Financial AI empowers sophisticated approaches to financial market forecasting, portfolio optimization, and automated trading. This survey provides a systematic analysis of these developments across three primary dimensions: predictive models that capture complex market dynamics, decision-making frameworks that optimize trading and investment strategies, and knowledge augmentation systems that leverage unstructured financial information. We examine significant innovations including foundation models for financial time series, graph-based architectures for market relationship modeling, and hierarchical frameworks for portfolio optimization. Analysis reveals crucial trade-offs between model sophistication and practical constraints, particularly in high-frequency trading applications. We identify critical gaps and open challenges between theoretical advances and industrial implementation, outlining open challenges and opportunities for improving both model performance and practical applicability.

Hawkes processes are a class of past-dependent point processes, widely used in many applications such as seismology [Ogata, 1988], criminology [Olinde and Short, 2020] and neuroscience [Reynaud-Bouret et al., 2013] for their ability to capture complex dependence structures. In their multidimensional version [Ogata, 1988], Hawkes processes can model pairwise interactions between different types of events, allowing to recover a connectivity graph between different features. Originally developed by Hawkes [1971] in order to model self-exciting phenomena, where each event increases the probability of a new event occurring, many extensions have been proposed ever since. In particular, nonlinear Hawkes processes have been introduced notably to detect inhibiting interactions, when an event can decrease the probability of another one appearing. Hawkes processes with inhibition are notoriously more complicated to handle due to the loss of many properties of linear Hawkes processes such as the cluster representation and the branching structure of the process [Hawkes and Oakes, 1974]. Since the first article on nonlinear Hawkes processes [Brémaud and Massoulié, 1996] proving in particular their existence, many works have focused on inhibition in the past few years. Among them, limit theorems have been established in [Costa et al., 2020] while Duval et al. [2022] obtained mean-field results on the behaviour of two neuronal populations. Regarding statistical inference, in the frequentist setting we can mention the exact maximum likelihood procedure of Bonnet et al. [2023], the least-squares approach by Bacry et al. [2020] and the nonparametric approach based on Bernstein-type polynomials by Lemonnier and Vayatis [2014]. While the first one proposes an exact inference procedure, it is restricted to exponential kernels.

Lifelong reinforcement learning (RL) has been developed as a paradigm for extending single-task RL to more realistic, dynamic settings. In lifelong RL, the "life" of an RL agent is modeled as a stream of tasks drawn from a task distribution. We propose EPIC (\underline{E}mpirical \underline{P}AC-Bayes that \underline{I}mproves \underline{C}ontinuously), a novel algorithm designed for lifelong RL using PAC-Bayes theory. EPIC learns a shared policy distribution, referred to as the \textit{world policy}, which enables rapid adaptation to new tasks while retaining valuable knowledge from previous experiences. Our theoretical analysis establishes a relationship between the algorithm's generalization performance and the number of prior tasks preserved in memory. We also derive the sample complexity of EPIC in terms of RL regret. Extensive experiments on a variety of environments demonstrate that EPIC significantly outperforms existing methods in lifelong RL, offering both theoretical guarantees and practical efficacy through the use of the world policy.

Recent years have witnessed the rapid development of Neuro-Symbolic (NeSy) AI systems, which integrate symbolic reasoning into deep neural networks. However, most of the existing benchmarks for NeSy AI fail to provide long-horizon reasoning tasks with complex multi-agent interactions. Furthermore, they are usually constrained by fixed and simplistic logical rules over limited entities, making them far from real-world complexities. To address these crucial gaps, we introduce LogiCity, the first simulator based on customizable first-order logic (FOL) for an urban-like environment with multiple dynamic agents. LogiCity models diverse urban elements using semantic and spatial concepts, such as IsAmbulance(X) and IsClose(X, Y). These concepts are used to define FOL rules that govern the behavior of various agents. Since the concepts and rules are abstractions, they can be universally applied to cities with any agent compositions, facilitating the instantiation of diverse scenarios. Besides, a key feature of LogiCity is its support for user-configurable abstractions, enabling customizable simulation complexities for logical reasoning. To explore various aspects of NeSy AI, LogiCity introduces two tasks, one features long-horizon sequential decision-making, and the other focuses on one-step visual reasoning, varying in difficulty and agent behaviors. Our extensive evaluation reveals the advantage of NeSy frameworks in abstract reasoning. Moreover, we highlight the significant challenges of handling more complex abstractions in long-horizon multi-agent scenarios or under high-dimensional, imbalanced data. With its flexible design, various features, and newly raised challenges, we believe LogiCity represents a pivotal step forward in advancing the next generation of NeSy AI. All the code and data are open-sourced at our website.

Abstract--Teleoperation plays a crucial role in enabling robot operations in challenging environments, yet existing limitations in effectiveness and accuracy necessitate the development of innovative strategies for improving teleoperated tasks. This article introduces a novel approach that utilizes mixed reality and assistive autonomy to enhance the efficiency and precision of humanoid robot teleoperation. By leveraging Probabilistic Movement Primitives, object detection, and Affordance Templates, the assistance combines user motion with autonomous capabilities, achieving task efficiency while maintaining humanlike robot motion. Experiments and feasibility studies on the Nadia robot confirm the effectiveness of the proposed framework. Supplementary video available at https://youtu.be/oN-FD6YnF2c.

In this work, we explore modeling change points in time-series data using neural stochastic differential equations (neural SDEs). We propose a novel model formulation and training procedure based on the variational autoencoder (VAE) framework for modeling time-series as a neural SDE. Unlike existing algorithms training neural SDEs as VAEs, our proposed algorithm only necessitates a Gaussian prior of the initial state of the latent stochastic process, rather than a Wiener process prior on the entire latent stochastic process. We develop two methodologies for modeling and estimating change points in time-series data with distribution shifts. Our iterative algorithm alternates between updating neural SDE parameters and updating the change points based on either a maximum likelihood-based approach or a change point detection algorithm using the sequential likelihood ratio test. We provide a theoretical analysis of this proposed change point detection scheme. Finally, we present an empirical evaluation that demonstrates the expressive power of our proposed model, showing that it can effectively model both classical parametric SDEs and some real datasets with distribution shifts.

Advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) have transformed many scientific fields, with microbiology and microbiome research now experiencing significant breakthroughs through machine learning and deep learning applications. This review provides a comprehensive overview of AI-driven approaches tailored for microbiology and microbiome studies, emphasizing both technical advancements and biological insights. We begin with an introduction to foundational AI techniques, including primary machine learning paradigms and various deep learning architectures, and offer guidance on choosing between machine learning and deep learning methods based on specific research goals. The primary section on application scenarios spans diverse research areas, from taxonomic profiling, functional annotation & prediction, microbe-X interactions, microbial ecology, metabolic modeling, precision nutrition, clinical microbiology, to prevention & therapeutics. Finally, we discuss challenges unique to this field, including the balance between interpretability and complexity, the "small n, large p" problem, and the critical need for standardized benchmarking datasets to validate and compare models. Together, this review underscores AI's transformative role in microbiology and microbiome research, paving the way for innovative methodologies and applications that enhance our understanding of microbial life and its impact on our planet and our health.

Real-world offline datasets are often subject to data corruptions (such as noise or adversarial attacks) due to sensor failures or malicious attacks. Despite advances in robust offline reinforcement learning (RL), existing methods struggle to learn robust agents under high uncertainty caused by the diverse corrupted data (i.e., corrupted states, actions, rewards, and dynamics), leading to performance degradation in clean environments. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel robust variational Bayesian inference for offline RL (TRACER). It introduces Bayesian inference for the first time to capture the uncertainty via offline data for robustness against all types of data corruptions. Specifically, TRACER first models all corruptions as the uncertainty in the action-value function. Then, to capture such uncertainty, it uses all offline data as the observations to approximate the posterior distribution of the action-value function under a Bayesian inference framework. An appealing feature of TRACER is that it can distinguish corrupted data from clean data using an entropy-based uncertainty measure, since corrupted data often induces higher uncertainty and entropy. Based on the aforementioned measure, TRACER can regulate the loss associated with corrupted data to reduce its influence, thereby enhancing robustness and performance in clean environments. Experiments demonstrate that TRACER significantly outperforms several state-of-the-art approaches across both individual and simultaneous data corruptions.

In the context of autonomous driving, learning-based methods have been promising for the development of planning modules. During the training process of planning modules, directly minimizing the discrepancy between expert-driving logs and planning output is widely deployed. In general, driving logs consist of suddenly appearing obstacles or swiftly changing traffic signals, which typically necessitate swift and nuanced adjustments in driving maneuvers. Concurrently, future trajectories of the vehicles exhibit their long-term decisions, such as adhering to a reference lane or circumventing stationary obstacles. Due to the unpredictable influence of future events in driving logs, reasoning bias could be naturally introduced to learning based planning modules, which leads to a possible degradation of driving performance. To address this issue, we identify the decisions and their corresponding time horizons, and characterize a so-called decision scope by retaining decisions within derivable horizons only, to mitigate the effect of irrational behaviors caused by unpredictable events. This framework employs wavelet transformation based log preprocessing with an effective loss computation approach, rendering the planning model only sensitive to valuable decisions at the current state. Since frequency domain characteristics are extracted in conjunction with time domain features by wavelets, decision information across various frequency bands within the corresponding time horizon can be suitably captured. Furthermore, to achieve valuable decision learning, this framework leverages a transformer based decoder that incrementally generates the detailed profiles of future decisions over multiple steps. Our experiments demonstrate that our proposed method outperforms baselines in terms of driving scores with closed-loop evaluations on the nuPlan dataset.

To achieve autonomy in complex real-world exploration missions, we consider deployment strategies for a team of robots with heterogeneous autonomy capabilities. In this work, we formulate a multi-robot exploration mission and compute an operation policy to maintain robot team productivity and maximize mission rewards. The environment description, robot capability, and mission outcome are modeled as a Markov decision process (MDP). We also include constraints in real-world operation, such as sensor failures, limited communication coverage, and mobility-stressing elements. Then, we study the proposed operation model on a real-world scenario in the context of the DARPA Subterranean (SubT) Challenge. The computed deployment policy is also compared against the human-based operation strategy in the final competition of the SubT Challenge. Finally, using the proposed model, we discuss the design trade-off on building a multi-robot team with heterogeneous capabilities.