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Sparse estimation via nonconcave penalized likelihood in a factor analysis model

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider the problem of sparse estimation in a factor analysis model. A traditional estimation procedure in use is the following two-step approach: the model is estimated by maximum likelihood method and then a rotation technique is utilized to find sparse factor loadings. However, the maximum likelihood estimates cannot be obtained when the number of variables is much larger than the number of observations. Furthermore, even if the maximum likelihood estimates are available, the rotation technique does not often produce a sufficiently sparse solution. In order to handle these problems, this paper introduces a penalized likelihood procedure that imposes a nonconvex penalty on the factor loadings. We show that the penalized likelihood procedure can be viewed as a generalization of the traditional two-step approach, and the proposed methodology can produce sparser solutions than the rotation technique. A new algorithm via the EM algorithm along with coordinate descent is introduced to compute the entire solution path, which permits the application to a wide variety of convex and nonconvex penalties. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to investigate the performance of our modeling strategy. A real data example is also given to illustrate our procedure.


Refinement revisited with connections to Bayes error, conditional entropy and calibrated classifiers

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The concept of refinement from probability elicitation is considered for proper scoring rules. Taking directions from the axioms of probability, refinement is further clarified using a Hilbert space interpretation and reformulated into the underlying data distribution setting where connections to maximal marginal diversity and conditional entropy are considered and used to derive measures that provide arbitrarily tight bounds on the Bayes error. Refinement is also reformulated into the classifier output setting and its connections to calibrated classifiers and proper margin losses are established.


Link prediction for partially observed networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Link prediction is one of the fundamental problems in network analysis. In many applications, notably in genetics, a partially observed network may not contain any negative examples of absent edges, which creates a difficulty for many existing supervised learning approaches. We develop a new method which treats the observed network as a sample of the true network with different sampling rates for positive and negative examples. We obtain a relative ranking of potential links by their probabilities, utilizing information on node covariates as well as on network topology. Empirically, the method performs well under many settings, including when the observed network is sparse. We apply the method to a protein-protein interaction network and a school friendship network.


Change-Point Detection in Time-Series Data by Relative Density-Ratio Estimation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The objective of change-point detection is to discover abrupt property changes lying behind time-series data. In this paper, we present a novel statistical change-point detection algorithm based on non-parametric divergence estimation between time-series samples from two retrospective segments. Our method uses the relative Pearson divergence as a divergence measure, and it is accurately and efficiently estimated by a method of direct density-ratio estimation. Through experiments on artificial and real-world datasets including human-activity sensing, speech, and Twitter messages, we demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed method.


Functional Regularized Least Squares Classi cation with Operator-valued Kernels

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Although operator-valued kernels have recently received increasing interest in various machine learning and functional data analysis problems such as multi-task learning or functional regression, little attention has been paid to the understanding of their associated feature spaces. In this paper, we explore the potential of adopting an operator-valued kernel feature space perspective for the analysis of functional data. We then extend the Regularized Least Squares Classification (RLSC) algorithm to cover situations where there are multiple functions per observation. Experiments on a sound recognition problem show that the proposed method outperforms the classical RLSC algorithm.


Training Effective Node Classifiers for Cascade Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Cascade classifiers are widely used in real-time object detection. Different from conventional classifiers that are designed for a low overall classification error rate, a classifier in each node of the cascade is required to achieve an extremely high detection rate and moderate false positive rate. Although there are a few reported methods addressing this requirement in the context of object detection, there is no principled feature selection method that explicitly takes into account this asymmetric node learning objective. We provide such an algorithm here. We show that a special case of the biased minimax probability machine has the same formulation as the linear asymmetric classifier (LAC) of Wu et al (2005). We then design a new boosting algorithm that directly optimizes the cost function of LAC. The resulting totally-corrective boosting algorithm is implemented by the column generation technique in convex optimization. Experimental results on object detection verify the effectiveness of the proposed boosting algorithm as a node classifier in cascade object detection, and show performance better than that of the current state-of-the-art.


Supervised, semi-supervised and unsupervised inference of gene regulatory networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Mapping the topology of gene regulatory networks is a central problem in systems biology. The regulatory architecture controlling gene expression also controls consequent cellular behavior such as development, differentiation, homeostasis and response to stimuli, while deregulation of these networks has been implicated in oncogenesis and tumor progression (Pe'er and Hacohen, 2011). Experimental methods based e.g. on chromatin immunoprecepitation, DNaseI hypersensitivity or protein-binding assays are capable of determining the nature of gene regulation in a given system, but are time-consuming, expensive and require antibodies for each transcription factor (Elnitski et al., 2006). Accurate computational methods to infer gene regulatory networks, particularly methods that leverage genome-scale experimental data, are urgently required not only to supplement empirical approaches but also, if possible, to explore these data in new, moreintegrative ways. Many computational methods have been developed to infer regulatory networks from gene expression data, predominately employing unsupervised techniques. Several comparisons have been made of network inference methods, but a comprehensive evaluation that covers unsupervised, semi-supervised and supervised methods is lacking, and many questions remain open.


Variational Inference for Crowdsourcing

Neural Information Processing Systems

Crowdsourcing has become a popular paradigm for labeling large datasets. However, ithas given rise to the computational task of aggregating the crowdsourced labels provided by a collection of unreliable annotators. We approach this problem bytransforming it into a standard inference problem in graphical models, and applying approximate variational methods, including belief propagation (BP) and mean field (MF). We show that our BP algorithm generalizes both majority votingand a recent algorithm by Karger et al. [1], while our MF method is closely related to a commonly used EM algorithm. In both cases, we find that the performance of the algorithms critically depends on the choice of a prior distribution onthe workers' reliability; by choosing the prior properly, both BP and MF (and EM) perform surprisingly well on both simulated and real-world datasets, competitive with state-of-the-art algorithms based on more complicated modeling assumptions.


Machine Learning for Personalized Medicine: Predicting Primary Myocardial Infarction from Electronic Health Records

AI Magazine

Electronic health records (EHRs) are an emerging relational domain with large potential to improve clinical outcomes. We apply two statistical relational learning (SRL) algorithms to the task of predicting primary myocardial infarction. We show that one SRL algorithm, relational functional gradient boosting, outperforms propositional learners particularly in the medically-relevant high recall region. We observe that both SRL algorithms predict outcomes better than their propositional analogs and suggest how our methods can augment current epidemiological practices.


Transelliptical Graphical Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

We advocate the use of a new distribution family--the transelliptical--for robust inference of high dimensional graphical models. The transelliptical family is an extension of the nonparanormal family proposed by Liu et al. (2009). Just as the nonparanormal extends the normal by transforming the variables using univariate functions, the transelliptical extends the elliptical family in the same way. We propose a nonparametric rank-based regularization estimator which achieves the parametric rates of convergence for both graph recovery and parameter estimation. Such a result suggests that the extra robustness and flexibility obtained by the semiparametric transelliptical modeling incurs almost no efficiency loss. We also discuss the relationship between this work with the transelliptical component analysis proposed by Han and Liu (2012).