Planning with a generative model is thinking before acting .

Solving OPE is often the starting point in many RL applications. To tackle the problem of OPE, the idea of importance sampling (IS) corrects the mismatch in the distributions under the behavior policy and target policy.

So far, BMDPs could only be solved in the case of finite state spaces with known dynamics. This work extends the state-of-the-art to continuous spaces environments and unknown dynamics. We show that the solution to a BMDP is a fixed point of a novel Budgeted Bellman Optimality operator. This observation allows us to introduce natural extensions of Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithms to address large-scale BMDPs.

First provide a summary of the paper, and then address the following criteria: Quality, clarity, originality and significance. This paper presents a new Bayesian nonparametric model for mixed-membership modeling of grouped data. The model is based on a Beta-Negative Binomial Process (BNBP). Whereas this stochastic process was exploited by previous work, as mentioned in the paper, there are several aspects that set this work apart. First, this work obtains an EPPF (exchangeable partition probability function), and derives the prediction rules thereon.

So, most of the learning happens under model misspeci-fication.

In this paper, we address the question of identifiability and learning algorithms for large-scale Poisson Directed Acyclic Graphical (DAG) models. We define general Poisson DAG models as models where each node is a Poisson random variable with rate parameter depending on the values of the parents in the underlying DAG. First, we prove that Poisson DAG models are identifiable from observational data, and present a polynomial-time algorithm that learns the Poisson DAG model under suitable regularity conditions. The main idea behind our algorithm is based on overdispersion, in that variables that are conditionally Poisson are overdispersed relative to variables that are marginally Poisson.

In simple perceptual decisions the brain has to identify a stimulus based on noisy sensory samples from the stimulus. Basic statistical considerations state that the reliability of the stimulus information, i.e., the amount of noise in the samples, should be taken into account when the decision is made. However, for perceptual decision making experiments it has been questioned whether the brain indeed uses the reliability for making decisions when confronted with unpredictable changes in stimulus reliability. We here show that even the basic drift diffusion model, which has frequently been used to explain experimental findings in perceptual decision making, implicitly relies on estimates of stimulus reliability. We then show that only those variants of the drift diffusion model which allow stimulus-specific reliabilities are consistent with neurophysiological findings. Our analysis suggests that the brain estimates the reliability of the stimulus on a short time scale of at most a few hundred milliseconds.

Neural Information Processing Systems http://nips.cc/