Learning Graphical Models
A Two-Timescale Primal-Dual Framework for Reinforcement Learning via Online Dual Variable Guidance
Wolter, Axel Friedrich, Sutter, Tobias
We study reinforcement learning by combining recent advances in regularized linear programming formulations with the classical theory of stochastic approximation. Motivated by the challenge of designing algorithms that leverage off-policy data while maintaining on-policy exploration, we propose PGDA-RL, a novel primal-dual Projected Gradient Descent-Ascent algorithm for solving regularized Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). PGDA-RL integrates experience replay-based gradient estimation with a two-timescale decomposition of the underlying nested optimization problem. The algorithm operates asynchronously, interacts with the environment through a single trajectory of correlated data, and updates its policy online in response to the dual variable associated with the occupation measure of the underlying MDP. We prove that PGDA-RL converges almost surely to the optimal value function and policy of the regularized MDP. Our convergence analysis relies on tools from stochastic approximation theory and holds under weaker assumptions than those required by existing primal-dual RL approaches, notably removing the need for a simulator or a fixed behavioral policy.
Model-Based AI planning and Execution Systems for Robotics
Wertheim, Or, Brafman, Ronen I.
Model-based planning and execution systems offer a principled approach to building flexible autonomous robots that can perform diverse tasks by automatically combining a host of basic skills. This idea is almost as old as modern robotics. Yet, while diverse general-purpose reasoning architectures have been proposed since, general-purpose systems that are integrated with modern robotic platforms have emerged only recently, starting with the influential ROSPlan system. Since then, a growing number of model-based systems for robot task-level control have emerged. In this paper, we consider the diverse design choices and issues existing systems attempt to address, the different solutions proposed so far, and suggest avenues for future development.
Automatic Music Transcription using Convolutional Neural Networks and Constant-Q transform
Telila, Yohannis, Cucinotta, Tommaso, Bacciu, Davide
Automatic music transcription (AMT) is the problem of analyzing an audio recording of a musical piece and detecting notes that are being played. AMT is a challenging problem, particularly when it comes to polyphonic music. The goal of AMT is to produce a score representation of a music piece, by analyzing a sound signal containing multiple notes played simultaneously. In this work, we design a processing pipeline that can transform classical piano audio files in .wav format into a music score representation. The features from the audio signals are extracted using the constant-Q transform, and the resulting coefficients are used as an input to the convolutional neural network (CNN) model.
Uncertain Machine Ethics Planning
Kolker, Simon, Dennis, Louise A., Pereira, Ramon Fraga, Xu, Mengwei
Machine Ethics decisions should consider the implications of uncertainty over decisions. Decisions should be made over sequences of actions to reach preferable outcomes long term. The evaluation of outcomes, however, may invoke one or more moral theories, which might have conflicting judgements. Each theory will require differing representations of the ethical situation. For example, Utilitarianism measures numerical values, Deontology analyses duties, and Virtue Ethics emphasises moral character. While balancing potentially conflicting moral considerations, decisions may need to be made, for example, to achieve morally neutral goals with minimal costs. In this paper, we formalise the problem as a Multi-Moral Markov Decision Process and a Multi-Moral Stochastic Shortest Path Problem. We develop a heuristic algorithm based on Multi-Objective AO*, utilising Sven-Ove Hansson's Hypothetical Retrospection procedure for ethical reasoning under uncertainty. Our approach is validated by a case study from Machine Ethics literature: the problem of whether to steal insulin for someone who needs it.
A Large Language Model for Feasible and Diverse Population Synthesis
Lim, Sung Yoo, Yun, Hyunsoo, Bansal, Prateek, Kim, Dong-Kyu, Kim, Eui-Jin
Generating a synthetic population that is both feasible and diverse is crucial for ensuring the validity of downstream activity schedul e simulation in activity - based models (ABMs) . While deep generative models (DGMs), such as variational autoencoders and g enerative adversarial networks, have been applied to this task, they often struggle to balance the inclusion of rare but plausible combinations (i.e., sampling zeros) with the exclusion of implausible ones (i.e., structural zeros). To improve feasibility while maintaining diversity, we propose a fine - tuning method for large language models (LLMs) that explicitly controls the autoregressive generation process through topological orderings derived from a Bayesian Network (BN). Experimental result s show that our hybrid LLM - BN approach outperform s both traditional DGMs and proprietary LLMs (e.g., ChatGPT - 4o) with few - shot learning. Specifically, our approach achieves approximately 95% feasibility -- significantly higher than the ~80% observed in DGMs -- w hile maintaining comparable diversity, making it well - suited for practical applications. Importantly, the method is based on a lightweight open - source LLM, enabling fine - tuning and inference on standard personal computing environments. This makes the appro ach cost - effective and scalable for large - scale applications, such as synthesizing populations in megacities, without relying on expensive infrastructure. By initiating the ABM pipeline with high - quality synthetic populations, our method improves overall s imulation reliability and reduces downstream error propagation. The source code for these methods is available for research and practical application.
Polynomial-Time Relational Probabilistic Inference in Open Universes
Ge, Luise, Juba, Brendan, Nilsson, Kris
Reasoning under uncertainty is a fundamental challenge in Artificial Intelligence. As with most of these challenges, there is a harsh dilemma between the expressive power of the language used, and the tractability of the computational problem posed by reasoning. Inspired by human reasoning, we introduce a method of first-order relational probabilistic inference that satisfies both criteria, and can handle hybrid (discrete and continuous) variables. Specifically, we extend sum-of-squares logic of expectation to relational settings, demonstrating that lifted reasoning in the bounded-degree fragment for knowledge bases of bounded quantifier rank can be performed in polynomial time, even with an a priori unknown and/or countably infinite set of objects. Crucially, our notion of tractability is framed in proof-theoretic terms, which extends beyond the syntactic properties of the language or queries. We are able to derive the tightest bounds provable by proofs of a given degree and size and establish completeness in our sum-of-squares refutations for fixed degrees.
Algorithmic Accountability in Small Data: Sample-Size-Induced Bias Within Classification Metrics
Briscoe, Jarren, Kepler, Garrett, Deford, Daryl, Gebremedhin, Assefaw
Evaluating machine learning models is crucial not only for determining their technical accuracy but also for assessing their potential societal implications. While the potential for low-sample-size bias in algorithms is well known, we demonstrate the significance of sample-size bias induced by combi-natorics in classification metrics. This revelation challenges the efficacy of these metrics in assessing bias with high resolution, especially when comparing groups of disparate sizes, which frequently arise in social applications. We provide analyses of the bias that appears in several commonly applied metrics and propose a model-agnostic assessment and correction technique. Additionally, we analyze counts of undefined cases in metric calculations, which can lead to misleading evaluations if improperly handled. This work illuminates the previously unrecognized challenge of combinatorics and probability in standard evaluation practices and thereby advances approaches for performing fair and trustworthy classification methods.
Learning Survival Distributions with the Asymmetric Laplace Distribution
Probabilistic survival analysis models seek to estimate the distribution of the future occurrence (time) of an event given a set of covariates. In recent years, these models have preferred nonparametric specifications that avoid directly estimating survival distributions via discretization. Specifically, they estimate the probability of an individual event at fixed times or the time of an event at fixed probabilities (quantiles), using supervised learning. Borrowing ideas from the quantile regression literature, we propose a parametric survival analysis method based on the Asymmetric Laplace Distribution (ALD). This distribution allows for closed-form calculation of popular event summaries such as mean, median, mode, variation, and quantiles. The model is optimized by maximum likelihood to learn, at the individual level, the parameters (location, scale, and asymmetry) of the ALD distribution. Extensive results on synthetic and real-world data demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms parametric and nonparametric approaches in terms of accuracy, discrimination and calibration.
Learning Symbolic Persistent Macro-Actions for POMDP Solving Over Time
Veronese, Celeste, Meli, Daniele, Farinelli, Alessandro
Most popular and effective approaches to online solving Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs, Kaelbling et al. (1998)), e.g., Partially Observable Monte Carlo Planning (POMCP) by Silver and Veness (2010) and Determinized Sparse Partially Observable Tree (DESPOT) by Ye et al. (2017), rely on Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS). These approaches are based on online simulations performed in a simulation environment (i.e. a black-box twin of the real POMDP environment) and estimate the value of actions. However, they require domain-specific policy heuristics, suggesting best actions at each state, for efficient exploration. Macro-actions (He et al. (2011); Bertolucci et al. (2021)) are popular policy heuristics that are particularly efficient for long planning horizons. A macro-action is essentially a sequence of suggested actions from a given state that can effectively guide the simulation phase towards actions with high utilities. However, such heuristics are heavily dependent on domain features and are typically handcrafted for each specific domain. Defining these heuristics is an arduous process that requires significant domain knowledge, especially in complex domains. An alternative approach, like the one by Cai and Hsu (2022), is to learn such heuristics via neural networks, which are, however, uninterpretable and data-inefficient. This paper extends the methodology proposed by Meli et al. (2024) to the learning, via Inductive Logic Programming (ILP, Muggleton (1991)), of Event Calculus (EC) theories C. Veronese, D. Meli & A. Farinelli.
An Active Inference perspective on Neurofeedback Training
Annicchiarico, Côme, Lotte, Fabien, Mattout, Jérémie
Neurofeedback training (NFT) aims to teach self-regulation of brain activity through real-time feedback, but suffers from highly variable outcomes and poorly understood mechanisms, hampering its validation. To address these issues, we propose a formal computational model of the NFT closed loop. Using Active Inference, a Bayesian framework modelling perception, action, and learning, we simulate agents interacting with an NFT environment. This enables us to test the impact of design choices (e.g., feedback quality, biomarker validity) and subject factors (e.g., prior beliefs) on training. Simulations show that training effectiveness is sensitive to feedback noise or bias, and to prior beliefs (highlighting the importance of guiding instructions), but also reveal that perfect feedback is insufficient to guarantee high performance. This approach provides a tool for assessing and predicting NFT variability, interpret empirical data, and potentially develop personalized training protocols.