We propose an algorithm for detecting patterns exhibited by anomalous clusters in high dimensional discrete data. Unlike most anomaly detection (AD) methods, which detect individual anomalies, our proposed method detects groups (clusters) of anomalies; i.e. sets of points which collectively exhibit abnormal patterns. In many applications this can lead to better understanding of the nature of the atypical behavior and to identifying the sources of the anomalies. Moreover, we consider the case where the atypical patterns exhibit on only a small (salient) subset of the very high dimensional feature space. Individual AD techniques and techniques that detect anomalies using all the features typically fail to detect such anomalies, but our method can detect such instances collectively, discover the shared anomalous patterns exhibited by them, and identify the subsets of salient features. In this paper, we focus on detecting anomalous topics in a batch of text documents, developing our algorithm based on topic models. Results of our experiments show that our method can accurately detect anomalous topics and salient features (words) under each such topic in a synthetic data set and two real-world text corpora and achieves better performance compared to both standard group AD and individual AD techniques. All required code to reproduce our experiments is available from https://github.com/hsoleimani/ATD

Developing effective tools against cancer has been a long, complicated endeavor with successes and disappointments. Despite all, cancer remains the leading cause of death worldwide. Now, machine learning and data analytics are being recruited as tools in the effort fight the disease and show significant promise according to two recent papers. In one paper – An Analytics Approach to Designing Combination Chemotherapy Regimens for Cancer – researchers from MIT and Stanford "propose models that use machine learning and optimization to suggest regimens to be tested in phase II and phase III trials." Their work, published in March in Management Science, could help cut costs and speed clinical trials.

A project manager once told me that "any job worth doing is worth doing poorly." I understood exactly what she meant, and she knew that I would understand, especially when she preceded our conversation with these words: "I wouldn't say this to everyone, but I know you will understand what I mean." The message was clear to me because I was a perfectionist (and hopefully I have learned over the years to be less of a perfectionist thanks to my project manager's wise counsel). As a perfectionist, I would strive for 100% completion and perfection on every project, every analysis, and every report. It would take me longer than most people to finish the analysis and report, and my manager understood why.

Automatic modulation classification (AMC) is an important task for modern communication systems; however, it is a challenging problem when signal features and precise models for generating each modulation may be unknown. We present a new biologically-inspired AMC method without the need for models or manually specified features --- thus removing the requirement for expert prior knowledge. We accomplish this task using regularized stacked sparse denoising autoencoders (SSDAs). Our method selects efficient classification features directly from raw in-phase/quadrature (I/Q) radio signals in an unsupervised manner. These features are then used to construct higher-complexity abstract features which can be used for automatic modulation classification. We demonstrate this process using a dataset generated with a software defined radio, consisting of random input bits encoded in 100-sample segments of various common digital radio modulations. Our results show correct classification rates of > 99% at 7.5 dB signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) and > 92% at 0 dB SNR in a 6-way classification test. Our experiments demonstrate a dramatically new and broadly applicable mechanism for performing AMC and related tasks without the need for expert-defined or modulation-specific signal information.

The purpose of testing analysis in predictive analytics is to compare the response of a predictive model against the actual target values in an independent testing set. There are several techniques that can be used for testing the performance of a predictive model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is one of the most useful testing methods for binary classification problems, since it provides a comprehensive and visually attractive way to summarize the accuracy of predictions. By moving the decision threshold, we change the number of instances classified as positives and negatives. If the score of an instance is greater or equal to the threshold, then it will be classified as positive.

ECENT technological achievements and globalization have increased data acquisition capability in almost all corners of human activities, ranging from scientific and engineering endeavors such as genomics, medical imaging, remote sensing, economics and finance, and all the way to people's personal lives with the emergence of social media through the world wide web and mobile networks. The enormous growth of data creates daunting challenges, not only in finding out how to store and access the data, but more importantly, how to process and make sense of it. Also, since data collection is expensive, we are somehow obliged to make good use of the data at hand, so it is obvious that for further progress, the development of efficient algorithms for processing big data is very important. Big data is usually considered in terms of the number of observations n and the number of variables p measured on each observation. In many branches of science such as genetics and medical imaging, the number of variables is very large and is often much larger than the number of observations. This scenario is often denoted as p n.

Random forest model using Lending Club public dataset shows opportunity to improve adjusted return by 2.75% Arimo recently performed a study using a public dataset provided by Lending Club with the goal of showing how machine learning could improve investor returns. To do this we used the PredictiveEngine component of our Data Intelligence Platform, which provides the ability to easily build a variety of predictive machine learning models which scale transparently when deployed on distributed parallel computing platforms. Lending Club is an online peer-to-peer lending company that connects borrowers with investors who have capital to lend. When a loan application is submitted by a borrower, Lending Club reviews and decides whether to offer a loan at a risk-adjusted rate or to reject the application. As of the 3rd quarter of 2015, more than 12 billion in loans have been issued through Lending Club.

The area under the ROC curve (AUC) is a widely used performance measure in machine learning. Increasingly, however, in several applications, ranging from ranking to biometric screening to medicine, performance is measured not in terms of the full area under the ROC curve, but in terms of the \emph{partial} area under the ROC curve between two false positive rates. In this paper, we develop support vector algorithms for directly optimizing the partial AUC between any two false positive rates. Our methods are based on minimizing a suitable proxy or surrogate objective for the partial AUC error. In the case of the full AUC, one can readily construct and optimize convex surrogates by expressing the performance measure as a summation of pairwise terms. The partial AUC, on the other hand, does not admit such a simple decomposable structure, making it more challenging to design and optimize (tight) convex surrogates for this measure. Our approach builds on the structural SVM framework of Joachims (2005) to design convex surrogates for partial AUC, and solves the resulting optimization problem using a cutting plane solver. Unlike the full AUC, where the combinatorial optimization needed in each iteration of the cutting plane solver can be decomposed and solved efficiently, the corresponding problem for the partial AUC is harder to decompose. One of our main contributions is a polynomial time algorithm for solving the combinatorial optimization problem associated with partial AUC. We also develop an approach for optimizing a tighter non-convex hinge loss based surrogate for the partial AUC using difference-of-convex programming. Our experiments on a variety of real-world and benchmark tasks confirm the efficacy of the proposed methods.

We propose a formal mathematical model for sparse representations and active dendrites in neocortex. Our model is inspired by recent experimental findings on active dendritic processing and NMDA spikes in pyramidal neurons. These experimental and modeling studies suggest that the basic unit of pattern memory in the neocortex is instantiated by small clusters of synapses operated on by localized non-linear dendritic processes. We derive a number of scaling laws that characterize the accuracy of such dendrites in detecting activation patterns in a neuronal population under adverse conditions. We introduce the union property which shows that synapses for multiple patterns can be randomly mixed together within a segment and still lead to highly accurate recognition. We describe simulation results that provide further insight into sparse representations as well as two primary results. First we show that pattern recognition by a neuron with active dendrites can be extremely accurate and robust with high dimensional sparse inputs even when using a tiny number of synapses to recognize large patterns. Second, equations representing recognition accuracy of a dendrite predict optimal NMDA spiking thresholds under a generous set of assumptions. The prediction tightly matches NMDA spiking thresholds measured in the literature. Our model matches many of the known properties of pyramidal neurons. As such the theory provides a mathematical framework for understanding the benefits and limits of sparse representations in cortical networks.

Manufacturers often have to deal with up to 800 hours of downtime annually. On average an automotive manufacturer's TDC is 22,000 per minute; that is 1.3M per month! With the advance of predictive analytics, TDC can easily be reduced however only 14% of the manufacturing industry is taking advantage of its big data, according to a recent survey from MESA. Predictive maintenance is realized through the application of sophisticated machine learning techniques to equipment condition data collected in real-time or near real-time. It is now the new standard for reducing cost, risk and lost production in manufacturing facilities.