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California County Hopes Artificial Intelligence Can Mitigate Wildfire Risk

#artificialintelligence

At this time of year, periodic rain showers on the north coast of California give way to months of daily sunshine and a wildfire risk that grows in severity until the next fall rains arrive. In Sonoma County, a new set of eyes is watching over the forest. Those eyes will be able to tap into an artificial intelligence program to make sure emergency dispatchers are alerted to actual fires instead of mist rising off the forest floor or steam from the region's numerous natural geysers. The county has entered into a $300,000 contract with South Korea technology firm Alchera to provide artificial intelligence software that can alert fire dispatchers to the precise location of flames or smoke. The two-year pilot project is funded through $3 million in hazard mitigation grants that the Federal Emergency Management Agency awarded to the county.


Characterizing the SLOPE Trade-off: A Variational Perspective and the Donoho-Tanner Limit

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Sorted l1 regularization has been incorporated into many methods for solving high-dimensional statistical estimation problems, including the SLOPE estimator in linear regression. In this paper, we study how this relatively new regularization technique improves variable selection by characterizing the optimal SLOPE trade-off between the false discovery proportion (FDP) and true positive proportion (TPP) or, equivalently, between measures of type I error and power. Assuming a regime of linear sparsity and working under Gaussian random designs, we obtain an upper bound on the optimal trade-off for SLOPE, showing its capability of breaking the Donoho-Tanner power limit. To put it into perspective, this limit is the highest possible power that the Lasso, which is perhaps the most popular l1-based method, can achieve even with arbitrarily strong effect sizes. Next, we derive a tight lower bound that delineates the fundamental limit of sorted l1 regularization in optimally trading the FDP off for the TPP. Finally, we show that on any problem instance, SLOPE with a certain regularization sequence outperforms the Lasso, in the sense of having a smaller FDP, larger TPP and smaller l2 estimation risk simultaneously. Our proofs are based on a novel technique that reduces a variational calculus problem to a class of infinite-dimensional convex optimization problems and a very recent result from approximate message passing theory.


Cross-Referencing Self-Training Network for Sound Event Detection in Audio Mixtures

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Sound event detection is an important facet of audio tagging that aims to identify sounds of interest and define both the sound category and time boundaries for each sound event in a continuous recording. With advances in deep neural networks, there has been tremendous improvement in the performance of sound event detection systems, although at the expense of costly data collection and labeling efforts. In fact, current state-of-the-art methods employ supervised training methods that leverage large amounts of data samples and corresponding labels in order to facilitate identification of sound category and time stamps of events. As an alternative, the current study proposes a semi-supervised method for generating pseudo-labels from unsupervised data using a student-teacher scheme that balances self-training and cross-training. Additionally, this paper explores post-processing which extracts sound intervals from network prediction, for further improvement in sound event detection performance. The proposed approach is evaluated on sound event detection task for the DCASE2020 challenge. The results of these methods on both "validation" and "public evaluation" sets of DESED database show significant improvement compared to the state-of-the art systems in semi-supervised learning.


MTH-IDS: A Multi-Tiered Hybrid Intrusion Detection System for Internet of Vehicles

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Modern vehicles, including connected vehicles and autonomous vehicles, nowadays involve many electronic control units connected through intra-vehicle networks to implement various functionalities and perform actions. Modern vehicles are also connected to external networks through vehicle-to-everything technologies, enabling their communications with other vehicles, infrastructures, and smart devices. However, the improving functionality and connectivity of modern vehicles also increase their vulnerabilities to cyber-attacks targeting both intra-vehicle and external networks due to the large attack surfaces. To secure vehicular networks, many researchers have focused on developing intrusion detection systems (IDSs) that capitalize on machine learning methods to detect malicious cyber-attacks. In this paper, the vulnerabilities of intra-vehicle and external networks are discussed, and a multi-tiered hybrid IDS that incorporates a signature-based IDS and an anomaly-based IDS is proposed to detect both known and unknown attacks on vehicular networks. Experimental results illustrate that the proposed system can detect various types of known attacks with 99.99% accuracy on the CAN-intrusion-dataset representing the intra-vehicle network data and 99.88% accuracy on the CICIDS2017 dataset illustrating the external vehicular network data. For the zero-day attack detection, the proposed system achieves high F1-scores of 0.963 and 0.800 on the above two datasets, respectively. The average processing time of each data packet on a vehicle-level machine is less than 0.6 ms, which shows the feasibility of implementing the proposed system in real-time vehicle systems. This emphasizes the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed IDS.


Reputation Bootstrapping for Composite Services using CP-nets

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a novel framework to bootstrap the reputation of on-demand service compositions. On-demand compositions are usually context-aware and have little or no direct consumer feedback. The reputation bootstrapping of single or atomic services does not consider the topology of the composition and relationships among reputation-related factors. We apply Conditional Preference Networks (CP-nets) of reputation-related factors for component services in a composition. The reputation of a composite service is bootstrapped by the composition of CP-nets. We consider the history of invocation among component services to determine reputation-interdependence in a composition. The composition rules are constructed using the composition topology and four types of reputation-influence among component services. A heuristic-based Q-learning approach is proposed to select the optimal set of reputation-related CP-nets. Experimental results prove the efficiency of the proposed approach.


Extending the Abstraction of Personality Types based on MBTI with Machine Learning and Natural Language Processing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A data-centric approach with Natural Language Processing (NLP) to predict personality types based on the MBTI (an introspective self-assessment questionnaire that indicates different psychological preferences about how people perceive the world and make decisions) through systematic enrichment of text representation, based on the domain of the area, under the generation of features based on three types of analysis: sentimental, grammatical and aspects. The experimentation had a robust baseline of stacked models, with premature optimization of hyperparameters through grid search, with gradual feedback, for each of the four classifiers (dichotomies) of MBTI. The results showed that attention to the data iteration loop focused on quality, explanatory power and representativeness for the abstraction of more relevant/important resources for the studied phenomenon made it possible to improve the evaluation metrics results more quickly and less costly than complex models such as the LSTM or state of the art ones as BERT, as well as the importance of these results by comparisons made from various perspectives. In addition, the study demonstrated a broad spectrum for the evolution and deepening of the task and possible approaches for a greater extension of the abstraction of personality types.


An algorithm-based multiple detection influence measure for high dimensional regression using expectile

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The identification of influential observations is an important part of data analysis that can prevent erroneous conclusions drawn from biased estimators. However, in high dimensional data, this identification is challenging. Classical and recently-developed methods often perform poorly when there are multiple influential observations in the same dataset. In particular, current methods can fail when there is masking several influential observations with similar characteristics, or swamping when the influential observations are near the boundary of the space spanned by well-behaved observations. Therefore, we propose an algorithm-based, multi-step, multiple detection procedure to identify influential observations that addresses current limitations. Our three-step algorithm to identify and capture undesirable variability in the data, $\asymMIP,$ is based on two complementary statistics, inspired by asymmetric correlations, and built on expectiles. Simulations demonstrate higher detection power than competing methods. Use of the resulting asymptotic distribution leads to detection of influential observations without the need for computationally demanding procedures such as the bootstrap. The application of our method to the Autism Brain Imaging Data Exchange neuroimaging dataset resulted in a more balanced and accurate prediction of brain maturity based on cortical thickness. See our GitHub for a free R package that implements our algorithm: \texttt{asymMIP} (\url{github.com/AmBarry/hidetify}).


Analogical discovery of disordered perovskite oxides by crystal structure information hidden in unsupervised material fingerprints

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Compositional disorder induces myriad captivating phenomena in perovskites. Target-driven discovery of perovskite solid solutions has been a great challenge due to the analytical complexity introduced by disorder. Here, we demonstrate that an unsupervised deep learning strategy can find fingerprints of disordered materials that embed perovskite formability and underlying crystal structure information by learning only from the chemical composition, manifested in (A1-xA'x)BO3 and A(B1-xB'x)O3 formulae. This phenomenon can be capitalized to predict the crystal symmetry of experimental compositions, outperforming several supervised machine learning (ML) algorithms. The educated nature of material fingerprints has led to the conception of analogical materials discovery that facilitates inverse exploration of promising perovskites based on similarity investigation with known materials. The search space of unstudied perovskites is screened from ~600,000 feasible compounds using experimental data powered ML models and automated web mining tools at a 94% success rate. This concept further provides insights on possible phase transitions and computational modelling of complex compositions. The proposed quantitative analysis of materials analogies is expected to bridge the gap between the existing materials literature and the undiscovered terrain.


Hierarchical Subspace Learning for Dimensionality Reduction to Improve Classification Accuracy in Large Data Sets

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Manifold learning is used for dimensionality reduction, with the goal of finding a projection subspace to increase and decrease the inter- and intraclass variances, respectively. However, a bottleneck for subspace learning methods often arises from the high dimensionality of datasets. In this paper, a hierarchical approach is proposed to scale subspace learning methods, with the goal of improving classification in large datasets by a range of 3% to 10%. Different combinations of methods are studied. We assess the proposed method on five publicly available large datasets, for different eigen-value based subspace learning methods such as linear discriminant analysis, principal component analysis, generalized discriminant analysis, and reconstruction independent component analysis. To further examine the effect of the proposed method on various classification methods, we fed the generated result to linear discriminant analysis, quadratic linear analysis, k-nearest neighbor, and random forest classifiers. The resulting classification accuracies are compared to show the effectiveness of the hierarchical approach, reporting results of an average of 5% increase in classification accuracy.


OFEI: A Semi-black-box Android Adversarial Sample Attack Framework Against DLaaS

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With the growing popularity of Android devices, Android malware is seriously threatening the safety of users. Although such threats can be detected by deep learning as a service (DLaaS), deep neural networks as the weakest part of DLaaS are often deceived by the adversarial samples elaborated by attackers. In this paper, we propose a new semi-black-box attack framework called one-feature-each-iteration (OFEI) to craft Android adversarial samples. This framework modifies as few features as possible and requires less classifier information to fool the classifier. We conduct a controlled experiment to evaluate our OFEI framework by comparing it with the benchmark methods JSMF, GenAttack and pointwise attack. The experimental results show that our OFEI has a higher misclassification rate of 98.25%. Furthermore, OFEI can extend the traditional white-box attack methods in the image field, such as fast gradient sign method (FGSM) and DeepFool, to craft adversarial samples for Android. Finally, to enhance the security of DLaaS, we use two uncertainties of the Bayesian neural network to construct the combined uncertainty, which is used to detect adversarial samples and achieves a high detection rate of 99.28%.