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Rao-Blackwellising Bayesian Causal Inference

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Bayesian causal inference, i.e., inferring a posterior over causal models for the use in downstream causal reasoning tasks, poses a hard computational inference problem that is little explored in literature. In this work, we combine techniques from order-based MCMC structure learning with recent advances in gradient-based graph learning into an effective Bayesian causal inference framework. Specifically, we decompose the problem of inferring the causal structure into (i) inferring a topological order over variables and (ii) inferring the parent sets for each variable. When limiting the number of parents per variable, we can exactly marginalise over the parent sets in polynomial time. We further use Gaussian processes to model the unknown causal mechanisms, which also allows their exact marginalisation. This introduces a Rao-Blackwellization scheme, where all components are eliminated from the model, except for the causal order, for which we learn a distribution via gradient-based optimisation. The combination of Rao-Blackwellization with our sequential inference procedure for causal orders yields state-of-the-art on linear and non-linear additive noise benchmarks with scale-free and Erdos-Renyi graph structures.


On the Conflict of Robustness and Learning in Collaborative Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Collaborative Machine Learning (CML) allows participants to jointly train a machine learning model while keeping their training data private. In scenarios where privacy is a strong requirement, such as health-related applications, safety is also a primary concern. This means that privacy-preserving CML processes must produce models that output correct and reliable decisions \emph{even in the presence of potentially untrusted participants}. In response to this issue, researchers propose to use \textit{robust aggregators} that rely on metrics which help filter out malicious contributions that could compromise the training process. In this work, we formalize the landscape of robust aggregators in the literature. Our formalization allows us to show that existing robust aggregators cannot fulfill their goal: either they use distance-based metrics that cannot accurately identify targeted malicious updates; or propose methods whose success is in direct conflict with the ability of CML participants to learn from others and therefore cannot eliminate the risk of manipulation without preventing learning.


Voice-Driven Mortality Prediction in Hospitalized Heart Failure Patients: A Machine Learning Approach Enhanced with Diagnostic Biomarkers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Addressing heart failure (HF) as a prevalent global health concern poses difficulties in implementing innovative approaches for enhanced patient care. Predicting mortality rates in HF patients, in particular, is difficult yet critical, necessitating individualized care, proactive management, and enabling educated decision-making to enhance outcomes. Recently, the significance of voice biomarkers coupled with Machine Learning (ML) has surged, demonstrating remarkable efficacy, particularly in predicting heart failure. The synergy of voice analysis and ML algorithms provides a non-invasive and easily accessible means to evaluate patients' health. However, there is a lack of voice biomarkers for predicting mortality rates among heart failure patients with standardized speech protocols. Here, we demonstrate a powerful and effective ML model for predicting mortality rates in hospitalized HF patients through the utilization of voice biomarkers. By seamlessly integrating voice biomarkers into routine patient monitoring, this strategy has the potential to improve patient outcomes, optimize resource allocation, and advance patient-centered HF management. In this study, a Machine Learning system, specifically a logistic regression model, is trained to predict patients' 5-year mortality rates using their speech as input. The model performs admirably and consistently, as demonstrated by cross-validation and statistical approaches (p-value < 0.001). Furthermore, integrating NT-proBNP, a diagnostic biomarker in HF, improves the model's predictive accuracy substantially.


RFI-DRUnet: Restoring dynamic spectra corrupted by radio frequency interference -- Application to pulsar observations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Radio frequency interference (RFI) have been an enduring concern in radio astronomy, particularly for the observations of pulsars which require high timing precision and data sensitivity. In most works of the literature, RFI mitigation has been formulated as a detection task that consists of localizing possible RFI in dynamic spectra. This strategy inevitably leads to a potential loss of information since parts of the signal identified as possibly RFI-corrupted are generally not considered in the subsequent data processing pipeline. Conversely, this work proposes to tackle RFI mitigation as a joint detection and restoration that allows parts of the dynamic spectrum affected by RFI to be not only identified but also recovered. The proposed supervised method relies on a deep convolutional network whose architecture inherits the performance reached by a recent yet popular image-denoising network. To train this network, a whole simulation framework is built to generate large data sets according to physics-inspired and statistical models of the pulsar signals and of the RFI. The relevance of the proposed approach is quantitatively assessed by conducting extensive experiments. In particular, the results show that the restored dynamic spectra are sufficiently reliable to estimate pulsar times-of-arrivals with an accuracy close to the one that would be obtained from RFI-free signals.


An Effective Networks Intrusion Detection Approach Based on Hybrid Harris Hawks and Multi-Layer Perceptron

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper proposes an Intrusion Detection System (IDS) employing the Harris Hawks Optimization algorithm (HHO) to optimize Multilayer Perceptron learning by optimizing bias and weight parameters. HHO-MLP aims to select optimal parameters in its learning process to minimize intrusion detection errors in networks. HHO-MLP has been implemented using EvoloPy NN framework, an open-source Python tool specialized for training MLPs using evolutionary algorithms. For purposes of comparing the HHO model against other evolutionary methodologies currently available, specificity and sensitivity measures, accuracy measures, and mse and rmse measures have been calculated using KDD datasets. Experiments have demonstrated the HHO MLP method is effective at identifying malicious patterns. HHO-MLP has been tested against evolutionary algorithms like Butterfly Optimization Algorithm (BOA), Grasshopper Optimization Algorithms (GOA), and Black Widow Optimizations (BOW), with validation by Random Forest (RF), XG-Boost. HHO-MLP showed superior performance by attaining top scores with accuracy rate of 93.17%, sensitivity level of 89.25%, and specificity percentage of 95.41%.


Compression Robust Synthetic Speech Detection Using Patched Spectrogram Transformer

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Many deep learning synthetic speech generation tools are readily available. The use of synthetic speech has caused financial fraud, impersonation of people, and misinformation to spread. For this reason forensic methods that can detect synthetic speech have been proposed. Existing methods often overfit on one dataset and their performance reduces substantially in practical scenarios such as detecting synthetic speech shared on social platforms. In this paper we propose, Patched Spectrogram Synthetic Speech Detection Transformer (PS3DT), a synthetic speech detector that converts a time domain speech signal to a mel-spectrogram and processes it in patches using a transformer neural network. We evaluate the detection performance of PS3DT on ASVspoof2019 dataset. Our experiments show that PS3DT performs well on ASVspoof2019 dataset compared to other approaches using spectrogram for synthetic speech detection. We also investigate generalization performance of PS3DT on In-the-Wild dataset. PS3DT generalizes well than several existing methods on detecting synthetic speech from an out-of-distribution dataset. We also evaluate robustness of PS3DT to detect telephone quality synthetic speech and synthetic speech shared on social platforms (compressed speech). PS3DT is robust to compression and can detect telephone quality synthetic speech better than several existing methods.


Opening the Black-Box: A Systematic Review on Explainable AI in Remote Sensing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years, black-box machine learning approaches have become a dominant modeling paradigm for knowledge extraction in Remote Sensing. Despite the potential benefits of uncovering the inner workings of these models with explainable AI, a comprehensive overview summarizing the used explainable AI methods and their objectives, findings, and challenges in Remote Sensing applications is still missing. In this paper, we address this issue by performing a systematic review to identify the key trends of how explainable AI is used in Remote Sensing and shed light on novel explainable AI approaches and emerging directions that tackle specific Remote Sensing challenges. We also reveal the common patterns of explanation interpretation, discuss the extracted scientific insights in Remote Sensing, and reflect on the approaches used for explainable AI methods evaluation. Our review provides a complete summary of the state-of-the-art in the field. Further, we give a detailed outlook on the challenges and promising research directions, representing a basis for novel methodological development and a useful starting point for new researchers in the field of explainable AI in Remote Sensing.


Effects of term weighting approach with and without stop words removing on Arabic text classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Classifying text is a method for categorizing documents into pre-established groups. Text documents must be prepared and represented in a way that is appropriate for the algorithms used for data mining prior to classification. As a result, a number of term weighting strategies have been created in the literature to enhance text categorization algorithms' functionality. This study compares the effects of Binary and Term frequency weighting feature methodologies on the text's classification method when stop words are eliminated once and when they are not. In recognition of assessing the effects of prior weighting of features approaches on classification results in terms of accuracy, recall, precision, and F-measure values, we used an Arabic data set made up of 322 documents divided into six main topics (agriculture, economy, health, politics, science, and sport), each of which contains 50 documents, with the exception of the health category, which contains 61 documents. The results demonstrate that for all metrics, the term frequency feature weighting approach with stop word removal outperforms the binary approach, while for accuracy, recall, and F-Measure, the binary approach outperforms the TF approach without stop word removal. However, for precision, the two approaches produce results that are very similar. Additionally, it is clear from the data that, using the same phrase weighting approach, stop word removing increases classification accuracy.


Wikibench: Community-Driven Data Curation for AI Evaluation on Wikipedia

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

AI tools are increasingly deployed in community contexts. However, datasets used to evaluate AI are typically created by developers and annotators outside a given community, which can yield misleading conclusions about AI performance. How might we empower communities to drive the intentional design and curation of evaluation datasets for AI that impacts them? We investigate this question on Wikipedia, an online community with multiple AI-based content moderation tools deployed. We introduce Wikibench, a system that enables communities to collaboratively curate AI evaluation datasets, while navigating ambiguities and differences in perspective through discussion. A field study on Wikipedia shows that datasets curated using Wikibench can effectively capture community consensus, disagreement, and uncertainty. Furthermore, study participants used Wikibench to shape the overall data curation process, including refining label definitions, determining data inclusion criteria, and authoring data statements. Based on our findings, we propose future directions for systems that support community-driven data curation.


Improving Efficiency of Iso-Surface Extraction on Implicit Neural Representations Using Uncertainty Propagation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Implicit Neural representations (INRs) are widely used for scientific data reduction and visualization by modeling the function that maps a spatial location to a data value. Without any prior knowledge about the spatial distribution of values, we are forced to sample densely from INRs to perform visualization tasks like iso-surface extraction which can be very computationally expensive. Recently, range analysis has shown promising results in improving the efficiency of geometric queries, such as ray casting and hierarchical mesh extraction, on INRs for 3D geometries by using arithmetic rules to bound the output range of the network within a spatial region. However, the analysis bounds are often too conservative for complex scientific data. In this paper, we present an improved technique for range analysis by revisiting the arithmetic rules and analyzing the probability distribution of the network output within a spatial region. We model this distribution efficiently as a Gaussian distribution by applying the central limit theorem. Excluding low probability values, we are able to tighten the output bounds, resulting in a more accurate estimation of the value range, and hence more accurate identification of iso-surface cells and more efficient iso-surface extraction on INRs. Our approach demonstrates superior performance in terms of the iso-surface extraction time on four datasets compared to the original range analysis method and can also be generalized to other geometric query tasks.