Accuracy
Causal Network Inference via Group Sparse Regularization
Bolstad, Andrew, Van Veen, Barry, Nowak, Robert
This paper addresses the problem of inferring sparse causal networks modeled by multivariate auto-regressive (MAR) processes. Conditions are derived under which the Group Lasso (gLasso) procedure consistently estimates sparse network structure. The key condition involves a "false connection score." In particular, we show that consistent recovery is possible even when the number of observations of the network is far less than the number of parameters describing the network, provided that the false connection score is less than one. The false connection score is also demonstrated to be a useful metric of recovery in non-asymptotic regimes. The conditions suggest a modified gLasso procedure which tends to improve the false connection score and reduce the chances of reversing the direction of causal influence. Computational experiments and a real network based electrocorticogram (ECoG) simulation study demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach.
Identifying Mislabeled Training Data
This paper presents a new approach to identifying and eliminating mislabeled training instances for supervised learning. The goal of this approach is to improve classification accuracies produced by learning algorithms by improving the quality of the training data. Our approach uses a set of learning algorithms to create classifiers that serve as noise filters for the training data. We evaluate single algorithm, majority vote and consensus filters on five datasets that are prone to labeling errors. Our experiments illustrate that filtering significantly improves classification accuracy for noise levels up to 30 percent. An analytical and empirical evaluation of the precision of our approach shows that consensus filters are conservative at throwing away good data at the expense of retaining bad data and that majority filters are better at detecting bad data at the expense of throwing away good data. This suggests that for situations in which there is a paucity of data, consensus filters are preferable, whereas majority vote filters are preferable for situations with an abundance of data.
Issues in Stacked Generalization
Stacked generalization is a general method of using a high-level model to combine lower-level models to achieve greater predictive accuracy. In this paper we address two crucial issues which have been considered to be a `black art' in classification tasks ever since the introduction of stacked generalization in 1992 by Wolpert: the type of generalizer that is suitable to derive the higher-level model, and the kind of attributes that should be used as its input. We find that best results are obtained when the higher-level model combines the confidence (and not just the predictions) of the lower-level ones. We demonstrate the effectiveness of stacked generalization for combining three different types of learning algorithms for classification tasks. We also compare the performance of stacked generalization with majority vote and published results of arcing and bagging.
Mining Chat Conversations: The Next Frontier
Ramachandran, Sowmya (Stottler Henke Associates Inc) | Jensen, Randy (Stottler Henke Associates, Inc) | Bascara, Oscar (Stottler Henke Associates, Inc) | Carpenter, Tamitha (Stottler Henke Associates Inc) | Denning, Todd ( AFRL/RHA ) | Sucillon, Shaun (AFRL)
Planning to Perceive: Exploiting Mobility for Robust Object Detection
Velez, Javier (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) | Hemann, Garrett (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) | Huang, Albert S. (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) | Posner, Ingmar (Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford) | Roy, Nicholas (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Consider the task of a mobile robot autonomously navigating through an environment while detecting and mapping objects of interest using a noisy object detector. The robot must reach its destination in a timely manner, but is rewarded for correctly detecting recognizable objects to be added to the map, and penalized for false alarms. However, detector performance typically varies with vantage point, so the robot benefits from planning trajectories which maximize the efficacy of the recognition system. This work describes an online, any-time planning framework enabling the active exploration of possible detections provided by an off-the-shelf object detector. We present a probabilistic approach where vantage points are identified which provide a more informative view of a potential object. The agent then weighs the benefit of increasing its confidence against the cost of taking a detour to reach each identified vantage point. The system is demonstrated to significantly improve detection and trajectory length in both simulated and real robot experiments.
Robustness of Filter-Based Feature Ranking: A Case Study
Altidor, Wilker (Florida Atlantic University) | Khoshgoftaar, Taghi M. (Florida Atlantic University) | Hulse, Jason Van (Florida Atlantic University)
The filter model of feature selection has been well studied. In previous studies, classification performance has traditionally been proposed as a way to evaluate filter solutions. In this study, a new method of comparing feature ranking techniques is presented providing a straightforward approach for quantifying individual filtersโ robustness to class noise. Six commonly-used filters, plus one which is rarely used, are investigated regarding their ability to retain, in the presence of class noise, strong classification performance. Three classifiers and one classification performance metric are considered. The experimental results of this study show that Gain Ratio, one of the well known and widely used filters, is very sensitive to class noise. ReliefF offers the best results with both the NB and kNN learners while Signal-to-noise, though not as widely used in the literature as the others, outperforms all the filters with the SVM learner.
How Many Software Metrics Should be Selected for Defect Prediction?
Wang, Huanjing (Western Kentucky University) | Khoshgoftaar, Taghi M. (Florida Atlantic University) | Seliya, Naeem (University of Michigan, Dearborn)
A software practitioner is interested in the solution to โfor a given project, what is the minimum number of software metrics that should be considered for building an effective defect prediction model?โ During the development life cycle various software metrics are collected for different reasons. In the case of a metricsbased defect prediction model, an intelligent selection of software metrics prior to building defect predictors is likely to improve model performance. This study utilizes the proposed threshold-based feature selection technique to remove irrelevant and redundant software metrics (a.k.a. features or attributes). A comparative investigation is presented for evaluating the size of the selected feature subsets. The case study is based on software measurement data obtained from a real-world project, and the defect predictors are trained using three commonly used classifiers. The empirical case study results demonstrate that an effective defect predictor can be built with only three metrics; and moreover, model performances improved when over 98.5% of the software metrics were eliminated.
Feature Level Sensor Fusion for Improved Fault Detection in MCM Systems for Ocean Turbines
Duhaney, Janell (Florida Atlantic University) | Khoshgoftaar, Taghi M. (Florida Atlantic University) | Sloan, John C. (Florida Atlantic University)
This paper investigates feature level fusion for enhancing fault detection from vibration signals in an ocean turbine. Changes in vibration signatures from such rotating machinery typically indicate the presence of a problem such as a shift in its orientation or mechanical impact from its environment. We applied feature level fusion to vibration data acquired from two accelerometers attached to a box fan, and then assessed the abilities of twelve well known machine learners to detect changes in state from the raw accelerometer data and from the fused data. Analysis of the performance of these classifiers showed an overall performance improvement in all twelve classifiers in detecting the state of the fan from the fused data versus from the data from the two individual sensor channels.
Hybrid Approach Combining Machine Learning and a Rule-Based Expert System for Text Categorization
Villena-Romรกn, Julio (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid) | Collada-Pรฉrez, Sonia (Daedalus - Data, Decisions and Language, S.A.) | Lana-Serrano, Sara (Universidad Politécnica de Madrid) | Gonzรกlez-Cristรณbal, Josรฉ Carlos (Universidad Politécnica de Madrid)
This paper discusses a novel hybrid approach for text categorization that combines a machine learning algorithm, which provides a base model trained with a labeled corpus, with a rule-based expert system, which is used to improve the results provided by the previous classifier, by filtering false positives and dealing with false negatives. The main advantage is that the system can be easily fine-tuned by adding specific rules for those noisy or conflicting categories that have not been successfully trained. We also describe an implementation based on k-Nearest Neighbor and a simple rule language to express lists of positive, negative and relevant (multiword) terms appearing in the input text. The system is evaluated in several scenarios, including the popular Reuters-21578 news corpus for comparison to other approaches, and categorization using IPTC metadata, EUROVOC thesaurus and others. Results show that this approach achieves a precision that is comparable to top ranked methods, with the added value that it does not require a demanding human expert workload to train.
Student Speech Act Classification Using Machine Learning
Rasor, Travis (University of Memphis) | Olney, Andrew ( University of Memphis ) | D' ( University of Memphis ) | Mello, Sidney
The plurality of taxonomies, the group of researchers have attempted to make ITS differences amongst available features, and the techniques interactions more naturalistic and conversational. In order used have yielded a variety of approaches. Verbee et al. to accomplish this goal, researchers have analyzed corpora (2006) examined the features used by 16 dialogue act of human-human tutorial dialogues to better understand tagging studies and identified 24 features that have been both individual dialogue acts and patterns of acts that occur previously used. While an extensive discussion of these in human tutoring (Graesser & Person, 1994; Graesser, features is outside the scope of the present paper, the Person, & Magliano, 1995; Litman & Forbes-Riley, 2006; features fall loosely into four categories: word based (e.g.