Accuracy
Towards Learned Predictability of Storage Systems
With the rapid development of cloud computing and big data technologies, storage systems have become a fundamental building block of datacenters, incorporating hardware innovations such as flash solid state drives and non-volatile memories, as well as software infrastructures such as RAID and distributed file systems. Despite the growing popularity and interests in storage, designing and implementing reliable storage systems remains challenging, due to their performance instability and prevailing hardware failures. Proactive prediction greatly strengthens the reliability of storage systems. There are two dimensions of prediction: performance and failure. Ideally, through detecting in advance the slow IO requests, and predicting device failures before they really happen, we can build storage systems with especially low tail latency and high availability. While its importance is well recognized, such proactive prediction in storage systems, on the other hand, is particularly difficult. To move towards predictability of storage systems, various mechanisms and field studies have been proposed in the past few years. In this report, we present a survey of these mechanisms and field studies, focusing on machine learning based black-box approaches. Based on three representative research works, we discuss where and how machine learning should be applied in this field. The strengths and limitations of each research work are also evaluated in detail.
Predicting delays in Indian lower courts using AutoML and Decision Forests
Bhatnagar, Mohit, Huchhanavar, Shivraj
This paper presents a classification model that predicts delays in Indian lower courts based on case information available at filing. The model is built on a dataset of 4.2 million court cases filed in 2010 and their outcomes over a 10-year period. The data set is drawn from 7000+ lower courts in India. The authors employed AutoML to develop a multi-class classification model over all periods of pendency and then used binary decision forest classifiers to improve predictive accuracy for the classification of delays. The best model achieved an accuracy of 81.4%, and the precision, recall, and F1 were found to be 0.81. The study demonstrates the feasibility of AI models for predicting delays in Indian courts, based on relevant data points such as jurisdiction, court, judge, subject, and the parties involved. The paper also discusses the results in light of relevant literature and suggests areas for improvement and future research. The authors have made the dataset and Python code files used for the analysis available for further research in the crucial and contemporary field of Indian judicial reform.
Benchmarking Bayesian Causal Discovery Methods for Downstream Treatment Effect Estimation
Emezue, Chris Chinenye, Drouin, Alexandre, Deleu, Tristan, Bauer, Stefan, Bengio, Yoshua
The practical utility of causality in decision-making is widespread and brought about by the intertwining of causal discovery and causal inference. Nevertheless, a notable gap exists in the evaluation of causal discovery methods, where insufficient emphasis is placed on downstream inference. To address this gap, we evaluate seven established baseline causal discovery methods including a newly proposed method based on GFlowNets, on the downstream task of treatment effect estimation. Through the implementation of a distribution-level evaluation, we offer valuable and unique insights into the efficacy of these causal discovery methods for treatment effect estimation, considering both synthetic and real-world scenarios, as well as low-data scenarios. The results of our study demonstrate that some of the algorithms studied are able to effectively capture a wide range of useful and diverse ATE modes, while some tend to learn many low-probability modes which impacts the (unrelaxed) recall and precision.
Feature Reweighting for EEG-based Motor Imagery Classification
Lotey, Taveena, Keserwani, Prateek, Dogra, Debi Prosad, Roy, Partha Pratim
Classification of motor imagery (MI) using non-invasive electroencephalographic (EEG) signals is a critical objective as it is used to predict the intention of limb movements of a subject. In recent research, convolutional neural network (CNN) based methods have been widely utilized for MI-EEG classification. The challenges of training neural networks for MI-EEG signals classification include low signal-to-noise ratio, non-stationarity, non-linearity, and high complexity of EEG signals. The features computed by CNN-based networks on the highly noisy MI-EEG signals contain irrelevant information. Subsequently, the feature maps of the CNN-based network computed from the noisy and irrelevant features contain irrelevant information. Thus, many non-contributing features often mislead the neural network training and degrade the classification performance. Hence, a novel feature reweighting approach is proposed to address this issue. The proposed method gives a noise reduction mechanism named feature reweighting module that suppresses irrelevant temporal and channel feature maps. The feature reweighting module of the proposed method generates scores that reweight the feature maps to reduce the impact of irrelevant information. Experimental results show that the proposed method significantly improved the classification of MI-EEG signals of Physionet EEG-MMIDB and BCI Competition IV 2a datasets by a margin of 9.34% and 3.82%, respectively, compared to the state-of-the-art methods.
Multi-view Sparse Laplacian Eigenmaps for nonlinear Spectral Feature Selection
Srivastava, Gaurav, Jangid, Mahesh
The complexity of high-dimensional datasets presents significant challenges for machine learning models, including overfitting, computational complexity, and difficulties in interpreting results. To address these challenges, it is essential to identify an informative subset of features that captures the essential structure of the data. In this study, the authors propose Multi-view Sparse Laplacian Eigenmaps (MSLE) for feature selection, which effectively combines multiple views of the data, enforces sparsity constraints, and employs a scalable optimization algorithm to identify a subset of features that capture the fundamental data structure. MSLE is a graph-based approach that leverages multiple views of the data to construct a more robust and informative representation of high-dimensional data. The method applies sparse eigendecomposition to reduce the dimensionality of the data, yielding a reduced feature set. The optimization problem is solved using an iterative algorithm alternating between updating the sparse coefficients and the Laplacian graph matrix. The sparse coefficients are updated using a soft-thresholding operator, while the graph Laplacian matrix is updated using the normalized graph Laplacian. To evaluate the performance of the MSLE technique, the authors conducted experiments on the UCI-HAR dataset, which comprises 561 features, and reduced the feature space by 10 to 90%. Our results demonstrate that even after reducing the feature space by 90%, the Support Vector Machine (SVM) maintains an error rate of 2.72%. Moreover, the authors observe that the SVM exhibits an accuracy of 96.69% with an 80% reduction in the overall feature space.
A Holistic Assessment of the Reliability of Machine Learning Systems
Corso, Anthony, Karamadian, David, Valentin, Romeo, Cooper, Mary, Kochenderfer, Mykel J.
As machine learning (ML) systems increasingly permeate high-stakes settings such as healthcare, transportation, military, and national security, concerns regarding their reliability have emerged. Despite notable progress, the performance of these systems can significantly diminish due to adversarial attacks or environmental changes, leading to overconfident predictions, failures to detect input faults, and an inability to generalize in unexpected scenarios. This paper proposes a holistic assessment methodology for the reliability of ML systems. Our framework evaluates five key properties: in-distribution accuracy, distribution-shift robustness, adversarial robustness, calibration, and out-of-distribution detection. A reliability score is also introduced and used to assess the overall system reliability. To provide insights into the performance of different algorithmic approaches, we identify and categorize state-of-the-art techniques, then evaluate a selection on real-world tasks using our proposed reliability metrics and reliability score. Our analysis of over 500 models reveals that designing for one metric does not necessarily constrain others but certain algorithmic techniques can improve reliability across multiple metrics simultaneously. This study contributes to a more comprehensive understanding of ML reliability and provides a roadmap for future research and development.
Catching Elusive Depression via Facial Micro-Expression Recognition
Depression is a common mental health disorder that can cause consequential symptoms with continuously depressed mood that leads to emotional distress. One category of depression is Concealed Depression, where patients intentionally or unintentionally hide their genuine emotions through exterior optimism, thereby complicating and delaying diagnosis and treatment and leading to unexpected suicides. In this paper, we propose to diagnose concealed depression by using facial micro-expressions (FMEs) to detect and recognize underlying true emotions. However, the extremely low intensity and subtle nature of FMEs make their recognition a tough task. We propose a facial landmark-based Region-of-Interest (ROI) approach to address the challenge, and describe a low-cost and privacy-preserving solution that enables self-diagnosis using portable mobile devices in a personal setting (e.g., at home). We present results and findings that validate our method, and discuss other technical challenges and future directions in applying such techniques to real clinical settings.
Multi-output Headed Ensembles for Product Item Classification
Shiokawa, Hotaka, Das, Pradipto, Toth, Arthur, Chiu, Justin
In this paper, we revisit the problem of product item classification for large-scale e-commerce catalogs. The taxonomy of e-commerce catalogs consists of thousands of genres to which are assigned items that are uploaded by merchants on a continuous basis. The genre assignments by merchants are often wrong but treated as ground truth labels in automatically generated training sets, thus creating a feedback loop that leads to poorer model quality over time. This problem of taxonomy classification becomes highly pronounced due to the unavailability of sizable curated training sets. Under such a scenario it is common to combine multiple classifiers to combat poor generalization performance from a single classifier. We propose an extensible deep learning based classification model framework that benefits from the simplicity and robustness of averaging ensembles and fusion based classifiers. We are also able to use metadata features and low-level feature engineering to boost classification performance. We show these improvements against robust industry standard baseline models that employ hyperparameter optimization. Additionally, due to continuous insertion, deletion and updates to real-world high-volume e-commerce catalogs, assessing model performance for deployment using A/B testing and/or manual annotation becomes a bottleneck. To this end, we also propose a novel way to evaluate model performance using user sessions that provides better insights in addition to traditional measures of precision and recall.
Adversarial training for tabular data with attack propagation
Melo, Tiago Leon, Bravo, João, Sampaio, Marco O. P., Romano, Paolo, Ferreira, Hugo, Ascensão, João Tiago, Bizarro, Pedro
Adversarial attacks are a major concern in security-centered applications, where malicious actors continuously try to mislead Machine Learning (ML) models into wrongly classifying fraudulent activity as legitimate, whereas system maintainers try to stop them. Adversarially training ML models that are robust against such attacks can prevent business losses and reduce the work load of system maintainers. In such applications data is often tabular and the space available for attackers to manipulate undergoes complex feature engineering transformations, to provide useful signals for model training, to a space attackers cannot access. Thus, we propose a new form of adversarial training where attacks are propagated between the two spaces in the training loop. We then test this method empirically on a real world dataset in the domain of credit card fraud detection. We show that our method can prevent about 30% performance drops under moderate attacks and is essential under very aggressive attacks, with a trade-off loss in performance under no attacks smaller than 7%.
A Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Methods for Lane Change Intention Recognition Using Vehicle Trajectory Data
Accurately detecting and predicting lane change (LC)processes can help autonomous vehicles better understand their surrounding environment, recognize potential safety hazards, and improve traffic safety. This paper focuses on LC processes and compares different machine learning methods' performance to recognize LC intention from high-dimensionality time series data. To validate the performance of the proposed models, a total number of 1023 vehicle trajectories is extracted from the CitySim dataset. For LC intention recognition issues, the results indicate that with ninety-eight percent of classification accuracy, ensemble methods reduce the impact of Type II and Type III classification errors. Without sacrificing recognition accuracy, the LightGBM demonstrates a sixfold improvement in model training efficiency than the XGBoost algorithm.