Advances in deep learning have introduced a new wave of voice synthesis tools, capable of producing audio that sounds as if spoken by a target speaker. If successful, such tools in the wrong hands will enable a range of powerful attacks against both humans and software systems (aka machines). This paper documents efforts and findings from a comprehensive experimental study on the impact of deep-learning based speech synthesis attacks on both human listeners and machines such as speaker recognition and voice-signin systems. We find that both humans and machines can be reliably fooled by synthetic speech and that existing defenses against synthesized speech fall short. These findings highlight the need to raise awareness and develop new protections against synthetic speech for both humans and machines.

Personality computing has become an emerging topic in computer vision, due to the wide range of applications it can be used for. However, most works on the topic have focused on analyzing the individual, even when applied to interaction scenarios, and for short periods of time. To address these limitations, we present the Dyadformer, a novel multi-modal multi-subject Transformer architecture to model individual and interpersonal features in dyadic interactions using variable time windows, thus allowing the capture of long-term interdependencies. Our proposed cross-subject layer allows the network to explicitly model interactions among subjects through attentional operations. This proof-of-concept approach shows how multi-modality and joint modeling of both interactants for longer periods of time helps to predict individual attributes. With Dyadformer, we improve state-of-the-art self-reported personality inference results on individual subjects on the UDIVA v0.5 dataset.

Reinforcement Learning (RL) has shown human-level performance in solving complex, single setting virtual environments Mnih et al. [2013] & Silver et al. [2016]. However, applications and theory in RL problems have been far less developed and it has been posed that this is due to a wide divide between the empirical methodology associated with virtual environments in RL research and the challenges associated with reality Dulac-Arnold et al. [2019]. Simply put, Text Games provide a safe and data efficient way to learn from environments that mimic language found in real-world scenarios Shridhar et al. [2020]. Natural language (NL) has been introduced as a solution to many of the challenges in RL Luketina et al. [2019], as NL can facilitate the transfer of abstract knowledge to downstream tasks. However, RL approaches on these language driven environments are still limited in their development and therefore a call has been made for an improvement on the evaluation settings where language is a first-class component. Text Games gained wider acceptance as a testbed for NL research following work Figure 1: Sample gameplay from Narasimhan et al. [2015] who leveraged the Deep Q Network (DQN) framework from a fantasy Text Game as for policy learning on a set of synthetic textual games. Text Games are both partially given by Narasimhan et al. observable (as shown in Figure 1) and include outcomes that make reward signals [2015] where the player takes simple to define, making them a suitable problem for Reinforcement Learning to the action'Go East' to cross solve. However, research so far has been performed independently, with many authors the bridge.

Unobtrusive and smart recognition of human activities using smartphones inertial sensors is an interesting topic in the field of artificial intelligence acquired tremendous popularity among researchers, especially in recent years. A considerable challenge that needs more attention is the real-time detection of physical activities, since for many real-world applications such as health monitoring and elderly care, it is required to recognize users' activities immediately to prevent severe damages to individuals' wellness. In this paper, we propose a human activity recognition (HAR) approach for the online prediction of physical movements, benefiting from the capabilities of incremental learning algorithms. We develop a HAR system containing monitoring software and a mobile application that collects accelerometer and gyroscope data and send them to a remote server via the Internet for classification and recognition operations. Six incremental learning algorithms are employed and evaluated in this work and compared with several batch learning algorithms commonly used for developing offline HAR systems. The Final results indicated that considering all performance evaluation metrics, Incremental K-Nearest Neighbors and Incremental Naive Bayesian outperformed other algorithms, exceeding a recognition accuracy of 95% in real-time.

Customer segmentation has long been a productive field in banking. However, with new approaches to traditional problems come new opportunities. Fine-grained customer segments are notoriously elusive and one method of obtaining them is through feature extraction. It is possible to assign coefficients of standard personality traits to financial transaction classes aggregated over time. However, we have found that the clusters formed are not sufficiently discriminatory for micro-segmentation. In this study, we extract temporal features with continuous values from the hidden states of neural networks predicting customers' spending personality from their financial transactions. We consider both temporal and non-sequential models, using long short-term memory (LSTM) and feed-forward neural networks, respectively. We found that recurrent neural networks produce micro-segments where feed-forward networks produce only course segments. Finally, we show that classification using these extracted features performs at least as well as bespoke models on two common metrics, namely loan default rate and customer liquidity index.

Language models (LMs) are sentence-completion engines trained on massive corpora. LMs have emerged as a significant breakthrough in natural-language processing, providing capabilities that go far beyond sentence completion including question answering, summarization, and natural-language inference. While many of these capabilities have potential application to cognitive systems, exploiting language models as a source of task knowledge, especially for task learning, offers significant, near-term benefits. We introduce language models and the various tasks to which they have been applied and then review methods of knowledge extraction from language models. The resulting analysis outlines both the challenges and opportunities for using language models as a new knowledge source for cognitive systems. It also identifies possible ways to improve knowledge extraction from language models using the capabilities provided by cognitive systems. Central to success will be the ability of a cognitive agent to itself learn an abstract model of the knowledge implicit in the LM as well as methods to extract high-quality knowledge effectively and efficiently. To illustrate, we introduce a hypothetical robot agent and describe how language models could extend its task knowledge and improve its performance and the kinds of knowledge and methods the agent can use to exploit the knowledge within a language model.

A classification technique incorporating a novel feature derivation method is proposed for predicting failure of a system or device with multivariate time series sensor data. We treat the multivariate time series sensor data as images for both visualization and computation. Failure follows various patterns which are closely related to the root causes. Different predefined transformations are applied on the original sensors data to better characterize the failure patterns. In addition to feature derivation, ensemble method is used to further improve the performance. In addition, a general algorithm architecture of deep neural network is proposed to handle multiple types of data with less manual feature engineering. We apply the proposed method on the early predict failure of computer disk drive in order to improve storage systems availability and avoid data loss. The classification accuracy is largely improved with the enriched features, named smart features.

Cosmic polarization rotation, which may result from parity-violating new physics or the presence of primordial magnetic fields, converts $E$-mode polarization of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) into $B$-mode polarization. Anisotropic cosmic polarization rotation leads to statistical anisotropy in CMB polarization and can be reconstructed with quadratic estimator techniques similar to those designed for gravitational lensing of the CMB. At the sensitivity of upcoming CMB surveys, lensing-induced $B$-mode polarization will act as a limiting factor in the search for anisotropic cosmic polarization rotation, meaning that an analysis which incorporates some form of delensing will be required to improve constraints on the effect with future surveys. In this paper we extend the ResUNet-CMB convolutional neural network to reconstruct anisotropic cosmic polarization rotation in the presence of gravitational lensing and patchy reionization, and we show that the network simultaneously reconstructs all three effects with variance that is lower than that from the standard quadratic estimator nearly matching the performance of an iterative reconstruction method.

We investigate the problem of discovering and modeling regime shifts in an ecosystem comprising multiple time series known as co-evolving time series. Regime shifts refer to the changing behaviors exhibited by series at different time intervals. Learning these changing behaviors is a key step toward time series forecasting. While advances have been made, existing methods suffer from one or more of the following shortcomings: (1) failure to take relationships between time series into consideration for discovering regimes in multiple time series; (2) lack of an effective approach that models time-dependent behaviors exhibited by series; (3) difficulties in handling data discontinuities which may be informative. Most of the existing methods are unable to handle all of these three issues in a unified framework. This, therefore, motivates our effort to devise a principled approach for modeling interactions and time-dependency in co-evolving time series. Specifically, we model an ecosystem of multiple time series by summarizing the heavy ensemble of time series into a lighter and more meaningful structure called a \textit{mapping grid}. By using the mapping grid, our model first learns time series behavioral dependencies through a dynamic network representation, then learns the regime transition mechanism via a full time-dependent Cox regression model. The originality of our approach lies in modeling interactions between time series in regime identification and in modeling time-dependent regime transition probabilities, usually assumed to be static in existing work.

The deep learning approach to detecting malicious software (malware) is promising but has yet to tackle the problem of dataset shift, namely that the joint distribution of examples and their labels associated with the test set is different from that of the training set. This problem causes the degradation of deep learning models without users' notice. In order to alleviate the problem, one approach is to let a classifier not only predict the label on a given example but also present its uncertainty (or confidence) on the predicted label, whereby a defender can decide whether to use the predicted label or not. While intuitive and clearly important, the capabilities and limitations of this approach have not been well understood. In this paper, we conduct an empirical study to evaluate the quality of predictive uncertainties of malware detectors. Specifically, we re-design and build 24 Android malware detectors (by transforming four off-the-shelf detectors with six calibration methods) and quantify their uncertainties with nine metrics, including three metrics dealing with data imbalance. Our main findings are: (i) predictive uncertainty indeed helps achieve reliable malware detection in the presence of dataset shift, but cannot cope with adversarial evasion attacks; (ii) approximate Bayesian methods are promising to calibrate and generalize malware detectors to deal with dataset shift, but cannot cope with adversarial evasion attacks; (iii) adversarial evasion attacks can render calibration methods useless, and it is an open problem to quantify the uncertainty associated with the predicted labels of adversarial examples (i.e., it is not effective to use predictive uncertainty to detect adversarial examples).