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Predicting Medical Interventions from Vital Parameters: Towards a Decision Support System for Remote Patient Monitoring

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cardiovascular diseases and heart failures in particular are the main cause of non-communicable disease mortality in the world. Constant patient monitoring enables better medical treatment as it allows practitioners to react on time and provide the appropriate treatment. Telemedicine can provide constant remote monitoring so patients can stay in their homes, only requiring medical sensing equipment and network connections. A limiting factor for telemedical centers is the amount of patients that can be monitored simultaneously. We aim to increase this amount by implementing a decision support system. This paper investigates a machine learning model to estimate a risk score based on patient vital parameters that allows sorting all cases every day to help practitioners focus their limited capacities on the most severe cases. The model we propose reaches an AUCROC of 0.84, whereas the baseline rule-based model reaches an AUCROC of 0.73. Our results indicate that the usage of deep learning to improve the efficiency of telemedical centers is feasible. This way more patients could benefit from better health-care through remote monitoring.


An Efficient Approach for Anomaly Detection in Traffic Videos

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Due to its relevance in intelligent transportation systems, anomaly detection in traffic videos has recently received much interest. It remains a difficult problem due to a variety of factors influencing the video quality of a real-time traffic feed, such as temperature, perspective, lighting conditions, and so on. Even though state-of-the-art methods perform well on the available benchmark datasets, they need a large amount of external training data as well as substantial computational resources. In this paper, we propose an efficient approach for a video anomaly detection system which is capable of running at the edge devices, e.g., on a roadside camera. The proposed approach comprises a pre-processing module that detects changes in the scene and removes the corrupted frames, a two-stage background modelling module and a two-stage object detector. Finally, a backtracking anomaly detection algorithm computes a similarity statistic and decides on the onset time of the anomaly. We also propose a sequential change detection algorithm that can quickly adapt to a new scene and detect changes in the similarity statistic. Experimental results on the Track 4 test set of the 2021 AI City Challenge show the efficacy of the proposed framework as we achieve an F1-score of 0.9157 along with 8.4027 root mean square error (RMSE) and are ranked fourth in the competition.


Testing for Outliers with Conformal p-values

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper studies the construction of p-values for nonparametric outlier detection, taking a multiple-testing perspective. The goal is to test whether new independent samples belong to the same distribution as a reference data set or are outliers. We propose a solution based on conformal inference, a broadly applicable framework which yields p-values that are marginally valid but mutually dependent for different test points. We prove these p-values are positively dependent and enable exact false discovery rate control, although in a relatively weak marginal sense. We then introduce a new method to compute p-values that are both valid conditionally on the training data and independent of each other for different test points; this paves the way to stronger type-I error guarantees. Our results depart from classical conformal inference as we leverage concentration inequalities rather than combinatorial arguments to establish our finite-sample guarantees. Furthermore, our techniques also yield a uniform confidence bound for the false positive rate of any outlier detection algorithm, as a function of the threshold applied to its raw statistics. Finally, the relevance of our results is demonstrated by numerical experiments on real and simulated data.


Modeling Classroom Occupancy using Data of WiFi Infrastructure in a University Campus

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Universities worldwide are experiencing a surge in enrollments, therefore campus estate managers are seeking continuous data on attendance patterns to optimize the usage of classroom space. As a result, there is an increasing trend to measure classrooms attendance by employing various sensing technologies, among which pervasive WiFi infrastructure is seen as a low cost method. In a dense campus environment, the number of connected WiFi users does not well estimate room occupancy since connection counts are polluted by adjoining rooms, outdoor walkways, and network load balancing. In this paper, we develop machine learning based models to infer classroom occupancy from WiFi sensing infrastructure. Our contributions are three-fold: (1) We analyze metadata from a dense and dynamic wireless network comprising of thousands of access points (APs) to draw insights into coverage of APs, behavior of WiFi connected users, and challenges of estimating room occupancy; (2) We propose a method to automatically map APs to classrooms using unsupervised clustering algorithms; and (3) We model classroom occupancy using a combination of classification and regression methods of varying algorithms. We achieve 84.6% accuracy in mapping APs to classrooms while the accuracy of our estimation for room occupancy is comparable to beam counter sensors with a symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error (sMAPE) of 13.10%.


Epsilon Consistent Mixup: An Adaptive Consistency-Interpolation Tradeoff

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper we propose $\epsilon$-Consistent Mixup ($\epsilon$mu). $\epsilon$mu is a data-based structural regularization technique that combines Mixup's linear interpolation with consistency regularization in the Mixup direction, by compelling a simple adaptive tradeoff between the two. This learnable combination of consistency and interpolation induces a more flexible structure on the evolution of the response across the feature space and is shown to improve semi-supervised classification accuracy on the SVHN and CIFAR10 benchmark datasets, yielding the largest gains in the most challenging low label-availability scenarios. Empirical studies comparing $\epsilon$mu and Mixup are presented and provide insight into the mechanisms behind $\epsilon$mu's effectiveness. In particular, $\epsilon$mu is found to produce more accurate synthetic labels and more confident predictions than Mixup.


Machine learning approach to dynamic risk modeling of mortality in COVID-19: a UK Biobank study

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The COVID-19 pandemic has created an urgent need for robust, scalable monitoring tools supporting stratification of high-risk patients. This research aims to develop and validate prediction models, using the UK Biobank, to estimate COVID-19 mortality risk in confirmed cases. From the 11,245 participants testing positive for COVID-19, we develop a data-driven random forest classification model with excellent performance (AUC: 0.91), using baseline characteristics, pre-existing conditions, symptoms, and vital signs, such that the score could dynamically assess mortality risk with disease deterioration. We also identify several significant novel predictors of COVID-19 mortality with equivalent or greater predictive value than established high-risk comorbidities, such as detailed anthropometrics and prior acute kidney failure, urinary tract infection, and pneumonias. The model design and feature selection enables utility in outpatient settings. Possible applications include supporting individual-level risk profiling and monitoring disease progression across patients with COVID-19 at-scale, especially in hospital-at-home settings.


A Token-level Reference-free Hallucination Detection Benchmark for Free-form Text Generation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large pretrained generative models like GPT-3 often suffer from hallucinating non-existent or incorrect content, which undermines their potential merits in real applications. Existing work usually attempts to detect these hallucinations based on a corresponding oracle reference at a sentence or document level. However ground-truth references may not be readily available for many free-form text generation applications, and sentence- or document-level detection may fail to provide the fine-grained signals that would prevent fallacious content in real time. As a first step to addressing these issues, we propose a novel token-level, reference-free hallucination detection task and an associated annotated dataset named HaDes (HAllucination DEtection dataSet). To create this dataset, we first perturb a large number of text segments extracted from English language Wikipedia, and then verify these with crowd-sourced annotations. To mitigate label imbalance during annotation, we utilize an iterative model-in-loop strategy. We conduct comprehensive data analyses and create multiple baseline models.


Fair Representation Learning for Heterogeneous Information Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recently, much attention has been paid to the societal impact of AI, especially concerns regarding its fairness. A growing body of research has identified unfair AI systems and proposed methods to debias them, yet many challenges remain. Representation learning for Heterogeneous Information Networks (HINs), a fundamental building block used in complex network mining, has socially consequential applications such as automated career counseling, but there have been few attempts to ensure that it will not encode or amplify harmful biases, e.g. sexism in the job market. To address this gap, in this paper we propose a comprehensive set of de-biasing methods for fair HINs representation learning, including sampling-based, projection-based, and graph neural networks (GNNs)-based techniques. We systematically study the behavior of these algorithms, especially their capability in balancing the trade-off between fairness and prediction accuracy. We evaluate the performance of the proposed methods in an automated career counseling application where we mitigate gender bias in career recommendation. Based on the evaluation results on two datasets, we identify the most effective fair HINs representation learning techniques under different conditions.


Multi-objective Feature Selection with Missing Data in Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Feature selection (FS) is an important research topic in machine learning. Usually, FS is modelled as a+ bi-objective optimization problem whose objectives are: 1) classification accuracy; 2) number of features. One of the main issues in real-world applications is missing data. Databases with missing data are likely to be unreliable. Thus, FS performed on a data set missing some data is also unreliable. In order to directly control this issue plaguing the field, we propose in this study a novel modelling of FS: we include reliability as the third objective of the problem. In order to address the modified problem, we propose the application of the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-III (NSGA-III). We selected six incomplete data sets from the University of California Irvine (UCI) machine learning repository. We used the mean imputation method to deal with the missing data. In the experiments, k-nearest neighbors (K-NN) is used as the classifier to evaluate the feature subsets. Experimental results show that the proposed three-objective model coupled with NSGA-III efficiently addresses the FS problem for the six data sets included in this study.


Potential Anchoring for imbalanced data classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Data imbalance remains one of the factors negatively affecting the performance of contemporary machine learning algorithms. One of the most common approaches to reducing the negative impact of data imbalance is preprocessing the original dataset with data-level strategies. In this paper we propose a unified framework for imbalanced data over- and undersampling. The proposed approach utilizes radial basis functions to preserve the original shape of the underlying class distributions during the resampling process. This is done by optimizing the positions of generated synthetic observations with respect to the potential resemblance loss. The final Potential Anchoring algorithm combines over- and undersampling within the proposed framework. The results of the experiments conducted on 60 imbalanced datasets show outperformance of Potential Anchoring over state-of-the-art resampling algorithms, including previously proposed methods that utilize radial basis functions to model class potential. Furthermore, the results of the analysis based on the proposed data complexity index show that Potential Anchoring is particularly well suited for handling naturally complex (i.e. not affected by the presence of noise) datasets.