Learning Graphical Models
Continual learning via probabilistic exchangeable sequence modelling
Xing, Hanwen, Yau, Christopher
Continual learning (CL) refers to the ability to continuously learn and accumulate new knowledge while retaining useful information from past experiences. Although numerous CL methods have been proposed in recent years, it is not straightforward to deploy them directly to real-world decision-making problems due to their computational cost and lack of uncertainty quantification. To address these issues, we propose CL-BRUNO, a probabilistic, Neural Process-based CL model that performs scalable and tractable Bayesian update and prediction. Our proposed approach uses deep-generative models to create a unified probabilistic framework capable of handling different types of CL problems such as task- and class-incremental learning, allowing users to integrate information across different CL scenarios using a single model. Our approach is able to prevent catastrophic forgetting through distributional and functional regularisation without the need of retaining any previously seen samples, making it appealing to applications where data privacy or storage capacity is of concern. Experiments show that CL-BRUNO outperforms existing methods on both natural image and biomedical data sets, confirming its effectiveness in real-world applications.
Graph-Enhanced Model-Free Reinforcement Learning Agents for Efficient Power Grid Topological Control
Batanero, Eloy Anguiano, Fernández, Ángela, Barbero, Álvaro
The increasing complexity of power grid management, driven by the emergence of prosumers and the demand for cleaner energy solutions, has needed innovative approaches to ensure stability and efficiency. This paper presents a novel approach within the model-free framework of reinforcement learning, aimed at optimizing power network operations without prior expert knowledge. We introduce a masked topological action space, enabling agents to explore diverse strategies for cost reduction while maintaining reliable service using the state logic as a guide for choosing proper actions. Through extensive experimentation across 20 different scenarios in a simulated 5-substation environment, we demonstrate that our approach achieves a consistent reduction in power losses, while ensuring grid stability against potential blackouts. The results underscore the effectiveness of combining dynamic observation formalization with opponent-based training, showing a viable way for autonomous management solutions in modern energy systems or even for building a foundational model for this field.
TAR: Teacher-Aligned Representations via Contrastive Learning for Quadrupedal Locomotion
Mousa, Amr, Karavis, Neil, Caprio, Michele, Pan, Wei, Allmendinger, Richard
-- Quadrupedal locomotion via Reinforcement Learning (RL) is commonly addressed using the teacher-student paradigm, where a privileged teacher guides a proprioceptive student policy. However, key challenges such as representation misalignment between privileged teacher and proprioceptive-only student, covariate shift due to behavioral cloning, and lack of deployable adaption; lead to poor generalization in real-world scenarios. We propose T eacher-Aligned Representations via Contrastive Learning (T AR), a framework that leverages privileged information with self-supervised contrastive learning to bridge this gap. By aligning representations to a privileged teacher in simulation via contrastive objectives, our student policy learns structured latent spaces and exhibits robust generalization to Out-of-Distribution (OOD) scenarios, surpassing the fully privileged "T eacher". Results showed accelerated training by 2 compared to state-of-the-art baselines to achieve peak performance. OOD scenarios showed better generalization by 40% on average compared to existing methods. Open-source code and videos are available at https://ammousa.github.io/TARLoco/.
Safety integrity framework for automated driving
Werling, Moritz, Faller, Rainer, Betz, Wolfgang, Straub, Daniel
This paper describes the comprehensive safety framework th at underpinned the development, release process, and regulatory approval of BMW's first SAE Level 3 Au tomated Driving System. The framework combines established qualitative and quantitative me thods from the fields of Systems Engineering, Engineering Risk Analysis, Bayesian Data Analysis, Design of Experiments, and Statistical Learning in a novel manner. The approach systematically minimizes the r isks associated with hardware and software faults, performance limitations, and insufficient specifica tions to an acceptable level that achieves a Positive Risk Balance. At the core of the framework is the system atic identification and quantification of uncertainties associated with hazard scenarios and the red undantly designed system based on designed experiments, field data, and expert knowledge. The residual risk of the system is then estimated through Stochastic Simulation and evaluated by Sensitivity Analys is. By integrating these advanced analytical techniques into the V-Model, the framework fulfills, unifies, and complements existing automotive safety standards. It therefore provides a comprehensive, rigorou s, and transparent safety assurance process for the development and deployment of Automated Driving System s.
Data Mixture Optimization: A Multi-fidelity Multi-scale Bayesian Framework
Yen, Thomson, Siah, Andrew Wei Tung, Chen, Haozhe, Peng, Tianyi, Guetta, Daniel, Namkoong, Hongseok
Careful curation of data sources can significantly improve the performance of LLM pre-training, but predominant approaches rely heavily on intuition or costly trial-and-error, making them difficult to generalize across different data domains and downstream tasks. Although scaling laws can provide a principled and general approach for data curation, standard deterministic extrapolation from small-scale experiments to larger scales requires strong assumptions on the reliability of such extrapolation, whose brittleness has been highlighted in prior works. In this paper, we introduce a $\textit{probabilistic extrapolation framework}$ for data mixture optimization that avoids rigid assumptions and explicitly models the uncertainty in performance across decision variables. We formulate data curation as a sequential decision-making problem$\unicode{x2013}$multi-fidelity, multi-scale Bayesian optimization$\unicode{x2013}$where $\{$data mixtures, model scale, training steps$\}$ are adaptively selected to balance training cost and potential information gain. Our framework naturally gives rise to algorithm prototypes that leverage noisy information from inexpensive experiments to systematically inform costly training decisions. To accelerate methodological progress, we build a simulator based on 472 language model pre-training runs with varying data compositions from the SlimPajama dataset. We observe that even simple kernels and acquisition functions can enable principled decisions across training models from 20M to 1B parameters and achieve $\textbf{2.6x}$ and $\textbf{3.3x}$ speedups compared to multi-fidelity BO and random search baselines. Taken together, our framework underscores potential efficiency gains achievable by developing principled and transferable data mixture optimization methods.
The Crucial Role of Problem Formulation in Real-World Reinforcement Learning
Schäfer, Georg, Krau, Tatjana, Rehrl, Jakob, Huber, Stefan, Hirlaender, Simon
Reinforcement Learning (RL) offers promising solutions for control tasks in industrial cyber-physical systems (ICPSs), yet its real-world adoption remains limited. This paper demonstrates how seemingly small but well-designed modifications to the RL problem formulation can substantially improve performance, stability, and sample efficiency. We identify and investigate key elements of RL problem formulation and show that these enhance both learning speed and final policy quality. Our experiments use a one-degree-of-freedom (1-DoF) helicopter testbed, the Quanser Aero~2, which features non-linear dynamics representative of many industrial settings. In simulation, the proposed problem design principles yield more reliable and efficient training, and we further validate these results by training the agent directly on physical hardware. The encouraging real-world outcomes highlight the potential of RL for ICPS, especially when careful attention is paid to the design principles of problem formulation. Overall, our study underscores the crucial role of thoughtful problem formulation in bridging the gap between RL research and the demands of real-world industrial systems.
Design and Evaluation of Neural Network-Based Receiver Architectures for Reliable Communication
Çevik, Hüseyin, Karakoca, Erhan, Hökelek, İbrahim, Görçin, Ali
This study evaluates various architectures and compares their BER and BLER performance across different noise levels. Two novel models, the Dual Attention Transformer (DA T) and the Residual Dual Non-Local Attention Network (RDNLA), integrate self-attention and residual learning to enhance signal reconstruction. These models bypass conventional channel estimation and equalization by directly predicting log-likelihood ratios (LLRs) from received signals, with noise variance as an additional input. Simulations show that DA T and RDNLA outperform traditional and other neural receiver models under varying signal-to-noise ratios (SNR), while their computational efficiency supports their feasibility for next-generation communication systems.
Dynamics of Algorithmic Content Amplification on TikTok
Baumann, Fabian, Arora, Nipun, Rahwan, Iyad, Czaplicka, Agnieszka
Intelligent algorithms increasingly shape the content we encounter and engage with online. TikTok's For You feed exemplifies extreme algorithm-driven curation, tailoring the stream of video content almost exclusively based on users' explicit and implicit interactions with the platform. Despite growing attention, the dynamics of content amplification on TikTok remain largely unquantified. How quickly, and to what extent, does TikTok's algorithm amplify content aligned with users' interests? To address these questions, we conduct a sock-puppet audit, deploying bots with different interests to engage with TikTok's "For You" feed. Our findings reveal that content aligned with the bots' interests undergoes strong amplification, with rapid reinforcement typically occurring within the first 200 videos watched. While amplification is consistently observed across all interests, its intensity varies by interest, indicating the emergence of topic-specific biases. Time series analyses and Markov models uncover distinct phases of recommendation dynamics, including persistent content reinforcement and a gradual decline in content diversity over time. Although TikTok's algorithm preserves some content diversity, we find a strong negative correlation between amplification and exploration: as the amplification of interest-aligned content increases, engagement with unseen hashtags declines. These findings contribute to discussions on socio-algorithmic feedback loops in the digital age and the trade-offs between personalization and content diversity.
Perspective-Shifted Neuro-Symbolic World Models: A Framework for Socially-Aware Robot Navigation
Alcedo, Kevin, Lima, Pedro U., Alami, Rachid
Navigating in environments alongside humans requires agents to reason under uncertainty and account for the beliefs and intentions of those around them. Under a sequential decision-making framework, egocentric navigation can naturally be represented as a Markov Decision Process (MDP). However, social navigation additionally requires reasoning about the hidden beliefs of others, inherently leading to a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP), where agents lack direct access to others' mental states. Inspired by Theory of Mind and Epistemic Planning, we propose (1) a neuro-symbolic model-based reinforcement learning architecture for social navigation, addressing the challenge of belief tracking in partially observable environments; and (2) a perspective-shift operator for belief estimation, leveraging recent work on Influence-based Abstractions (IBA) in structured multi-agent settings.
Dynamic Learning and Productivity for Data Analysts: A Bayesian Hidden Markov Model Perspective
Data analysts are essential in organizations, transforming raw data into insights that drive decision-making and strategy. This study explores how analysts' productivity evolves on a collaborative platform, focusing on two key learning activities: writing queries and viewing peer queries. While traditional research often assumes static models, where performance improves steadily with cumulative learning, such models fail to capture the dynamic nature of real-world learning. To address this, we propose a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that tracks how analysts transition between distinct learning states based on their participation in these activities. Using an industry dataset with 2,001 analysts and 79,797 queries, this study identifies three learning states: novice, intermediate, and advanced. Productivity increases as analysts advance to higher states, reflecting the cumulative benefits of learning. Writing queries benefits analysts across all states, with the largest gains observed for novices. Viewing peer queries supports novices but may hinder analysts in higher states due to cognitive overload or inefficiencies. Transitions between states are also uneven, with progression from intermediate to advanced being particularly challenging. This study advances understanding of into dynamic learning behavior of knowledge worker and offers practical implications for designing systems, optimizing training, enabling personalized learning, and fostering effective knowledge sharing.