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Detecting AI may be impossible. That's a big problem for teachers.

Washington Post - Technology News

In a lengthy blog post last week, Turnitin Chief Product Officer Annie Chechitelli said the company wants to be transparent about its technology, but she didn't back off from deploying it. She said that for documents that its detection software thinks contain over 20 percent AI writing, the false positive rate for the whole document is less than 1 percent. But she didn't specify what the error rate is the rest of the time -- for documents its software thinks contain less than 20 percent AI writing. In such cases, Turnitin has begun putting an asterisk next to results "to call attention to the fact that the score is less reliable."


Can Deep Learning Reliably Recognize Abnormality Patterns on Chest X-rays? A Multi-Reader Study Examining One Month of AI Implementation in Everyday Radiology Clinical Practice

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this study, we developed a deep-learning-based automatic detection algorithm (DLAD, Carebot AI CXR) to detect and localize seven specific radiological findings (atelectasis (ATE), consolidation (CON), pleural effusion (EFF), pulmonary lesion (LES), subcutaneous emphysema (SCE), cardiomegaly (CMG), pneumothorax (PNO)) on chest X-rays (CXR). We collected 956 CXRs and compared the performance of the DLAD with that of six individual radiologists who assessed the images in a hospital setting. The proposed DLAD achieved high sensitivity (ATE 1.000 (0.624-1.000), CON 0.864 (0.671-0.956), EFF 0.953 (0.887-0.983), LES 0.905 (0.715-0.978), SCE 1.000 (0.366-1.000), CMG 0.837 (0.711-0.917), PNO 0.875 (0.538-0.986)), even when compared to the radiologists (LOWEST: ATE 0.000 (0.000-0.376), CON 0.182 (0.070-0.382), EFF 0.400 (0.302-0.506), LES 0.238 (0.103-0.448), SCE 0.000 (0.000-0.634), CMG 0.347 (0.228-0.486), PNO 0.375 (0.134-0.691), HIGHEST: ATE 1.000 (0.624-1.000), CON 0.864 (0.671-0.956), EFF 0.953 (0.887-0.983), LES 0.667 (0.456-0.830), SCE 1.000 (0.366-1.000), CMG 0.980 (0.896-0.999), PNO 0.875 (0.538-0.986)). The findings of the study demonstrate that the suggested DLAD holds potential for integration into everyday clinical practice as a decision support system, effectively mitigating the false negative rate associated with junior and intermediate radiologists.


The Science of Detecting LLM-Generated Texts

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The emergence of large language models (LLMs) has resulted in the production of LLM-generated texts that is highly sophisticated and almost indistinguishable from texts written by humans. However, this has also sparked concerns about the potential misuse of such texts, such as spreading misinformation and causing disruptions in the education system. Although many detection approaches have been proposed, a comprehensive understanding of the achievements and challenges is still lacking. This survey aims to provide an overview of existing LLM-generated text detection techniques and enhance the control and regulation of language generation models. Furthermore, we emphasize crucial considerations for future research, including the development of comprehensive evaluation metrics and the threat posed by open-source LLMs, to drive progress in the area of LLM-generated text detection.


A Data-Driven Measure of Relative Uncertainty for Misclassification Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Misclassification detection is an important problem in machine learning, as it allows for the identification of instances where the model's predictions are unreliable. However, conventional uncertainty measures such as Shannon entropy do not provide an effective way to infer the real uncertainty associated with the model's predictions. In this paper, we introduce a novel data-driven measure of relative uncertainty to an observer for misclassification detection. By learning patterns in the distribution of soft-predictions, our uncertainty measure can identify misclassified samples based on the predicted class probabilities. Interestingly, according to the proposed measure, soft-predictions that correspond to misclassified instances can carry a large amount of uncertainty, even though they may have low Shannon entropy. We demonstrate empirical improvements over multiple image classification tasks, outperforming state-of-the-art misclassification detection methods.


A Hybrid Approach for Smart Alert Generation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Anomaly detection is an important task in network management. However, deploying intelligent alert systems in real-world large-scale networking systems is challenging when we take into account (i) scalability, (ii) data heterogeneity, and (iii) generalizability and maintainability. In this paper, we propose a hybrid model for an alert system that combines statistical models with a whitelist mechanism to tackle these challenges and reduce false positive alerts. The statistical models take advantage of a large database to detect anomalies in time-series data, while the whitelist filters out persistently alerted nodes to further reduce false positives. Our model is validated using qualitative data from customer support cases. Future work includes more feature engineering and input data, as well as including human feedback in the model development process.


Analyzing Credit Risk Model Problems through NLP-Based Clustering and Machine Learning: Insights from Validation Reports

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper explores the use of clustering methods and machine learning algorithms, including Natural Language Processing (NLP), to identify and classify problems identified in credit risk models through textual information contained in validation reports. Using a unique dataset of 657 findings raised by validation teams in a large international banking group between January 2019 and December 2022. The findings are classified into nine validation dimensions and assigned a severity level by validators using their expert knowledge. The authors use embedding generation for the findings' titles and observations using four different pre-trained models, including "module\_url" from TensorFlow Hub and three models from the SentenceTransformer library, namely "all-mpnet-base-v2", "all-MiniLM-L6-v2", and "paraphrase-mpnet-base-v2". The paper uses and compares various clustering methods in grouping findings with similar characteristics, enabling the identification of common problems within each validation dimension and severity. The results of the study show that clustering is an effective approach for identifying and classifying credit risk model problems with accuracy higher than 60\%. The authors also employ machine learning algorithms, including logistic regression and XGBoost, to predict the validation dimension and its severity, achieving an accuracy of 80\% for XGBoost algorithm. Furthermore, the study identifies the top 10 words that predict a validation dimension and severity. Overall, this paper makes a contribution by demonstrating the usefulness of clustering and machine learning for analyzing textual information in validation reports, and providing insights into the types of problems encountered in the development and validation of credit risk models.


Evaluating Machine Translation Quality with Conformal Predictive Distributions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents a new approach for assessing uncertainty in machine translation by simultaneously evaluating translation quality and providing a reliable confidence score. Our approach utilizes conformal predictive distributions to produce prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage, meaning that for any given significance level $\epsilon$, we can expect the true quality score of a translation to fall out of the interval at a rate of $1-\epsilon$. In this paper, we demonstrate how our method outperforms a simple, but effective baseline on six different language pairs in terms of coverage and sharpness. Furthermore, we validate that our approach requires the data exchangeability assumption to hold for optimal performance.


Does it pay to optimize AUC?

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) is an important model metric for evaluating binary classifiers, and many algorithms have been proposed to optimize AUC approximately. It raises the question of whether the generally insignificant gains observed by previous studies are due to inherent limitations of the metric or the inadequate quality of optimization. To better understand the value of optimizing for AUC, we present an efficient algorithm, namely AUC-opt, to find the provably optimal AUC linear classifier in $\mathbb{R}^2$, which runs in $\mathcal{O}(n_+ n_- \log (n_+ n_-))$ where $n_+$ and $n_-$ are the number of positive and negative samples respectively. Furthermore, it can be naturally extended to $\mathbb{R}^d$ in $\mathcal{O}((n_+n_-)^{d-1}\log (n_+n_-))$ by calling AUC-opt in lower-dimensional spaces recursively. We prove the problem is NP-complete when $d$ is not fixed, reducing from the \textit{open hemisphere problem}. Experiments show that compared with other methods, AUC-opt achieves statistically significant improvements on between 17 to 40 in $\mathbb{R}^2$ and between 4 to 42 in $\mathbb{R}^3$ of 50 t-SNE training datasets. However, generally the gain proves insignificant on most testing datasets compared to the best standard classifiers. Similar observations are found for nonlinear AUC methods under real-world datasets.


Accelerating science with human-aware artificial intelligence

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence (AI) models trained on published scientific findings have been used to invent valuable materials and targeted therapies, but they typically ignore the human scientists who continually alter the landscape of discovery. Here we show that incorporating the distribution of human expertise by training unsupervised models on simulated inferences cognitively accessible to experts dramatically improves (up to 400%) AI prediction of future discoveries beyond those focused on research content alone, especially when relevant literature is sparse. These models succeed by predicting human predictions and the scientists who will make them. By tuning human-aware AI to avoid the crowd, we can generate scientifically promising "alien" hypotheses unlikely to be imagined or pursued without intervention until the distant future, which hold promise to punctuate scientific advance beyond questions currently pursued. Accelerating human discovery or probing its blind spots, human-aware AI enables us to move toward and beyond the contemporary scientific frontier.


Driving Context into Text-to-Text Privatization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

\textit{Metric Differential Privacy} enables text-to-text privatization by adding calibrated noise to the vector of a word derived from an embedding space and projecting this noisy vector back to a discrete vocabulary using a nearest neighbor search. Since words are substituted without context, this mechanism is expected to fall short at finding substitutes for words with ambiguous meanings, such as \textit{'bank'}. To account for these ambiguous words, we leverage a sense embedding and incorporate a sense disambiguation step prior to noise injection. We encompass our modification to the privatization mechanism with an estimation of privacy and utility. For word sense disambiguation on the \textit{Words in Context} dataset, we demonstrate a substantial increase in classification accuracy by $6.05\%$.