When faced with large datasets, it is commonly observed that using all the data with a simpler algorithm is superior to using a small fraction of the data with a more computationally intense but possibly more effective algorithm. The question becomes: What is the most sophisticated algorithm that can be executed given a computational constraint? At the largest scales, Naïve Bayes approaches offer a simple, easily distributed single-pass algorithm. A more computationally difficult, but commonly better-performing approach is large scale linear regression, which has been effectively parallelized in several ways on real-world large scale datasets [1, 19]. Is there a modestly more computationally difficult approach that allows us to commonly achieve superior statistical performance?

We present an integer programming framework to build accurate and interpretable discrete linear classification models. Unlike existing approaches, our framework is designed to provide practitioners with the control and flexibility they need to tailor accurate and interpretable models for a domain of choice. To this end, our framework can produce models that are fully optimized for accuracy, by minimizing the 0--1 classification loss, and that address multiple aspects of interpretability, by incorporating a range of discrete constraints and penalty functions. We use our framework to produce models that are difficult to create with existing methods, such as scoring systems and M-of-N rule tables. In addition, we propose specially designed optimization methods to improve the scalability of our framework through decomposition and data reduction. We show that discrete linear classifiers can attain the training accuracy of any other linear classifier, and provide an Occam's Razor type argument as to why the use of small discrete coefficients can provide better generalization. We demonstrate the performance and flexibility of our framework through numerical experiments and a case study in which we construct a highly tailored clinical tool for sleep apnea diagnosis.

Probabilistic approaches for tensor factorization aim to extract meaningful structure from incomplete data by postulating low rank constraints. Recently, variational Bayesian (VB) inference techniques have successfully been applied to large scale models. This paper presents full Bayesian inference via VB on both single and coupled tensor factorization models. Our method can be run even for very large models and is easily implemented. It exhibits better prediction performance than existing approaches based on maximum likelihood on several real-world datasets for missing link prediction problem.

Statistical tests that compare classification algorithms are univariate and use a single performance measure, e.g., misclassification error, $F$ measure, AUC, and so on. In multivariate tests, comparison is done using multiple measures simultaneously. For example, error is the sum of false positives and false negatives and a univariate test on error cannot make a distinction between these two sources, but a 2-variate test can. Similarly, instead of combining precision and recall in $F$ measure, we can have a 2-variate test on (precision, recall). We use Hotelling's multivariate $T^2$ test for comparing two algorithms, and when we have three or more algorithms we use the multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) followed by pairwise post hoc tests. In our experiments, we see that multivariate tests have higher power than univariate tests, that is, they can detect differences that univariate tests cannot. We also discuss how multivariate analysis allows us to automatically extract performance measures that best distinguish the behavior of multiple algorithms.

Abstract-- Automatic anomaly detection is a major issue in various areas. Beyond mere detection, the identification of the source of the problem that produced the anomaly is also essential. This is particularly the case in aircraft engine health monitoring where detecting early signs of failure (anomalies) and helping the engine owner to implement efficiently the adapted maintenance operations (fixing the source of the anomaly) are of crucial importance to reduce the costs attached to unscheduled maintenance. This paper introduces a general methodology that aims at classifying monitoring signals into normal ones and several classes of abnormal ones. The main idea is to leverage expert knowledge by generating a very large number of binary indicators. Each indicator corresponds to a fully parametrized anomaly detector built from parametric anomaly scores designed by experts. A feature selection method is used to keep only the most discriminant indicators which are used at inputs of a Naive Bayes classifier. This give an interpretable classifier based on interpretable anomaly detectors whose parameters have been optimized indirectly by the selection process. The proposed methodology is evaluated on simulated data designed to reproduce some of the anomaly types observed in real world engines.

We describe a state-of-the-art sentiment analysis system that detects (a) the sentiment of short informal textual messages such as tweets and SMS (message-level task) and (b) the sentiment of a word or a phrase within a message (term-level task). The system is based on a supervised statistical text classification approach leveraging a variety of surface-form, semantic, and sentiment features. The sentiment features are primarily derived from novel high-coverage tweet-specific sentiment lexicons. These lexicons are automatically generated from tweets with sentiment-word hashtags and from tweets with emoticons. To adequately capture the sentiment of words in negated contexts, a separate sentiment lexicon is generated for negated words. The system ranked first in the SemEval-2013 shared task `Sentiment Analysis in Twitter' (Task 2), obtaining an F-score of 69.02 in the message-level task and 88.93 in the term-level task. Post-competition improvements boost the performance to an F-score of 70.45 (message-level task) and 89.50 (term-level task). The system also obtains state-of-the-art performance on two additional datasets: the SemEval-2013 SMS test set and a corpus of movie review excerpts. The ablation experiments demonstrate that the use of the automatically generated lexicons results in performance gains of up to 6.5 absolute percentage points.

Deeply rooted in classical social choice and voting theory, statistical ranking with paired comparison data experienced its renaissance with the wide spread of crowdsourcing technique. As the data quality might be significantly damaged in an uncontrolled crowdsourcing environment, outlier detection and robust ranking have become a hot topic in such data analysis. In this paper, we propose a robust ranking framework based on the principle of Huber's robust statistics, which formulates outlier detection as a LASSO problem to find sparse approximations of the cyclic ranking projection in Hodge decomposition. Moreover, simple yet scalable algorithms are developed based on Linearized Bregman Iteration to achieve an even less biased estimator than LASSO. Statistical consistency of outlier detection is established in both cases which states that when the outliers are strong enough and in Erdos-Renyi random graph sampling settings, outliers can be faithfully detected. Our studies are supported by experiments with both simulated examples and real-world data. The proposed framework provides us a promising tool for robust ranking with large scale crowdsourcing data arising from computer vision, multimedia, machine learning, sociology, etc.

Sparse high dimensional graphical model selection is a topic of much interest in modern day statistics. A popular approach is to apply l1-penalties to either (1) parametric likelihoods, or, (2) regularized regression/pseudo-likelihoods, with the latter having the distinct advantage that they do not explicitly assume Gaussianity. As none of the popular methods proposed for solving pseudo-likelihood based objective functions have provable convergence guarantees, it is not clear if corresponding estimators exist or are even computable, or if they actually yield correct partial correlation graphs. This paper proposes a new pseudo-likelihood based graphical model selection method that aims to overcome some of the shortcomings of current methods, but at the same time retain all their respective strengths. In particular, we introduce a novel framework that leads to a convex formulation of the partial covariance regression graph problem, resulting in an objective function comprised of quadratic forms. The objective is then optimized via a coordinate-wise approach. The specific functional form of the objective function facilitates rigorous convergence analysis leading to convergence guarantees; an important property that cannot be established using standard results, when the dimension is larger than the sample size, as is often the case in high dimensional applications. These convergence guarantees ensure that estimators are well-defined under very general conditions, and are always computable. In addition, the approach yields estimators that have good large sample properties and also respect symmetry. Furthermore, application to simulated/real data, timing comparisons and numerical convergence is demonstrated. We also present a novel unifying framework that places all graphical pseudo-likelihood methods as special cases of a more general formulation, leading to important insights.

We extend the work of Narasimhan and Bilmes [30] for minimizing set functions representable as a dierence between submodular functions. Similar to [30], our new algorithms are guaranteed to monotonically reduce the objective function at every step. We empirically and theoretically show that the per-iteration cost of our algorithms is much less than [30], and our algorithms can be used to efficiently minimize a dierence between submodular functions under various combinatorial constraints, a problem not previously addressed. We provide computational bounds and a hardness result on the multiplicative inapproximability of minimizing the dierence between submodular functions. We show, however, that it is possible to give worst-case additive bounds by providing a polynomial time computable lower-bound on the minima. Finally we show how a number of machine learning problems can be modeled as minimizing the dierence between submodular functions. We experimentally show the validity of our algorithms by testing them on the problem of feature selection with submodular cost features.

Graphical Gaussian models have proven to be useful tools for exploring network structures based on multivariate data. Applications to studies of gene expression have generated substantial interest in these models, and resulting recent progress includes the development of fitting methodology involving penalization of the likelihood function. In this paper we advocate the use of the multivariate t and related distributions for more robust inference of graphs. In particular, we demonstrate that penalized likelihood inference combined with an application of the EM algorithm provides a simple and computationally efficient approach to model selection in the t-distribution case.