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Pi theorem formulation of flood mapping

arXiv.org Machine Learning

While physical phenomena are stated in terms of physical laws that are homogeneous in all dimensions, the mechanisms and patterns of the physical phenomena are independent of the form of the units describing the physical process. Accordingly, across different conditions, the similarity of a process may be captured through a dimensionless reformulation of the physical problem with Buckingham $\Pi$ theorem. Here, we apply Buckingham $\Pi$ theorem for creating dimensionless indices for capturing the similarity of the flood process, and in turn, these indices allow machine learning to map the likelihood of pluvial (flash) flooding over a landscape. In particular, we use these dimensionless predictors with a logistic regression machine learning (ML) model for a probabilistic determination of flood risk. The logistic regression derived flood maps compare well to 2D hydraulic model results that are the basis of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) maps. As a result, the indices and logistic regression also provide the potential to expand existing FEMA maps to new (unmapped) areas and a wider spectrum of flood flows and precipitation events. Our results demonstrate that the new dimensionless indices capture the similarity of the flood process across different topographies and climate regions. Consequently, these dimensionless indices may expand observations of flooding (e.g., satellite) to the risk of flooding in new areas, as well as provide a basis for the rapid, real-time estimation of flood risk on a worldwide scale.


Auditing Algorithmic Fairness in Machine Learning for Health with Severity-Based LOGAN

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Auditing machine learning-based (ML) healthcare tools for bias is critical to preventing patient harm, especially in communities that disproportionately face health inequities. General frameworks are becoming increasingly available to measure ML fairness gaps between groups. However, ML for health (ML4H) auditing principles call for a contextual, patient-centered approach to model assessment. Therefore, ML auditing tools must be (1) better aligned with ML4H auditing principles and (2) able to illuminate and characterize communities vulnerable to the most harm. To address this gap, we propose supplementing ML4H auditing frameworks with SLOGAN (patient Severity-based LOcal Group biAs detectioN), an automatic tool for capturing local biases in a clinical prediction task. SLOGAN adapts an existing tool, LOGAN (LOcal Group biAs detectioN), by contextualizing group bias detection in patient illness severity and past medical history. We investigate and compare SLOGAN's bias detection capabilities to LOGAN and other clustering techniques across patient subgroups in the MIMIC-III dataset. On average, SLOGAN identifies larger fairness disparities in over 75% of patient groups than LOGAN while maintaining clustering quality. Furthermore, in a diabetes case study, health disparity literature corroborates the characterizations of the most biased clusters identified by SLOGAN. Our results contribute to the broader discussion of how machine learning biases may perpetuate existing healthcare disparities.


Testing for context-dependent changes in neural encoding in naturalistic experiments

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a decoding-based approach to detect context effects on neural codes in longitudinal neural recording data. The approach is agnostic to how information is encoded in neural activity, and can control for a variety of possible confounding factors present in the data. We demonstrate our approach by determining whether it is possible to decode location encoding from prefrontal cortex in the mouse and, further, testing whether the encoding changes due to task engagement.


SleepMore: Inferring Sleep Duration at Scale via Multi-Device WiFi Sensing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The availability of commercial wearable trackers equipped with features to monitor sleep duration and quality has enabled more useful sleep health monitoring applications and analyses. However, much research has reported the challenge of long-term user retention in sleep monitoring through these modalities. Since modern Internet users own multiple mobile devices, our work explores the possibility of employing ubiquitous mobile devices and passive WiFi sensing techniques to predict sleep duration as the fundamental measure for complementing long-term sleep monitoring initiatives. In this paper, we propose SleepMore, an accurate and easy-to-deploy sleep-tracking approach based on machine learning over the user's WiFi network activity. It first employs a semi-personalized random forest model with an infinitesimal jackknife variance estimation method to classify a user's network activity behavior into sleep and awake states per minute granularity. Through a moving average technique, the system uses these state sequences to estimate the user's nocturnal sleep period and its uncertainty rate. Uncertainty quantification enables SleepMore to overcome the impact of noisy WiFi data that can yield large prediction errors. We validate SleepMore using data from a month-long user study involving 46 college students and draw comparisons with the Oura Ring wearable. Beyond the college campus, we evaluate SleepMore on non-student users of different housing profiles. Our results demonstrate that SleepMore produces statistically indistinguishable sleep statistics from the Oura ring baseline for predictions made within a 5% uncertainty rate. These errors range between 15-28 minutes for determining sleep time and 7-29 minutes for determining wake time, proving statistically significant improvements over prior work. Our in-depth analysis explains the sources of errors.


Can Strategic Data Collection Improve the Performance of Poverty Prediction Models?

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Machine learning-based estimates of poverty and wealth are increasingly being used to guide the targeting of humanitarian aid and the allocation of social assistance. However, the ground truth labels used to train these models are typically borrowed from existing surveys that were designed to produce national statistics -- not to train machine learning models. Here, we test whether adaptive sampling strategies for ground truth data collection can improve the performance of poverty prediction models. Through simulations, we compare the status quo sampling strategies (uniform at random and stratified random sampling) to alternatives that prioritize acquiring training data based on model uncertainty or model performance on sub-populations. Perhaps surprisingly, we find that none of these active learning methods improve over uniform-at-random sampling. We discuss how these results can help shape future efforts to refine machine learning-based estimates of poverty.


Low Error-Rate Approximate Multiplier Design for DNNs with Hardware-Driven Co-Optimization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, two approximate 3*3 multipliers are proposed and the synthesis results of the ASAP-7nm process library justify that they can reduce the area by 31.38% and 36.17%, and the power consumption by 36.73% and 35.66% compared with the exact multiplier, respectively. They can be aggregated with a 2*2 multiplier to produce an 8*8 multiplier with low error rate based on the distribution of DNN weights. We propose a hardware-driven software co-optimization method to improve the DNN accuracy by retraining. Based on the proposed two approximate 3-bit multipliers, three approximate 8-bit multipliers with low error-rate are designed for DNNs. Compared with the exact 8-bit unsigned multiplier, our design can achieve a significant advantage over other approximate multipliers on the public dataset.


How Does Unit21 Use Machine Learning?

#artificialintelligence

While you have a lot of vendors and even in-house solutions today in the market, companies who decide to develop their own machine learning models, (which is absolutely fine), are focused on scoring at the transaction level. At Unit21, we decided that we wanted to provide something different. The way we approach machine learning today is that we provide scoring on the alerts. So, when your team builds rules that generate alerts, those alerts are going to surface either true positive or false positive results. As such, the team will disposition those alerts in different ways.


200 Most Popular Machine Learning interview Questions and answers

#artificialintelligence

Machine Learning involves algorithms that learn from patterns of data and then apply it to decision making. Deep Learning, on the other hand, is able to learn through processing data on its own and is quite similar to the human brain where it identifies something, analyse it, and makes a decision.


Exploring Supervised Machine Learning for Multi-Phase Identification and Quantification from Powder X-Ray Diffraction Spectra

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Powder X-ray diffraction analysis is a critical component of materials characterization methodologies. Discerning characteristic Bragg intensity peaks and assigning them to known crystalline phases is the first qualitative step of evaluating diffraction spectra. Subsequent to phase identification, Rietveld refinement may be employed to extract the abundance of quantitative, material-specific parameters hidden within powder data. These characterization procedures are yet time-consuming and inhibit efficiency in materials science workflows. The ever-increasing popularity and propulsion of data science techniques has provided an obvious solution on the course towards materials analysis automation. Deep learning has become a prime focus for predicting crystallographic parameters and features from X-ray spectra. However, the infeasibility of curating large, well-labelled experimental datasets means that one must resort to a large number of theoretic simulations for powder data augmentation to effectively train deep models. Herein, we are interested in conventional supervised learning algorithms in lieu of deep learning for multi-label crystalline phase identification and quantitative phase analysis for a biomedical application. First, models were trained using very limited experimental data. Further, we incorporated simulated XRD data to assess model generalizability as well as the efficacy of simulation-based training for predictive analysis in a real-world X-ray diffraction application.


LEMMA: Bootstrapping High-Level Mathematical Reasoning with Learned Symbolic Abstractions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Humans tame the complexity of mathematical reasoning by developing hierarchies of abstractions. With proper abstractions, solutions to hard problems can be expressed concisely, thus making them more likely to be found. In this paper, we propose Learning Mathematical Abstractions (LEMMA): an algorithm that implements this idea for reinforcement learning agents in mathematical domains. LEMMA augments Expert Iteration with an abstraction step, where solutions found so far are revisited and rewritten in terms of new higher-level actions, which then become available to solve new problems. We evaluate LEMMA on two mathematical reasoning tasks--equation solving and fraction simplification--in a step-by-step fashion. In these two domains, LEMMA improves the ability of an existing agent, both solving more problems and generalizing more effectively to harder problems than those seen during training.