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 Learning Graphical Models


Learning to rumble: Automated elephant call classification, detection and endpointing using deep architectures

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We consider the problem of detecting, isolating and classifying elephant calls in continuously recorded audio. Such automatic call characterisation can assist conservation efforts and inform environmental management strategies. In contrast to previous work in which call detection was performed at a segment level, we perform call detection at a frame level which implicitly also allows call endpointing, the isolation of a call in a longer recording. For experimentation, we employ two annotated datasets, one containing Asian and the other African elephant vocalisations. We evaluate several shallow and deep classifier models, and show that the current best performance can be improved by using an audio spectrogram transformer (AST), a neural architecture which has not been used for this purpose before, and which we have configured in a novel sequence-to-sequence manner. We also show that using transfer learning by pre-training leads to further improvements both in terms of computational complexity and performance. Finally, we consider sub-call classification using an accepted taxonomy of call types, a task which has not previously been considered. We show that also in this case the transformer architectures provide the best performance. Our best classifiers achieve an average precision (AP) of 0.962 for framewise binary call classification, and an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) of 0.957 and 0.979 for call classification with 5 classes and sub-call classification with 7 classes respectively. All of these represent either new benchmarks (sub-call classifications) or improvements on previously best systems. We conclude that a fully-automated elephant call detection and subcall classification system is within reach. Such a system would provide valuable information on the behaviour and state of elephant herds for the purposes of conservation and management.


Toward Universal and Interpretable World Models for Open-ended Learning Agents

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We introduce a generic, compositional and interpretable class of generative world models that supports open-ended learning agents. This is a sparse class of Bayesian networks capable of approximating a broad range of stochastic processes, which provide agents with the ability to learn world models in a manner that may be both interpretable and computationally scalable. This approach integrating Bayesian structure learning and intrinsically motivated (model-based) planning enables agents to actively develop and refine their world models, which may lead to developmental learning and more robust, adaptive behavior.


Deep Optimal Sensor Placement for Black Box Stochastic Simulations

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Selecting cost-effective optimal sensor configurations for subsequent inference of parameters in black-box stochastic systems faces significant computational barriers. We propose a novel and robust approach, modelling the joint distribution over input parameters and solution with a joint energy-based model, trained on simulation data. Unlike existing simulation-based inference approaches, which must be tied to a specific set of point evaluations, we learn a functional representation of parameters and solution. This is used as a resolution-independent plug-and-play surrogate for the joint distribution, which can be conditioned over any set of points, permitting an efficient approach to sensor placement. We demonstrate the validity of our framework on a variety of stochastic problems, showing that our method provides highly informative sensor locations at a lower computational cost compared to conventional approaches.


Learning with Importance Weighted Variational Inference: Asymptotics for Gradient Estimators of the VR-IWAE Bound

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Several popular variational bounds involving importance weighting ideas have been proposed to generalize and improve on the Evidence Lower BOund (ELBO) in the context of maximum likelihood optimization, such as the Importance Weighted Auto-Encoder (IWAE) and the Variational R\'enyi (VR) bounds. The methodology to learn the parameters of interest using these bounds typically amounts to running gradient-based variational inference algorithms that incorporate the reparameterization trick. However, the way the choice of the variational bound impacts the outcome of variational inference algorithms can be unclear. Recently, the VR-IWAE bound was introduced as a variational bound that unifies the ELBO, IWAE and VR bounds methodologies. In this paper, we provide two analyses for the reparameterized and doubly-reparameterized gradient estimators of the VR-IWAE bound, which reveal the advantages and limitations of these gradient estimators while enabling us to compare of the ELBO, IWAE and VR bounds methodologies. Our work advances the understanding of importance weighted variational inference methods and we illustrate our theoretical findings empirically.


A Complete Decomposition of KL Error using Refined Information and Mode Interaction Selection

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The log-linear model has received a significant amount of theoretical attention in previous decades and remains the fundamental tool used for learning probability distributions over discrete variables. Despite its large popularity in statistical mechanics and high-dimensional statistics, the vast majority of such energy-based modeling approaches only focus on the two-variable relationships, such as Boltzmann machines and Markov graphical models. Although these approaches have easier-to-solve structure learning problems and easier-to-optimize parametric distributions, they often ignore the rich structure which exists in the higher-order interactions between different variables. Using more recent tools from the field of information geometry, we revisit the classical formulation of the log-linear model with a focus on higher-order mode interactions, going beyond the 1-body modes of independent distributions and the 2-body modes of Boltzmann distributions. This perspective allows us to define a complete decomposition of the KL error. This then motivates the formulation of a sparse selection problem over the set of possible mode interactions. In the same way as sparse graph selection allows for better generalization, we find that our learned distributions are able to more efficiently use the finite amount of data which is available in practice. On both synthetic and real-world datasets, we demonstrate our algorithm's effectiveness in maximizing the log-likelihood for the generative task and also the ease of adaptability to the discriminative task of classification.


Bayesian Experimental Design via Contrastive Diffusions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) is a powerful tool to reduce the cost of running a sequence of experiments. When based on the Expected Information Gain (EIG), design optimization corresponds to the maximization of some intractable expected {\it contrast} between prior and posterior distributions. Scaling this maximization to high dimensional and complex settings has been an issue due to BOED inherent computational complexity. In this work, we introduce an {\it expected posterior} distribution with cost-effective sampling properties and provide a tractable access to the EIG contrast maximization via a new EIG gradient expression. Diffusion-based samplers are used to compute the dynamics of the expected posterior and ideas from bi-level optimization are leveraged to derive an efficient joint sampling-optimization loop, without resorting to lower bound approximations of the EIG. The resulting efficiency gain allows to extend BOED to the well-tested generative capabilities of diffusion models. By incorporating generative models into the BOED framework, we expand its scope and its use in scenarios that were previously impractical. Numerical experiments and comparison with state-of-the-art methods show the potential of the approach.


Zero-shot Model-based Reinforcement Learning using Large Language Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The emerging zero-shot capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) have led to their applications in areas extending well beyond natural language processing tasks. In reinforcement learning, while LLMs have been extensively used in text-based environments, their integration with continuous state spaces remains understudied. In this paper, we investigate how pre-trained LLMs can be leveraged to predict in context the dynamics of continuous Markov decision processes. We identify handling multivariate data and incorporating the control signal as key challenges that limit the potential of LLMs' deployment in this setup and propose Disentangled In-Context Learning (DICL) to address them. We present proof-of-concept applications in two reinforcement learning settings: model-based policy evaluation and data-augmented off-policy reinforcement learning, supported by theoretical analysis of the proposed methods. Our experiments further demonstrate that our approach produces well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. We release the code at https://github.com/abenechehab/dicl.


Reinforcement Learning with LTL and $\omega$-Regular Objectives via Optimality-Preserving Translation to Average Rewards

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Linear temporal logic (LTL) and, more generally, $\omega$-regular objectives are alternatives to the traditional discount sum and average reward objectives in reinforcement learning (RL), offering the advantage of greater comprehensibility and hence explainability. In this work, we study the relationship between these objectives. Our main result is that each RL problem for $\omega$-regular objectives can be reduced to a limit-average reward problem in an optimality-preserving fashion, via (finite-memory) reward machines. Furthermore, we demonstrate the efficacy of this approach by showing that optimal policies for limit-average problems can be found asymptotically by solving a sequence of discount-sum problems approximately. Consequently, we resolve an open problem: optimal policies for LTL and $\omega$-regular objectives can be learned asymptotically.


Mitigating Frequency Bias and Anisotropy in Language Model Pre-Training with Syntactic Smoothing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Language models strongly rely on frequency information because they maximize the likelihood of tokens during pre-training. As a consequence, language models tend to not generalize well to tokens that are seldom seen during training. Moreover, maximum likelihood training has been discovered to give rise to anisotropy: representations of tokens in a model tend to cluster tightly in a high-dimensional cone, rather than spreading out over their representational capacity. Our work introduces a method for quantifying the frequency bias of a language model by assessing sentence-level perplexity with respect to token-level frequency. We then present a method for reducing the frequency bias of a language model by inducing a syntactic prior over token representations during pre-training. Our Syntactic Smoothing method adjusts the maximum likelihood objective function to distribute the learning signal to syntactically similar tokens. This approach results in better performance on infrequent English tokens and a decrease in anisotropy. We empirically show that the degree of anisotropy in a model correlates with its frequency bias.


Intelligent prospector v2.0: exploration drill planning under epistemic model uncertainty

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Optimal Bayesian decision making on what geoscientific data to acquire requires stating a prior model of uncertainty. Data acquisition is then optimized by reducing uncertainty on some property of interest maximally, and on average. In the context of exploration, very few, sometimes no data at all, is available prior to data acquisition planning. The prior model therefore needs to include human interpretations on the nature of spatial variability, or on analogue data deemed relevant for the area being explored. In mineral exploration, for example, humans may rely on conceptual models on the genesis of the mineralization to define multiple hypotheses, each representing a specific spatial variability of mineralization. More often than not, after the data is acquired, all of the stated hypotheses may be proven incorrect, i.e. falsified, hence prior hypotheses need to be revised, or additional hypotheses generated. Planning data acquisition under wrong geological priors is likely to be inefficient since the estimated uncertainty on the target property is incorrect, hence uncertainty may not be reduced at all. In this paper, we develop an intelligent agent based on partially observable Markov decision processes that plans optimally in the case of multiple geological or geoscientific hypotheses on the nature of spatial variability. Additionally, the artificial intelligence is equipped with a method that allows detecting, early on, whether the human stated hypotheses are incorrect, thereby saving considerable expense in data acquisition. Our approach is tested on a sediment-hosted copper deposit, and the algorithm presented has aided in the characterization of an ultra high-grade deposit in Zambia in 2023.