The field of machine learning has recently made significant progress in reducing the requirements for labelled training data when building new models. These `cheaper' learning techniques hold significant potential for the social sciences, where development of large labelled training datasets is often a significant practical impediment to the use of machine learning for analytical tasks. In this article we review three `cheap' techniques that have developed in recent years: weak supervision, transfer learning and prompt engineering. For the latter, we also review the particular case of zero-shot prompting of large language models. For each technique we provide a guide of how it works and demonstrate its application across six different realistic social science applications (two different tasks paired with three different dataset makeups). We show good performance for all techniques, and in particular we demonstrate how prompting of large language models can achieve high accuracy at very low cost. Our results are accompanied by a code repository to make it easy for others to duplicate our work and use it in their own research. Overall, our article is intended to stimulate further uptake of these techniques in the social sciences.

Cybersecurity has emerged as a critical global concern. Intrusion Detection Systems (IDS) play a critical role in protecting interconnected networks by detecting malicious actors and activities. Machine Learning (ML)-based behavior analysis within the IDS has considerable potential for detecting dynamic cyber threats, identifying abnormalities, and identifying malicious conduct within the network. However, as the number of data grows, dimension reduction becomes an increasingly difficult task when training ML models. Addressing this, our paper introduces a novel ML-based network intrusion detection model that uses Random Oversampling (RO) to address data imbalance and Stacking Feature Embedding based on clustering results, as well as Principal Component Analysis (PCA) for dimension reduction and is specifically designed for large and imbalanced datasets. This model's performance is carefully evaluated using three cutting-edge benchmark datasets: UNSW-NB15, CIC-IDS-2017, and CIC-IDS-2018. On the UNSW-NB15 dataset, our trials show that the RF and ET models achieve accuracy rates of 99.59% and 99.95%, respectively. Furthermore, using the CIC-IDS2017 dataset, DT, RF, and ET models reach 99.99% accuracy, while DT and RF models obtain 99.94% accuracy on CIC-IDS2018. These performance results continuously outperform the state-of-art, indicating significant progress in the field of network intrusion detection. This achievement demonstrates the efficacy of the suggested methodology, which can be used practically to accurately monitor and identify network traffic intrusions, thereby blocking possible threats.

As deep neural networks become adopted in high-stakes domains, it is crucial to be able to identify when inference inputs are Out-of-Distribution (OOD) so that users can be alerted of likely drops in performance and calibration (Ovadia et al., 2019) despite high confidence (Nguyen et al., 2015). Among many others, existing methods use the following two scores to do so without training on any apriori OOD examples: a learned temperature (Hsu et al., 2020) and an energy score (Liu et al., 2020). In this paper we introduce Ablated Learned Temperature Energy (or "AbeT" for short), a method which combines these prior methods in novel ways with effective modifications. Due to these contributions, AbeT lowers the False Positive Rate at 95% True Positive Rate (FPR@95) by 35.39% in classification (averaged across all ID and OOD datasets measured) compared to state of the art without training networks in multiple stages or requiring hyperparameters or test-time backward passes. We additionally provide empirical insights as to how our model learns to distinguish between In-Distribution (ID) and OOD samples while only being explicitly trained on ID samples via exposure to misclassified ID examples at training time. Lastly, we show the efficacy of our method in identifying predicted bounding boxes and pixels corresponding to OOD objects in object detection and semantic segmentation, respectively - with an AUROC increase of 5.15% in object detection and both a decrease in FPR@95 of 41.48% and an increase in AUPRC of 34.20% on average in semantic segmentation compared to previous state of the art.

Conformal risk control (CRC) is a recently proposed technique that applies post-hoc to a conventional point predictor to provide calibration guarantees. Generalizing conformal prediction (CP), with CRC, calibration is ensured for a set predictor that is extracted from the point predictor to control a risk function such as the probability of miscoverage or the false negative rate. The original CRC requires the available data set to be split between training and validation data sets. This can be problematic when data availability is limited, resulting in inefficient set predictors. In this paper, a novel CRC method is introduced that is based on cross-validation, rather than on validation as the original CRC. The proposed cross-validation CRC (CV-CRC) extends a version of the jackknife-minmax from CP to CRC, allowing for the control of a broader range of risk functions. CV-CRC is proved to offer theoretical guarantees on the average risk of the set predictor. Furthermore, numerical experiments show that CV-CRC can reduce the average set size with respect to CRC when the available data are limited.

3D virtual simulation, which generates diversified test scenarios and tests full-stack of Autonomous Driving Systems (ADSes) modules dynamically as a whole, is a promising approach for Safety of The Intended Functionality (SOTIF) ADS testing. However, as different configurations of a test scenario will affect the sensor perceptions and environment interaction, e.g. light pulses emitted by the LiDAR sensor will undergo backscattering and attenuation, which is usually overlooked by existing works, leading to false positives or wrong results. Moreover, the input space of an ADS is extremely large, with infinite number of possible initial scenarios and mutations, along both temporal and spatial domains. This paper proposes a first-principles based sensor modeling and environment interaction scheme, and integrates it into CARLA simulator. With this scheme, a long-overlooked category of adverse weather related corner cases are discovered, along with their root causes. Moreover, a meta-heuristic algorithm is designed based on several empirical insights, which guide both seed scenarios and mutations, significantly reducing the search dimensions of scenarios and enhancing the efficiency of corner case identification. Experimental results show that under identical simulation setups, our algorithm discovers about four times as many corner cases as compared to state-of-the-art work.

When deploying a trained machine learning model in the real world, it is inevitable to receive inputs from out-of-distribution (OOD) sources. For instance, in continual learning settings, it is common to encounter OOD samples due to the non-stationarity of a domain. More generally, when we have access to a set of test inputs, the existing rich line of OOD detection solutions, especially the recent promise of distance-based methods, falls short in effectively utilizing the distribution information from training samples and test inputs. In this paper, we argue that empirical probability distributions that incorporate geometric information from both training samples and test inputs can be highly beneficial for OOD detection in the presence of test inputs available. To address this, we propose to model OOD detection as a discrete optimal transport problem. Within the framework of optimal transport, we propose a novel score function known as the \emph{conditional distribution entropy} to quantify the uncertainty of a test input being an OOD sample. Our proposal inherits the merits of certain distance-based methods while eliminating the reliance on distribution assumptions, a-prior knowledge, and specific training mechanisms. Extensive experiments conducted on benchmark datasets demonstrate that our method outperforms its competitors in OOD detection.

This study introduces the Supervised Magnitude-Altitude Scoring (SMAS) methodology, a machine learning-based approach, for analyzing gene expression data obtained from nonhuman primates (NHPs) infected with Ebola virus (EBOV). We utilize a comprehensive dataset of NanoString gene expression profiles from Ebola-infected NHPs, deploying the SMAS system for nuanced host-pathogen interaction analysis. SMAS effectively combines gene selection based on statistical significance and expression changes, employing linear classifiers such as logistic regression to accurately differentiate between RT-qPCR positive and negative NHP samples. A key finding of our research is the identification of IFI6 and IFI27 as critical biomarkers, demonstrating exceptional predictive performance with 100% accuracy and Area Under the Curve (AUC) metrics in classifying various stages of Ebola infection. Alongside IFI6 and IFI27, genes, including MX1, OAS1, and ISG15, were significantly upregulated, highlighting their essential roles in the immune response to EBOV. Our results underscore the efficacy of the SMAS method in revealing complex genetic interactions and response mechanisms during EBOV infection. This research provides valuable insights into EBOV pathogenesis and aids in developing more precise diagnostic tools and therapeutic strategies to address EBOV infection in particular and viral infection in general.

This paper investigates the weaknesses of image watermarking techniques. We present WAVES (Watermark Analysis Via Enhanced Stress-testing), a novel benchmark for assessing watermark robustness, overcoming the limitations of current evaluation methods.WAVES integrates detection and identification tasks, and establishes a standardized evaluation protocol comprised of a diverse range of stress tests. The attacks in WAVES range from traditional image distortions to advanced and novel variations of diffusive, and adversarial attacks. Our evaluation examines two pivotal dimensions: the degree of image quality degradation and the efficacy of watermark detection after attacks. We develop a series of Performance vs. Quality 2D plots, varying over several prominent image similarity metrics, which are then aggregated in a heuristically novel manner to paint an overall picture of watermark robustness and attack potency. Our comprehensive evaluation reveals previously undetected vulnerabilities of several modern watermarking algorithms. We envision WAVES as a toolkit for the future development of robust watermarking systems. The project is available at https://wavesbench.github.io/

This paper presents GPFC, a novel Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) Phase Folding and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) system to detect exoplanets using the transit method. We devise a fast folding algorithm parallelized on a GPU to amplify low signal-to-noise ratio transit signals, allowing a search at high precision and speed. A CNN trained on two million synthetic light curves reports a score indicating the likelihood of a planetary signal at each period. While the GPFC method has broad applicability across period ranges, this research specifically focuses on detecting ultra-short-period planets with orbital periods less than one day. GPFC improves on speed by three orders of magnitude over the predominant Box-fitting Least Squares (BLS) method. Our simulation results show GPFC achieves $97%$ training accuracy, higher true positive rate at the same false positive rate of detection, and higher precision at the same recall rate when compared to BLS. GPFC recovers $100\%$ of known ultra-short-period planets in $\textit{Kepler}$ light curves from a blind search. These results highlight the promise of GPFC as an alternative approach to the traditional BLS algorithm for finding new transiting exoplanets in data taken with $\textit{Kepler}$ and other space transit missions such as K2, TESS and future PLATO and Earth 2.0.

Job Search, Glassdoor, and so on, (3) gender, to predict the The rapid development of technology not only provides a risk of personal insolvency. It is not hard to know by common lot of convenience to people's production and life, but also sense that unemployed employment status can be the real brings a lot of potential risks (Li et al. 2022; Chakraborty cause of an increase in personal insolvency risk among these et al. 2018; Guan et al. 2023a,b; Chu et al. 2023b), such as three predictors. Gender is also not directly related to the business risks, financial risks, medical risks, industry risks, personal insolvency risk. In addition, we also know that the credit risks, and so on. To prevent risks, a better way is to unemployed job status is more likely to increase the activity build an accurate risk prediction model before risks occur in job-hunting apps. Therefore, we can observe a correlation instead of finding a solution after the risk outbreak. Although rather than a causal relationship between the risk of personal artificial intelligence has seen tremendous recent successes in insolvency and the activity in job-hunting apps. Based on many areas (Luan and Tsai 2021; Zhu et al. 2023; Wang et al. this dataset, if we run a general prediction model, it is not 2023; Shi et al. 2023; Liu et al. 2023; Chen, Rezayi, and Li difficult to observe this result that the employment status and 2023), it is often unable to produce trustworthy results on risk the activity in job-hunting apps are relatively important features prediction tasks, mainly due to a lack of interpretability, no for the risk of personal insolvency due to the spurious insight into cause relationships, and low precision and recall.