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Mapping Computer Science Research: Trends, Influences, and Predictions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper explores the current trending research areas in the field of Computer Science (CS) and investigates the factors contributing to their emergence. Leveraging a comprehensive dataset comprising papers, citations, and funding information, we employ advanced machine learning techniques, including Decision Tree and Logistic Regression models, to predict trending research areas. Our analysis reveals that the number of references cited in research papers (Reference Count) plays a pivotal role in determining trending research areas making reference counts the most relevant factor that drives trend in the CS field. Additionally, the influence of NSF grants and patents on trending topics has increased over time. The Logistic Regression model outperforms the Decision Tree model in predicting trends, exhibiting higher accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score. By surpassing a random guess baseline, our data-driven approach demonstrates higher accuracy and efficacy in identifying trending research areas. The results offer valuable insights into the trending research areas, providing researchers and institutions with a data-driven foundation for decision-making and future research direction.


Predicting Early Dropouts of an Active and Healthy Ageing App

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this work, we present a machine learning approach for predicting early dropouts of an active and healthy ageing app. The presented algorithms have been submitted to the IFMBE Scientific Challenge 2022, part of IUPESM WC 2022. We have processed the given database and generated seven datasets. We used pre-processing techniques to construct classification models that predict the adherence of users using dynamic and static features. We submitted 11 official runs and our results show that machine learning algorithms can provide high-quality adherence predictions. Based on the results, the dynamic features positively influence a model's classification performance. Due to the imbalanced nature of the dataset, we employed oversampling methods such as SMOTE and ADASYN to improve the classification performance. The oversampling approaches led to a remarkable improvement of 10\%. Our methods won first place in the IFMBE Scientific Challenge 2022.


A Survey of Time Series Anomaly Detection Methods in the AIOps Domain

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Internet-based services have seen remarkable success, generating vast amounts of monitored key performance indicators (KPIs) as univariate or multivariate time series. Monitoring and analyzing these time series are crucial for researchers, service operators, and on-call engineers to detect outliers or anomalies indicating service failures or significant events. Numerous advanced anomaly detection methods have emerged to address availability and performance issues. This review offers a comprehensive overview of time series anomaly detection in Artificial Intelligence for IT operations (AIOps), which uses AI capabilities to automate and optimize operational workflows. Additionally, it explores future directions for real-world and next-generation time-series anomaly detection based on recent advancements.


GradOrth: A Simple yet Efficient Out-of-Distribution Detection with Orthogonal Projection of Gradients

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) data is crucial for ensuring the safe deployment of machine learning models in real-world applications. However, existing OOD detection approaches primarily rely on the feature maps or the full gradient space information to derive OOD scores neglecting the role of most important parameters of the pre-trained network over in-distribution (ID) data. In this study, we propose a novel approach called GradOrth to facilitate OOD detection based on one intriguing observation that the important features to identify OOD data lie in the lower-rank subspace of in-distribution (ID) data. In particular, we identify OOD data by computing the norm of gradient projection on the subspaces considered important for the in-distribution data. A large orthogonal projection value (i.e. a small projection value) indicates the sample as OOD as it captures a weak correlation of the ID data. This simple yet effective method exhibits outstanding performance, showcasing a notable reduction in the average false positive rate at a 95% true positive rate (FPR95) of up to 8% when compared to the current state-of-the-art methods.


Data Collaboration Analysis applied to Compound Datasets and the Introduction of Projection data to Non-IID settings

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Given the time and expense associated with bringing a drug to market, numerous studies have been conducted to predict the properties of compounds based on their structure using machine learning. Federated learning has been applied to compound datasets to increase their prediction accuracy while safeguarding potentially proprietary information. However, federated learning is encumbered by low accuracy in not identically and independently distributed (non-IID) settings, i.e., data partitioning has a large label bias, and is considered unsuitable for compound datasets, which tend to have large label bias. To address this limitation, we utilized an alternative method of distributed machine learning to chemical compound data from open sources, called data collaboration analysis (DC). We also proposed data collaboration analysis using projection data (DCPd), which is an improved method that utilizes auxiliary PubChem data. This improves the quality of individual user-side data transformations for the projection data for the creation of intermediate representations. The classification accuracy, i.e., area under the curve in the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC) and AUC in the precision-recall curve (PR-AUC), of federated averaging (FedAvg), DC, and DCPd was compared for five compound datasets. We determined that the machine learning performance for non-IID settings was in the order of DCPd, DC, and FedAvg, although they were almost the same in identically and independently distributed (IID) settings. Moreover, the results showed that compared to other methods, DCPd exhibited a negligible decline in classification accuracy in experiments with different degrees of label bias. Thus, DCPd can address the low performance in non-IID settings, which is one of the challenges of federated learning.


The Double-Edged Sword of Big Data and Information Technology for the Disadvantaged: A Cautionary Tale from Open Banking

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This research article analyses and demonstrates the hidden implications for fairness of seemingly neutral data coupled with powerful technology, such as machine learning (ML), using Open Banking as an example. Open Banking has ignited a revolution in financial services, opening new opportunities for customer acquisition, management, retention, and risk assessment. However, the granularity of transaction data holds potential for harm where unnoticed proxies for sensitive and prohibited characteristics may lead to indirect discrimination. Against this backdrop, we investigate the dimensions of financial vulnerability (FV), a global concern resulting from COVID-19 and rising inflation. Specifically, we look to understand the behavioral elements leading up to FV and its impact on at-risk, disadvantaged groups through the lens of fair interpretation. Using a unique dataset from a UK FinTech lender, we demonstrate the power of fine-grained transaction data while simultaneously cautioning its safe usage. Three ML classifiers are compared in predicting the likelihood of FV, and groups exhibiting different magnitudes and forms of FV are identified via clustering to highlight the effects of feature combination. Our results indicate that engineered features of financial behavior can be predictive of omitted personal information, particularly sensitive or protected characteristics, shedding light on the hidden dangers of Open Banking data. We discuss the implications and conclude fairness via unawareness is ineffective in this new technological environment.


(Local) Differential Privacy has NO Disparate Impact on Fairness

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years, Local Differential Privacy (LDP), a robust privacy-preserving methodology, has gained widespread adoption in real-world applications. With LDP, users can perturb their data on their devices before sending it out for analysis. However, as the collection of multiple sensitive information becomes more prevalent across various industries, collecting a single sensitive attribute under LDP may not be sufficient. Correlated attributes in the data may still lead to inferences about the sensitive attribute. This paper empirically studies the impact of collecting multiple sensitive attributes under LDP on fairness. We propose a novel privacy budget allocation scheme that considers the varying domain size of sensitive attributes. This generally led to a better privacy-utility-fairness trade-off in our experiments than the state-of-art solution. Our results show that LDP leads to slightly improved fairness in learning problems without significantly affecting the performance of the models. We conduct extensive experiments evaluating three benchmark datasets using several group fairness metrics and seven state-of-the-art LDP protocols. Overall, this study challenges the common belief that differential privacy necessarily leads to worsened fairness in machine learning.


Learning Graphical Factor Models with Riemannian Optimization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Graphical models and factor analysis are well-established tools in multivariate statistics. While these models can be both linked to structures exhibited by covariance and precision matrices, they are generally not jointly leveraged within graph learning processes. This paper therefore addresses this issue by proposing a flexible algorithmic framework for graph learning under low-rank structural constraints on the covariance matrix. The problem is expressed as penalized maximum likelihood estimation of an elliptical distribution (a generalization of Gaussian graphical models to possibly heavy-tailed distributions), where the covariance matrix is optionally constrained to be structured as low-rank plus diagonal (low-rank factor model). The resolution of this class of problems is then tackled with Riemannian optimization, where we leverage geometries of positive definite matrices and positive semi-definite matrices of fixed rank that are well suited to elliptical models. Numerical experiments on synthetic and real-world data sets illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.


An Efficient Shapley Value Computation for the Naive Bayes Classifier

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Variable selection or importance measurement of input variables to a machine learning model has become the focus of much research. It is no longer enough to have a good model, one also must explain its decisions. This is why there are so many intelligibility algorithms available today. Among them, Shapley value estimation algorithms are intelligibility methods based on cooperative game theory. In the case of the naive Bayes classifier, and to our knowledge, there is no ``analytical" formulation of Shapley values. This article proposes an exact analytic expression of Shapley values in the special case of the naive Bayes Classifier. We analytically compare this Shapley proposal, to another frequently used indicator, the Weight of Evidence (WoE) and provide an empirical comparison of our proposal with (i) the WoE and (ii) KernelShap results on real world datasets, discussing similar and dissimilar results. The results show that our Shapley proposal for the naive Bayes classifier provides informative results with low algorithmic complexity so that it can be used on very large datasets with extremely low computation time.


Graph Structure from Point Clouds: Geometric Attention is All You Need

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The use of graph neural networks has produced significant advances in point cloud problems, such as those found in high energy physics. The question of how to produce a graph structure in these problems is usually treated as a matter of heuristics, employing fully connected graphs or K-nearest neighbors. In this work, we elevate this question to utmost importance as the Topology Problem. We propose an attention mechanism that allows a graph to be constructed in a learned space that handles geometrically the flow of relevance, providing one solution to the Topology Problem. We test this architecture, called GravNetNorm, on the task of top jet tagging, and show that it is competitive in tagging accuracy, and uses far fewer computational resources than all other comparable models.