Simulation is critical for safety evaluation in autonomous driving, particularly in capturing complex interactive behaviors. However, generating realistic and controllable traffic scenarios in long-tail situations remains a significant challenge. Existing generative models suffer from the conflicting objective between user-defined controllability and realism constraints, which is amplified in safety-critical contexts. In this work, we introduce the Causal Compositional Diffusion Model (CCDiff), a structure-guided diffusion framework to address these challenges. We first formulate the learning of controllable and realistic closed-loop simulation as a constrained optimization problem. Then, CCDiff maximizes controllability while adhering to realism by automatically identifying and injecting causal structures directly into the diffusion process, providing structured guidance to enhance both realism and controllability. Through rigorous evaluations on benchmark datasets and in a closed-loop simulator, CCDiff demonstrates substantial gains over state-of-the-art approaches in generating realistic and user-preferred trajectories. Our results show CCDiff's effectiveness in extracting and leveraging causal structures, showing improved closed-loop performance based on key metrics such as collision rate, off-road rate, FDE, and comfort.

Whole-body hemodynamics simulators, which model blood flow and pressure waveforms as functions of physiological parameters, are now essential tools for studying cardiovascular systems. However, solving the corresponding inverse problem of mapping observations (e.g., arterial pressure waveforms at specific locations in the arterial network) back to plausible physiological parameters remains challenging. Leveraging recent advances in simulation-based inference, we cast this problem as statistical inference by training an amortized neural posterior estimator on a newly built large dataset of cardiac simulations that we publicly release. To better align simulated data with real-world measurements, we incorporate stochastic elements modeling exogenous effects. The proposed framework can further integrate in-vivo data sources to refine its predictive capabilities on real-world data. In silico, we demonstrate that the proposed framework enables finely quantifying uncertainty associated with individual measurements, allowing trustworthy prediction of four biomarkers of clinical interest--namely Heart Rate, Cardiac Output, Systemic Vascular Resistance, and Left Ventricular Ejection Time--from arterial pressure waveforms and photoplethysmograms. Furthermore, we validate the framework in vivo, where our method accurately captures temporal trends in CO and SVR monitoring on the VitalDB dataset. Finally, the predictive error made by the model monotonically increases with the predicted uncertainty, thereby directly supporting the automatic rejection of unusable measurements.

This study investigates the performance of three popular tokenization tools: MeCab, Sudachi, and SentencePiece, when applied as a preprocessing step for sentiment-based text classification of Japanese texts. Using Term Frequency-Inverse Document Frequency (TF-IDF) vectorization, we evaluate two traditional machine learning classifiers: Multinomial Naive Bayes and Logistic Regression. The results reveal that Sudachi produces tokens closely aligned with dictionary definitions, while MeCab and SentencePiece demonstrate faster processing speeds. The combination of SentencePiece, TF-IDF, and Logistic Regression outperforms the other alternatives in terms of classification performance.

Cross-Project Defect Prediction (CPDP) poses a non-trivial challenge to construct a reliable defect predictor by leveraging data from other projects, particularly when data owners are concerned about data privacy. In recent years, Federated Learning (FL) has become an emerging paradigm to guarantee privacy information by collaborative training a global model among multiple parties without sharing raw data. While the direct application of FL to the CPDP task offers a promising solution to address privacy concerns, the data heterogeneity arising from proprietary projects across different companies or organizations will bring troubles for model training. In this paper, we study the privacy-preserving cross-project defect prediction with data heterogeneity under the federated learning framework. To address this problem, we propose a novel knowledge enhancement approach named FedDP with two simple but effective solutions: 1. Local Heterogeneity Awareness and 2. Global Knowledge Distillation. Specifically, we employ open-source project data as the distillation dataset and optimize the global model with the heterogeneity-aware local model ensemble via knowledge distillation. Experimental results on 19 projects from two datasets demonstrate that our method significantly outperforms baselines.

We live in a world full of complex systems which we need to improve our understanding of. To accomplish this, purely probabilistic investigations are often not enough. They are only the first step and must be followed by learning the system's underlying mechanisms. This is what the discipline of causality is concerned with. Many of those complex systems contain feedback loops which means that our methods have to allow for cyclic causal relations. Furthermore, systems are rarely sufficiently isolated, which means that there are usually hidden confounders, i.e., unmeasured variables that each causally affects more than one measured variable. Finally, data is often distorted by contaminating processes, and we need to apply methods that are robust against such distortions. That's why we consider the robustness of LLC, see \cite{llc}, one of the few causal analysis methods that can deal with cyclic models with hidden confounders. Following a theoretical analysis of LLC's robustness properties, we also provide robust extensions of LLC. To facilitate reproducibility and further research in this field, we make the source code publicly available.

Recent advances in MCMC use normalizing flows to precondition target distributions and enable jumps to distant regions. However, there is currently no systematic comparison of different normalizing flow architectures for MCMC. As such, many works choose simple flow architectures that are readily available and do not consider other models. Guidelines for choosing an appropriate architecture would reduce analysis time for practitioners and motivate researchers to take the recommended models as foundations to be improved. We provide the first such guideline by extensively evaluating many normalizing flow architectures on various flow-based MCMC methods and target distributions. When the target density gradient is available, we show that flow-based MCMC outperforms classic MCMC for suitable NF architecture choices with minor hyperparameter tuning. When the gradient is unavailable, flow-based MCMC wins with off-the-shelf architectures. We find contractive residual flows to be the best general-purpose models with relatively low sensitivity to hyperparameter choice. We also provide various insights into normalizing flow behavior within MCMC when varying their hyperparameters, properties of target distributions, and the overall computational budget.

We Training neural architectures is a resource-intensive endeavor, utilize a seq2seq variational autoencoder framework to analyze often demanding considerable computational power the initial stages of a learning curve and predict its future and time. Researchers have developed various methodologies progression. This predictive capability is further enhanced to predict the performance of neural networks early in by an architecture-aware component that produces a graphlevel the training process using learning curve data. Some methods embedding from the architecture's topology, employing Domhan et al. (2015); Gargiani et al. (2019); Adriaensen techniques like Graph Convolutional Networks (GCN) Kipf et al. (2023) apply Bayesian inference to project these and Welling (2016) and Differentiable Pooling Ying et al. curves forward, while others employ time-series prediction (2018). This integration not only improves the accuracy of techniques, such as LSTM networks. Despite their effectiveness, learning curve extrapolations compared to existing methods these approaches (Swersky et al., 2014; Baker et al., but also significantly facilitates model ranking, potentially 2017) typically overlook the architectural features of networks, leading to more efficient use of computational resources, missing out on crucial insights that could be derived from the accelerated experimentation cycles, and faster progress in the models' topology.

The dramatic increase in consumption of ultra-processed food has been associated with numerous adverse health effects. Given the public health consequences linked to ultra-processed food consumption, it is highly relevant to build computational models to predict the processing of food products. We created a range of machine learning, deep learning, and NLP models to predict the extent of food processing by integrating the FNDDS dataset of food products and their nutrient profiles with their reported NOVA processing level. Starting with the full nutritional panel of 102 features, we further implemented coarse-graining of features to 65 and 13 nutrients by dropping flavonoids and then by considering the 13-nutrient panel of FDA, respectively. LGBM Classifier and Random Forest emerged as the best model for 102 and 65 nutrients, respectively, with an F1-score of 0.9411 and 0.9345 and MCC of 0.8691 and 0.8543. For the 13-nutrient panel, Gradient Boost achieved the best F1-score of 0.9284 and MCC of 0.8425. We also implemented NLP based models, which exhibited state-of-the-art performance.

Average-reward Markov decision processes (MDPs) provide a foundational framework for sequential decision-making under uncertainty. However, average-reward MDPs have remained largely unexplored in reinforcement learning (RL) settings, with the majority of RL-based efforts having been allocated to episodic and discounted MDPs. In this work, we study a unique structural property of average-reward MDPs and utilize it to introduce Reward-Extended Differential (or RED) reinforcement learning: a novel RL framework that can be used to effectively and efficiently solve various learning objectives, or subtasks, simultaneously in the average-reward setting. We introduce a family of RED learning algorithms for prediction and control, including proven-convergent algorithms for the tabular case. We then showcase the power of these algorithms by demonstrating how they can be used to learn a policy that optimizes, for the first time, the well-known conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) risk measure in a fully-online manner, without the use of an explicit bi-level optimization scheme or an augmented state-space.

Systems may depend on parameters which one may control, or which serve to optimise the system, or are imposed externally, or they could be uncertain. This last case is taken as the "Leitmotiv" for the following. A reduced order model is produced from the full order model by some kind of projection onto a relatively low-dimensional manifold or subspace. The parameter dependent reduction process produces a function of the parameters into the manifold. One now wants to examine the relation between the full and the reduced state for all possible parameter values of interest. Similarly, in the field of machine learning, also a function of the parameter set into the image space of the machine learning model is learned on a training set of samples, typically minimising the mean-square error. This set may be seen as a sample from some probability distribution, and thus the training is an approximate computation of the expectation, giving an approximation to the conditional expectation, a special case of an Bayesian updating where the Bayesian loss function is the mean-square error. This offers the possibility of having a combined look at these methods, and also introducing more general loss functions.