MLP networks provided slightly better risk prediction than conventional logistic regression when used to predict the risk of death, stroke, and renal failure on 1257 patients who underwent coronary artery bypass operations. Bootstrap sampling was required to compare approaches and regularization provided by early stopping was an important component of improved performance. A simplified approach to generating confidence intervals for MLP risk predictions using an auxiliary "confidence MLP" was also developed. The confidence MLP is trained to reproduce the confidence bounds that were generated during training by 50 MLP networks trained using bootstrap samples. Current research is validating these results using larger data sets, exploring approaches to detect outlier patients who are so different from any training patient that accurate risk prediction is suspect, developing approaches to explaining which input features are important for an individual patient, and determining why MLP networks provide improved performance.

MLP networks provided slightly better risk prediction than conventional logistic regression when used to predict the risk of death, stroke, and renal failure on 1257 patients who underwent coronary artery bypass operations. Bootstrap sampling was required to compare approaches and regularization provided by early stopping was an important component of improved performance. A simplified approach to generating confidence intervals for MLP risk predictions using an auxiliary "confidence MLP" was also developed. The confidence MLP is trained to reproduce the confidence bounds that were generated during training by 50 MLP networks trained using bootstrap samples. Current research is validating these results using larger data sets, exploring approaches to detect outlier patients who are so different from any training patient that accurate risk prediction is suspect, developing approaches to explaining which input features are important for an individual patient, and determining why MLP networks provide improved performance.

The efficiency of image search can be greatly improved by using a coarse-to-fine search strategy with a multi-resolution image representation. However, if the resolution is so low that the objects have few distinguishing features, search becomes difficult. We show that the performance of search at such low resolutions can be improved by using context information, i.e., objects visible at low-resolution which are not the objects of interest but are associated with them. The networks can be given explicit context information as inputs, or they can learn to detect the context objects, in which case the user does not have to be aware of their existence. We also use Integrated Feature Pyramids, which represent high-frequency information at low resolutions. The use of multiresolution search techniques allows us to combine information about the appearance of the objects on many scales in an efficient way. A natural fOlm of exemplar selection also arises from these techniques. We illustrate these ideas by training hierarchical systems of neural networks to find clusters of buildings in aerial photographs of farmland.

The efficiency of image search can be greatly improved by using a coarse-to-fine search strategy with a multi-resolution image representation. However, if the resolution is so low that the objects have few distinguishing features, search becomes difficult. We show that the performance of search at such low resolutions can be improved by using context information, i.e., objects visible at low-resolution which are not the objects of interest but are associated with them. The networks can be given explicit context information as inputs, or they can learn to detect the context objects, in which case the user does not have to be aware of their existence. We also use Integrated Feature Pyramids, which represent high-frequency information at low resolutions. The use of multiresolution search techniques allows us to combine information about the appearance of the objects on many scales in an efficient way. A natural fOlm of exemplar selection also arises from these techniques. We illustrate these ideas by training hierarchical systems of neural networks to find clusters of buildings in aerial photographs of farmland.

The TNM staging system has been used since the early 1960's to predict breast cancer patient outcome. In an attempt to increase prognosticaccuracy, many putative prognostic factors have been identified. Because the TNM stage model can not accommodate thesenew factors, the proliferation of factors in breast cancer has lead to clinical confusion. What is required is a new computerized prognostic system that can test putative prognostic factors and integrate the predictive factors with the TNM variables inorder to increase prognostic accuracy. Using the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic, we compare the accuracy of the following predictive models in terms of five year breast cancer-specific survival: pTNM staging system, principal componentanalysis, classification and regression trees, logistic regression, cascade correlation neural network, conjugate gradient descent neural, probabilistic neural network, and backpropagation neural network. Several statistical models are significantly more ac- 1064 HarryB.

The efficiency of image search can be greatly improved by using a coarse-to-fine search strategy with a multi-resolution image representation. However,if the resolution is so low that the objects have few distinguishing features,search becomes difficult. We show that the performance of search at such low resolutions can be improved by using context information, i.e., objects visible at low-resolution which are not the objects of interest but are associated with them. The networks can be given explicit context information as inputs, or they can learn to detect the context objects, in which case the user does not have to be aware of their existence. We also use Integrated Feature Pyramids, which represent high-frequencyinformation at low resolutions. The use of multiresolution searchtechniques allows us to combine information about the appearance of the objects on many scales in an efficient way. A natural fOlm of exemplar selection also arises from these techniques. We illustrate theseideas by training hierarchical systems of neural networks to find clusters of buildings in aerial photographs of farmland.

MLP networks provided slightly better risk prediction than conventional logistic regression when used to predict the risk of death, stroke, and renal failure on 1257 patients who underwent coronaryartery bypass operations. Bootstrap sampling was required to compare approaches and regularization provided by early stopping was an important component of improved performance. A simplified approach to generating confidence intervals for MLP risk predictions using an auxiliary "confidence MLP" was also developed. The confidence MLP is trained to reproduce the confidence bounds that were generated during training by 50 MLP networks trained using bootstrap samples. Current research is validating these results usinglarger data sets, exploring approaches to detect outlier patients who are so different fromany training patient that accurate risk prediction is suspect, developing approaches toexplaining which input features are important for an individual patient, and determining why MLP networks provide improved performance.

This paper introduces ICET, a new algorithm for cost-sensitive classification. ICET uses a genetic algorithm to evolve a population of biases for a decision tree induction algorithm. The fitness function of the genetic algorithm is the average cost of classification when using the decision tree, including both the costs of tests (features, measurements) and the costs of classification errors. ICET is compared here with three other algorithms for cost-sensitive classification - EG2, CS-ID3, and IDX - and also with C4.5, which classifies without regard to cost. The five algorithms are evaluated empirically on five real-world medical datasets. Three sets of experiments are performed. The first set examines the baseline performance of the five algorithms on the five datasets and establishes that ICET performs significantly better than its competitors. The second set tests the robustness of ICET under a variety of conditions and shows that ICET maintains its advantage. The third set looks at ICET's search in bias space and discovers a way to improve the search.

We report face recognition results under drastically changing lighting conditions for a computer vision system which concurrently uses a contrast sensitive silicon retina and a conventional, gain controlled CCO camera. For both input devices the face recognition system employs an elastic matching algorithm with wavelet based features to classify unknown faces. To assess the effect of analog on -chip preprocessing by the silicon retina the CCO images have been "digitally preprocessed" with a bandpass filter to adjust the power spectrum. The silicon retina with its ability to adjust sensitivity increases the recognition rate up to 50 percent. These comparative experiments demonstrate that preprocessing with an analog VLSI silicon retina generates image data enriched with object-constant features.

We report face recognition results under drastically changing lighting conditions for a computer vision system which concurrently uses a contrast sensitive silicon retina and a conventional, gain controlled CCO camera. For both input devices the face recognition system employs an elastic matching algorithm with wavelet based features to classify unknown faces. To assess the effect of analog on -chip preprocessing by the silicon retina the CCO images have been "digitally preprocessed" with a bandpass filter to adjust the power spectrum. The silicon retina with its ability to adjust sensitivity increases the recognition rate up to 50 percent. These comparative experiments demonstrate that preprocessing with an analog VLSI silicon retina generates image data enriched with object-constant features.