Smart grid is an alternative solution of the conventional power grid which harnesses the power of the information technology to save the energy and meet today's environment requirements. Due to the inherent vulnerabilities in the information technology, the smart grid is exposed to a wide variety of threats that could be translated into cyber-attacks. In this paper, we develop a deep learning-based intrusion detection system to defend against cyber-attacks in the advanced metering infrastructure network. The proposed machine learning approach is trained and tested extensively on an empirical industrial dataset which is composed of several attack categories including the scanning, buffer overflow, and denial of service attacks. Then, an experimental comparison in terms of detection accuracy is conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed approach with Naive Bayes, Support Vector Machine, and Random Forest. The obtained results suggest that the proposed approaches produce optimal results comparing to the other algorithms. Finally, we propose a network architecture to deploy the proposed anomaly-based intrusion detection system across the Advanced Metering Infrastructure network. In addition, we propose a network security architecture composed of two types of Intrusion detection system types, Host and Network-based, deployed across the Advanced Metering Infrastructure network to inspect the traffic and detect the malicious one at all the levels.

Functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) enables measuring human brain activity, in vivo. Yet, the fMRI hemodynamic response unfolds over very slow timescales ( 0.1-1 Hz), orders of magnitude slower than millisecond timescales of neural spiking. It is unclear, therefore, if slow dynamics as measured with fMRI are relevant for cognitive function. We investigated this question with a novel application of Gaussian Process Factor Analysis (GPFA) and machine learning to fMRI data. We analyzed slowly sampled (1.4 Hz) fMRI data from 1000 healthy human participants (Human Connectome Project database), and applied GPFA to reduce dimensionality and extract smooth latent dynamics. GPFA dimensions with slow ( 1 Hz) characteristic timescales identified, with high accuracy ( 95%), the specific task that each subject was performing inside the fMRI scanner. Moreover, functional connectivity between slow GPFA latents accurately predicted interindividual differences in behavioral scores across a range of cognitive tasks. Finally, infra-slow ( 0.1 Hz) latent dynamics predicted CDR (Clinical Dementia Rating) scores of individual patients, and identified patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) who would progress to develop Alzheimer's dementia (AD). Slow and infra-slow brain dynamics may be relevant for understanding the neural basis of cognitive function, in health and disease.

What we discover and see online, and consequently our opinions and decisions, are becoming increasingly affected by automated machine learned predictions. Similarly, the predictive accuracy of learning machines heavily depends on the feedback data that we provide them. This mutual influence can lead to closed-loop interactions that may cause unknown biases which can be exacerbated after several iterations of machine learning predictions and user feedback. Machine-caused biases risk leading to undesirable social effects ranging from polarization to unfairness and filter bubbles. In this paper, we study the bias inherent in widely used recommendation strategies such as matrix factorization. Then we model the exposure that is borne from the interaction between the user and the recommender system and propose new debiasing strategies for these systems. Finally, we try to mitigate the recommendation system bias by engineering solutions for several state of the art recommender system models. Our results show that recommender systems are biased and depend on the prior exposure of the user. We also show that the studied bias iteratively decreases diversity in the output recommendations. Our debiasing method demonstrates the need for alternative recommendation strategies that take into account the exposure process in order to reduce bias. Our research findings show the importance of understanding the nature of and dealing with bias in machine learning models such as recommender systems that interact directly with humans, and are thus causing an increasing influence on human discovery and decision making

Smart grid is an emerging and promising technology. It uses the power of information technologies to deliver intelligently the electrical power to customers, and it allows the integration of the green technology to meet the environmental requirements. Unfortunately, information technologies have its inherent vulnerabilities and weaknesses that expose the smart grid to a wide variety of security risks. The Intrusion detection system (IDS) plays an important role in securing smart grid networks and detecting malicious activity, yet it suffers from several limitations. Many research papers have been published to address these issues using several algorithms and techniques. Therefore, a detailed comparison between these algorithms is needed. This paper presents an overview of four data mining algorithms used by IDS in Smart Grid. An evaluation of performance of these algorithms is conducted based on several metrics including the probability of detection, probability of false alarm, probability of miss detection, efficiency, and processing time. Results show that Random Forest outperforms the other three algorithms in detecting attacks with higher probability of detection, lower probability of false alarm, lower probability of miss detection, and higher accuracy.

Abstract--In recent years, as intrusion attacks on IoT networks have grown exponentially, there is an immediate need for sophisticated intrusion detection systems (IDSs). A vast majority of current IDSs are data-driven, which means that one of the most important aspects of this area of research is the quality of the data acquired from IoT network traffic. Two of the most cited intrusion detection datasets are the KDDCup99 and the NSL-KDD. The main goal of our project was to conduct a robust comparison of both datasets by evaluating the performance of various Machine Learning (ML) classifiers trained on them with a larger set of classification metrics than previous researchers. From our research, we were able to conclude that the NSL-KDD dataset is of a higher quality than the KDDCup99 dataset as the classifiers trained on it were on average 20.18% less accurate. This is because the classifiers trained on the KDDCup99 dataset exhibited a bias towards the redundancies within it, allowing them to achieve higher accuracies. Index T erms --Intrusion Detection, Machine Learning, NSL-KDD, KDDCup99, Artificial Neural Network, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, Naïve Bayes Classifier I. Introduction With the rapid development of the internet, intrusion attacks on IoT networks have been growing exponentially and are a highly pertinent threat in the modern era.

The use of face recognition software by governments is a current topic of controversy around the globe. The world's major powers, primarily the United States and China, have made major advances in both development and deployment of this technology in the past decade. Both the US and China have been exporting this technology to other countries. The rapid spread of facial recognition systems has alarmed privacy advocates concerned about the increased ability of governments to profile and track people, as well as private companies like Facebook tying it to intimately detailed personal profiles. A recent study by the US National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) that examines facial recognition software vendors has found that there is definitely some merit to claims of racial bias and poor levels of accuracy in specific demographics.

Due to escalating healthcare costs, accurately predicting which patients will incur high costs is an important task for payers and providers of healthcare. High-cost claimants (HiCCs) are patients who have annual costs above $\$250,000$ and who represent just 0.16% of the insured population but currently account for 9% of all healthcare costs. In this study, we aimed to develop a high-performance algorithm to predict HiCCs to inform a novel care management system. Using health insurance claims from 48 million people and augmented with census data, we applied machine learning to train binary classification models to calculate the personal risk of HiCC. To train the models, we developed a platform starting with 6,006 variables across all clinical and demographic dimensions and constructed over one hundred candidate models. The best model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 91.2%. The model exceeds the highest published performance (84%) and remains high for patients with no prior history of high-cost status (89%), who have less than a full year of enrollment (87%), or lack pharmacy claims data (88%). It attains an area under the precision-recall curve of 23.1%, and precision of 74% at a threshold of 0.99. A care management program enrolling 500 people with the highest HiCC risk is expected to treat 199 true HiCCs and generate a net savings of $\$7.3$ million per year. Our results demonstrate that high-performing predictive models can be constructed using claims data and publicly available data alone, even for rare high-cost claimants exceeding $\$250,000$. Our model demonstrates the transformational power of machine learning and artificial intelligence in care management, which would allow healthcare payers and providers to introduce the next generation of care management programs.

The task of identifying out-of-domain (OOD) input examples directly at test-time has seen renewed interest recently due to increased real world deployment of models. In this work, we focus on OOD detection for natural language sentence inputs to task-based dialog systems. Our findings are three-fold: First, we curate and release ROSTD (Real Out-of-Domain Sentences From Task-oriented Dialog) - a dataset of 4K OOD examples for the publicly available dataset from (Schuster et al. 2019). In contrast to existing settings which synthesize OOD examples by holding out a subset of classes, our examples were authored by annotators with apriori instructions to be out-of-domain with respect to the sentences in an existing dataset. Second, we explore likelihood ratio based approaches as an alternative to currently prevalent paradigms. Specifically, we reformulate and apply these approaches to natural language inputs. We find that they match or outperform the latter on all datasets, with larger improvements on non-artificial OOD benchmarks such as our dataset. Our ablations validate that specifically using likelihood ratios rather than plain likelihood is necessary to discriminate well between OOD and in-domain data. Third, we propose learning a generative classifier and computing a marginal likelihood (ratio) for OOD detection. This allows us to use a principled likelihood while at the same time exploiting training-time labels. We find that this approach outperforms both simple likelihood (ratio) based and other prior approaches. We are hitherto the first to investigate the use of generative classifiers for OOD detection at test-time.

The recent increase in the availability of system condition monitoring data has lead to increases in the use of data-driven approaches for fault diagnostics. The accuracy of the fault detection and classification using these approaches is generally good when abundant labelled data on healthy and faulty system conditions exists and the diagnosis problem is formulated as a supervised learning task, i.e. supervised fault diagnosis. It is, however, relatively common in real situations that only a small fraction of the system condition monitoring data are labeled as healthy and the rest is unlabeled due to the uncertainty of the number and type of faults that may occur. In this case, supervised fault diagnosis performs poorly. Fault diagnosis with an unknown number and nature of faults is an open set learning problem where the knowledge of the faulty system is incomplete during training and the number and extent of the faults, of different types, can evolve during testing. In this paper, we propose to formulate the open set diagnostics problem as a semi-supervised learning problem and we demonstrate how it can be solved using a knowledge-induced learning approach with adaptive sampling variational autoencoders (KIL-AdaVAE) in combination with a one-class classifier. The fault detection and segmentation capability of the proposed method is demonstrated on a simulated case study using the Advanced Geared Turbofan 30000 (AGTF30) dynamical model under real flight conditions and induced faults of 17 fault types. The performance of the method is compared to the different learning strategies (supervised learning, supervised learning with embedding and semi-supervised learning) and deep learning algorithms. The results demonstrate that the proposed method is able to significantly outperform all other tested methods in terms of fault detection and fault segmentation.

Successful deployment of machine learning algorithms in healthcare requires careful assessments of their performance and safety. To date, the FDA approves locked algorithms prior to marketing and requires future updates to undergo separate premarket reviews. However, this negates a key feature of machine learning--the ability to learn from a growing dataset and improve over time. This paper frames the design of an approval policy, which we refer to as an automatic algorithmic change protocol (aACP), as an online hypothesis testing problem. As this process has obvious analogy with noninferiority testing of new drugs, we investigate how repeated testing and adoption of modifications might lead to gradual deterioration in prediction accuracy, also known as ``biocreep'' in the drug development literature. We consider simple policies that one might consider but do not necessarily offer any error-rate guarantees, as well as policies that do provide error-rate control. For the latter, we define two online error-rates appropriate for this context: Bad Approval Count (BAC) and Bad Approval and Benchmark Ratios (BABR). We control these rates in the simple setting of a constant population and data source using policies aACP-BAC and aACP-BABR, which combine alpha-investing, group-sequential, and gate-keeping methods. In simulation studies, bio-creep regularly occurred when using policies with no error-rate guarantees, whereas aACP-BAC and -BABR controlled the rate of bio-creep without substantially impacting our ability to approve beneficial modifications.