitting problems. However, we find a tendency for existing methods to misclassify the samples of new classes into base classes, which leads to the poor performance of new classes. In other words, the strong discriminability of base classes distracts the classification of new classes. To figure out this intriguing phenomenon, we observe that although the feature extractor is only trained on base classes, it can surprisingly represent the semantic similarity between the base and unseen new classes. Building upon these analyses, we propose a simple yet effective Training-frEE calibratioN (TEEN) strategy to enhance the discriminability of new classes by fusing the new prototypes (i.e., mean features of a class) with weighted base prototypes. In addition to standard benchmarks in FSCIL, TEEN demonstrates remarkable performance and consistent improvements over baseline methods in the few-shot learning scenario. Code is available at: https://github.com/wangkiw/TEEN

Typically, machine learning models are trained and evaluated without making any distinction between users (e.g, using traditional hold-out and cross-validation). However, this produces inaccurate performance metrics estimates in multi-user settings. That is, situations where the data were collected by multiple users with different characteristics (e.g., age, gender, height, etc.) which is very common in user computer interaction and medical applications. For these types of scenarios model evaluation strategies that provide better performance estimates have been proposed such as mixed, user-independent, user-dependent, and user-adaptive models. Although those strategies are better suited for multi-user systems, they are typically assessed with respect to performance metrics that capture the overall behavior of the models and do not provide any performance guarantees for individual predictions nor they provide any feedback about the predictions' uncertainty. In order to overcome those limitations, in this work we evaluated the conformal prediction framework in several multi-user settings. Conformal prediction is a model agnostic method that provides confidence guarantees on the predictions, thus, increasing the trustworthiness and robustness of the models. We conducted extensive experiments using different evaluation strategies and found significant differences in terms of conformal performance measures. We also proposed several visualizations based on matrices, graphs, and charts that capture different aspects of the resulting prediction sets.

Large-scale automatic speech translation systems today lack key features that help machine-mediated communication feel seamless when compared to human-to-human dialogue. In this work, we introduce a family of models that enable end-to-end expressive and multilingual translations in a streaming fashion. First, we contribute an improved version of the massively multilingual and multimodal SeamlessM4T model-SeamlessM4T v2. This newer model, incorporating an updated UnitY2 framework, was trained on more low-resource language data. SeamlessM4T v2 provides the foundation on which our next two models are initiated. SeamlessExpressive enables translation that preserves vocal styles and prosody. Compared to previous efforts in expressive speech research, our work addresses certain underexplored aspects of prosody, such as speech rate and pauses, while also preserving the style of one's voice. As for SeamlessStreaming, our model leverages the Efficient Monotonic Multihead Attention mechanism to generate low-latency target translations without waiting for complete source utterances. As the first of its kind, SeamlessStreaming enables simultaneous speech-to-speech/text translation for multiple source and target languages. To ensure that our models can be used safely and responsibly, we implemented the first known red-teaming effort for multimodal machine translation, a system for the detection and mitigation of added toxicity, a systematic evaluation of gender bias, and an inaudible localized watermarking mechanism designed to dampen the impact of deepfakes. Consequently, we bring major components from SeamlessExpressive and SeamlessStreaming together to form Seamless, the first publicly available system that unlocks expressive cross-lingual communication in real-time. The contributions to this work are publicly released and accessible at https://github.com/facebookresearch/seamless_communication